|
On February 09 2015 01:50 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:47 Eden1892 wrote:
Wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute.
10 people left. 2 shot scum vig 2 other mafia.
Scum shoots 2 town. 4-3
Town lynches scum. 4-2
Scum shoots 2 town. 2-2 scum wins.
This doesn't make sense anymore ummm I think you're forgetting koshi in your numbers, eden? unless you think there are four mafia this game @.@ which would make hts kind of evil lol actually I don't know where you're getting the number 10 at all?
2 shot scum vig + 2 other mafia. sorry for lack of clarity
and 10 people after the modkills
|
On February 09 2015 01:51 Eden1892 wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:50 batsnacks wrote:On February 09 2015 01:47 Eden1892 wrote:
Wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute.
10 people left. 2 shot scum vig 2 other mafia.
Scum shoots 2 town. 4-3
Town lynches scum. 4-2
Scum shoots 2 town. 2-2 scum wins.
This doesn't make sense anymore It does if breshke got lynched... which he does without the vig claim. Nah. For one I'm not sure Breshke was getting lynched over Koshi d2. For another even if he were, you shoot to put town in LYLO in that situation all the time
As an addendum I think if Breshke is mafia vig, there is no way he becomes the lynch d2. Koshi would absolutely be sac'd if needed to keep that 2nd shot. The resistance to killing Koshi + decision not to put town in LYLO if Breshke is getting lynched just doesn't add up
|
On February 09 2015 01:52 batsnacks wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:51 Eden1892 wrote:On February 09 2015 01:50 batsnacks wrote:On February 09 2015 01:47 Eden1892 wrote:
Wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute.
10 people left. 2 shot scum vig 2 other mafia.
Scum shoots 2 town. 4-3
Town lynches scum. 4-2
Scum shoots 2 town. 2-2 scum wins.
This doesn't make sense anymore It does if breshke got lynched... which he does without the vig claim. Nah. For one I'm not sure Breshke was getting lynched over Koshi d2. For another even if he were, you shoot to put town in LYLO in that situation all the time I would argue that breshke was almost certainly getting lynched up until the moment he claimed.
I wouldn't, I wanted Koshi and I am pretty confident I would have gotten Koshi since all the mafia would have backed me up in order to save Breshke.
|
On February 09 2015 01:54 justanothertownie wrote:
Maybe I should townread Eden because of "mindmelding " -.-
A+
And don't forget bats, marv was one of the people pressuring Breshke to start n1. So if you think marv and Breshke are the scumteam then their actions are pretty inconsistent with the idea of Breshke being scum vig, given that Koshi immediately said that Breshke had to be town vig (i.e. had been thinking about the implications of scum vig)
|
On February 09 2015 01:54 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:51 Eden1892 wrote:On February 09 2015 01:50 rsoultin wrote:On February 09 2015 01:47 Eden1892 wrote:
Wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute.
10 people left. 2 shot scum vig 2 other mafia.
Scum shoots 2 town. 4-3
Town lynches scum. 4-2
Scum shoots 2 town. 2-2 scum wins.
This doesn't make sense anymore ummm I think you're forgetting koshi in your numbers, eden? unless you think there are four mafia this game @.@ which would make hts kind of evil lol actually I don't know where you're getting the number 10 at all? 2 shot scum vig + 2 other mafia. sorry for lack of clarity and 10 people after the modkills oh, you're right 10 is 7 and 3? 2 shot town is 5 and 3 town lynches koshi or bresh 5-2 if it's bresh that brings it to 4-2 then kosh nah man, your math is off I think
oh.
hmmmmmmmmmmmm yep it wouldn't be auto
|
yo can we lynch marv instead lol
|
On February 09 2015 01:57 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:53 Eden1892 wrote:On February 09 2015 01:51 Eden1892 wrote:On February 09 2015 01:50 batsnacks wrote:On February 09 2015 01:47 Eden1892 wrote:
Wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute.
10 people left. 2 shot scum vig 2 other mafia.
Scum shoots 2 town. 4-3
Town lynches scum. 4-2
Scum shoots 2 town. 2-2 scum wins.
This doesn't make sense anymore It does if breshke got lynched... which he does without the vig claim. Nah. For one I'm not sure Breshke was getting lynched over Koshi d2. For another even if he were, you shoot to put town in LYLO in that situation all the time As an addendum I think if Breshke is mafia vig, there is no way he becomes the lynch d2. Koshi would absolutely be sac'd if needed to keep that 2nd shot. The resistance to killing Koshi + decision not to put town in LYLO if Breshke is getting lynched just doesn't add up Well, you're right here, it's true. No way mafia doesn't hard-buss koshi to protect their mafia vig. But at the same time, the safer play is not to rely on the town to get koshi lynched, I'd think? I don't know. I think we're just going to have to approach bresh like any other player and forget the claim, cause I can see it either way.
I don't see how we can forget it though. There has to be a pretty compelling reason for him to shoot his partner. I really don't think that happened
Imma be honest I'm on board the bats hypetrain. Dude has played to his town meta 100% and then claims cop with a scan that makes perfect sense with his reads so far.
What if the mafia forgot to send in an RB target?
|
On February 09 2015 01:59 rsoultin wrote:lol i'm sensing a desire to claim bragging rights here, senpai xP bats, input?
absolutely
my ascension is at hand
|
On February 09 2015 02:00 batsnacks wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 01:59 justanothertownie wrote:On February 09 2015 01:58 batsnacks wrote:On February 09 2015 01:57 Eden1892 wrote:
yo can we lynch marv instead lol Either one is okay imo. Same outcome. breshke can't shoot and do factional kp in the same night can he? Usually mafia players can use their role and carry KP. If this is true we need to lynch breshke. I am all in on my marv+breshke theory.
Ugh I would much rather lynch someone whose flip will tell us something. If Breshke flips town we all feel like donkeys
|
On February 09 2015 02:02 LightningStrike wrote:
Man this game is so reminding me of Metal Mini when I got to MYLO but lost......... I don't want to repeat losing as VT twice in MYLO.
Kill this guy what the fuck
|
Let's check off all the warning klaxons
- In the middle of a heated discussion about what the PR claims mean, this post says nothing about them.
- The post also makes no attempt to discuss anything else meaningfully.
- The post presumes a mislynch today but does nothing to discuss targets to prevent it
- The post claims VT again for basically 0 reason
|
it's weird to me how LS is uncharacteristically confident with his reads, until a surprise claim happens. then suddenly he doesn't know what to do at all, a sentiment that others have said he expresses as town.
almost like he no longer has perfect information informing his reads because of the claim...???
on a scale of "touch your toes" to "kiss the sky" how far am i reaching
|
On February 09 2015 02:15 justanothertownie wrote:
Where is HF in all of this?
is he in the UK rn? i have found the sleep schedule i derived for him absolutely bizarre if he isn't in the Pacific/East Asia
sorry for making excuses for him but that's my guess
|
let's try this.
does anyone see a good reason for Palmar to have been the choice of medic dodge besides "marv is mafia and was afraid he'd come around eventually"?
think about how well this played out for marv, Palmar mysteriously dies and no one can really explain why, Palmar tr'd marv before he died so marv is clear town because Palmar read him town
i understand it's not obvious logic and it relies on a couple of assumptions, but truthfully what isn't at this point? and does anyone have anything more plausible?
|
On February 09 2015 02:20 justanothertownie wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 02:18 Eden1892 wrote:On February 09 2015 02:15 justanothertownie wrote:
Where is HF in all of this? is he in the UK rn? i have found the sleep schedule i derived for him absolutely bizarre if he isn't in the Pacific/East Asia sorry for making excuses for him but that's my guess It is like 7 pm for him and the lynch is in a few hours...
IF he's in the UK. that's why I ask b/c this game he disappears around this time and doesn't come back until a pretty obscene hour for being in the UK (something like 3-4am)
|
|
|
On February 09 2015 02:22 justanothertownie wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 02:20 Eden1892 wrote:
let's try this.
does anyone see a good reason for Palmar to have been the choice of medic dodge besides "marv is mafia and was afraid he'd come around eventually"?
think about how well this played out for marv, Palmar mysteriously dies and no one can really explain why, Palmar tr'd marv before he died so marv is clear town because Palmar read him town
i understand it's not obvious logic and it relies on a couple of assumptions, but truthfully what isn't at this point? and does anyone have anything more plausible? Ok, more tin foil hat: IF Breshke was scum then scum knows there are some blue roles hiding. Maybe they thought Palmar was blue. Otherwise I don't really have a good explanation.
Well if Breshke is town even, medic dodge needed anyway. So maybe they thought Palmar was blue and didn't want just to shoot Breshke in the event of medic dodge.
Still though I feel like with Palmar being possible lynchbait (he WAS in a lot of POE lists at varying times of n1), you at least try to ML him and then work out his claim if it comes
|
On February 09 2015 02:24 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 02:22 Holyflare wrote:
It's still possible it's framer/gf/goon and they medic dodged breshke which makes marv v likely mafia Actually no it makes marv the opposite ignore me
why does it make marv anything?
|
On February 09 2015 02:30 rsoultin wrote:Show nested quote +On February 09 2015 02:28 Holyflare wrote:
Still brings you full circle to him ccing miller which is why i kept reading him town regardless of everything else. first hour day 1, ccing miller, just doesn't seem like an optimal scum play in the slightest
Not picking on you rso, but since you're not the only one saying it...
Why wouldn't mafia claim miller in that spot?
|
On February 09 2015 02:35 marvellosity wrote:
....
HAAAAAAAAAAI
![[image loading]](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/2/22/Kirby_Wii.png)
|
|
|
|
|
|
EPT
