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Newbie Mini Mafia LXI - Page 8

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jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 15:29 GMT
#1451
The reason why I didn't vote till late is because before I went to work, I wasn't able to read through Ely's filter. The night before literally had me up to 230. I can't read through the thread at work. I get back an hour or two before EOD, which is when I got back at the end of D2. I could have voted either Ely/SIlver there but I didn't think doing that without going through Ely's filter again was fair to either person.

You can spin my switch on them however you like, but I explained why I switched.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 15:40 GMT
#1453
I swear Shining lol

D3

You can spin that major point by Trf to make me look scum. That is fine. I agree, I can be made to look scum that way. I still think that point was a major aspect of his case.

As for my cases on you guys: I still think you guys are freaking town. Yes I was trying to go back and see who I would be most suspicious of post flip. I was most suspicious of zlefin with you at #2. Yes I add caveats to my arguments, but that's how I make arguments. I literally do the opposite of what you do. I try to look at everything and play devil's advocate. As for the rest of your argument, I'VE PLAYED THIS GAME WITH YOU 3 TIMES.

It really bothers me that people get scummed for making jokes. Like it really does lol EVERY FREAKING GAME.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 15:45 GMT
#1454
As for your last case Shining on my defense of D1.

The reason I'm referring to meta with you is because we have played in these games together. You have not seen scum JarJar so you cannot be sure how I will act. However, referring to my behavior as 100% scum when you have seen me do the exact same thing before multiple times is flat out wrong. Worst case scenario it should be seen as around 25% or the odds that I RNG'd scum. My problem with it is that you take it to 100% scum, hence selling your case and not being honest.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 15:59 GMT
#1456
On February 23 2015 00:46 Palmar wrote:
why would a townie not be honest in his case on you jjb?


lol in my rage I have definitely thought of that

Reasons for Shining to scum me this hard:

1: Paranoid town looking for someone else to scum when the person is lying right in front of them.
2: Is scum and is preparing the next target.
3. Has an ego and wants his case to be better than Trf's
4. Actually thinks I'm scum.

Sadly, I think 1,3, and 4 are legitimate reasons for him doing this lol Now the whole adding details he knows is wrong?

#1: Could still be a thing here, maybe he is worried we are all set in our ways and thinks this is the only way to change our votes. These details could sway say zlefin, but Trf? I don't think so. Granted I know myself more than Trf, but he's been in all my games as well.

#3: Doesn't affect it, if no one catches these details his case looks stronger and he can try to earn MVP award.

#4: I'm copying and pasting from #1 "These details could sway say zlefin, but Trf? I don't think so. Granted I know myself more than Trf, but he's been in all my games as well."
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 16:17 GMT
#1458
I went back to my first game on here: 5 pages of filter. If you would like me to post specific instances than I will do so to give you less work to do. If anything, I made more jokes in that game and called myself dumb, a noob, contradictory, and scummy multiple times even though I was town.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/474146-newbie-mini-mafia-lx?user=jarjarbinks

I would post specific quotes but there's so many to choose from. Shining was alive the entire time and I believed killed me EOD D3 to lose the game. He obviously was looking through my filter because he was town as well.

Trf not so much. Died D1.

I know posting meta is super not cool but I think this helps my defense lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 16:33 GMT
#1459
Grabbed my second game if you were curious why I only posted my first (only 6 pages I died N2 as tracker):

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/475036-student-mafia-v?user=jarjarbinks

I'm doing the same things (altho I think I called myself stupid less on this one), the beginning was pretty hilarious actually if you want to discuss it after game that's cool.

If it helps you understand me, my strategy before the game even started was to ask more questions and to make less jokes to appear more town lol

If I was you trying to judge me based on those games:

1. My filter is longer here.
2. I've tried to call myself stupid less.
3. Proportionally I've made less jokes for some odd reason lol

If you would like to ask me about these be my guest. If not, look at my actions. I was an outlier D1. I waffled on Trf on D2. You can make a case on my reads saying that I should have improved from my last games.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 16:40 GMT
#1460
I need to take a break for a few hours. I'll be back with plenty of time before EOD today to answer whatever questions come up lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 22:28 GMT
#1474
On February 23 2015 03:03 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 23 2015 00:10 jarjarbinks wrote:
Your defense to her posts didn't help too much, because in our last game where you were scum, you attempted to hardcore defend yourself after being copread by LS. Hence the initial vote.
I have a few minutes.

But what the heck is this? That defense was a complete and total joke. I was obviously mafia, I was obviously getting lynched, I was just trying to cause confusion.


That was my point? lol Based on your defense (or confusion spreading, sorry if that's what it was), I could see you making a much bigger defense here since you were in a better position.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 22 2015 23:07 GMT
#1477
On February 23 2015 07:45 Palmar wrote:
jarjar who is the mafia tomorrow?


lol there won't be a tomorrow!

You are showing that you are trying, which draws confusion. After some analysis you go ahead and sheep shining's read because it is your only way out from getting lynched. And don't even think I missed that feel question from you before you decided to finally vote for me. You were definitely checking to see if I thought about voting shining, so you can change the way you are making your reads.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 00:59 GMT
#1513
Sorry Palmar thanks for trying to help us instead of giving up on us. I hope to play with you again sometime!
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 01:08 GMT
#1514
I know I look super bad and probably will end up in lylo. Please help me clear suspicion with whatever questions you have. Being that lylo mislynch is seriously the worst.

Shining, I know I'm in your tunnel vision. Please spend your time on other guys too instead of just me. What if your reads on me are wrong?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 01:12 GMT
#1515
I'll be back in the morning. I need a break from this lol I'll try to find something that has some value for us tomorrow.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 13:17 GMT
#1539
I don't have much time for anything right now... I should be back hopefully 2 hours before EON to get some stuff done on here.

My list as of now (Highest are town and lowest are scum):

1. Trf
2. Shining
3. JJB
4. Zlef

I'm hoping I find something later that either changes this, or makes me more confident in pizking Zlef.

Zlef, where did you get your percents from?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 22:21 GMT
#1546
Hey zlef.

Did you give up on your table? You stopped adding points somewhere around the end of D2 and haven't really added or subtracted points since then. Did you decide its not worth it? Did you decide %'s are a better way to go?
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 23:18 GMT
#1550
On February 24 2015 07:47 zlefin wrote:
I think it was a useful tool for early on, to help organize my thoughts, but it's not necessary anymore as there's few enough people to track it in my head fine.


I can see that. I find it a little suspicious that you end up stopping the table idea around the same time it appears that you are trying less, but your explanation does make sense.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 23:54 GMT
#1551
I don't think many of you guys find this helpful, but hopefully something in this will help you find the right guy:

Final Verdict: The most town looking to least based on votes is shown below. I admit I spinned zlefin's posts because I was least sure of them. In all honesty I would probably switch Trf and Zlef here but I'm trying to not be biased.

Shining- Switches his votes the most which shows flexibility. He often had his votes in the upper half of the voting pool which shows that he isn't waiting around to see the temperature of the thread.

Zlef- Probably the hardest to analyze vote wise. His first vote is for survival which is null, His D3 vote for Tere/Palmer makes him look good, but everyone had pretty much decided to lynch Tere/Palmar anyways. D2 vote was just early enough to be in the top half.

Trfel- D1 vote hurt him, while D2 voting helped him. D3 voting hurt him where I think it should have helped. I think he was more bent on Tere than the rest of us.

Me- outlier D1 which is bad. bottom half of the votes D2 which is bad. I also dinged myself for D3. Palmar voted for me and is dead (although with limited data Palmar's dead votes don't bear much weight)

Reads analysis to come after N3. I'm going to guess I won't be killed tonight because I'm prime for mislynch bait.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 23 2015 23:56 GMT
#1552
Let me know if you have questions about that as I dive. I think this one will take much more time. I should be around for a while.
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 24 2015 00:27 GMT
#1556
Shining: I'm really glad you kept playing despite really disliking replacements! I'm sure we'll get to play again sometime!
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 24 2015 01:24 GMT
#1563
Sorry guys, this read analysis is taking me forever. On page 6 of zlefin.

Honestly I think both NK wifom and lych WIFOM are worth more than people credit for. I don't think it's 50/50. Although some people generally have better reads than others. With no real vet exp on Shining, I would have to think that there's a better chance that he was killed for his reads than to draw confusion.

That super long case on me sure has me looking awful here lol
jarjarbinks
Profile Joined December 2014
569 Posts
February 24 2015 01:47 GMT
#1569
While I do think that it is much more important to make your own reads here, I don't see how it would be a bad idea to defend yourself Trf. If you are town, defending a weak case against you could prove to your town partner that you are town.
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