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Season of the Witch Mafia - Page 8

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 18:31 GMT
#1779
Also if people could put down deadline votes so we could see transitions in thoughts it would be great. The game is slowly coming to a close and forcing stances gets especially squeamish for scum.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 18:49 GMT
#1790
geript what are your reservations right now?
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 18:52 GMT
#1796
Like, in this setup, if the cop claims a check on you as scum, the only move you can feasibly make is counter claim cop. There's nothing else you can do.

And that's what ritoky is doing here. Damdred claiming red check on ritoky and him counter claiming is a much more simple and more probable scenario than the convoluted ritoky was cop, scumteam saw they were separately checked by oracle and cop at the same time and saw that they needed to preemptively counterclaim first. That's like quite the stretch.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 19:00 GMT
#1806
On September 13 2014 03:59 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 03:56 raynpelikoneet wrote:
lol @ zero mafia voting for me on D1.
Damn you guys were bad.

If you don't actually read me right this game Rayn we are going to lose.

Less time squabbling, more time explaining reservations in detail please.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:15 GMT
#1905
yamato, me and rayn had the late night conversation that one time talking about it. I think it's just how he plays.
On September 10 2014 14:49 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
Not once does it look like anywhere in your filter you considering that you've been very very wrong on your two strongest reads. Like you aren't surprised that they are town.

You should also stop thinking like this because that's not what i ever do.
They claimed. Unless cc'd they are town. There is no reason to go "oh damn.. hmm hmm.. what to do!?!?? i was wrong woe on me! need to find something else, but i am sad because wrong".

it just doesn't help. I make a decision and move on.

I feel very much so of LoneMeow being mafia over geript. Dude has a 1 page filter, and hasn't posted a single thing all day. Yet he found it pertinent to make the deadline vote last night so it's not like he got bored and forgot about the game. Whereas geript is here in thread, and trying to figure stuff out.

So it's Koshi / Oats , ritoky, and LoneMeow for me. That makes most sense.

slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:18 GMT
#1908
Also geript, if you are trying to figure stuff out, forget about slips and potential plays and whatever. Just look at behavioral analysis of their D1 and D2, see if their checks make sense / their play is in line with the checks they received. I think that might be more helpful - looking big picture instead of trying to dig at specific posts.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:20 GMT
#1911
HaruRH's plan was a convoluted idea to get more town KP. While I think it is not good, I don't think it's necessarily makes him scum.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:21 GMT
#1912
On September 13 2014 06:19 yamato77 wrote:
we should lynch ritoky and see what happens tonight

I think this is best right now. Hit ritoky, and try not to leak any more blue infos.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:23 GMT
#1916
On September 13 2014 06:21 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 06:20 slOosh wrote:
HaruRH's plan was a convoluted idea to get more town KP. While I think it is not good, I don't think it's necessarily makes him scum.

It doesn't make him mafia. It makes him more town.

Yea that's my inclination too, but I don't think pushing that line is gonna convince geript.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:25 GMT
#1918
Like, if HaruRH was mafia, he would have to be incredibly ballsy to push something like that when the whole town is on his side already.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:26 GMT
#1919
On September 13 2014 06:25 raynpelikoneet wrote:
nothing will probably convince geript before the game ends

Nah I have hope for him. I mean I thought nothing would convince me otherwise that you / Damdred was scum D1 but here we are.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:32 GMT
#1924
On September 13 2014 06:30 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2014 06:20 slOosh wrote:
HaruRH's plan was a convoluted idea to get more town KP. While I think it is not good, I don't think it's necessarily makes him scum.

Except that it doesn't. There's a 50% chance of increasing KP. One that is gg if there is a misshot. It's 3-1 at best. Without a 4 person soup it's likely a win.

Hence my description of "convoluted" and "not good". I didn't bother doing the math since at face value it seemed whack, but it doesn't feel very scum oriented. Of course that could be confirmation bias at this point since I already believe HaruRH to be town, so you may be right in that it is not helpful.

So I'd just point back to behavioral analysis.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 12 2014 21:33 GMT
#1926
Like, geript I'm here to help. If you want another perspective on a post or event, or just someone to do the legwork, I can do some of that. Specially since I got a town read on you and the next day will still be important.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 13 2014 19:30 GMT
#1935
I think we are just waiting to see if scum get the yolo soup off tomorrow.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 15 2014 18:20 GMT
#1955
Like ignore claims altogether? It's most powerful to do it now since we have only 1 scum left and the most townies we will have, and the least information for scum. Claiming today is much stronger than claiming tomorrow.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 15 2014 18:22 GMT
#1956
But we aren't necessarily mass claiming. You either trust rayn that he knows what he is doing and follow, or you call him scum and get people to lynch him. I'll stay mum now.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 16 2014 00:58 GMT
#1966
LM who do you think is scum and why?
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 16 2014 04:03 GMT
#1970
I'm assuming it's because yamato refuses to claim?

And I'm assuming yamato thinks rayn is mafia because he doesn't understand how this claim plan is foolproof?

And LoneMeow continues to do nothing all game?
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 16 2014 04:05 GMT
#1971
Like, he has posted 1 post per cycle. It also explains why there has been a distinct lack of epic souping or even moderate level of souping.
slOosh
Profile Joined October 2009
3291 Posts
September 16 2014 17:03 GMT
#1998
Then I am doing a good job disguising my role? Sheesh.

I am not either judge / crusader.
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