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On May 21 2014 12:04 Cephiro wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 11:56 Yell0w wrote: The problem is there are multiple scum factions, you could both be scum and not know it. I have no idea because I rolled town, but I would assume that the goals of the multiple factions do not overlap, at least not by much. It is also not certain that all of the 4 other factions are pro-scum, but it is likely there is more than one. I think it's very possible for there to be a pro-town faction, or some sort of win with town faction. All other factions are anti town. That's confirmed.
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On May 21 2014 12:06 Cephiro wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 12:04 sqrtofneg1 wrote: @Ceph, I disagree on your case. I think bunnies is mafia. However, I don't think you're mafia. Although it's a bit strange you went straight for her, I think you're town. I would, however, like to see what your reads are, other than bunnies. All my wat. I think she is mafia. You disagree but think she is mafia?? All I can say is CHUPAZI. Whoops, typo EBWOP: I think bunnies is town.
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On May 21 2014 12:04 sqrtofneg1 wrote: @Ceph, I disagree on your case. I think bunnies is mafia. However, I don't think you're mafia. Although it's a bit strange you went straight for her, I think you're town. I would, however, like to see what your reads are, other than bunnies. EBWOP I think bunnies is town.
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On May 21 2014 12:07 Tehpoofter wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 12:04 sqrtofneg1 wrote: @Ceph, I disagree on your case. I think bunnies is mafia. However, I don't think you're mafia. Although it's a bit strange you went straight for her, I think you're town. I would, however, like to see what your reads are, other than bunnies. You disagree and think shes mafia? Why do you think that or was this a typo? What do you think of yellow I think yellow is town. I explained my read on him a bit back: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/440546-golden-sun-the-lost-age-mafia-djinn-edition?page=32#631
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That hesitation. I don't like it.
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On May 21 2014 12:12 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 12:09 thrawn2112 wrote:On May 21 2014 12:09 Holyflare wrote:On May 21 2014 12:08 thrawn2112 wrote: holyflare I need you to clear something up for me sup are you town? ya 3 minutes to say 'ya'. I don't like it. ##Unvote ##Vote: Holyflare
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I shall go to bed now. Ciao.
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Okay, good morning people. 15 pages of talk while I was away. Time to get reading.
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Okay, here's my new reads/changed reads:
I'm not sure of the tambo push, I originally read tambo as town, but I'm not sure right now. BKQ I don't like. Marv I like. Xat is my top town atm. Steve I like. Cav I don't like.
As always, ask me to explain if needed.
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On May 22 2014 00:45 OdinOfPergo wrote: So some thoughts so far.. I'll try to keep in order as much as possible... but as I just skimmed like 50 pages that might be hard.
This whole RNG stuff. It's pointless, it was pointless from the start.
My few conclusions I'm going to take away from this are: BH is probably scum. Not as a baseless OMGUS, I'll explain. BH has literally no filter. None at all. I'm not saying I'm in-tune with how BH does his RNG thing people were saying was popular with him. But BH's filter consist of: Let's RNG Odin. No serious guys, let's do it. Guys? Why we no voting for Odin? Ok screw RNG then I'll just call Odin scum. You know the guy who's posted.. not a single time. How did this a RNG roll evolve to a scum read? I mean it's been almost half of day one now and I'm still the only read he has in the game atm. Okok, I lied a bit there. He wanted someone to shoot Geript iirc too. So my conclusion to his filter is: -Useless RNG talk -Filler post -Weird call for a shot on Geript (Dude's an ass? who knew! Geript you horse you.) -Impossible evolution of a scum read on Odin ##Vote: Blazinghand
The Steve/Holy/MZ whoever else arguement was pretty weird to me too. I don't think Holy is scum atm. I'm not particularly partial to Steve's spam. 1/10 post he's made amount to anything to me. That worries me. MZ also had a few post I didn't like around this time. But he shares a lot of the reads I have now. So not sure if I just didn't like them because of the context, or because they were bad. I'll have to read his filter later to decide.
I'd be fine with Vale lynch. All the reasons already said by other people. I'm totes a sheep if he becomes the lynch.
The whole Ceph case on ninjabunnies reads really awful to me tbh. I mean I get what he's saying. But I have no idea why he believes that to be the case. You're basing your top scum read on "she didn't respond the way I expected town to respond." "she didn't think like I think a town should of thought" I mean your case isn't wrong per say. But it is very bad. Consider the player list of this game. If you don't understand why someone responded/acted towards something you were trying to lay a trap for... Umm I guess you might probably just go ahead lynching 1/3 of the player list. Conclusion of your case means I should of been mislynched in 95% of the town games I've ever played. Because I never make any sense..
Moving along, Bunnies case on Thrawn is stupid and bad. But it's not her fault really imo. If I had never played with Thrawn I'd probably be suspicious of him too. I mean this is probably why I'm eerie of Steve right now. His play so far isn't something I'd call super for town. But I have no idea what Steve's play looks like period.
Anyway, /end wallpost. I'll be around for a short while before bed. Hopefully I'll be up again early enough to chat with people before work. Why would you be okay with Valenius lynch? Any original reasons?
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On May 22 2014 00:46 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On May 22 2014 00:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Okay, here's my new reads/changed reads:
I'm not sure of the tambo push, I originally read tambo as town, but I'm not sure right now. BKQ I don't like. Marv I like. Xat is my top town atm. Steve I like. Cav I don't like.
As always, ask me to explain if needed. Why don't you just explain everything? Why wouldn't you? Too big of a game. Too many people talking, this is like triple of what I'm used to. Information overload.
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On May 22 2014 00:49 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On May 22 2014 00:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Okay, here's my new reads/changed reads:
I'm not sure of the tambo push, I originally read tambo as town, but I'm not sure right now. BKQ I don't like. Marv I like. Xat is my top town atm. Steve I like. Cav I don't like.
As always, ask me to explain if needed. explain to me how you've arrived at ^^^^^^^ after stating this: Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 09:08 sqrtofneg1 wrote: My reads so far:
Jampidampi - Mafia. Bunnies - Town. Yellow - Town. Koshi - Town. BH - Town, but I don't like his RNG thingy. Holyflare - Mafia.
I will explain if asked to explain, there's so many people, I'm too lazy to write everything up. like all your reads have changed with not much talking about that in between ??? I don't get it?
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On May 22 2014 00:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Okay, here's my new reads/changed reads:
I'm not sure of the tambo push, I originally read tambo as town, but I'm not sure right now. BKQ I don't like. Marv I like. Xat is my top town atm. Steve I like. Cav I don't like.
As always, ask me to explain if needed. BKQ: smurf + hydra. Bad feels.
Marv: On May 21 2014 20:05 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 19:59 Xatalos wrote:On May 21 2014 11:34 geript wrote:On May 21 2014 11:09 Tehpoofter wrote:On May 21 2014 10:57 geript wrote: @Snooglewoogle. I need the blessings of ABBA to shoot Marv. Please make the appropriate sacrifices. Do you actually think Marv is scum or you just doing it cause he disagrees with you on slam? If you think scum is Slam and you shoot marv because you think hes cockblocking the lynch on slam that would be the most asinine play ever. Shoot who you think is lock scum lets find someone else scummy. What do you think of BKQ/Velanius/layabout? Marv I don't think would cockblock on a null read like this if he were town. More likely he'd ignore me and let me develop it. Not a 100% on that but his push on Xat early was for pretty awful reasoning. Like if Marv were town and has that "it's enough for now" line, he'd be far more willing to entertain a good outside lynch. Plus, he has done nothing to make me think he's either town or scum, which means he cares about how he comes across which is far more likely to be mafia Marv. I think geript is very likely town and this post is a good example. It's weird that marv would vote me for little to no reason (claiming it's "good enough" lol) and then defend Slam like this. marv: how is this post by geript terrible? (To be clear: marv probably isn't a good D1 lynch, since as scum he's forced to maintain some level of activity and leave behind clues about his scummates - and if he's town he's obviously too valuable to lose to a lynch - but I'd say I'm not getting any townie feeling from marv yet and so I'm slightly leaning scum) Marv I don't think would cockblock on a null read like this if he were townYes, I obviously would if he was pursuing it in a very irritating way More likely he'd ignore me and let me develop it.He wasn't developing the read, he was ranting at town to vote for confirmed scum. Not the same. Not a 100% on that but his push on Xat early was for pretty awful reasoning.The reasoning was fine, you made multiple posts on the non-topic of day 1 lynches being decided by connection voting and stuff. There's a reason I didn't vote for you the *first* time you made such a post, but after about the 3rd time you reiterated the same fluffy crap. Go check your own filter and when I voted for you. Go on. Like if Marv were town and has that "it's enough for now" line, he'd be far more willing to entertain a good outside lynch.Totally baseless Plus, he has done nothing to make me think he's either town or scum, which means he cares about how he comes across which is far more likely to be mafia If I cared about how I looked, I'd be looking a lot better than how I do now, I have many, many scumgames and I am never viewed as suspicious early on in any of them... because I pay attention to how I come across! The entire point he's trying to make is completely self-defeating... So yes, basically the entire post is wrong or bad in some way. A defensive post, but it's good. Town vibes.
Xat: Just look at his filter. He's town.
Steve: He's been active, he's town.
Cav: I've played 1 game with him. Meta read.
Again, if you ask, I shall explain with more detail.
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On May 22 2014 00:55 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On May 22 2014 00:50 sqrtofneg1 wrote:On May 22 2014 00:49 Holyflare wrote:On May 22 2014 00:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Okay, here's my new reads/changed reads:
I'm not sure of the tambo push, I originally read tambo as town, but I'm not sure right now. BKQ I don't like. Marv I like. Xat is my top town atm. Steve I like. Cav I don't like.
As always, ask me to explain if needed. explain to me how you've arrived at ^^^^^^^ after stating this: On May 21 2014 09:08 sqrtofneg1 wrote: My reads so far:
Jampidampi - Mafia. Bunnies - Town. Yellow - Town. Koshi - Town. BH - Town, but I don't like his RNG thingy. Holyflare - Mafia.
I will explain if asked to explain, there's so many people, I'm too lazy to write everything up. like all your reads have changed with not much talking about that in between ??? I don't get it? the only people you've talked about are one liners etc saying "bunnies town" "yellow town" but then they've all disappeared from your list of towny people and you have a new list of completely different people that you haven't mentioned in your filter really at all I should have clarified, these are additional reads.
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On May 22 2014 02:13 Onegu wrote: Ive requested to be replaced out, first game off the banlist not a good start. But with the miltary haveing declared martial law and now protesters gathering close to my home and I am afraid fighting will start my anxiety is through the roof and Im unable to concentrate.
Anyway sorry. Stay safe.
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On May 22 2014 02:46 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On May 22 2014 00:56 sqrtofneg1 wrote: Xat: Just look at his filter. He's town. I'm happy that you feel this way, but this isn't very specific. How exactly am I obvtown? These are great indicators:
On May 21 2014 06:44 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 06:37 Tehpoofter wrote:On May 21 2014 06:33 Xatalos wrote:On May 21 2014 06:31 marvellosity wrote:On May 21 2014 06:30 Xatalos wrote:On May 21 2014 06:26 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:On May 21 2014 06:23 Xatalos wrote:On May 21 2014 06:20 Meapak_Ziphh wrote:On May 21 2014 06:15 WaveofShadow wrote:On May 21 2014 06:12 Steveling wrote: [quote]
Sold.
##vote: holyflare Lol now I'm honestly debating whether or not to seriously push this. If he's scum nobody's gonna lynch the guy so as much as I'd feel bad not letting him play, mebbe somebody shoot him or something just to remove all doubt? I understand where the bolded logic comes from, in a normal game he wouldn't be lynched right away because scum wouldn't hop on the wagon. However in this game the same rules don't apply since there are more factions. I think it's very possible to see zero opposition wagons happen on scum. That actually adds a pretty interesting element to the game. Connection speculation is less useful - or more precisely said more complicated. I agree that's it's gonna be more complicated which is why I'd rather not use it as a heuristic for a D1 lynch, after we see a few flips we can start speculating again but right now I think it's more distracting than useful and we should focus on simple behavior based scum hunting. Yeah, it's going to be very difficult to decide today's lynch based on voting patterns etc. Since when are Day 1 lynches ever decided on voting patterns? What is this nonsense? For example, in a normal game it would be suspicious if everyone's votes just piled on one wagon. It's unlikely that he would be scum. With multiple factions things like that aren't as clear. Just cause multiple factions doesn't mean scum still won't hop on a wagon. Anyone pushing this logic is silly. They may be less likely but still likely to do so their win con is still to lynch non-scum so they will gladly lynch any faction... Pushing this further is scummy. Of course there will be scum on almost any wagon. It's just that connection speculation (bussing, speed of wagons forming, etc.) are a bit less reliable than they usually are. It should be more useful to focus on individual scumminess for now.
On May 21 2014 19:59 Xatalos wrote:Show nested quote +On May 21 2014 11:34 geript wrote:On May 21 2014 11:09 Tehpoofter wrote:On May 21 2014 10:57 geript wrote: @Snooglewoogle. I need the blessings of ABBA to shoot Marv. Please make the appropriate sacrifices. Do you actually think Marv is scum or you just doing it cause he disagrees with you on slam? If you think scum is Slam and you shoot marv because you think hes cockblocking the lynch on slam that would be the most asinine play ever. Shoot who you think is lock scum lets find someone else scummy. What do you think of BKQ/Velanius/layabout? Marv I don't think would cockblock on a null read like this if he were town. More likely he'd ignore me and let me develop it. Not a 100% on that but his push on Xat early was for pretty awful reasoning. Like if Marv were town and has that "it's enough for now" line, he'd be far more willing to entertain a good outside lynch. Plus, he has done nothing to make me think he's either town or scum, which means he cares about how he comes across which is far more likely to be mafia Marv. I think geript is very likely town and this post is a good example. It's weird that marv would vote me for little to no reason (claiming it's "good enough" lol) and then defend Slam like this. marv: how is this post by geript terrible? (To be clear: marv probably isn't a good D1 lynch, since as scum he's forced to maintain some level of activity and leave behind clues about his scummates - and if he's town he's obviously too valuable to lose to a lynch - but I'd say I'm not getting any townie feeling from marv yet and so I'm slightly leaning scum)
On May 21 2014 22:11 Xatalos wrote: I kind of like Cephiro's point on ninjabunnies - about how ninjabunnies doesn't apparently consider the possibility of Cephiro being scum when Cephiro pushes him:
"If you don't consider me as mafia, you shouldn't be voting me.
The only reason outside of you considering me as mafia for why you would vote for me is this: you want to get a read on me via my reactions to your voting on me to see if I react poorly or more town favored. This is only used if you don't have a read on me from what I've previously posted."
It's a bit of a weird thing. Is it even a scumslip? Hard to say. Probably not. Still something that bothers me a bit.
Definitely town. He's legitimately trying to figure out this game.
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On May 22 2014 02:48 kitaman27 wrote: The Doctor, Harry Potter, and The Batman are not impressed. Is this an inside joke? I don't get this.
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On May 22 2014 02:54 marvellosity wrote:Show nested quote +On May 22 2014 02:54 sqrtofneg1 wrote:On May 22 2014 02:48 kitaman27 wrote: The Doctor, Harry Potter, and The Batman are not impressed. Is this an inside joke? I don't get this. These are main, "good" characters in mafia games on TL that have actually been mafia. Oh, got it.
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On May 22 2014 03:07 geript wrote: I'm am summoning my inner Plammer. Lynch all claims. Start with BH. He isn't quite as fun to lynch as VE but sacrifices must be made. Also I called it like early on. You claimed vig.
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Valenius, I would like to see your take on this.
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