EPTHogwarts Mafia - Page 4
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
On October 22 2013 02:06 syllogism wrote: I've many very probability town reads that makes it extremely likely that this pool of inactive players has at least one mafia, probably two (bh,stutters,yamato). I'm not going to go through every town read I have. Alright, that is a fine reasoning. And I don't need to know your townreads, it's irrelevant for the moment. What I want to know is if you have this pool of 4 players you want to lynch in which let's say has one mafia (decent possibility.) That's a 25% chance of hitting scum on players you have almost no information on. On the other hand.... We have hufflepuff, and assuming you believe the cop claim to be town and true (not messed with, even though I'm sure there's at least 1 scum in hufflepuff), you have 4 valid targets in hufflepuff as well. That's a 25% chance of hitting scum on players you have a shit ton of information on. Why is the previous better than the latter? | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
On October 22 2013 02:08 Hopeless1der wrote: Elaborate please. Matt actually provided me with what I wanted. (Reads on the other three persons in his house). I found it extremely useful. He also thinks optimal play is to lynch in hufflepuff right now. He says if that's what people think, he's up for being lynched as well. (This was mentioned in a small manner enough to make me believe it was a genuine opinion of optimal play rather than martyring.) I'm baffled how so many people are even considering lynching somewhere else than hufflepuff. But yes, that and assuming Storr's claim is true, and the beforementioned reasons on Grack leaves me only you and holy. Holy with worse play in general, but you're not being useful right now when it's needed the most. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
##vote Hopeless1der | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
On October 22 2013 02:25 Holyflare wrote: If he wasn't even considered in a lynch of course he's going to say whatever you want to hear. His play has been ridiculous and i had no idea how people had town reads on him until he actually explained himself for his posts which was really shit explanation like i said before but made him look more towny. Apart from that his play was really bad. Storr is definitely town and i believe his claim, he ws quizzing people about his reads in the qt and he was pushing people. I raged at hm because he was asking everyone for town reads non stop and not actually hunting for the people that could be scum. This is the same as mattchew. Storr at least did dive after this, mattchew only echoed his points. Grack... Has done like.. Not much either and hopeless skewed pandains filter to ignore grack. I would be happy lynching any of those 3 or bh, yamato, stutters ANYONE that fucking sits back and doesn't contribute so we can actually find scum. Why do you say my play has been bad? Bad was short for *insert case why Holyflare looks scummy*. After koshi reminding me of your role and making me read through your filter in the QT, I also remembered that many of the reasons why I thought of your play as scummy were because they were assumed on other players you had interacted with to be of a certain alignment. With the information available now, those reads have changed and your play looks much better in my eyes. (Better = Less scummy, more towny.) Bad wording perhaps, but I hope that clears it up. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
Don't just look. READ. And understand. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
I really hate this TL "Meta" where every townie wants everyone to claim. Like seriously wtf. Why does claiming make someone more or less town in most situations? It doesn't. It only does that when deducting certain combinations of night actions for example. And it makes easier for scum to fish for roleclaims when every single townie wants to hear every freaking lynch candidate to claim. It's ridiculous. /endofrant. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
On October 22 2013 02:32 Hopeless1der wrote: I'll be back around 30 minutes to deadline again. Someone consider how Ceph has gone from Matt->Holy->me. I don't want to lynch within Hufflepuff, but Holy's got my number on not giving Grack enough of a read to have an informed opinion. It's all in the thread. You've clearly read it but choose to waste others time by painting it as something unexplained. Die, piece of hufflescum. Then gryffindor and hufflepuff may be with each other again. Also: Still looking for two lovers. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
If I understood correctly, he claims his night 1 action was to put a cop check potion on Toad, and he got no results since toad died and was unable to chug the potion. (Irrelevant anyway due to the flip.) Does anyone else see this as incredibly coincidental if we had a tracker that was aware of his night actions? I smell an easy lie here. More likely he just went and shot or killed Toad. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
I believe it is unlikely that mafia would have killed toad on purpose, it seems quite a bad trade to make to start with. What could have happened however there are role re-directions or something else that could've messed with things. I suppose I can wait to hear Sn0's explanation and lynch a lurker today, but I really don't like this.. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
So that claim is absolutely bullshit is it not, or am I missing something again? @Sn0: I'm trying to figure out things still, I'll tell you if I have something that you may find useful. For now there are only some things in my role which make me even more suspicious. | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
Palmar is confirmed town (dead). If we trust Storr_Zerg's housecheck, that leaves us 1 scum in: Mattchew, Grackaroni, Hope, Holy. Matt seems to be considered town amongst hufflepuff. If we take Matt out, that leaves only three. Personally based on Grack's posting as things such as Pandain trying to get him to add him in a masonry if he had one makes me personally lean town, probably some others also. Which leaves Hope/Holy | ||
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Cephiro
Finland1934 Posts
On October 22 2013 03:36 Sn0_Man wrote: Presumably since IBP died he didn't get the potion. Which makes me think that hopeless would still have the potion but I really don't know. Ur so secretive about ur role  I am fine with revealing you more with my powers soon enough if you live and things go smoothly. I won't do that today however since I am a bit concerned that one of my lovers might be scum. | ||
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