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GoT Mafia: Lords and Liars - Page 126

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
August 12 2013 22:07 GMT
#2501
Well if Risen flips town we should certainly revisit Sharrant. But it's insane to kill Sharrant at this stage.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18216 Posts
August 12 2013 22:10 GMT
#2502
On August 13 2013 06:17 Clarity_nl wrote:
@ acro, you just described his town meta (or at least, this is how he was in titanic)

I'm also curious why johnny is lynchbait

Anyway, gnight

I think Ser Wup is lynch bait, because I think he's a loyalist, yet the minutes of our meeting are filled with cases explaining his rebellious intentions. Most of them are trumped up bullshit and some are somewhat okay, but I hardly think they're conclusive (or I wouldn't think he's a loyalist of course). The more he responded to them, the more people seemed convinced he is a Blackfyre, despite his responses actually sounding sincere. Also in our private missives I have no reason to suspect him.

But we should hear from him soon, he is catching up and will hopefully speak up soon.
Xatalos
Profile Joined January 2011
Finland9675 Posts
August 12 2013 22:13 GMT
#2503
Going to sleep now but I have to add that I actually feel better about Acro now. I can definitely see him being town. This scumhunting competition felt way too townish to fake so easily.

As a reminder, absolute priority should be to kill jrkirby. He's the scummiest lurker by far. Then Risen, Vivax and Kush should be looked at very closely. Without forgetting Ace, Acro and rayn of course.
"The opportunity to secure ourselves against defeat lies in our own hands, but the opportunity of defeating the enemy is provided by the enemy himself." - Sun Tzu
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
August 12 2013 22:57 GMT
#2504
gettin' softpushed by scum 24/7
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
August 12 2013 23:01 GMT
#2505
On August 13 2013 05:33 Chromatically wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 12 2013 18:40 Dandel Ion wrote:

On August 12 2013 17:04 Oatsmaster wrote:
Fucking vet shield.

Agreed.
That's actually why I told chrom to shoot the scum slot last night, so that this could be avoided.
At that time I didn't know there was a list
On which the hyperlurker wasn't even on. For no discernable reason.
I blame the maker of the list.


Dandel can you explain why you thought/think Nacho was scum and should be shot above the other semi-lurkers?

because he was perfectly able to play in other games (offsite) during d1, and couldn't have forgotten about the game since he voted n0.

Yet he never bothered to post here.

Which pretty much translates to him being a classic scum flaker.
A backwards poet writes inverse.
jrkirby
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States1510 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-08-13 03:40:38
August 12 2013 23:03 GMT
#2506
Edited by request.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
August 12 2013 23:04 GMT
#2507
not sure if trying to confirm slot as town
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Dandel Ion
Profile Joined November 2010
Austria17960 Posts
August 12 2013 23:04 GMT
#2508
On August 13 2013 07:13 Xatalos wrote:
Going to sleep now but I have to add that I actually feel better about Acro now. I can definitely see him being town. This scumhunting competition felt way too townish to fake so easily.

As a reminder, absolute priority should be to kill jrkirby. He's the scummiest lurker by far. Then Risen, Vivax and Kush should be looked at very closely. Without forgetting Ace, Acro and rayn of course.

why risen over snb?
A backwards poet writes inverse.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
August 12 2013 23:14 GMT
#2509
what are we doing ITT?
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1833 Posts
August 12 2013 23:49 GMT
#2510
You all caught up ace?

Hows your pms with rayn going? Do you think sharrants claim was bs?
ATOBTTR
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
August 12 2013 23:53 GMT
#2511
ya ace wtf you better be all caught up
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
August 12 2013 23:54 GMT
#2512
On August 13 2013 05:10 s0Lstice wrote:
Rayn, describe your PMs with Acro please

I asked him if Pberyn had contacted him (at that point Oberyn had promised to contact all the lords and had shown no interest in contacting me, so i asked all the lords about it).

He asked me about SnB.

I told him:
"The whole SnB/Clarity/Oats thing smells fishy. There is something that does not add up. I am talking with SnB atm to figure out what´s up."

He said SnB has been clariying things to him, but he doesn´t fully agree. SnB thinks Oats is town but Acro does not agree with it. He asks me about my thoughts on using a HP-check.

Me:
"HP check this early on helps mafia more than it does help town. Mafia is in control of KP (besides house lords), if we reveal some house HP, mafia can direct their KP more accurately. As this is a KP/HP game i assume at least most of the people have more than 1 HP, and mafia has > 1 KP, probably even > 2 KP.

Do you think HP check is a good idea now? Why?"

(then Oberyn PM´s me that Acro is gonna probably use the HP check)

He says he is weighing pros and cons of a HP-check. Not sure if he uses it. Accuses me of "witch hunt".

I tell him:
"If you are going with your plan, go for it. Whatever happens will give us information about you and others. But i am gonna tell you it´s probably gonna be bad.

I am willing to reconsider my stance if you are willing to tell me the plan."

That´s it.

On August 13 2013 06:15 Acrofales wrote:
The disgraced lord Raynpelikoneet is a Blackfyre.

It first got my attention when he was excessively pedantic over a small mistake I made. Even accounting for differences in Common between the Iron Isles and the Reach, it was clear to everybody else that I had simply confused matters, yet Rayn went on and on and on WITHOUT a point:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 04:42 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On August 09 2013 04:36 Acrofales wrote:
On August 09 2013 04:33 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Quote me please Acrofales. Where ever i give an opinion on Grack?

Nowhere? Stags, Krakens, Lions, it's all the same to me. I'm here to catch Dragon pretenders.

Then what do you mean by this:
On August 09 2013 04:22 Acrofales wrote:
On August 09 2013 04:13 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Acrofales do you think Grackaroni is mafia?

All I know about Grackaroni is what you have told me, which is not conclusive at all. How am I to form an opinion without more information about your internal bickerings over there on those godforsaken isles?

?????

There was no point to be made. He wasn't protesting his innocence. He wasn't catching me out on something that could come from a Blackfyre, he was just being pedantic. While not necessarily indicative of being a Blackfyre, there is clearly no loyalist motive for being so pedantic and sidetracking the conversation, so he had perked my interest.

My next discussion with him was what made me really made me suspect him, and everybody already knows about it, but I will repeat it in different words, just to make it clear, again. Here is my earlier speech, from the archives, and I suggest you read it:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 08:11 Acrofales wrote:
On August 09 2013 07:57 johnnywup wrote:
Acro, I'm confused. What are you talking about? Keep in mind the rest of the thread can't read the PMs between you two.

Okay, here's what happened. Not being able to cite from my Maester's records is really complicating this matter.

I told rayn that we were having a discussion in our house about the use of our healing magic and asked him what he thought was the best use of it. In particular, my original question mentioned that it seemed risky to use, as had been emphasized to me by both the Red Viper and Sharrant: if the information falls into the pretenders' hands, they will be able to better use their armies, whereas the advantage for coordinating our own swords seems secondary to this.

Rayn answered with a similar observation, and seemed suspicious of WHY I thought it might be advantageous to use now. I answered that I initially had thought that it could be useful to coordinate our loyalist swords in order to not overcommit on any particular Blackfyre suspect. But I emphasized that the risk was greater than the reward. I also made an allusion to the plan concocted by Sharrant, the Red Viper and myself to perhaps catch Blackfyre scum using our magics, but this plan relies somewhat on secrecy and I am not divulging its workings in public.

This post triggered the initial outburst in the thread, where rayn basically called me out for being a Blackfyre myself based on my supposed will to use the magic immediately. After I recognized what he might have misinterpreted in my original answer, I offered him an olive branch, pointing out what was probably the root of the misunderstanding and thinking I might have overreacted with his "misrepresenting my words".

His response to that was that he would back down from his accusations if I told him about the plan. I don't take well to being blackmailed, and I certainly don't think blackmailing someone is a loyalist attitude. I am now convinced he is a Blackfyre infiltrant who is desperate for this information that might put a stop to their dastardly plans.


A brief summary: he offered to back down from his accusations if I gave him information that could potentially hurt the Blackfyre cause. The details of the plan are irrelevant, because neither he, nor I, knew the "plan" had been posted in public hours ago by this point. He was trying to strongarm me into giving information that a loyalist would not need, nor want. The obvious reason is because he is a Blackfyre

Since then I have been gathering evidence:

Careful probing of Baratheon politics
Raynpelikoneet is very happy to meddle and probe and fiddle and try to figure out what is happening, but at no point does he draw any conclusions. Nowhere does he mention anything about whether anything that happened in Baratheon was a Blackfyre plot. Here are his posts, it is a running commentary, with some slapdash questions: if anything, he is trying to figure out what happened, not whether there were questionable motives involved:
+ Show Spoiler +

On August 08 2013 23:28 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Koshi did you replace in before or after Dandel replaced out?

(in NWM, not this game)

On August 08 2013 23:46 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Solstice and Chromatically, could you comment on this DI/Koshi thingy? Which side of this do yout interactions with them support? Or is it something else?


On August 09 2013 06:11 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Yeah Solstice´s logic is really fishy.


That last post is his "conclusion". It is about as stand-offish and non-committal as you can get, just waiting for other people to voice their opinion. When they do, he is finally ready to voice his opinion:

Show nested quote +
On August 10 2013 01:25 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Okay, we need to start deciding stuff soon.

iamp, i am okay with your proposed shot. Lord KP should be used to vig lurkers, at least on N1.
How many of the lords do we want to vig a single target? 2? more? For me 2 seems fine.

As for lynch targets, so far i think:

Solstice - I called his thought process fishy earlier. This is what i meant. Solstice does not want Dandel to be a lord. He says, when Dandel is town, he probably does good stuff as a lord. When he is scum, he will most likely out himself. Then he doesn´t want to elect Dandel, because he can´t be sure if he is town. I don´t like that, at all. By Solstice´s thinking, he should definitely elect Dandel and noone else. It will give him a near 100% read on Dandel, as he himself said. Why does he not want to immediately figure out Dandel´s alignment? Later on he says that "Dandel will out him either way". Has he? I see no mention of Dandel´s alignment by Solstice after that.

<snip>

Remember guys! I was the first to call his logic bad. I didn't draw any conclusions at the time, but now that all of you think he's a Blackfyre, I am ready to support that. Just remember that I got there first! I will now rehash other people's arguments as if they are my own. Completely unconvincing. Also note the lack of a vote. About as non-committal a way of calling someone a Blackfyre as I have ever seen.



The Stark suspicion
Concurrently with the clusterfuck that happened in House Baratheon, the Starks were spilling their dirty laundry as well. Once again, Rayn is very careful to skirt the fray without diving in:
+ Show Spoiler +

On August 09 2013 01:31 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 01:23 Clarity_nl wrote:
On August 09 2013 01:22 Chromatically wrote:
What sort of reaction were you hoping for, clarity?


If he were town he would be genuinely upset that his plan got ruined (he was, and early plans are crap anyway)
If he were scum he would go "dang, you ruined my plan, oh well"

Something along those lines. He did the former, obviously.

What was the point of intentionally ignore SnB questioning you about your lie, multiple times as he said?
What kind of reaction you were hoping for? And how did REDACTED act? Does he come townie to you or what?


On August 09 2013 01:43 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 01:34 Clarity_nl wrote:
On August 09 2013 01:31 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On August 09 2013 01:23 Clarity_nl wrote:
On August 09 2013 01:22 Chromatically wrote:
What sort of reaction were you hoping for, clarity?


If he were town he would be genuinely upset that his plan got ruined (he was, and early plans are crap anyway)
If he were scum he would go "dang, you ruined my plan, oh well"

Something along those lines. He did the former, obviously.

What was the point of intentionally ignore SnB questioning you about your lie, multiple times as he said?
What kind of reaction you were hoping for? And how did REDACTED act? Does he come townie to you or what?


I think he's town, yes. Although not for his reaction to what I said.
Thought he was scum for a little bit but that changed. Also not because of his reaction.

So yeah that part was kinda fruitless. Got a real strong townread on snb though.

On August 09 2013 01:23 Clarity_nl wrote:
On August 09 2013 01:22 Chromatically wrote:
What sort of reaction were you hoping for, clarity?


If he were town he would be genuinely upset that his plan got ruined (he was, and early plans are crap anyway)
If he were scum he would go "dang, you ruined my plan, oh well"

Something along those lines. He did the former, obviously.


It's not much of a plan if I just tell him straight away "oh I'm fishing for a reaction from you"

You didn´t really answer me. If you are doing a reaction test you will know he will call you out for lying. You MUST have an answer to that (for reference see what i did in NWM N1) before it happens.

Also when doing reaction tests in off thread comm games you basically gotta have a back up. Someone you tell what are you up to before you do it. Without that reaction tests are either stupid or scum. Mafia can after every mistake they make say "oh, it was just a reaction test", and everyone should believe them? So what was your intention during this whole thing that went on N0 in your place?


On August 09 2013 01:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Can these other reason be told in thread SnB?
If they somehow prove Clarity is town we are wasting time in this because this in my opinion does not 100% prove Clarity is scum. At least yet.


On August 09 2013 02:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
SnB, Clarity and REDACTED:

Why can´t you just tell what the reasons for REDACTED is to think Clarity is town?
You are pushing the issue under the carpet after making such a scene out of it first. Why is that?


On August 09 2013 02:44 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 02:41 Clarity_nl wrote:
On August 09 2013 02:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
SnB, Clarity and REDACTED:

Why can´t you just tell what the reasons for REDACTED is to think Clarity is town?
You are pushing the issue under the carpet after making such a scene out of it first. Why is that?


I'm sure REDACTED will be here at some point and if I'm in danger of being lynched he'll probably share it.
Assume he didn't have a read on me, would you want to lynch me?

If i wanted, i would be voting for you. I do not know, that´s why i am trying to focus on other stuff. I am missing a part of information i fell is important to have a better read on you. Someone can give me that information but 3 people are refusing to do so. It´s retarded.

What do you think of FT & Onegu?


On August 09 2013 02:54 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 09 2013 02:50 Oatsmaster wrote:
Ok so im REDACTED in SnB's conversation with clarity.

So events happened like this.

I was talking to clarity, and he told me SnB's rolename out of NOWHERE. Ok. So I asked him for his rolename. And he declined giving reasons like, 'scum can bluesnipe rolenames'. Which sounds like crap to me. But whatever.
Eventually, I decided to fakeclaim 1 shot rolename alignment check because he wouldnt tell me his rolename. After I said that, he gave it up willingly. I then came back and pm'ed him that the result was that its a fake role name. Fakeclaim. Which means he is scum. He then said something along the lines of 'ok dude' And nothing else. So that makes me think he is town cause he doesnt have an overt reaction. I dunno. Thoughts guys?

I read all of this and i´m like wtf?
I am clueless..


There are some more, but they are just more of the same

Of particular interest are the one that I bolded in red, and the last one. In both, he desperately wants someone else to take the lead and TELL him what to think of this. My conclusion from reading Oats' response was: I see no reason for Clarity to do this as a Blackfyre. It is at worst, a null tell. Oats' weird reaction test seemed more like it came from a Blackfyre motive, although none of it is very conclusive. But what struck me as weird is Rayn wants people to tell him what to think. If someone else thought it was suspicious he could then easily jump on the wagon.




Chasing lynchbait

In my humble opinion, johnnywup is the most obvious lynchbait in the thread. Rayn spends a lot of time going after him. In fact, it is the only suspect he has not yet recanted on. But he did forget about who his suspects were...

Show nested quote +
On August 12 2013 00:35 raynpelikoneet wrote:
I don´t think yamato is town, and all my scumreads basically claimed blue..

Show nested quote +
On August 12 2013 00:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
besides johnnywup..


Making suspects up on the spot? Hell yeah. Checked that tickbox. The suspects are SO real that he forgets about them!




In closing, Rayn is a Blackfyre pretender, and we should kill him tomorrow.

I don't really know what to say.. You accuse me of not reaching into conclusions? Fuck you, you are the guy who posted a bit before the deadline "Where is my vote at". I have been drawing conclusions, just because i do not tell them in thread instantly and push them all the time does not mean i do not have them. You clearly do not know how i play and you are trying to discredit me from something i have not done. I was the main person to push lynches on D1, when i was a lord. Me and iamp discussed lynches and Lord KP use, nobody else gave shit about that before ~2h before the deadline. On D2, there is no reason for me to tell my thoughts. Why would i? I have no vote, yamato is getting lynched and nothing is gonna change that. Why do you need to hear my thoughts? Don't worry, you will hear them on D3 from me or by proxy. You can be sure of that. The lynchbait thing is ridiculous. I hate hate hate everytime someone brings up the lynchbait thing. Being a lynchbait as town does not fucking make you town. If you can prove me johnnywup is town please do so. HOW CAN YOU FUCKING DISCREDIT ME POINTING OUT SCUMMY BEHAVIOR WHEN YOU DON'T EVEN KNOW IF THE GUY IS SCUM OR NOT? Or do you?

On August 13 2013 06:35 Xatalos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2013 06:28 Clarity_nl wrote:
YOU CAUGHT ME IM STILL HERE

Erm.. He spammed. his filter was like 45 pages or something.
He theorized about conspiracy's (like this game)
He focused on little inconsistencies even if they are explained somewhere in the thread (like this game)
He asked peoples opinion on stuff without giving his own (like this game)

He's town or he emulates his townplay extremely well as scum.


CONFIRMED SCUM LURKING ON PURPOSE

Hmm. Well, he shouldn't be a priority kill but he should be put under some heavy pressure. He has focused on all the wrong things so far, I agree with that.

Fuck you. Seriously fuck you. Who are you to say i have been focused on wrong things? Do you know the unflipped players i have been going after are town?

Tell me, what should i focus into then?

This sounds JUST like in Titanic when i wanted to lynch scum!FT on D1, wanted to lynch him D2, pushed him really hard, just to get scum!Corazon to tell me "you have been wrong all game" and everyone in town licking his balls when i mislynch on D3 because of FT TOWNSLIPPED AND RAYN IS SO FUCKING WRONG ALL THE GAME!!
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
August 12 2013 23:57 GMT
#2513
On August 13 2013 08:49 s0Lstice wrote:
You all caught up ace?

Hows your pms with rayn going? Do you think sharrants claim was bs?

Are you going anywhere with these questions? You have been the definition of lurker in D2.
table for two on a tv tray
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1833 Posts
August 13 2013 00:04 GMT
#2514
Xatalos unsettles me.

D3 wagon of justice talk on acro, and then an eyeblink later he is getting talked into acros target.
ATOBTTR
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
August 13 2013 00:05 GMT
#2515
On August 13 2013 09:04 s0Lstice wrote:
Xatalos unsettles me.

D3 wagon of justice talk on acro, and then an eyeblink later he is getting talked into acros target.

Exactly my thoughts. Also with reasoning that´s full of shit.
table for two on a tv tray
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1833 Posts
August 13 2013 00:07 GMT
#2516
On August 13 2013 08:57 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2013 08:49 s0Lstice wrote:
You all caught up ace?

Hows your pms with rayn going? Do you think sharrants claim was bs?

Are you going anywhere with these questions? You have been the definition of lurker in D2.


Yea read dude. Obviously I wanna know how acros read on you evolved, hence the pm question. I also wanna know pretty much anything from ace as he has had ample time to catch up and...you know.. do something.
ATOBTTR
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
August 13 2013 00:09 GMT
#2517
Okay, Ace has not PM´d me after N1.
table for two on a tv tray
s0Lstice
Profile Joined August 2009
United States1833 Posts
August 13 2013 00:14 GMT
#2518
I don't think I like the new ace : /

Yea tho xatalos is due for a read through. Bout that time to be checking through town reads when the game starts to feel weird.
ATOBTTR
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
August 13 2013 00:20 GMT
#2519
Xatalos why is johnnywup town?
table for two on a tv tray
kushm4sta
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United States8878 Posts
August 13 2013 00:20 GMT
#2520
kush scumreads 1.0 (probably all wrong)

yamato
xatalos
sharrant
OMGUS.net, kush sex blogs every friday night
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