EPTNone of this stuff makes sense from town point of view.
Titanic Mini Mafia! - Page 179
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
None of this stuff makes sense from town point of view. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:32 hzflank wrote: CJS, can you see a likely scenario where FT is town? There is a possibility where mafia has no roleblocker and CJS is a GF. If that´s the situation their guise will fall apart sooner or later. | ||
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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:32 hzflank wrote: CJS, can you see a likely scenario where FT is town? I'll have to get back to you on that one...didn't FT go after XRC hard in the beginning? It would all have to come down to interactions between the two to see if they are scumbuddies or if XRC actually had a town read on FT at that moment in time. FT is still #3 on my lynch list. He's below Koshi (#1) and Stutters (#2). | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:33 raynpelikoneet wrote: There is a possibility where mafia has no roleblocker and CJS is a GF. If that´s the situation their guise will fall apart sooner or later. I know, but from CJS's point of view he knows he is town. I mean, if Exar is town then the following people are town (from CJS point of view): Exar hzflank Rayn Clarity CJS That is 5 confirmed town. There are only 5 other players of which 2 would be scum. Sorry to make a list again but to make it clear. Oats Stutters FT Koshi JAT | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:37 raynpelikoneet wrote: All i am saying is that if exarezee is town he just threw the game with his incredibly stupid D3 actions and we should lynch him for that. I agree. But... If we can say that the 100% only reason that scum-Exar would possibly do what he did if FT is also scum then we probably get better odds by lynching FT today instead of Exar, no? If it is not possible that Exar is scum and FT is town, but the opposite is possible, then it makes more sense to lynch FT imo. | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
Clarity because scum have a roleblocker. CJS and Oats because of scum not having a GF. exarezee lynch is the best we can do today. Believe me guys. | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:39 hzflank wrote: I agree. But... If we can say that the 100% only reason that scum-Exar would possibly do what he did if FT is also scum then we probably get better odds by lynching FT today instead of Exar, no? If it is not possible that Exar is scum and FT is town, but the opposite is possible, then it makes more sense to lynch FT imo. If exarezee was protecting his scumbuddy from getting lynched that dude he was protecting was CJS and not FT, as he himself pointed out. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
However, due to the great risk of scum claiming cop I do not think it would of been a good play to save GF-Cora. Saving RB-FT would of been better for scum as if the Roleblocker flips then Clarity is town. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:41 raynpelikoneet wrote: If exarezee was protecting his scumbuddy from getting lynched that dude he was protecting was CJS and not FT, as he himself pointed out. Well we do need to ask ourselves why Exar would of pulled that if he were scum. Was killing Mal and risking himself worth saving the GF? | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43211 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:42 hzflank wrote: Well we do need to ask ourselves why Exar would of pulled that if he were scum. Was killing Mal and risking himself worth saving the GF? Because in that case mafia has no roleblocker and their only role is GF-Corazon. There is no reason to protect a roleblocker that does not exist. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
Also, CJS voted for Mal quite early and pushed it a bit. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:44 raynpelikoneet wrote: Because in that case mafia has no roleblocker and their only role is GF-Corazon. There is no reason to protect a roleblocker that does not exist. Even still, is that worth the risk? Saving the RB would of been worth it not only because they save the power role, but also because they prevent Clarity being confirmed town. Saving the GF does not prevent anyone additional being confirmed town unless they know that the cop will soon check the GF. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
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Stutters695
2610 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 03:53 IMCaptainJackSparrow wrote: Are you guys actively thinking about scenarios where Rayn and XRC are both town or are you just slipping more and more into confirmation bias? Well, I can only do one thing at a time. First I am making sure why I think XRZ would do what he did as scum. Then I am going to look into what it means if XRZ did what he did at town. | ||
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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
On August 03 2013 04:00 hzflank wrote: Well, I can only do one thing at a time. First I am making sure why I think XRZ would do what he did as scum. Then I am going to look into what it means if XRZ did what he did at town. Well I am glad that you are going to look into both sides of the argument. | ||
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