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FirmTofu
United States1956 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:28 Alakaslam wrote: Hz, which town do you want to info lynch, assuming the impossible that we both are? If you do not answer people will know you are scum. Hzflank has not said anything that implicates him as scum. Please do not antagonize him further because it will only hurt your case on Onegu. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:27 FirmTofu wrote: Yeah, but we don't have to sacrifice the townie at all. Lynching Onegu gives us more information than lynching Alakaslam. If Onegu flips town, we lynch Alakaslam. If Onegu flips scum, we lynch his "best town read" If Alakaslam flips town, we lynch Onegu. If Alakaslam flips scum, we are back to square 1. No. If someone claims for Onegu and we lynch Alaka who flips green then we lynch Onegu and his best town read. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:27 FirmTofu wrote: Yeah, but we don't have to sacrifice the townie at all. Lynching Onegu gives us more information than lynching Alakaslam. If Onegu flips town, we lynch Alakaslam. If Onegu flips scum, we lynch his "best town read" If Alakaslam flips town, we lynch Onegu. If Alakaslam flips scum, we are back to square 1. Did he actually say who that was? No, because 1. It would give away his lie or 2. He would be revealing a blue role. So snip what I bolded, because it's not true. Don't care if it helps my case, I want my case to win obviously but we need truth and clarity. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:28 Alakaslam wrote: Hz, which town do you want to info lynch, assuming the impossible that we both are? If you do not answer people will know you are scum. I have not yet decided. There is a lot of new information to digest. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:30 FirmTofu wrote: Hzflank has not said anything that implicates him as scum. Please do not antagonize him further because it will only hurt your case on Onegu. Yes he has, but I will stop because you are also right. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
If (IF IF IF, dont ignore this IF) Onegu is set to be lyched, then someone may or may not claim that they visited Alakaslam last night. If someone does not make that claim then we lynch Onegu. If someone does make that claim then we lynch Alakaslam. If the claimer was telling the truth then Alakaslam flips red. If the claimer was lying then it is 100% confirmed that both the claimer and Onegu are scum, so we lynch then on days 3 and 4. That would probably leave us at 3 town and 1 scum remaining. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:31 hzflank wrote: I have not yet decided. There is a lot of new information to digest. Ok. You could very well be town I think. So what I just put is irrelevant. You could still be scum but until that one thing my gut sai town for you. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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jrkirby
United States1510 Posts
 God this game is getting so interesting! | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:34 hzflank wrote: Let me put this simply: If (IF IF IF, dont ignore this IF) Onegu is set to be lyched, then someone may or may not claim that they visited Alakaslam last night. If someone does not make that claim then we lynch Onegu. If someone does make that claim then we lynch Alakaslam. If the claimer was telling the truth then Alakaslam flips red. If the claimer was lying then it is 100% confirmed that both the claimer and Onegu are scum, so we lynch then on days 3 and 4. That would probably leave us at 3 town and 1 scum remaining. You are town. This is awesome, you have done what I was trying to think of how to do. Epic, I don't mind if I get lynched now but PLEASE folks don't be OMGiS like me. | ||
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FirmTofu
United States1956 Posts
Lynching Onegu gives us more information than lynching Alakaslam. If Onegu flips town, we lynch Alakaslam. If Onegu flips scum, we lynch his "best town read" If Alakaslam flips town, we lynch Onegu. If Alakaslam flips scum, we are back to square 1. Assuming each event has equal probability, we can rank these outcomes from most preferable to least preferable. (1) Onegu Flips Scum -> We get a strong lead to work with for a lynch on Day 3. By the end of Day 3 we will have 2 scum dead. (2) Alakaslam Flips Scum -> We are back to square one. By the end of Day 2 we will have 1 scum dead (3) Alakaslam Flips Town -> We get confirmed scum Onegu lynched on Day 3. By the end of Day 4 we will have 2 scum dead, but will have lost one town member. (4) Onegu Flips Town -> We get confirmed scum Alakaslam lynched on Day 3. By the end of Day 3, we will have 1 scum dead but will have lost one town member. Our choices are to either choose the set (1,4) or to choose the set (2,3) As mentioned before, the set (1,4) gives us more information in the long run, so would be a more optimal decision. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:35 hzflank wrote: That would lead to a day 5 lylo at 2 town 1 scum. What is that please? | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
Lylo = Lynch correct or lose the game. | ||
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FirmTofu
United States1956 Posts
On June 28 2013 15:36 jrkirby wrote: God this game is getting so interesting! I envy you and all the observers >< ESPECIALLY CHROMATICALLY!!!! | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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FirmTofu
United States1956 Posts
Your argument seems to be that a blue claim may come out to save Onegu from a lynch today. I respectfully disagree. Based on current information, a scumbuddy of Onegu's would never come out and guarantee his own demise the following 2 days(along with Onegu's). It is completely irrational. Scum should cut their losses at Onegu and force us to scumhunt to find the last few of them. | ||
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Alakaslam
United States17336 Posts
That is not what I asked you what would lea to Lylo? I need to know how badly I need to defend my case | ||
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