Newbie Mini Mafia XXXIII - Page 5

On December 24 2012 08:58 OmniEulogy wrote:
hahahahahahaha

On December 24 2012 12:53 cakepie wrote:
Well, this is not a pretty state of affairs. We have failed to trade effectively early, and our lead in numbers, and more importantly, in activity have taken big hits. I do not see any remaining room for mislynching -- even one-for-one trades are not going to cut it now.

Aqua, Syl:



I take issue with "100%" being thrown around so carelessly again.
Thoughts on this, and on Chromatically in general?

On December 24 2012 13:15 Sylencia wrote:

My top suspect now goes back to Kick who was my 2nd choice in the previous day, this is due to his uncharacteristic lurking, which differs completely from his normal playstyle.

On December 24 2012 13:22 cakepie wrote:


Your vote was absolutely not required on the Omni wagon. Why did you not find a better use for it, if this is all you had to say about the way the lynch was headed?

On December 24 2012 13:50 Chromatically wrote:
Here's my thoughts on the next lynch:
I think that shz is scum. However, I was also very confident that Spag and Omni were scum, and they weren't. In addition, by lynching them, we've lost 2 potentially helpful townies. I don't like the possibility of having another mislynch on another semiactive townie, leaving us with a higher and higher lurker:active ratio. If shz is a mislynch, we are left with a 7 person town with at least 3 total lurkers, an extremely bad situation. Given that there's almost certainly some lurking scum, I feel like the scummiest lurker (Kickstart/FatChunk/Syl) might be a better lynch. On the other hand, I think that shz has the highest chance of flipping scum. I really need to evaluate the risk:reward of lynching a lurker vs shz, I'm not decided yet.

@ Aquanim, Chromatically:
what do you think of the connections that shz seems to be implying?
Can something be built out of that at all?
What about other connections; do you see any that are worth further pursuit and scruity?

I had "found" some Omni-shz connections myself, but held off from posting those knowing well how they can seem stronger than they really are with confirmation bias glasses on. Looking back at this and in the light of the environment in this game, I am starting to doubt the usefulness of such links -- I do not think they are worth much unless otherwise moderately strong cases can be made against both sides using other evidence. Thoughts?

On December 24 2012 04:44 shz wrote:
I did, what I think is a good approach and sumarzied every (living) player. I think there is a lot to learn from this, now bundled, information. I commented sometime, but mostly it is just the information. I will draw my own conlusions from that after this post. I may have overlooked something, so you can of course correct me.

....

I am conviced we will find connections and answers in here.

On December 24 2012 15:59 Sylencia wrote:
Now, for day 3 coming - is it possible for the town to vote based on who they think is suspicious first - with some reasoning, followed by defenses and then switching of votes? I feel that in the first 2 days there were quite a few people who said X was their prime suspect but then voted for someone else because they were the majority. Leaving a suspect out of the firing line is the easiest way scum can get through the lynching phase and gives the enemy absolutely no pressure at all.

On December 24 2012 17:51 Orangeremi wrote:
I'm flabbergasted that Omni turned town. This really puts a wrench in things for me.

On December 24 2012 20:43 Orangeremi wrote:

Chrom's going to come under pressure (understandably) but I do think we need to pressure the less active players come next Day phase. I'm really thrown for a loop right now and don't know what to think. Looking over filters and after recent events I'm stumped