the safest move for scum is probably to shoot hopeless right now, rather than gambling on shooting at the cop and potentially hitting lylo with a confirmed townie as a result. The move that makes them win with the highest % though might be shooting at the cop. I'll be interested to see who flips.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 01:54 GMT

#2887

ok but scum can only fire three times (including tonight) before hitting MYLO. If they miss tonight, then shoot and hit the cop tomorrow night, then they have one bullet left to split between two confirmed townies. I think they kinda have to shoot hopeless1 today if they want to be assured to hit mylo without any confirmed towniest.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 01:55 GMT

#2888

I mean I guess we'll see. I personally think scum's optimal strat is to shoot me, since i'm an incredibly dangerous player. most of you probably disagree, but that's my thought. Whatever scum do doesn't really matter though-- we just lynch scum and win.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 01:57 GMT

#2890

um, ok but like the only "good" nk is the cop, and i sure as hell aint JKing him. all i'm gonna say is, if scum shoots hopeless tonight you gotta be like "oh shoot blazinghand is sexy and right, as always"

All this is irrelevant anyways since scum would have to have some kind of aneurysm to not roleblock me

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 01:59 GMT

#2892

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:01 GMT

#2899

well, time to find the result-crumb. rather predictably, I was roleblocked.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:02 GMT

#2902

we can assume he didn't have a red check on anyone still alive of course.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:02 GMT

#2904

yeah, clarity's right.

also

##vote: strongandbig

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:10 GMT

#2914

yeah he calls hopeless confirmed town coming out of N1 though that could be a reaction to the claim

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:14 GMT

#2919

ok, I can't find a useful crumb from at the start of D2. I guess he checked hopeless. you can also see from his read-list previous here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=16917476

that hopeless is his only scumread during the action resolution period. he could have checked his scumread just to be sure.

In any case, I can't find anything. If someone finds it let me know.

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:18 GMT

#2928

yeah I was RBed both N1 and N2. there's a mafia RB out there just roleblocking me. This is why I figure these questions of "who should BH JK tonight" are kinda academic

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:19 GMT

#2929

for what it's worth, me claiming being RBed PROBABLY means if I'm scum I'm not a mafia RB since it would be effortless for me to just use my power to support my fake claim. Take that with a goblet of wine, but even if it's wine in front of you, some wine in front of you is easier to drink the others

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:20 GMT

#2932

so you can mix that into your setup speculation if you so desire: BH as JK, BH as goon, BH as RB, all possible! no need to use logic, reason, and BH's amazing play to get a read on him

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:21 GMT

#2933

On November 19 2012 11:20 Clarity_nl wrote:

Show nested quote +

ah ok that's what that means, gotcha.

of course I wouldn't really encourage snb's setup-fu when he could be making reads or like at least pretending to act town instead

Blazinghand

United States25553 Posts

November 19 2012 02:31 GMT

#2937

On November 19 2012 11:21 Clarity_nl wrote:
Your insistence on playing will looks so scummy to me, but marv said you're capable of it as town so I'll take his word for it.
Seriously it looks like you're scum with a masterplan, and pride is getting in the way.

wow there is just no pleasing you people is there.