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Your Clothes, Give them to me. [mafia] - Page 21

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:09 GMT
#401
Mannnn I'm be like f5'ing all up in here.
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:11 GMT
#402
Let me just think for a moment. So we're... 4-1 now right?

Mislynch 3-1. Hmm. That means scum don't even have to NK (arguably they shouldn't?) as they would require another mislynch anyway.

Thoughts?
Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:14 GMT
#403
Uh well basically we'll be in a 3-1 lylo, 'cause scum will never have to NK, and Palmar will make us vote eventually. I mean honestly, I think Alan has a good-enough chance of flipping red that I'm willing to take the risk here. And I really don't think it's much of a risk. Then again, I'm not the hammer vote so bleh.

But if you think I'm town (which apparently you do), it should come between Jack and Alan no? Between Jack and Alan, it has to be Alan in my mind.
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:15 GMT
#404
But i mean, say it's Alex and he's just waiting for me to hammer, and then not NK

is that possible? I'm feeling a little lost in the possibilities.
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:17 GMT
#405
I think scum has a significantly better chance at winning the game if he night kills if we accept that Harry Tasker and I are town.

2/3 * 1/2 = 33% chance for him to survive random lynches if he NKs
2*3 * 2/3 = 44% chance for him to survive random lynches if he doesn't NK
Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:18 GMT
#406
Oh sheeeet you just blew my mind. Well... yeah I guess that's possible. Huh.

Gotta think 'bout that some.
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:18 GMT
#407
No wait, it's the other way around
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:19 GMT
#408
Seriously Harry Tasker?
Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:20 GMT
#409
On October 22 2012 09:18 Alex Hesse wrote:
No wait, it's the other way around


Yeahhh was about to say. Well you're not so confirmed town then, but eh, I still think Alan's scum.
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:24 GMT
#410
Well I'll just leave you to figure this one out Harry Tasker. I would probably not have showed up and told people to calm down because we have like 48 hours to decide and this is just an @ if all I wanted was for you to hammer.
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:25 GMT
#411
On October 22 2012 09:24 Alex Hesse wrote:
Well I'll just leave you to figure this one out Harry Tasker. I would probably not have showed up and told people to calm down because we have like 48 hours to decide and this is just an @ if all I wanted was for you to hammer.


I see no reason not to think about all the possibilities right now.
Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:27 GMT
#412
On October 22 2012 09:25 Harry Tasker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 22 2012 09:24 Alex Hesse wrote:
Well I'll just leave you to figure this one out Harry Tasker. I would probably not have showed up and told people to calm down because we have like 48 hours to decide and this is just an @ if all I wanted was for you to hammer.


I see no reason not to think about all the possibilities right now.


Well if we want to think about all the possibilities, I could say that you're playing a sick game with us and taunting us whereupon you'll eventually hammer and flip scum.

But that doesn't seem very likely =P
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:27 GMT
#413
You know if I were scum I could just hammer right now since I've been figured out anyway.
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:28 GMT
#414
Right, but it helps if we make everything clear before we drop hammers, right?

If he's scum obviously we win.

But if he's town, then any of us could be scum still.

agreed?
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:30 GMT
#415
I already told you to take your time.
Douglas Quaid
Profile Joined October 2012
92 Posts
October 22 2012 00:31 GMT
#416
On October 22 2012 09:28 Harry Tasker wrote:
Right, but it helps if we make everything clear before we drop hammers, right?

If he's scum obviously we win.

But if he's town, then any of us could be scum still.

agreed?


'suppose that's fair

keep doing what you're doing - I'll be around if you need some help WIFOMing and what-have-you
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:32 GMT
#417
I probably won't hammer until tomorrow... it's kinda late for me here. And I wouldn't mind hearing more from Alan and stuff.

Also, in the situation Alan was town, scumJack could be pulling a mislynch off on us so easily here. sooooooo paranoid right now :x
Harry Tasker
Profile Joined October 2012
107 Posts
October 22 2012 00:34 GMT
#418
On October 22 2012 09:27 Alex Hesse wrote:
You know if I were scum I could just hammer right now since I've been figured out anyway.


This isn't true because it's in scum's best interest NOT to NK, and you can't hammer now that you've told me I have the hammer.

So I guess if you were scum and Alan was town you COULD hammer, but you'd be putting yourself into the suboptimal position of having to make a NK. Correct?
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:36 GMT
#419
No I think Alan Schaefer is scum. I might even hammer him in a second because I'm impatient. Alan Schaefer's post was at 16:22 which is almost an hour later than he's ever posted (15:33 is the latest) but Ben Richards has posted 4 times within that timespan. Doing the same for Jack Slater and Douglas Quaid reveals that their day2 activity time look a lot more consistent with their filters. Additionally, Ben Richards has never been around at these hours but they're both around right now.
Alex Hesse
Profile Joined October 2012
72 Posts
October 22 2012 00:38 GMT
#420
##Vote Alan Schaefer

And just so you don't have to think hard about it for a while in case he's town, I'm town today.
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