Looney Lynching Mini Mafia - Page 92

On October 18 2012 14:25 Hopeless1der wrote:
I've finally gotten through Austin's case on MMT and I also reread through MMT's djodref case and his defense of me.

Ultimately, I'm currently more town on MMT but unwilling to support a lynch on austin today. I read da0ud as scummy and I also don't think he's a prime candidate for any upcoming NK's, whereas Austin, MMT, VE are all significantly more likely to get taken out by scum (assuming they aren't scum themselves, duh). Lynching da0ud is a better longterm plan for town imo as it cleans out sandroba/ET's read on him and I think it will narrow our reads a lot more than say lynching MMT or Austin. Yes, its scummy to do things for information alone, but then again, why was ON lynched instead of sandroba? People (not me) felt they would be able to tell sandroba from sandroba. Can anyone in this game say the same of da0ud?

I'm revising my votes so that MMT and Austin get my 6/7 spots. I don't want either lynched today because MMT has started to put down some serious effort into the thread (scum motivated or not) and Austin, while tunneling, is still known to post walls of text from time to time. There is also the fact that VE has just replaced in and has yet to properly sit down and take a good look at this game I think.

1-da0ud
2-djodref
3-kushm4sta
4-VisceraEyes
5-Thrawn2112
6-Mementoss
7-Austinmcc
8-Hopeless1der

djodref is up there because in isolation, he's a scummier looking player, but I feel I'm really forcing any connections I make between him and other players. Since I want to hold off on MMT/Austin, after da0ud I'm ranking in the order of who I would care least if they were to go missing. I don't think kush or VE are going to be anywhere close to getting lynched, and I may need to move djodref around to have a better shot at da0ud.

---

Really tired, so I'll lay out the short version of why I want da0ud before I go to sleep:

• Page 2 of his filter - Flipflops and Loss of Conviction
  
• sandroba and EchelonTee read him as scum
  
• His wtf thrawn/thrawn reads for little to no reasoning
  
• He had "great" plans for the potato, but never actually got the damned thing
  
• ON could have been trying to save him by lastminute voting djodref
  
• Suspiciously posts a scum->town ladder before the lynch mechanic is revealed. This just seemed too coincidental to me
  

On October 17 2012 20:53 Mementoss wrote:


The Facts:

1. Original Name
2. EchelonTee
3. Sandroba
4. EchelonTee last minute vote bombs Original Name to put him into the finals

The Theory:

Alright, I want you to pretend you are on the scum team and think from a team planning and chatting in the obs QT while you read this. Looking at day 1 and the facts we have, I think its pretty obvious hopeless1der is town. I thought he was scummy, for his posts, but after thinking of this and unable to answer the question with any confidence I have come to the conclusion he is town.

In the semi finals, Hopeless1der was set to move on to the finals over Original Name until EchelonTee last minute voted him through. Scum could not have foreseen this happening. Therefore scum wanted Hopeless1der in the finals to be against Sandroba . I think this was an attempt to get a guarenteed mislynch. It is the only situation in my mind that makes any sense whatsoever.

If both Hopeless1der and Original Name were scum, the scum team would have had to make a decision, who was less of an asset to their team. Who could they afford to bus? The obvious answer to this question is Original Name. Why? Because Original Name was guarenteed to be a lynch contender for the rest of the game, and would eventually be killed. However, this was not the case, as scum clearly wanted hopeless1der through, until EchelonTee ruined their plan. Do you think if hopeless1der was scum they would send him against Sandroba hoping he could win out? Very doubtful. It woulda been the same sort of case, "well they both look scummy, not sold on either, so lets be safe and not lynch the vet Sandroba ".

If you cannot make sense of this round with hopeless1der being scum, or think of logical (likely) scum motivation for sending Hopeless1der over Original Name. If it doesn't make sense, than it probably isn't true.

Therefore:

Hopeless1der > Hopeless

Now, I need to re-read the Hopeless1der vs Original Name matchup because I think scum was trying to send hopeless1der through to save Original Name.