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Newbie Mini Mafia XXVIII - Page 56

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 05 2012 23:59 GMT
#1101
On October 06 2012 08:58 debears wrote:
I rescind my arguments.
##unvote
##vote shadysands

Got him. Jumped way too easily on that fake scumslip claim

What?

LOL
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 06 2012 00:06 GMT
#1102
Think for a second here, Debears. I've been pushing for a Z-Boson lynch since before anyone even brought him up as a candidate. I've been trying to lynch him for an entire votecycle. Ergo, isn't it completely logical for me to support arguments from other townies that support a ZB lynch?
Что?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 06 2012 00:12 GMT
#1103
My argument was illogical. You jumped on it.
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 06 2012 00:18 GMT
#1104
On October 06 2012 09:12 debears wrote:
My argument was illogical. You jumped on it.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=353315&currentpage=38#745

Finding scumslips in a "if-i-was-scum" statement is exactly how Ange found the first scumteam member in XXII. That moment pretty much saved the town in that game. That's why I agreed with you.
Что?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 06 2012 00:25 GMT
#1105
But how do you explain the lack of a nk day 1? You don't believe his claim? There arent any kind of counter claims of a medix protect or another vet.

You make an illogical statment about his veteran claim and jump on an illogical scumslip.
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 06 2012 00:37 GMT
#1106
On October 06 2012 09:25 debears wrote:
But how do you explain the lack of a nk day 1? You don't believe his claim? There arent any kind of counter claims of a medix protect or another vet.

You make an illogical statment about his veteran claim and jump on an illogical scumslip.

Why would a medic counter claim in this situation, debears? A medic would only counter claim if he/she felt that it was necessary to get Z-Boson lynched over another candidate, and only after spending time thinking about it. Z-B rc'd when there was less than an hour to go before the lynch deadline, and he remains a likely candidate for a lynch today.

Indeed, if a medic counter claimed, it would be poor play, because that would open himself up for an easy NK and without a confirmed red to trade for it. After all, it would be trivial for ZB to claim that even though the medic had saved someone, the hit still landed on him; there would be no way for the third person who was saved to show that he had been saved (especially if that third person was DP or Alsn.)
Что?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 06 2012 00:39 GMT
#1107
Remember that our medic (or jailkeeper) is the most precious resource we have right now, far more so than the cop, since the last mafia is almost assuredly framer or GF. Protecting him/her should be the second highest priority right behind finding the last scum.
Что?
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 06 2012 01:09 GMT
#1108
Since there was no nk n1, and there is no medic claim, that confirms that Z-Bo is town. The only scenario where that is false is one in which mafia did not send in a nk n1. So, based on what has happened so far, Z-Bo is confirmed. His statements make sense. His posts indicate a vet's thinking.

On October 06 2012 07:49 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On October 06 2012 07:15 Z-BosoN wrote:
However, we still have three lynches till defeat.
debears -> shady -> Djodref should seal us the game.
I cannot for the life of me view SDM and RSC as scum right now. If one of you is, well, well played, win deserved.
Now all it takes is for town to put on reality goggles, realize why it is dumb for me to be scum, and seal the deal.

Why are you pushing for lynch trains already when no one on your list has flipped yet? All that does is give scum an easy way to NK people who everyone thinks is confirmed townie to setup the best LYLO situation possible.

On the RCs:

A cop RC is barely worth more than a Mason/Confirmed Townie RC at this point, since it's likely the last remaining scum is GF/Framer.

Likewise, a vet RC is essentially a null tell, because if there is a GF/Framer, there is no reliable way to check ZB. (If there is a GF, Z-Boson might be a false negative; if there is a Framer, ZB might be a false positive).

What seals the deal in terms of ZB's further scumminess is how he thinks Debears and or me are the last medic, and are inviting us to claim. That just smells to me like a blue-sniping attempt.

Remember at this point scum have to kill the medic fast, or else the game is over for them.

Finally, I am deeply dissatisfied with a no-lynch. In a situation where the last scum is trying to stay hidden, no-lynching is exactly what they want since they never have to "put their money where their mouth is" in terms of losing towncred by pushing a mislynch.

I am going to repeat this to everyone: at this point I do not see how you can a) assign any weight to ZB's vet claim or b) view the rest of his filter as anything but scum.

##Vote Z-Boson


Here's the deal though, the medic, if he does not claim, allows Z-Bo to become confirmed town. If he believes that Z-Bo is indeed town, then thats fine. But if he believes Z-Bo is scum, as you think so, then not claiming would allow a scum to hide. See what I mean? After night, the medic should probably claim and give the scum a hard decision on who to shoot on the next night, if the game even goes that long.

debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 06 2012 01:48 GMT
#1109
@SDM

Why did you not vote for me before lynch? You, of all players, should know that we needed a lynch there, especially me, since I came off scummy d1 and have since been at the forefront of attention because of it.

You were there.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 03:46 GMT
#1110
@debears

Do you understand why I'm saying the game is over now ?

For me, SDM and RSC are definitely town. I think that everyone should agree with that. So it makes the last scum to be one of you three.

With the no-kill during N1, a veteran claim makes a lot of sense, unless we have a medic claim on top of that.
But I guess that a medic would have saved DP. So right now we have to choose between you and SS. With only one mislynch left for us. It is still fine.

everyone

Here is my take on what's going to happen.

I'm dead tonight because as cop I can still provide you some info.
If I'm not dead or there is no death. There is a likely to be a medic. But a medic should claim right now to seal the deal imo. In this unlikely case and only then, I would suspect Z-bo again.
So you are starting D4 with RSC, SS, SDM, Z-Bo and debears.
I don't know who to lynch first between SS and debears.

Debears is most likely the last scum but I'm not 100 sure of it.
SS is derailing some much right now that he is a liability for town.

Make your own choice but be sure to lynch someone at least this time
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 03:52 GMT
#1111
On a side note, the first of you two starting to build case on RSC or SDM is the last scum
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 03:57 GMT
#1112
Oops I was typing from my phone and the last part of it was erased.

Let's say you mislynch SS tomorrow.
So at then end of D4, you have Z-Bo, RSC, SDM and debears. Z-Bo is the next to go imo because of the VET claim.
Then we have a lylo with SDM, RSC and debears.

I think it's a pretty easy LYLO situation ^^

The only way of winning for scum is more modkills from Thrawn.

Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:05 GMT
#1113
@Shady

Framer can't frame themselves in this setup. Framer or godfather, the only info we get from the results of my check is.

There is at least one town between Remedy SC and Shady Sands

But as we have only one scum left, this is kinda useless...

The only thing I could hope for is to survive the night and get a red check, to get a 100% town confirmation on both of you.
But it is not going to happen imo.
By the way, I would like to have your input on whom I should check tonight ?

Meanwhile, I'm going to look carefully at SDM and RSC filters again.
debears
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2516 Posts
October 06 2012 04:09 GMT
#1114
@djo

If there's mylo btw me, sdm, and rsc, something really random would have to happen. I would like sdm to address my question though. His refusal to change votes onto me was weird
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:20 GMT
#1115
By the way, here is my take on the roles in this setup:
  • 2 Hardcore Lurker Townies
  • 5 Classic Vanilla Townies
  • The Newbie Scummy Cop
  • The Exasperated Veteran
  • The Troll Goon
  • The Hardcore Lurker Goon
  • The Lonely GodFather


I'm praising the hosts more such a balanced setup. I really liked the Troll Goon role

On a serious note, would you agree with it ?
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:25 GMT
#1116
@debears

True enough, you are most likely to end up lynched tomorrow
It's too bad I won't be here to see you dead

But I would recommend that we lynch SS first if he is not coming back to his sense soon.

What do you think is going to happen ? Please tell me what lylo is going to happen in case of a mislynch D4.
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:34 GMT
#1117
@Shady

Yeah, I would especially like to have your input on this list.

On October 06 2012 13:20 Djodref wrote:
By the way, here is my take on the roles in this setup:
  • 2 Hardcore Lurker Townies
  • 5 Classic Vanilla Townies
  • The Newbie Scummy Cop
  • The Exasperated Veteran
  • The Troll Goon
  • The Hardcore Lurker Goon
  • The Lonely GodFather


I'm praising the hosts more such a balanced setup. I really liked the Troll Goon role

On a serious note, would you agree with it ?


Please take a good look at this list and think about it calmly
Then answer the following questions:

Do you believe my cop claim ? If not, why ?
Do you believe Z-BosoN veteran claim ? If not, why ?
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:39 GMT
#1118
On October 06 2012 13:09 debears wrote:
@djo

If there's mylo btw me, sdm, and rsc, something really random would have to happen. I would like sdm to address my question though. His refusal to change votes onto me was weird


If you are trying to make SDM suspicious, you are doing it the wrong way.
Please come with a full weak case, you scum !
I recommend town to lynch debears for this post. But SS is also a serious liability right now.

The end of D3 was crazy. It was a mistake not to lynch you but it's a perfectly fine because town could afford a no-lynch.
I was also thinking of a no-lynch at this time. I would also like to remind you that we almost had the cop then the veteran lynched yesterday
Djodref
Profile Joined September 2012
France3332 Posts
October 06 2012 04:43 GMT
#1119
Also SDM was pretty sure that Omni was the last mafia at this time. Which is why he didn't want to risk another mislynch I guess.

I would be so happy if debears is the last maf ^^ I've been tunneling him so hard...

@Shady

Forget Z-Boson for a while. What do you think of debears to be the last scum ?
Shady Sands
Profile Blog Joined June 2012
United States4021 Posts
October 06 2012 04:43 GMT
#1120
On October 06 2012 13:34 Djodref wrote:
@Shady

Yeah, I would especially like to have your input on this list.

Show nested quote +
On October 06 2012 13:20 Djodref wrote:
By the way, here is my take on the roles in this setup:
  • 2 Hardcore Lurker Townies
  • 5 Classic Vanilla Townies
  • The Newbie Scummy Cop
  • The Exasperated Veteran
  • The Troll Goon
  • The Hardcore Lurker Goon
  • The Lonely GodFather


I'm praising the hosts more such a balanced setup. I really liked the Troll Goon role

On a serious note, would you agree with it ?


Please take a good look at this list and think about it calmly
Then answer the following questions:

Do you believe my cop claim ? If not, why ?
Do you believe Z-BosoN veteran claim ? If not, why ?

In spite of how useless they are in Mafia, I like lists in general so I'll respond to this.

I believe you are cop, until someone counterclaims.

I do not believe Z-Boson is veteran.
Что?
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