Ange777 ...for all the reasons I've spammed for the last few days
Bluelightz I know marv disagrees, but I'm pretty convinced he's the SK. He's been playing largely pro-town, but slightly off. He seems to be playing not to get lynched rather than only to hunt scum, which IMO is consistent with SK mentality. As I've pointed out previously in my filter, he's not making town reads this game because he doesn't want people to point fingers at him. This could be considered a scumtell, but since Ange is far and away my top read, I believe Bluelightz is the SK.
...and that's it! Zeph seems pretty townie for his mega confirmation bias case against me earlier. Iamperfection seems townie for reasons I have mentioned in the thread ("matter of factness").
GL surviving the night, and I hope we hear from marv in the next couple of minutes.
So this was going to be a longish post, but I fell asleep this evening and I haven't got the energy for it. So here are my thoughts for my death.
Serial Killer
According to our known setup, and I spent some time clarifying some stuff with ghost, TTTMMJV means we have 3 scum and a serial killer. So really Mementoss must be telling the truth otherwise we'd have a setup without a Serial Killer, which is what he'd be hiding.
What I think happened with the night kills:
N1: either SK didn't shoot (no reason to reveal himself N1) or SK and Mafia ended up stacking on BH. I got roleblocked. No other roleblocks were claimed, so Mafia/SK might think there's no jailer. N2: I have massive sway over the town having just pushed the Palmar lynch through. I also decided Hiro was scum during the day, and had strong suspicions of austin for his relations with Palmar. In this situation it'd be absolutely suicidal for scum to hit austin, so I'm going to presume it was the SK hit. I am also going to assume I saved Hapa from the mafia kill, as mafia probably thought they could kill him with impunity, thinking no JK from rb actions the previous night.
Who is scum?
I think Ange is the final scum. Various thinking errors like not seeing my point on austin, iamp at the time of the day 1 lynch, and something else that I forget right now. Hapa also notes her drop off in activity, and has the same scumread for somewhat different reasons, which is reassuring.
That said, it may not be the case. I know it goes without saying, but if you flip Ange and she's town, you need to be considering everybody, even people like iamp, who I've thought was town most of the game, but could be playing a really sneaky game under the radar as scum (I don't think it's the case, but it's possible)
I think Bluelightz is town. Don't know how to explain so well, but the feeling from everything I saw is that he's town. Could be wrong, but I don't think I am.
Who is the Serial Killer?
I have very strong feelings that the Serial Killer is Zephirdd. I would say he is more likely to be Serial Killer than everyone else put together. Mementoss' case earlier kinda read like a SK case to me. My read throughout the game has been swinging on Zeph, which is a tell in that regard. Generally his play seems a bit weird, which points me towards him too. To reiterate, I really think that Zeph is our SK. iamperfection would be my 2nd choice, but he's waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay behind Zeph in my SK reckonings.
What's going down tonight?
The expected turn of events is that Mafia hits me, and SK hits someone else. Both factions have a serious need to start killing off townies after two scum lynches in a row. It's always possible that SK holds their shot for some reason, or SK stacks on me (?) or basically something funky happens, and of course you should consider all possibilities, but I'm going to make the assumption that Mafia is hitting me, and SK is hitting someone else.
I jailed Ange tonight. This means various things. If I survive and someone else dies, it's fairly likely I've blocked mafia KP on to myself. If I die and no-one else dies, it means Ange is quite likely to be the Serial Killer, and the mafia's shot on me went through. If two shots go through, Ange is confirmed town.
The numbers of da Band were beginning to dwindle. The remaining members of da Band were all sitting around a table eating lunch duscussing what they were going to do now that there were only seven of them left. They still had most of the important instruments left in da Band, but they were a shadown of what they used to be.
iamperfection remained stupidly optomistic thorughout the conversation. "Don't worry, you guys, we don't really need all that many instruments! We still got guitars, drums, a piano player, all the essentials! I mean, I miss all of the other guys but"
He stopped midsentance. A puzzled look crossed his face while everyone at the table started staring at him. Suddenly, he clutched his throat and fell off his chair.
The paramedics said that the cilantro in his meal had triggered a severe allergic reaction. iamperfection was going to be fine, but he had landed on his hand falling off his chair, breaking two of his fingers. Fingers are kind of important for a keyboard player.
No one had a good explanation for how cilantro ended up in the bowl of cereal iamperfection had been eating.
iamperfection, one of da Member of da Band, is down for the count!
Day 4 has begun! You have 24 hours to figure out who's in this for the good of da Band, and who isn't. Deadline is at 21:00 GMT (+00:00).
Again, there are no clues this game. All names are used purely for flavor.
Good game, everyone! There was a lot of impressive play on every side of the fence in this game, and all of you should be proud of your performances.
Setup
So the setup I picked for this game was VDMMTTT, which game the following roles:
Vig (mementoss)
Jailkeeper (marv)
Mason pair (prplhz + hapahauli)
Two scum (ange + hiropro)
Scum RB (goodkarma/palmar)
Serial Killer (zephridd)
In hindsight, I think that the jailkeeper roll might have been a bit overpowered in this setup. Marvellosity managed to use it both defensively and offensively during the game, keeping Hapa alive Night 2, and keeping Ange in check Night 3. Also, there were a lot of confirmed town presented througout the game, which strangely, neither the SK nor the scum faction did anything about. Overall, I'd say the setup was a bit town favored, but I don't think that's why the town won this game.
What the hell happened this game
Day 1 was amazing, and exactly what every town should be like on Day 1. Everyone is contributing and pushing reads and cases, and a lot of the scumhunting that went on this game happened right there. At the very end of the day, prplhz, the mason, got lynched due to some Day 1 pressure and a botched mason claim (LOL). Night 1, the scum faction shot blazinghand, and the mementoss the vigilante and Zephridd, the serial killer, doublestacked mkfuba07. Palmar roleblocked Marvellosity, which prevented the scum faction from realizing there was a JK or an SK in the game. Day 2, the scum were already feeling pressured based on the cases presented Day 1, and bussed Palmar, the scum roleblocker. Night 2, scum shot Hapahauli, the second half of the mason pair, who was being protected by marvellosity. The SK shot austinmcc, which lead to a huge amount of disorganization in the town (thinking it was the scum night kill). Day 3, HiroPro sacked himself for his play during Day 2. Night 3, Marvellosity jailed the final scum ange777, proving she was the remaining scum. The SK shot iamperfection to no effect, and both of them called GG on Day 4.
Notable Performances
Marvellosity really proved this game why the scum should never let him live past Day 3. Jailing Ange777 the final night was the final nail in her coffin, and cut off any plan of escape for the SK still in the game. Remarkably, he managed to do this even after claiming JK in the thread Day 3, while there were two scum and an SK still present in the game. Excellent analysis and play throughout the entire game (well, past Day 1 at least )
Both Risen and I were convinced that Zephridd was going to win this game up until Day 4. He chose to be NK immune, and played a slightly scummy townie throughout the entire game. Be sure to read his thoughts on the game, he played an excellent serial killer throughout the entire thing.
EPT
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