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Death Note Mini Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 29 2012 14:34 GMT
#30
/in
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 30 2012 21:09 GMT
#68
Last-minute replacement gogogo!
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 02:29 GMT
#83
I like Ryuk. Moar spam plox.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 02:40 GMT
#91
Zeph is likely to take care of any actual lurking, but Hapa is right. If I'm too silent for too long, I expect to hear about it, preferably before I'm policy lynched for it. I'll apply the same principle to everyone else in the game.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 03:43 GMT
#113
On August 31 2012 12:39 HiroPro wrote:
No. I would policy lynch anyone who abstained.

Damnit Hiro, that was the secret ninja policy!
And @ Hapa - Good on you for being outrageous. Completely necessary this early in the game. As for your vote...haha?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 05:30 GMT
#119
On August 31 2012 11:58 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2012 11:40 Hopeless1der wrote:
Zeph is likely to take care of any actual lurking, but Hapa is right. If I'm too silent for too long, I expect to hear about it, preferably before I'm policy lynched for it. I'll apply the same principle to everyone else in the game.


Actually waaaaait a minute here. Are you suggesting that you'll be lurky or something? Surely you shouldn't be worried about "reminders" or whatnot if you're indeed pro-town and intend to post?

##Vote Hopeless1der


I'm saying I don't want to die, least of all to a policy lynch. I'd anticipate that most. if not all the players, would agree with that general sentiment. If people think I'm lurking, I don't want them to just lynch me with no discussion, I'd rather have the opportunity to make my thoughts known so that I could at least give the town something useful besides my flip. I want to make the most informed decision on who to lynch, instead of lynching by policy and getting very little out of it.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 15:23 GMT
#176
On August 31 2012 23:06 strongandbig wrote:
two to one he's town.

I've played like two games with him, and he was town in both of them, so he could be some kind of secret scum mastermind and I wouldn't know. But in one of the games I played with him I was really impressed because somehow he managed to just seem "townie" despite barely posting. (In the other game he didn't.)

Anyway what I'm trying to say is that he hasn't posted much, but I don't think that's a tell; and that his posts are pretty reasoned-out, but I think that's a sign of him trying to play to his strengths since he just got mislynched in PTP.

However, Hopeless - I don't really see much in the way of "actual opinions" or "positions" from you in the thread. I think you're probably town, but let me ask you - what do you think of the hapa situation, or Marv's zentor policy lynch?


Actual opinion time:

BMB's case against Hapa is shitty, and dare I say it, scummy.

+ Show Spoiler +
On August 31 2012 16:19 BlackMamba24 wrote:
I sat down and read the whole thread now. I don't know Hapahauli's meta but I agree with Shady Sands' FOS. Hapahauli immediately breadcrumbs the VT rolename "detective" then qualifies/explains the post following it immediately.

Town wouldn't breadcrumb if they know mafia has a safeclaim and they wouldn't breadcrumb without knowing that. He didn't ask. Mafia, however, immediately like to abuse any defense they have. There is inherent guilt. If supplied with a safeclaim it's a very reasonable thing to do. I missed the Zephirrds post about the safeclaims because I'm very unattentive. When I first entered the thread, I only scanned and read the longer posts and made my comments about policy lynches. I forgot the game was starting tonight and saw my role PM right before I was about to watch a movie.

Why would a townie, after making a specific reference to his role name then immediately post that he will no longer be using real role names? Why would he even need to tell us that? Is he afraid someone is going to point it out as an inconsistency? the first two posts in the thread are him and they're both passively defensive. Scum like to announce things that are meaningless for some reason.

In his post history, he only goes on and on about lurkers and other bullshit like that. It's so tired and worthless. "Lurking is anti-town." What a revelation. Mafia are no more likely to lurk than town are and if town goes on a "let's kill the lurkers" bend how easy is it for the scum team to tell everyone on the team to just post a lot? It's stupid.

##vote Hapahauli

Also, just an aside regarding "reads". I consider them totally worthless. I will post and try to get someone lynched if I think they are mafia. I will not post a list of "suspects" or "reads" or make bullet points or anything like that. It has no value. Waste of a post. I almost made VE quit a game because I talked down on him so much for posting reads lists and other things like that so don't expect that out of me regardless of my alignment.


@The bolded in the first paragraph: BMB freely admits to not knowing Hapa's meta, but decides to make a case out of the first two posts of the game. Not just Hapa's first two, the first two of the game. Taking the brief moment it takes to review Hapa's game history:

1st post in NMMXXIII:
+ Show Spoiler +
On August 06 2012 08:06 Hapahauli wrote:
‘Sup town!

Much to my delight, I’ve rolled Vanilla Townie this game – I hope strength in numbers shall prevail this game!

I ended up rolling mafia-goon in the last newbie game I played (Newbie Mafia XXI), and two members of my scumteam got away with blatant-lurking for days because of poor D1 discussion and a disorganized town. Our scumteam ended up winning that game in large part to this lack of productive discussion.

So to get things moving in a good direction, howabout some policy talk? I propose the following:
  • We will not lynch highly-active members D1! Often, the most active members in games are townies. I suggest we be very mindful of bandwagonning on active/controversial players D1 – they often get lynched in newbie games and almost always flip town.
  • We will focus our lynching efforts on less-active lurkers! Lack of discussion is bad for the town, and most mafia lurk/semi-lurk through the first few days of the game while they figure out how to play. I propose we keep the pressure up on non-posters day 1. Hell I don’t even mind a lynch-all-lurkers policy: in Newbie Mafia XXI, town would have had a 50% chance of lynching scum D1 if they went after lurking posters.



1st post NMMXXI:
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 16 2012 09:35 Hapahauli wrote:
Hey folks! I rolled Vanilla Townie (again) - let's lynch us some scum!

Show nested quote +
On July 16 2012 09:06 calgar wrote:
On July 16 2012 08:59 Evulrabbitz wrote:Since it's newbie games I feel people haven't really gotten a feel for their preferable playstyle and thus I deem meta analysis worthless.
I have to disagree with you here. We saw firsthand how hapa crushed hopeless last game with a thorough meta-analysis. This means it is at least worth something. Having said that, I think it will be less useful this game since those who saw what happened will be more careful to avoid similar mistakes. And some players (like me) have no history to analyze.


One of the lessons I learned from the last game (Newbie Mini Mafia XX) was how fickle meta-analysis can be. My case against Hopeless was mostly based around him mis-representing evidence and fingerpointing. The Meta was the icing on the cake. Also note that my cases/meta arguments against two players (Release and JingleHell) were ulitmately wrong. While meta has a place as supplemental evidence against players who are not self-aware of their own history, Otherwise, it lead you on a goose chase after a player who's in a bad mood in a particular game.

To re-iterate, meta is icing on the cake. We should always look for suspicious behavior and mafia-motive before even considering something like meta.

Suspicious behavior like the bolded part below:
Show nested quote +
On July 16 2012 09:06 calgar wrote:
---SNIP---
And some players (like me) have no history to analyze.



That's a really subtle way to point out your newbieness. That's some mafia behavior right there.

FOS calgar




1st post NMMXX:
+ Show Spoiler +
On July 05 2012 11:37 Hapahauli wrote:
Hai folks! Just opened my inbox to much relief: I'm a Vanilla Townie!

I would like to cast an FOS on JingleHell, who's actions in day 1 have been nothing but contradictions so far.

Show nested quote +
Well, Hopeless, since you're at least talking, I don't think you're scum yet. However, if day1 lurkers start causing trouble, I'm all for just throwing the dice and lynching one just to make a clear point.

Also, just as wonky meta, compared to your D1 play in XIX, I'm pretty sure you're town here. You're not afraid of prolific D1 posting, among other things.

Actually, I'm VERY suspicious about YourHarry's lightning fast vote. Could be a throwaway effort to get a bandwagon started, since D1 voting is nonsense in newbie games. In the case of a mislynch, it would be easy to argue away.


Show nested quote +
##Vote YourHarry


JingleHell opens the game by decrying D1 voting as "nonsense in newbie games," then immediately fires one out himself. When Harry replies with the innocent, "why is lightning fast vote scummy," JingleHell posts:

Show nested quote +
EBWOP: And Harry, don't try to turn my logic around on me, my vote was based on your suspicious vote.


Not only does this not address Harry's question, but it has an incredibly defensive tone when he was not yet attacked. Sounds to me like someone who is very paranoid in the early game...

Show nested quote +
I couldn't care less how many games you've played on mafiascum. As it turns out, in newbie games on TL, D1 bandwagons have a tendency to be lethal, particularly if there's no substance to the case to defend against. As such, it's better to target someone who's being either actively or passively useless, not somebody who's at least jumping into the deep end.


Show nested quote +
Oh, and bear in mind, I won't do this if a case gets made. I let people make their own counter-claim. I only stepped in because I see random D1 votes as so dangerous in our newbie games.


JingleHell posts another crusade against bandwagoning and day 1 voting, despite his earlier vote against YourHarry. In addition, he's very adamant (almost panicked) about this "avoiding bandwagoning" business. From a townie perspective, what incentive does he have to discourage bandwagnoning only a few hours into the game? I would understand if this was a day or a half-a day before the lynch, but seeing who does and does not bandwagon provides us townies with time to provide good reads. It makes no sense to take such a staunch anti-bandwagoning platform so quickly into the game.

Finally, Jingle Hell has been content to laugh off a legitimate post against his early-game behavior by lazermonkey.

Lazer's post ---> http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=349066&currentpage=7#132

Show nested quote +
I can't decide what to laugh at first, but at least now people are explaining votes.

If you want to see what showed me that early voting with no rationalization at all is bad, go see D1 XIX. Ridiculous mislynch, because of votes with zero substance.


No defense, and completely ignores a topic worthy of response.

In conclusion, FOS on JingleHell. His actions regarding D1 voting are contradictory, and he's taken a very suspicious stance on anti-bandwagnoning so early into day 1.




I'm seeing a trend here. None of this is indicative of Hapa's alignment, but it's depressing to see that BMB couldn't be bothered to look into Hapa's meta.

Instead, Hapa is clearly posting with inherent guilt, clearly trying to breadcrumb his 'fakeclaim' and assumes Hapa didn't know about mafia getting the fake claims. That wasn't the point of his post...that's just how he opens games. To make it the basis for a case is lazy and foolish.

He also pushes the policy talk into his case against Hapa. Why is that scummy again? It was scarcely 5 hours into the game.

Marv and ghost, you seem to think this goes into WIFOM on whether BMB knows his case is bad and he's baiting. Can you answer whether or not YOU would have bothered to check Hapa's "opening-post meta" before basing a case around it?

Either way, BMB is the scummiest looking player to me.



As for Zentor...from what I saw in MadMen, I'd be inclined to agree with a policy lynch, but then...

[Stating the obvious] I want to lynch scum [/Stating the obvious]

Pressure him, and if he doesn't respond, then sure, lynch the sucker. I'd rather give him a chance to begin with though. There's always the possibility that he is in fact useful.




Deadline is 7:30 pm for me. I should have no issue with being active leading up to it.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 17:27 GMT
#211
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 01 2012 02:16 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 02:07 strongandbig wrote:
...

So the problem with your first point is "bad =\= scum." There are bad townies who don't try very hard to help the town, and if we want to win we need to be lynching scum. Still, another true thing is "thinking bad = scum =\= scum", although "bad=scum" is something scum do sometimes try to push.


What does this even have to do with my first point? I'm suggesting that players who lurk in this format deserve suspicion. This has nothing to do with "bad townies" or whatever. Also, this ain't a newbie game, and I think everyone here knows that lurking is bad for town.

Also, I have no idea what your last sentence there means...

Show nested quote +
On the other thing, I guess you have a point - I think hopeless was being reasonable, but if you thought otherwise and your vote was a pressure vote I guess it could have a town motivation. It would have been really suspicious if you'd just tried to tunnel in on that, though.


So I'll take it you're no longer suspicious of me then?

Show nested quote +
Also, many people need to post more in the next few hours. Actually, what if we RNG the policy lynch between the lurkers? That might actually have a better chance of hitting scum than just choosing one, since scum couldn't nudge the RNG towards a scummy lurker. My lurker list currently reads: node, zentor, palmar, solarsail, and mkfuba, although mkfuba will be off soon if he keeps posting like he said he would. Still guys, node hasn't posted since his /in. With Palmar he could be doing anything on purpose as part of some kind of "plan", but he also has only posted once since the game started. If people are proposing a lurker lynch, I think we should come up with a list that a majority of us can agree on and then RNG it using some method.


No. It prevents players from taking stances on specific players. Sure we could end up lynching a lurking townie D1 - it happens. But the votes give us so much information for future days, and an "RNG" vote deprives us of this.

Show nested quote +
On the other hand, Marv seems to be proposing a "lynch zentor because he doesn't try" policy lynch. I just don't feel comfortable with that this early in the game, given how grush changed his style in the ptp game. People do change. Still, if zentor doesn't post again a few times before the deadline, I could get on board with it.


I didn't see anything in Marv's filter about MrZentor... you're talking about momentoss, right?


Hapa...Are you being deliberately obtuse?

On August 31 2012 19:35 marvellosity wrote:
why aren't we policy lynching zentor

On August 31 2012 21:54 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 31 2012 21:51 Mementoss wrote:
On August 31 2012 19:35 marvellosity wrote:
why aren't we policy lynching zentor


Im not familiar with zentor fill me in


is actively self-aware he's useless, could choose to be not useless, but purposefully chooses to be useless nonetheless


SnB's point with the bad town vs scum discussion is that scummy players will pick up on things that are bad for town and try to exploit them into a mislynch. He's semi-accusing you of doing this because your assumption that all players know lurking is bad means that the only people who will lurk are either Scum or they're just bad at this game, i.e. Bad Townies. There are no other options based on the way you've explained yourself. You also want to consider lurking to be an exclusively scum trait, which is completely untrue.

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
August 31 2012 17:34 GMT
#213
On July 06 2012 21:47 marvellosity wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 06 2012 21:45 MrZentor wrote:
YAYA VE!

What's the Kenpachi rule...?


First person to attack the VT claim is scum.

Only works for ken though. So we're not lynching BL. Especially as he's one of the only players actually making an effort.

I like my search function =D
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 00:47 GMT
#434
Sorry I'm a little late here. I think mementoss is town based on his responses to the case against him. I'm null on Palmar overall, and he's next likeliest to be lynched, so I'll lynch him over MMtoss.

##Vote: Palmar

I don't buy into what Hapa is selling right now. Hapa tried to sway Hiro AWAY from his read on MMtoss:

On September 01 2012 07:04 HiroPro wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 06:55 Hapahauli wrote:
Howbout this stuff?
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=363625&currentpage=13#258

Solid post, good logic, and I agree with most of what he says (still believe BM24 to be more scummy than Shady). Shouldn't that absolve him a bit?


It's ok. The problem I have is that he ignored the brunt of the case (which is how he says he's unclear about Zentor but then later in the same post says that Hapa is soft-defending Zentor and they're scum buddies together) and focused on small things to reply to instead.


Hapa is really off the wall today. Can't or won't sit still and he seems to see scum at every other post. I can't take him very seriously right now, but I think he's town.

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 01:02 GMT
#447
Okay well BMB has already gone through why Hapa's case doesn't demonstrate Hiro to be scummy.
Hapa still has a point regarding who does Hiro think is scum.
Hiro? If your around, we'd be much obliged.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 01:06 GMT
#450
On September 01 2012 10:04 Hapahauli wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 09:59 BlackMamba24 wrote:
On September 01 2012 09:55 Hapahauli wrote:
He showed NO intention of dropping his read against MMToss until I confronted him about it, then insta-dropped his read!

That was the post I was referring to. It didn't satisfy HiroPro but it satisfied you so how can you say he dropped his suspicions too quick when you dropped them even quicker?

He didn't drop it because you pressured it, he didn't drop it until MMtoss directly answered his question and main point of his case. I don't see what is so hard to understand about that...


You actually buy that?

Do you think like that as a townie? Clearly not, or you would've accepted the first defense that SnB posted against you insteantly. You don't see it as strange that Hiro doesn't pressure him any more than that after posting his case? Like he insta-dropped his suspicions man.


No he wouldn't. Or rather, I wouldn't. Read the argument presented and THEN make a decision. Your reasoning here is terrible and its things like that that make me want to ignore your cases in general.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 01:18 GMT
#457
To be honest, I don't think you are either.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 16:45 GMT
#618
I'm unconcerned with the merits of SnB's claim. I'm concerned with the fact that his initial claim was intended to reveal all the information he had regarding him being 'miller' and to inform us of what happens. His explanation was he'll return scum to some checks and town to some checks. No details on the when or why it might be one or the other.

Also of note:

I am a self-aware miller.

Is there some rule against using the flavor? It's incredibly relevant in a themed game with a Closed setup.

Once Hiro puts two and two together,
we get this from SnB:
my role PM says that rolechecks on me before half the players in the game are dead will return detective and after that point they will return suspicious detective.

It was in his Role PM. This didn't get suddenly revealed later. It's also way easier to understand how the return check mechanics work as opposed to
I don't know whether checks on me will return scum or town - all I'm told is that some checks on me will return scum instead of town.


Blatant lie in an effort to save himself from DT checks...because he's scum. This is pretty cut and dry.

##Vote: StrongandBig

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 17:26 GMT
#622
No, his 'explanation' is that as long as half the players are alive, he'll return town. I'm going to take half as an integer meaning 8 players dead = half.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 01 2012 18:00 GMT
#624
Aside from just sheeping you on ghost, which I do agree with, I also think Shady is scummy.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:38 GMT
#679
An hour early isn't it?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:40 GMT
#684
Welp okay then.
##Vote: Shady Sands
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:41 GMT
#688
Herp a Derp...should I unvote now or something?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:43 GMT
#695
On September 02 2012 10:42 Shady Sands wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 02 2012 10:40 Hopeless1der wrote:
Welp okay then.
##Vote: Shady Sands

Why?


I'll get to that once today's lynch is confirmed.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:48 GMT
#698
Oh there it is.

Shady, Good job failing to defend the flipped scum and calling it a WIFOM exercise. HE LIED. I could care less for what he claimed. He changed his story in a very substantial way. You refused to acknowledge it and continued to presume that the rest of us were not hunting scum. Now its your turn.
##Vote: Shady Sands (Again)

On September 02 2012 10:45 MrZentor wrote:
Okay, so this lynch didn't really tell us anything, because he was a traitor.

Great....

I dunno about you but I learned plenty:

You win when you, Kira and any other possible ally combined are equal or superior in number than the rest of the Detectives.

That there means Scum got flipped. Town Success.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 01:54 GMT
#705
On September 02 2012 10:50 Risen wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 02 2012 10:48 Shady Sands wrote:
On September 02 2012 10:46 Risen wrote:
On September 02 2012 10:45 MrZentor wrote:
Okay, so this lynch didn't really tell us anything, because he was a traitor.

Great....


It told us there was quite the last minute effort to save sab. How is that telling us nothing?

Because how the heck could scum know he was the traitor?


1) sab is the traitor
2) he's acting scummy and he lies in thread
3) scum team realizes he's traitor
4) effort to save traitor happens
5) you guys fail to save him and now come in here acting oblivious



No, I actually buy the part where he didn't know SnB was scum-aligned. That knocks down my scumread on Shady from KILL IT WITH FIRE to just Kill It. Poop. Now I have to make a real case to get taken seriously.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 02 2012 18:47 GMT
#772
On September 03 2012 03:46 MrZentor wrote:
I think Hiro's case on me is him claiming scum. XD

Also, the list of votes is pretty important.


+ Show Spoiler +
More on that later.




See the following:
On September 02 2012 00:30 HiroPro wrote:
I'm not a miller lol. I'm a cop.


On September 03 2012 03:05 marvellosity wrote:
I have a message from L, received just now.

It says that the person to listen to is the cop.


I think you need to die. Or make more sense than that.
##Vote MrZentor
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 03:07 GMT
#826
That also semi-validates Zentor's scumbuddy theory. We'll see where the red-check gets us though.

##Vote: Risen
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 03:22 GMT
#827
And yeah, sorry I didn't get back earlier on ghost. I felt zentor's case had too much connection theory between ghost and risen to take seriously without any flips for info.

He also gave this post which sounded desperate and scummier than the case against ghost that partly revolved around ghost's "I'll be afk on the day I said I'd be afk" post:
On September 03 2012 04:37 MrZentor wrote:
Because the people voting for you were one of the following.
-confirmed town(2/4)
-blindly voting for you to save themselves(1/4)
-me

Isn't it a little strange that none of the mafia were voting for you, especially considering the possibility that they either knew or suspected that SnB was the traitor?

Why would mafia want to kill a traitor instead of you?

Now that he's flipped, this post makes complete sense, but prior to the flip I felt that Zentor was pushing the "I'm really really townie" stance in a scummy way.

I felt good that he'd flip scum, better than lynching into ghost anyways. I'm thoroughly grateful that there's a semi-confirmed cop's red-check to follow today. In the meantime, ghost managed to come back to the thread with nothing pretty much:

On September 03 2012 08:42 ghost_403 wrote:
Sigh.

I really wish I could come back here with some amazing analysis that shows why we should be voting Zentor today.

##vote MrZentor

I'm fine to follow up with the redcheck today, but I'd like to hear from ghost on who the next priority is and why etc, etc. There's enough of a case built against him that to address that would be a waste of time. I'd rather ghost focus on showing us who he thinks is scum so we can really judge his motives.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 19:32 GMT
#835
So wait..you're L. You gave marv the message to "trust the cop", the cop in this case being HiroPro.
According to you, our Cop is in fact SCUM. You kidding me?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 20:52 GMT
#858
Hiro shot Hapa

Servant =\= Right-Hand (or Left-Hand) Man

Risen it doesn't matter anymore. It's your claim vs his and I trust his more. If we haven't been endgamed, he's going to be immediately lynched. If we're dead, well that sucks.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 20:57 GMT
#861
Because if we lynch the townie its endgame either way according to you.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 03 2012 21:03 GMT
#863
On September 04 2012 05:57 Hopeless1der wrote:
Because if we lynch the townie its endgame either way according to you.



I don't know that there is or isn't going to be a tomorrow. Perhaps Kira is all alone with more traitors that must join him. In any case, your "from my perspective" argument assumes that between you and Hiro:

- one of you is town and one of you is scum
- We're at MYLO

Given those conditions, I think you're Scum and HiroPro is town.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 02:46 GMT
#877
##Vote: Ghost_403
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 03:11 GMT
#882
Yeah I'm still good to lynch Ghost. Zentor's case makes sense to me given the flips so far, then there was ghost's inability to come back with a case against zentor and of course the existing case against him. Unless someone has a solid defense for him or an excellent case on someone else, I'm pretty much leaving my vote where it is.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 03:40 GMT
#884
Well first, I want to flesh out the connection business a bit more:


+ Show Spoiler +
On August 31 2012 22:35 ghost_403 wrote:
Risen's play this game is a little off from the Risen we all know and love. Not sure exactly why as of yet. Could be it's just been a while since he's played.

On August 31 2012 23:27 ghost_403 wrote:
Risen is very aggressive in Mafia when he plays town. He's abrasive and abusive and plays hard. In this game, I haven't seen that quite yet. I'm still trying to decide why that is. It could just be that we're 12 hours into the game, and he hasn't had an opportunity to call anyone stupid yet.


On September 01 2012 03:49 ghost_403 wrote:
Can't change my mind on Risen until he comes back and starts acting more or less Risen.


On September 01 2012 09:04 ghost_403 wrote:
Next, Risen is a bit off. Everyone said that. Next!

On September 02 2012 00:23 ghost_403 wrote:
Hey guys!


Scum: MMToss, Risen, and S+B. I'm not convinced that's the scum team by any stretch, but those are the people in the thread I think are acting scummy. (Side note: I have no idea how many scum there are in this game at all. I'm assuming there is a team?) MMToss is a carry over from yesterday. No part of how the day played out makes me change my opinion on him. S+B, I'll comment on that at the end (new stuff in thread between when I started writing and finished writing).

As far as Risen, Node is right. We have to hold him accountable for his part in the Palmar lynch. As town, Risen is aggressive and abrasive. As scum, Risen worships chaos (See TLM LIII). This is looking a lot more like scum Risen. Pressure him today and watch what happens.


On September 03 2012 04:47 ghost_403 wrote:
Also, he completely missed the reason that I though Risen was scum. Risen is not playing to his meta. Based on my own time constraints, I didn't have time to write out to the thread exactly why I believed that. I was putting it out there and hoping someone else would take the time to decide if I was right or wrong.
+ Show Spoiler +
Hoping someone else would do my dirty work


OH MAH GAD A SCUM RISEN APPEARS. Oh wait:

On September 03 2012 04:57 ghost_403 wrote:
Risen still seems off to me, and I need to put some time into reading his filter in order to figure out what's going on with him.

NEVERMIND NOTHING TO SEE HERE.


Really soft view of Risen, pretty much all game long. Finally commits to the vote when all seem lost:

On September 04 2012 05:28 ghost_403 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2012 02:53 Risen wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
IAMA Scum Team Member. Ask me anything!

((On a more serious note, gg scum, I honestly didn't see it coming))

8 hours to endgame?

##vote HiroPro so I can claim I did my best to play to my win condition.


Show nested quote +
On September 04 2012 03:43 Risen wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
EBWOP: I'm L and thought I could trust the cop claim, but didn't want to make him my rhm b/c then a single scum shot wipes out my rhm and my "cop". I'm a "mason" who gets one use per day and only to my rhm who is selected and then can't be changed unless he dies. Picked mamba b/c he was my strongest town read who wasn't liable to get offed immediately. Then I chose marvel b/c I was just hydra'd with him last game and I was getting town vibes off him. The problem with my power is that I only get to send a message for the next day the day before.

I know HiroPro is one of the remaining scum b/c cop checks on me return detective. There are no framers in this setup. There are a lot of ways I could have played this differently and honestly I wish I hadn't been made L b/c I raged a lot day 1 at Palmar. I'm willing to accept a lot of the blame for that lynch and subsequently losing the game, but I think Palmar is just as equally to blame.

Turns out it ISN'T mylo or lylo, but the game is over after I'm lynched by my reasoning.

There's 7 of us left. I think there's 2 scum left (two scum, one traitor makes sense to me balance-wise)

So that makes it 5-2. Mislynch today makes it 4-2, they get one kill tomorrow (I'm sending up fifty prayers it's only one and the other kills the past two days have been traitor and a hidden vig somewhere), makes it 3-2 (Ghost is getting shot if he's town for reasons explained one paragraph down). HiroPro gets lynched, makes it 3-1, now scum just needs one mislynch. 2-1, scum shoots someone, 1-1, game over.

So it turns out it isn't mylo. The remaining townies are going to have a 33% chance if they RNG their target. Odds are that the final four are going to be Node, marvel, fuba, hopeless. Who do you lynch out of that group? None of you have contributed jack shit. It's going to be "Let's play a game called RNG the lurker lynch woooo!"

I screwed up this game. I admit it fully, but at least I didn't screw us over by lurking and creating this stupid situation in the endgame where everyone remaining is a lurker or by trolling day 1 so I get lynched stupidly.


Dat pause.

##vote risen

Another stupidly busy day. I'm hoping to be back before the deadline. I'm really interested to know how a town Marv is still alive. FYI, he's my day 4 policy lynch. Gotta look into that.


Ghost still hasn't provided a solid case in this game. We waited too long for his read on MMtoss for that to count. He's planning to 'policy lynch' Marv on Day4. dafuq man. When I said I'd need to see an excellent case on someone else, I'd still consider one if its ghost who makes it, but he's my strongest scumread at the moment.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 22:24 GMT
#907
Aww man why you gotta do that L? Can I at least find out why so I can try to defend myself?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 22:35 GMT
#909
=\ Yes, Sir.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 04 2012 23:24 GMT
#914
On September 05 2012 08:07 HiroPro wrote:
I get lazy when I'm confirmed/near the end of games I need the pressure in order to put in effort. You shouldn't be listening to me. I'm only good for forcing people to things at this point.

No real reason to not lynch Node. The fact that he'd been thinking Risen as scum for a long time then suddenly decided to vote for me instead yesterday was weird.

Hopeless is mostly cause I don't like the pushes he made on Shady/ghost. There's no real substantial reasoning behind them (both of them are very ok this person died and was scum/town, therefore this guy is scum). The fact that he wanted to lynch ghost earlier this day but didn't say anything (and only came back when I voted for him) when people had seemed to mostly settle on Node troubles me a lot.


Would after-the-fact reasoning be at all useful?

And also...I voted Ghost immediately following the deadline. Are you basing the Node connection on Fuba's case or is there stuff before my vote, because I don't see a strong "kill node" presence until after I (kindof) explain my vote on ghost.

Further to that, if Node is town, why would I not just let us mislynch him? I'd like to think I could just jump on the wagon with little commotion. You(Hiro) pointed out the likelihood of only Kira remaining alive based on Risen's PM. That would put us at 5v1, with Hiro effectively confirmed.
Leaving work shortly. I'll be back within an hour or so.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 00:18 GMT
#918
On September 05 2012 09:07 ghost_403 wrote:
##vote hopeless1der

Fone post

dat policy vote on marv.
Oh wait.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 01:14 GMT
#919
On September 05 2012 08:44 HiroPro wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2012 08:20 marvellosity wrote:
that's why I'm pressuring you, because I remembered your laziness comment in PTP obsQT. The end of the game is the most important time as the importance of lynches gets even greater. Your opinion/position holds a lot of weight and so you should use it with responsibility, not abdicate to the rest of town.

You're right about Hopeless' post timings today and his vote on ghost is very weak. And Node I think is heading for a modkill today at this rate.

Could you re-read fuba's case, and my subsequent comments (as well as in the back and forth with ghost) and say why Hopeless is particularly scummier than Node?



uh, I don't really agree with ghost's reasons for thinking Node is town (the aggressiveness aspect). Node is an experienced player, he's not going to have any trouble playing aggressive and fearlessly as mafia... Now admittedly I've never seen Node play.

fuba's case on Node: I don't find the traitor discussion stuff alignment-indicative. If there is a good reason to lynch Node though, I think this pretty much sums it up:
Show nested quote +

Most significantly, there's also the fact that earlier in the game he says that he doesn't see anything scummy about Hiro, then votes for Risen. In the most recent vote, when we're all diving on top of Risen, he suddenly finds Hiro to be more scummy. He doesn't explain this, or at least tries to explain it extremely poorly in his single post from yesterday. Why is he suddenly not believing HiroPro when he states in his reasoning for the MrZentor lynch that he's "...going to have to go with L and Hiro on [that] one."?


Hopeless over Node? Mostly just a gut feeling based on the fact that (except for the last lynch between Risen and me) Node has had solid reasons to back himself up. But like it's really not that strong.


I hate that I neglect to make my thoughts known if I'm not pressured. It's like what Hiro's doing right now except I've been doing it all game. This is entirely my fault and its probably the driving factor behind why I look scummy, but I've pretty much skated by without having to do much, and I've continuously gotten away with it. We've relied almost exclusively on Hiro being a boss.

When I threw out my vote on Shady, literally NOTHING was said to me about why I did it. It's only now come up as a point of I don't explain myself properly.


Supposedly my vote on ghost is weak, but did all of the cases against ghost suddenly disappear?

Marv:
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 03 2012 04:42 marvellosity wrote:
Why ghost is scum:

1) How he pressured Hapa for his vote on BM24. Any of you reading the thread know that I had a back and forth with him about it, and it's basically because it didn't seem his view was from a particularly townie mindset - remember ghost had BMB24 marked down as scum in his s/s, but was pressuring Hapa for voting for him? It doesn't add up.

2) He had a really weak vote on Mementoss. And he doesn't give an actual proper reason for his post until he's made several more posts in between.

Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 08:36 ghost_403 wrote:
Alright, let's see what happened while I was gone.

For reference, MMToss' defense

So far, nothing has convinced me to take my vote off of MMToss. His defense against the people voting him amounted to "the people voting for me are lazy/stupid, oh and here's someone I think is scum". I really can't see a town player posting his defense in such a way.

By the way, Shady's not scum. See Newbie Mini Mafia XXV. He's not acting like that in this game at all.


At this stage, we don't even really know why ghost's vote is on Mementoss in the first place. There's a misplaced conviction. He finally gives reasons for the Mem lynch (which amounted to him rehashing a Mementoss post), probably when it dawns on him he can't just vote for no reason.

3) Mementoss picked up on ghost's long post and I followed up on it. There are things that don't make sense from a townie mindset, like where he voted s&b, but if s&b was town, I somehow got scummier (even though he was voting him too)

4) In that same post, he says this:

"Looks like S+B probably fakeclaimed miller. Ballsy play on his part. This pushes Hiro to town read, and confirms what I suspected on S+B."

Confirms what he suspected? How can it confirm something that was never really brought to the thread? :/ Earlier he said his play had been 'a bit off', and also:

Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 03:49 ghost_403 wrote:
Still not quite sure of what I think of S+B. I haven't seen a scum player make a legit fakeclaim for a long time, so based on the metagame, I'm inclined to believe him when he claimed miller. However, you're right, his posts have been a little bit off. That's why I really want him to chime in on the MMToss situation.


All these points aren't massively strong by themselves, but added altogether I think it shows that ghost is scum.


MMToss and Shady's (Quoted by MMToss)
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 02 2012 01:24 Mementoss wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 02 2012 00:23 ghost_403 wrote:
Hey guys!

What's going on in this thread!

Today is crazy for me, so I'm going to be making one post today, and that's it.



Thoughts on NKs: I'm thinking Hapa was a town KP due to the flavor, and BMB was the scum KP. Knowing this is not particularly enlightening. I don't put any more faith in BMB's reads (or any less in Hapa's) because of this. Obviously, BMB was killed because he was acting very town. Look through his filter and use it as a town biased viewpoint. Don't ignore what dead townies have to say.

I can't believe the town let Palmar be lynched Day 1. Sure, he was useless, but seriously?



Town reads: MrZentor (unfortunately), Shady Sands (double unfortunately) and Node (WTF?????). Check out Node's previous games. In Hammer, he did basically the same thing, where he contributed next to nothing throughout all of Day 1, and he rolled Vig in that game. In this game, he was gone for most of the day, but when he came back he was opinionated and aggressive. Lurking scum would be much more apologetic.

Zentor, start using your head. And Shady, read the fucking thread.



Scum: MMToss, Risen, and S+B. I'm not convinced that's the scum team by any stretch, but those are the people in the thread I think are acting scummy. (Side note: I have no idea how many scum there are in this game at all. I'm assuming there is a team?) MMToss is a carry over from yesterday. No part of how the day played out makes me change my opinion on him. S+B, I'll comment on that at the end (new stuff in thread between when I started writing and finished writing).

As far as Risen, Node is right. We have to hold him accountable for his part in the Palmar lynch. As town, Risen is aggressive and abrasive. As scum, Risen worships chaos (See TLM LIII). This is looking a lot more like scum Risen. Pressure him today and watch what happens.



Null reads: Hiro (leaning town), Marv (leaning town), mkfuba (leaning newbie town), and hopeless1der (leaning scum). I don't have enough to really read any of these players. pre-edit: marv's interactions now with S+B are pushing me to place him more in the town category than the scum category. If S+B flips town, he goes down to scum.



Looks like S+B probably fakeclaimed miller. Ballsy play on his part. This pushes Hiro to town read, and confirms what I suspected on S+B.

##vote strongandbig

And now, I'm off! Don't do anything stupid while I'm gone.


This is the kind of post you make before you die. As of now it does nothing to help the game. It makes you look like your doing something, but really it's more confusing than anything to give your read on everyone in the whole game. None of his reads are really explained at all. This whole post screams scum to me, and I'm pretty surprised im the first person to mention it. As scum, you can pretty much put anyone in whatever category you want, to try and manipulate the views of others. You know the alignments of players, so he can distance himself from his scum team while looking like he's contributing. He also has all his basis covered for future mislynches.

Mementoss was the 2nd highest lynch yesterday so he's going to keep mentioning it so while everyone is still curious about it he can push for a second mislynch. He finds SnB scum, so lets kill him, if he flips town, Marv will most certainly be scum and we can mislynch him. Also Risen started the Palmar lynch, so lets lynch him! I'm not saying Marv and Risen are definitely town. What I am saying is ghost is clearly keeping his options open without really giving any helpful information or committing to any options, so if he switches wagons, he can refer to this post and say , well yeah I mentioned it here.

I will bold the parts where ghost puts blame onto other people for the lynch yesterday or downplays the intelligence of others, to try and re-enforce what a good and noble townie he is. When yesterday he did nothing to help the lynch or help find scum, yet alone even make a case.

Additionally, another thing he does to make himself look like good old useful townie ghost is take credit for things that never happened. Such as the last line of the post, "confirms what I suspected on S+B." when in reality, ghost never mentioned SnB in his whole filter as a scum possibility. He is now doing the same thing yesterday, jumping on the lynch wagon after it starts to gain a bit of steam.

I will also re-quote Shady's case on ghost from day 1 as it is still relevant and is a lot of what I felt made ghost seem off in day 1.
Shady's Case Starts here
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2012 07:34 Shady Sands wrote:
Hi guys, I'm back. Given that Node is going to get modkilled:
##Unvote

I read Risen's case on me and I like it. It's long, which earns points in my book. That being said, I disagree with its conclusion that I am scum, since I'm not. I'll respond to it in a bit, but first and foremost, I'd like everyone to focus on the scummiest player so far:

Ghost_403

Here's how Ghost kicks off his scumhunt:

On August 31 2012 22:35 ghost_403 wrote:
I agree with Hapa: BMB's case was lackluster at best. Hapa came into the thread, posted "I'm town, flavor sucks", and that's it. I really don't see that as some sort of scum tell on his part.

BMB: I'm curious. Has anyone else in the thread stuck out to you as playing scummy?

Marv: What do you think about BMB's case against Hapa?

Risen's play this game is a little off from the Risen we all know and love. Not sure exactly why as of yet. Could be it's just been a while since he's played.


Completely fluffy. First agrees that the case is lackluster, but no tell. Then asks BMB for more reads while he himself posts no reads. Then asks Marv for reads on BMB. Then offers a null tell on Risen. I essence... much ado about nothing.

Then defends BMB from Hapa in an effort to look active. But again, no scumreads.

On August 31 2012 22:51 ghost_403 wrote:
Calm down, Hapa. Just because BMB wrote up a subpar case on Day 1 does not mean that he's scum. BMB (aka DoctorHelvetica) is very good at this game. I doubt that anyone can know his alignment quite yet, nevermind based on a single case he's presented on Day 1.

@BMB: You are DrH, right?


Then again a no-content post, just a defense of his own actions.

On August 31 2012 23:22 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:53 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:51 ghost_403 wrote:
Calm down, Hapa. Just because BMB wrote up a subpar case on Day 1 does not mean that he's scum. BMB (aka DoctorHelvetica) is very good at this game. I doubt that anyone can know his alignment quite yet, nevermind based on a single case he's presented on Day 1.

@BMB: You are DrH, right?


Why are you attacking Hapa for pressuring a pile of shit case?


I'm not attacking, I'm telling him to take a step back and evaluate whether he thinks that BMB's case was due to (a) him being scum or (b) him writing up a case 5 hours into the game. The two of those are very different, and I don't see evidence in his analysis of him thinking that question through.


Then Ghost goes huge WIFOM. He even lampshades it.

On August 31 2012 23:29 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:26 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:22 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:53 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:51 ghost_403 wrote:
Calm down, Hapa. Just because BMB wrote up a subpar case on Day 1 does not mean that he's scum. BMB (aka DoctorHelvetica) is very good at this game. I doubt that anyone can know his alignment quite yet, nevermind based on a single case he's presented on Day 1.

@BMB: You are DrH, right?


Why are you attacking Hapa for pressuring a pile of shit case?


I'm not attacking, I'm telling him to take a step back and evaluate whether he thinks that BMB's case was due to (a) him being scum or (b) him writing up a case 5 hours into the game. The two of those are very different, and I don't see evidence in his analysis of him thinking that question through.


I'm curious, because by your own reasoning

1) DrH made a bad case
2) DrH is a very good player

does it not make more sense that a bad case from someone you think is good is scummier than a bad case from a nublet?


WIFOM mode engage!

Don't you think that someone as good as BMB would, as scum, be more careful to not make a bad case?

I see this as BMB just being aggressive and trying to get the ball moving. I can't imagine him being quite so bold and careless as scum.

Do you think that his case is really a scum-tell?


Still no case at this point. We have Hapa, Hopeless, Memento, BMB, and myself all making lots of noise but he somehow seems to think everyone is just a confused townie. Which would make a lot of sense if he had prior knowledge as scum.

On August 31 2012 23:38 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:34 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:29 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:26 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 23:22 ghost_403 wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:53 marvellosity wrote:
On August 31 2012 22:51 ghost_403 wrote:
Calm down, Hapa. Just because BMB wrote up a subpar case on Day 1 does not mean that he's scum. BMB (aka DoctorHelvetica) is very good at this game. I doubt that anyone can know his alignment quite yet, nevermind based on a single case he's presented on Day 1.

@BMB: You are DrH, right?


Why are you attacking Hapa for pressuring a pile of shit case?


I'm not attacking, I'm telling him to take a step back and evaluate whether he thinks that BMB's case was due to (a) him being scum or (b) him writing up a case 5 hours into the game. The two of those are very different, and I don't see evidence in his analysis of him thinking that question through.


I'm curious, because by your own reasoning

1) DrH made a bad case
2) DrH is a very good player

does it not make more sense that a bad case from someone you think is good is scummier than a bad case from a nublet?


WIFOM mode engage!

Don't you think that someone as good as BMB would, as scum, be more careful to not make a bad case?

I see this as BMB just being aggressive and trying to get the ball moving. I can't imagine him being quite so bold and careless as scum.

Do you think that his case is really a scum-tell?


yeah, ok, let's not go down the WIFOM road. Suffice to say, when someone does something bad, "he should know not to do something bad" has always struck me as an inadequate way of explaining it away.

Black's case is certainly scummier than what he was making the case on (hapa's play). Conversely, do you see that case as a town-tell?


My spreadsheet has BMB marked down as scum due to that case, but I'm not convinced on it enough to vote him yet. BMB is a good player, and lynching him based on a bad case he made this early on Day 1 is terrible play. I'm certainly going to be watching him closely.

What I would really like from him is for him to come back and tell us his thoughts on everyone's reactions to his case. That would tell me a lot more about his alignment than what he's already said in thread.


Whoa! We have a scumread now! Everyone drop socks and grab your throttles, because after half a day of posting Ghost says BMB is scum. Except...
Don't you think that someone as good as BMB would, as scum, be more careful to not make a bad case?

I see this as BMB just being aggressive and trying to get the ball moving. I can't imagine him being quite so bold and careless as scum.

Do you think that his case is really a scum-tell?

This is what Ghost posted in his very own previous post. What? Classic case of scum forgetting what he wrote earlier and just trying to agree with people.
Then he tries to split hairs about BMB (I think he's scum but I don't see his posting behavior/casemaking as scum!) then asks people what they think about BMB.
On September 01 2012 00:48 ghost_403 wrote:
Gut reaction. What are your thoughts on BMB's alignment?

Then says he hasn't found a scum candidate yet:
On September 01 2012 03:15 ghost_403 wrote:
Well, since I'd rather lynch scum today, I haven't quite made up my mind. Plenty of town reads, but haven't found a good scum candidate quite yet. I'll let you know when I find one.

But he'd be happy with a MMToss lynch in the very next post. What?
On September 01 2012 03:20 ghost_403 wrote:
Actually, I'd be pretty happy with a MMToss lynch. Still waiting for S+B to chime in.

Playing mafia while TI2 is on is really hard.

Then he votes MMToss as soon as HiroPro makes a big case on MMToss. But there's no independent analysis from ghost as to why he's making this vote as opposed to BMB (who he has marked down as scum in his spreadsheet.)

Then he offers a defense of his actions:
On September 01 2012 03:49 ghost_403 wrote:
Palmar being AFK is probably due to the TI2, I'm withholding judgement on him until he comes back. Can't change my mind on Risen until he comes back and starts acting more or less Risen. Marv's disappearance is disconcerting, but probably not alignment indicative.

I never said BMB was not mafia, I just said that I'm not ready to lynch him over a single bad case he had presented. I'm still waiting for him to come back into the thread and respond to what's happened. His response is going to determine my view of his alignment.

Still not quite sure of what I think of S+B. I haven't seen a scum player make a legit fakeclaim for a long time, so based on the metagame, I'm inclined to believe him when he claimed miller. However, you're right, his posts have been a little bit off. That's why I really want him to chime in on the MMToss situation.

Every single read he gives is null or townie. Again, no justification for the MMToss vote and then keeps splitting hairs over BMB. He asks other people to look at MMToss (gotta keep that scum wagon rolling, yo) but then doesn't offer any justification for the vote himself.

I find Ghost's entire train of reasoning on Mementoss consistent with a scum with prior knowledge of alignments, trying to stay active without posting real content.

Therefore: ## Vote Ghost_403


SnB's alignment has nothing to do with whether ghost is scummy or not. Im not sure which is more scummy ghost or SnB.

But I think I will be voting for ghost because his entire game speaks scum to me for SnB it's just a questionable claim that we can't know for sure is fake, its based mostly on speculation.

##Unvote:StrongandBig
##Vote: Ghost_403



Ghost STILL hasn't made a legit scum-read or pushed with any thread-presence to get anything done. Read the last page of his filter and show me how he's helping us catch scum. I don't see it.
- List post
- Town Read, questions about me
- Errant Speculation
- More questions about me, but no thoughts towards my alignment
- No-content post about looking up my history. I play "differently". Oh Noes.
- Voted me

If/When I flip town, hold him accountable please. No more excuses for inactivity. He's had too many of them already.

##Unvote: Ghost_403
##Vote: Ghost_403






If you still think I'm scum, what would you like me to address to try and change your mind? (This goes for anyone, don't let me die without at least trying to give town info)
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:33 GMT
#938
gg
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:40 GMT
#942
Oh snap plurality lynching.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:43 GMT
#943
So I know that there aren't clues...but uh...we're lynching fuba I guess?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 02:50 GMT
#945
Oh hey you are watching. Just checking. What do you think we should do today?
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 15:08 GMT
#951
Unless marv is kira, the green check Hiro got should be legit. Hiro was also most likely the scum shot the past two cycles which explains why marv is still alive. I'm sorely tempted to No-Lynch, watch marv die, and then lynch node.

Its MYLO, 3 town vs Kira. It can't be any convoluted second traitor scenario because the game would be over already (Win-Con doesn't specify that the traitor has to identify Kira).

##Vote: No-Lynch

Marv was his rhm, so it makes sense that he gets an ability, and he's claimed Investigate
Accuse was used (on Hapa?) so thats out.
Protection was used since he was NK'd

That leaves Framer unaccounted for. (Medic role)
As one might expect, I did not receive it given that I died.

Node or Fuba? Who wants to fight over it. Be back in an hour or two.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 17:20 GMT
#953
EBWOP: I just noticed I put that "I died" in my post. I meant I didn't get a role because Hiro wanted me to die.

Node or Fuba, what are your thoughts on no lynching?

Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 05 2012 20:55 GMT
#956
On September 06 2012 05:26 marvellosity wrote:
Generally I find the idea of a no-lynch a bit dull/stupid, and the only other time I found myself in a similar situation I was vigorously against it.

The only reason I'm entertaining the thought this time is because at the moment I'm not quite as certain as I was then. Gonna go through some filters and see if I can find that certainty.

Well that's my issue. I think you're town Marv. Mkfuba has made a reasonable case on Node, but if we mislynch, its game over. We've got a potentially strong WIFOM situation that could be used to flesh out Kira when the deadline hits.
To me its between fuba and node.
To you, it's probably between all of us.

I'm trying to piece together a case on one of them but I'm at work so I may not get it out until 2 hours to deadline. You said that's around 1:00AM for you. Are you going to be able to wait until the deadline? If not, I'd rather secure the No-Lynch and go through our options tomorrow.

On September 06 2012 05:44 mkfuba07 wrote:
Sorry, passed out after my last post, then had class.

I've considered a no-lynch, but in order for it to be successful I believe whoever the Framer is would have to save someone either today or tomorrow (scum has a kill today and another tomorrow, and the kills don't have to occur with the daypost). Maybe this would work, but the chances of Kira not killing the Framer the first night, and the Framer actually selecting the same person as Kira at least once aren't chances I'm particularly hopeful in taking. Do we even have a way to ensure that Hiro didn't choose Kira as the Framer?

Overall, I see the best way for town to win is have all three of our votes on a single person at the end of today, so that even when Kira tries to kill one of us, he cannot manipulate the vote. Clearly I believe that that person should be Node.

Framer doesn't really have to save anyone, even if he exists. Just creating the WIFOM helps. It puts us at 2v1 tomorrow assuming Kira connects. One less vote, but one less person to read in order to make our decision.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 06 2012 00:49 GMT
#963
Very Well.
##Unvote: No-Lynch
##Vote Node

Node it's too late to claim Framer, but uh...WIFOM, something, something, save the day if you're town.
Marv is probably gone at this point so we're pretty much locked in here either way. Fuba's not likely to swap his vote out either.
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 06 2012 01:30 GMT
#967
Sorry Fuba don't have time right now to give you a real answer and won't be back until after deadline. The game *should* be over tonight unless the Framer saves us. That's why the post you quoted is in there.

As for my 2 minute 'explanation'
Marv is asleep afaik. I know I'm town. I doubt you guys swap to Marv, but you can't anymore because of plurality lynch.

I'm not clear on who's scummier between you and Node. Marv forced my hand by voting Node. Doesn't really matter, I had a really busy day at work (still here btw) so I wouldn't have come up with a read either way. That was part of the reason I wanted to No-Lynch.

My "indifference" is guaranteeing that Marv and me CANNOT be lynched based on the voting mechanics, and I think Marv is town (and again, know I'm town). Unless Marv is still awake, there is nothing that can be done to stop this lynch anymore. (Unless Kira can in fact shoot us whenever the hell he feels like it)
Hopeless1der
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States5836 Posts
September 06 2012 14:30 GMT
#1016
On September 06 2012 23:20 syllogism wrote:
Okay, you still should have assumed the possibility of there being more to it than just "instructions" from L, not that any really ever came. Certainly it's possible for a townie to immediately and needlessly reveal information that can only hurt town, but it's far more likely for mafia to do that. If L had actually told you to post something, then revealing it would make more sense.

That was the whole reason I believed Marv was town. Hiro checked him, it returned green, and never confronted Marv when he claimed right-hand. He was alive for more than long enough to do something about it if Marv had lied. Hiro was giving marv the words that 'confirmed' Hiro was L. I put way too much faith in that greencheck.
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