Normal Mini Mafia III
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Just as a tidbit, I've never been mafia on here, but I decided that if I was: I would accuse a random player in the manner of Shady D1. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
I would say that Shady is my STRONGEST scumread... along with 10 other people. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Palmar's rando-lynch idea is anti-town because it achieves a lynch without any cases being made that can be used in later days. Also, rando-lynch allows mafia to get a free day -- they're going to be either voting randomly or bandwagoning. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
I think the context had a lot todo with that... Mafia were lurking pretty hard, so townies were able to coordinate riiiiit at the end of the day, so the bandwagon was incredibly sudden and mafia were not able to react well. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Shady can tunnel hard as town. More lurky as mafia. iamperfection doesn't like being pushed for analysis, even as town. can appear scummy. I wouldn't read too much into their meta because they're probably still really fluid. In my past 2 games I've tended to be very controversial early d1 to attract suspicion. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Shady Sands - I know him as an aggressive but sometimes misguided town member who was unafraid to go after people no matter what. It's possible he's changed his MO a bit now that he's swimming with the big sharks. Misguided being the money analysis. I wouldn't write him off because he clearly puts a lot of effort into the game, but I don't think his cases are very strong. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=12#235 In this post you explain the strategy, but it doesn't seem particularly strong. 1. There is a good argument for a townie to be against it: more likely to kill town than mafia. 2. If it becomes policy, mafia would have to be insane to try and back out... particularly after a name is chosen. 3. If it is adopted unanimously, there will be no 'voting evidence' to look at later on in the game. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
![]() | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=13#252 | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
As for lynch policy, I support lynching lurkers D1. Whether it is necessary or not, lynching lurkers is good for forcing activity, and seems to give a decent chance for catching mafia as well. If the day was ending now (I think this is what you mean?) I think town would be screwed because there is very little to vote on. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Do you think there is no reason to be looking at the players at the moment? If the day was ending today, who would you vote, and why? | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Looks like scum wants the town to do their work for them. ##FOS Shady Sands | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Regarding Shady, I have a null/town read on him based on his interactions (tunneling) with kville. I don't think he would be a good lynch target for d1because if he is scum we can smoke him out later based on his activity. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
This is Shady claiming scum everyone, please take note and vote accordingly. This statement is really over the top. You seem too experienced to push this as town; therefore I find your behavior scummy. ##Vote: VisceraEyes | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Scum hate making their own cases. It is much easier to get on board someone else's. Chez seems to be explicitly asking to do just this. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
@VE This was before you entered the thread. So you're either not reading the thread (my guess) or you're blatantly and maliciously misrepresenting the facts. Which is it Shady? I don't know how else to put this, but Shady can be a little slow some times. Remeber this policy post? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=12#225 He almost aggressively misinterpreted everything that was said, but once that was explained, he dropped it. So you're either not reading the thread (my guess) or you're blatantly and maliciously misrepresenting the facts. Shady gets confused. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
People that have played with VE before, do you find his case against shady plausible, and what sort of probability would you give of Shady flipping red? | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
1. VE is a veteran player that is considered to be quite skilled as both town and mafia. 2. Shady is a new player that can be 'bad townie' (arousing suspicions as VT) 3. VE is quite suspicious of Shady 4. I find shady's behavior to be in line with his 'bad townie' tendencies VE's behavior must be explained. Hence my questioning. 1. VE really thinks shady is scum, it is possible that he made a great read. 2. VE is applying pressure in order to refine his read. 3. VE is scum trying to start a bandwagon. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
On August 23 2012 06:54 VisceraEyes wrote: AH, the CRUX. In asking if I have a history of "successfully reading scum D1", ven if I have 100% accuracy in the past, this is completely meaningless unless you are operating under the premise that I'm town and am READING Shady. It shows his true thoughts on me (that I'm town) hiding beneath his actions (his vote, the questions, the ruse) and betrays preexisting knowledge of my alignment. Chez, you truly are inspirational. ##Unvote ##Vote Lvdr I don't see how this means I'm operating under the premise that you're 100% town. Since it is day 1, everyone can be town OR mafia, and must be analyzed from both points of view. I'm trying to determine IF you are town, have you had success in similar positions in the past? Is it plausible that you're a townie that has a read that goes contrary to mine? (I think Shady is bad townie) | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
He's wondering if I'm "reading you accurately" while voting me. He's SAYING he thinks I'm scum, but he slips my alignment in asking if I'm "reading you accurately"...which is something only town can do (scum don't read anyone, they know everyone's alignment). The reason I found your case scummy is that I found it too naive for an experienced player, hence my question about past reads. If this is standard play from you it is a lot less suspicious. If it raises red flags for other players that have played with you before then my mafia read is strengthened. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
for example "This was before you entered the thread. So you're either not reading the thread (my guess) or you're blatantly and maliciously misrepresenting the facts. Which is it Shady?" Here you're pressuring Shady quite hard, but I think Shady was doing his patented 'misunderstand what's going on' just as he did in this post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=12#225 | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##FOS Chezinu | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##FOSBluelightz for no content. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
On August 23 2012 10:41 Bluelightz wrote: Your attacking me too, start by explaining the bullshit in your first post please. I only have town reads to give right now. Tell us your town reads. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Of the lynch candidates I think bl or chez would be the best. Given that chez is not on the block... [b]##vote bluelightz[b] Got some reading to do. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
That said: this town has a horrible dynamic. My guess would be that this is because mafia are doing an effective job of obfuscation. Hence: my FOS goes to VE for being the leader of discussion. At the very least he has done a bad job of scumhunting, and at the most he has actively tried to make it difficult. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
For the record that is half of the town. Shady got a decent case, but was almost immediately forgotten later in the day. For his case on me, he jumped on one supposed contradiction, but as support waned, he was willing move his suspicion else where. otherwise people have been suspected based on reads that VE will not explain. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
On August 24 2012 08:04 VisceraEyes wrote: He can't be bothered to defend himself, I'm not going to do it for him. I don't understand why you think this is some big thing. It's really not. You haven't offered any explanation as to why Obvious is town, yet you accuse me of not trying to defend MY townread? Get outta here sir. Also this post screams "I don't want to go out on a limb, in case it gets sawed off" | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
For that matter are we lynching someone right now?? | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##obvious.660 | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##:unvote ##: Vote Bluelightz | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##Unvote ##Vote Obvious.660 | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Just got Internet access. Gj on your engineered mislynch on the easy one. Obvious scum, my ass. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
1. Top lynch choice was BL. 2. When Bl's spreadsheet was shared I made (essentially a gut call) that I thought it was a mislynch. 3. Straight up I am suspicious of VE, I have made numerous posts about it. 4. However, that close to the deadline it was not practical to try to push a lynch on someone that most have a town read on. 5. I wanted to AVOID a no-lynch. 6. Obvious was #3 on my lynch list behind BL and Chez. 7. I blatantly sheeped onto obvious to make sure there was a lynch. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
He is an active and productive poster, and killing him as town would be a blow to the town. However as I have stated http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=23#454 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=24#463 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=24#469 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=26#514 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=27#524 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=27#529 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=39#770 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=39#773 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=39#774 Maybe this is just me being paranoid, but for what its worth here are my suspicions of VE. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
VE is someone to watch not to hairtrigger lynch. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
On August 25 2012 12:55 iamperfection wrote: We finish what we should have done yesterday. ## Vote Bluelightz He hasent changed anything and then attempts to make a case on the god damn troll? Screw that the chezinu case seems to be just a hollow attempt to feign scum hunting. It reads as simply going the safe avenue to me. BLuelightz will spill red blood. Vote for this guy. [QUOTE]On August 25 2012 13:01 Bluelightz wrote: Out of the activity since D1 I think this stuck out to me the most. WIFOM I know, but this feels to me like a mafia trying to ride the pressure from yesterday into another mislynch. Chez has been worthless, I don't think he is a bad lynch. Therefore this reads to me to be a mafia trying to redirect scumhunting energies from a partner without committing so much he cant end up voting for chez later. More a gut read than anything else. In a weird way though it seems I might be a good lynch target because it might actually give the town some leads when I flip green. Still don't want to die, but if i'm so untrustworthy -- anything for the town ![]() | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Unfortunately it is very hard (at least for me) to read a troll player. YourHarry's scum game was deadly effective, and it doesn't seem that a troll townie could be all that useful to the town. Not sure why he voted for me, but hopefully there is an explanation at the other end of the rainbow. That being said, I think a vigi shot could be a good call at this point. Does the town know who made the shot Regarding talis, I would give him no better than a null read. 2 points that stuck out to me. 1. The activity is quite low, and not particularly filled with content. I wouldn't call it downright scummy though. 2. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=25#497 This post latches on to a stretch of a case, complete agreement, no further points made, never revisited beyond his initial AHA moment. Maybe I've talked myself into a scum-read. I have to see how I feel after some-more activity. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
On August 26 2012 20:35 Shady Sands wrote: This point is a classic WIFOM slip. You think chez is engaged. But you don't know since he's trolly. You cite an anecdote from another player in another game who was trolly and flipped scum. You don't know why he voted for you and subtly criticize his troll logic for doing so. And then you finish that part by asking for a vigi shot... on who? Chez for being trolly? Or you? You don't even address any of the other cases on yourself except by saying that you've talked yourself into a scum-read. You just address Chez's case, and even then, only implicitly, because Chez's case is the weakest. On Talis: Both points you cite regarding Talis are clear scumtells. Low content, lurky behavior. But somehow not "downright scummy." Then you cite his largest post as an example of active scumming. Then you say he is a null read. What? This entire post is an attempt to look active without committing to reads. This is a huge scumtell. Town, if you still haven't made up your minds about Lvdr yet, the above should be a clear reason to vote for a lynch on him. Doesn't this post make it clear that shady is completely nonobjective when it comes to me? This is a null read, but I think it is a good idea for the rest of the town to keep this in mind. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Let's see what happens. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Also, noone is here so the point is moot lol. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
The lack of activity makes me really uncomfortable. Also, it may be a cross game gambit, but Shady's actions here seem similar to those in the other game (where he flipped scum). I keep getting a "He is either really bad town or clumsy scum" read across the two games. I would say lets just lynch him, but I don't think thats actually good play. Hence, ##vote:Talismania | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Let's make sure we have a lynch today though, even if its me. 2 no lynches would be pretty bad... | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
I mentioned earlier that shady already tried a 'troll-lvdr' strategy as scum, and that I thought it was possible he was doing it in this game too. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Just do me a favor and wagon shady as well ![]() | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
12-2-me-2nk leaves 7! Much better, but still 4 to 3 which is precarious. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
##vote talismania | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Miltons nail in my coffin is too easy. talis has been coveres. dj i mentioned earlier. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
@Talis: (kind of roundabout, but i'm going to present it in the way I read it) 1. I have a strong town read on Marv. 2. I like his read on talis, esp the STYLE of read. To give an IE, I think he feels about talis the way I felt about Dandel Ion in newbie V: not based on specific posting mistakes, but a pure read based off the filter as a whole. 3. I looked at his filter myself and thought it looked kinda scummy, not a large quantity of posts, not a lot of actual content, kinda fluffy overall. 4. Some posts from his filter: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=67#1331 Seems like a scum jumping on a perceived mistake. I expect teh bads from shady, but really does everyone get to misread what I write? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=68#1352 I don't like the way he tries to undermine marv/marv's case with absolutely no evidence and no followup. This makes me think Shady is a bad-townie pawn more than scum. 4. His defenses have not struck me as town. This seems to be a cold reading thing, but he seems like an apathetic scum that is not too worried about getting lynched because I am clearly under the hammer. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
1. Giving his filter another read, I would say this is my #3 read, and the most likely to swap with Shady if Shady turns up being mafia. 2. That being said, his filter does not scream townie, as he tunnels the VE/CHEZ 'scumslip' I made D1, and then adds on chez (who is basically a free target), and talis which could be a distancing technique. 3. This post is my evidence #1 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=68#1350 He goes from talis who is supposedly a higher scumread and has more votes at the time, onto me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=65#1286 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=65#1292 First of all, he takes talis back from the brink, and makes me the much more probable lynch target. Second, How does this play make any sense from a townie perspective to do that from a higher scumread to a lower scumread? Screams that he is actually protecting talis without trying to appear to be. Third, he checks out immediately after the vote, and a long ways away from the lynch deadline in order to try to make the wagon stick and to avoid defending it. This is a drive-by-voting! | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
The lynch is for mafia, not for 'informative flips'! | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
First of all I had some suspicions on VE. Not sure if its really applicable, but its relevant. Mostly though, I don't think this post shows a townie mindset at all. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=70#1399 I would expect from a townie some discussion of that the vote he is casting IS THE DECIDING VOTE, and that a lynch is desirable over a no-lynch even though his knowledge (as a replacement) is limited. I would expect a townie to have some sense of doubt because they are a replacement and they don't want to come in and instantly make a mistake. Instead, Milton comes across as VASTLY prefering my bandwagon to talis, and without a hint of hesitation. He seems to unambiguously prefer lynching me to talis. Yes it is a confirmation bias, but it falls in perfectly with my theory of talis being mafia, and milton protecting him. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
@Milton: Have you played forum mafia before? | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
If you're really town, instead of playing another bad game as scum, you can start the wagon back onto talis. If I am actually scum, I can be lynched later. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
![]() | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
Your Talis read is basically null and you never changed it prior to voting him. Hence no read there, yet you wound up voting him This is just incorrect. You have been corrected multiple times but you keep using this as a case. You had no reads on anyone except on VE all through D1, which never really got anywhere. You wound up sheeping to Obvious D1 was extremely bland, and there was not a lot to work with. The play overall was 1.safe2.trolly3.lurky I also will check my filter because I don't remember that well and I don't trust you to get your facts right. # Somehow you loudly claim you had scumreads on multiple people, but a check of your filter doesn't find them there (until Milton hammered you, lol.) # Your behavior was much, much higher in the game where you were town. You put out 4 cases in the span of 1 day there, and actively led a last minute lynch wagon on a single person. You also proceeded to tunnel that person across 2 whole in-game days to secure a lynch there. By contrast, in this game, you pushed a weak case on VE, then sheeped Marv, then pushed a weak case on Talis, after sheeping Marv, then revoted Talis once there was a no-lynch on the basis of your non-existent prior scum read on him. I will discuss these together. My massive inactivity matches up quite well with the lynch deadline in the other game, where my focus was. Also, I had a strong scum-lead from d1 in the other game that I was able to loudly pursue as frankly the best player for town in that game. This game I was but a grasshopper, and I did not assume the same place in the town. I still contributed. The strongest parts of my cases are all things that have happened more recently. Therefore it makes sense that they were written recently. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
No one is nit-picking anything here, Lvdr. These are holes big enough to drive a truck through, and when added together they form a damning picture of guilt. Your case is super nitpicky, and seems quite personally driven. At best you have an activity read on me and a misinterpreted explanation of my talis case. If you don't realize how weak this is, I hope you learn something when I flip green, or you are scum. Actually believing this would be embarrassing. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=26#518 http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=32#623 Based on a contrived 'scumslip' you 'Had me cold' http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=48#956 After obvious wagon you decide that I am definitely scum based on trying to get a no-lynch? http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=52#1021 You vote me for 'martying myself' http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=359836¤tpage=52#1036 You decide my case on talis is ALSO a scumslip because I am not 100% positive. I'm gonna stop there in your filter. There are 4 OMGWTFBBQ scumslips that you accuse me of, all of which are contrived. I hope you're scum, because this is terrible town play. | ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
Lvdr
United States418 Posts
| ||
| ||