On July 24 2012 03:37 tube wrote:
eh you guys are making a mistake lol
The way you've played would suggest otherwise.eh you guys are making a mistake lol
Forum Index > TL Mafia |
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 23 2012 18:38 GMT
#1064
On July 24 2012 03:37 tube wrote: The way you've played would suggest otherwise.eh you guys are making a mistake lol | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 23 2012 22:04 GMT
#1069
On July 24 2012 07:02 Fulla wrote: Hapa has already explained why. Respond to my question, please.Not even trying to defend? | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 24 2012 03:12 GMT
#1083
On July 24 2012 09:44 ghost_403 wrote: @Town: Pay close attention to people who are trying to (a) convince you they are somehow "confirmed town" and (b) make long posts without contributing. These are what the scum try to spend their time doing. A good town player will spend their time trying to find scum. Scum will try to spend their time convincing you that they're spending their time trying to find scum. Learn the difference and punish people who do the latter. With this idea in mind, I looked at who is positioning to look best after a mislynch. Positioning for after the mislynch will let them remind us how they are somehow “confirmed town”. They got their read right, so must be on our side. Since tube flipped town, mafia will try to position well for the mislynch. So I’m thinking – who of the 7 of us left voted and positioned to look best after the result? Only one person made any effort to justify their standing after the lynch. Yes, you hopeless. On July 23 2012 06:35 Hopeless1der wrote: Think about this quote very carefully. What is he actually saying here? I’ve put in numbers and translated this post.I was reading him as town, and you as scum. Even after reading your case I thought so, as I feel you're pressed into a corner and have nothing else to push for except for tube's lynch. Having read his post, the fact that he doesn't seem to take this very seriously is very suspicious and drives me to want to vote for him instead of you. I'm not ready to swap my vote over completely, but I am prepared to ##Unvote This is looking like its going to be "too easy" to get tube voted. I'm pretty much the only one who ever gave him a town read to begin with.1 Seeing his posting regress to his initial garbage version makes we want to get rid of him as he was thoroughly berated for his style of posting and doesnt seem to give a damn. However, that in itself doesn't seem that scummy to me because it shows he's distinctly NOT trying, which sucks for town but doesn't prove his affiliation to me. I don't want to be lynching someone for being bad-town on D3.2 If he doesn't provide anything useful my hands are probably going to be tied as perfection has at least tried to make himself useful to town. Tube has not.3 1-I think he’ll flip town. I’m the only one that thinks he’s town. 2-Here’s why you guys suspect him; here’s why I don’t. 3-I’m going to vote for him anyways. Why is he reminding us that he is the only one who thinks he's town, when he's voting for him anyways? He gives reasoning why his opinion has decayed over time but neverthless he's trying to assert that he thinks tube is town. This is irrelevant because he is going to be killed anyways. The only thing your read could effect is our idea of you as a player afterwards. Another point in the filter that demonstrates the same concept. While I was hoping that obvious was mafia, hopeless is trying to actively assert his innocence. I don’t think he’s in a necessarily suspicious position. He made his vote early and stuck on it and his vote wouldn’t have mattered. If he were town, he could have said something like “I had my read and I stuck to my guns… it was decided without me either way. I’m trying to pressure him to talk” I don’t think this would have been suspicious – he would be justified here in my opinion. What irks me is the fact that he brings it up. He is actively worried about what others are thinking of him, moreso than actually finding mafia. I think he is trying to confirm himself town, rather than actually hunt. If it wasn’t suspicious, then why is he trying to make himself even less suspicious when he wasn’t in the first place? On July 18 2012 07:40 Hopeless1der wrote: So, am I going to get chewed out for not changing my vote? If I do, its a last minute bandwagon, and if I don't its because I Obviously (teehee) "knew" he was town. Unless someone unvotes Obvious.660, there is no way to alter the vote at this point because he got to 6 votes first. On July 18 2012 07:51 Hopeless1der wrote: If he flips scum, I still look bad because I've said he looked scummy, but didn't put my vote on him. I made that post to demonstrate the fact that I think I'm screwed no matter what I do at this point. On July 18 2012 07:58 Hopeless1der wrote: I'm preemptively pointing out the fact that I'm going to look scummy regardless of what I do, before someone can turn it into a case and run with it. Perhaps I should have just stayed quiet, but I've already said I'd be around at the deadline and I can see this turning out poorly for me. I'm trying to make my situation as transparent as possible to prevent people from considering I'm scum because of my voting pattern. He’s going to try and talk and squirm his way out but the actions can’t be taken back. Is his attitude focused on hunting or is it focused on asserting his innocence? I think it’s the latter. Why have we considered him town until now? One of the reasons I don’t agree with is that he (stupidly, if town) reminded us that there is no medic. I think that this move is bad for both town and mafia, though, and therefore not evidence of town. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 24 2012 16:56 GMT
#1087
On July 24 2012 15:42 YourHarry wrote: No point, nothing to gain. Everyone will claim VT regardless.And either way, we should think about start claiming beginning of tomorrow. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 24 2012 17:23 GMT
#1091
On July 25 2012 01:59 YourHarry wrote: Show nested quote + On July 25 2012 01:56 calgar wrote: On July 24 2012 15:42 YourHarry wrote: No point, nothing to gain. Everyone will claim VT regardless.And either way, we should think about start claiming beginning of tomorrow. Are you trying to role hunt? By saying people shouldn't claim? Don't follow you here. If someone wants to claim then they will if they think its the right time, that's their choice to make. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 25 2012 11:31 GMT
#1124
Since it's 4-2 its MYLO not LYLO. No lynch is clearly the best move right now. Mafia mislynch is game over. We are improving our chance for a lynch the next day and also giving DT another night to check. I figure there's no med, probably no vigi since no kill to date, and I guess there could be another vet but I think it's more likely DT. I don't think DT should claim. I've been trying to say that I don't think claiming is good here. We should get one more night of a potential DT check before doing a mass claim. I find it odd that you guys are voting on MYLO. ##Vote nolynch | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 25 2012 11:32 GMT
#1125
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calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 25 2012 12:04 GMT
#1126
On July 25 2012 18:01 YourHarry wrote: Would you clarify this? The vote would just pile up until the end of the 48 hour period right, giving them time to switch away?Wait, never mind. Calgar could still be the scum, but town calgar means either hopeless1 or iamperfection (or both) MUST be scums. This is because, if both hopeless1 and iamperfection are town voting for calgar, the scums would have already mislynched calgar. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 25 2012 18:54 GMT
#1135
I’ve rethought what I think about hopeless and him calling out that there was no doctor. Jingle knew there might not be a doctor but he tried to stay alive by ‘requesting’ it nevertheless. Hopeless points out that there probably isn’t one. Jingle is mad because hopeless has just killed whatever small chance jingle had of living to the next day. I think mafia wouldn’t have wanted jingle to be warned so explicitly. Maybe he still had some hope left and might not have done anything productive at night. I’ll stop here because it descends into even more WIFOM but I think hopeless is town because of this. Now, town should 100% no lynch. Whoever mafia hits, even Harry who we have strong feelings about, the field will be narrower and there is one less person to hide behind. Town will have a good chance at getting mafia lynched and that will bring it to 3-1, still very winnable. Mafia wants to lynch today and for people to get overzealous and go for their reads prematurely. Town needs to play logically here. Logic says no lynch is the best call statistically. My case now is against our replacement. Whatever you think about me, I think there is a better case for him. I think the burden is on the replacer to clear their name with aggressive posting and reads. I think if he were town he would have tried much harder to do so. Wouldn’t you if you had replaced in? This isn’t someone like tube who signed up and then gave up. He signed up as a replacement and then accepted it. I think he should care more considering he joined recently. He should have been posting much more, except for the fact that he hasn’t needed to since lurking would have almost won with people lynching on MYLO. He left us dangling with a promise to return. iamperfection is on the right track for calling him out. It’s interesting that mafia didn’t kill harry OR Speedbump-- not shooting Harry was a gamble, since he’s confirmed townie, to try and get a mislynch. Speedbump, though, as a replacement, traditionally gets the ‘benefit of the doubt’ and wouldn’t be lynched at LYLO. Mafia has definitely thought of this! viscera would have thought of it, and they are probably aware of it from guides also. Replacement townies are a huge liability for the mafia-- speedbump being alive should be very suspicious + everything else added on. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 26 2012 02:20 GMT
#1142
So, no fulla case then huh. You said it would come in 2-3 hours. Then the next day you say it’s not there but still coming that night. Then you come back after 2 days. You could have posted from your phone. So that makes no case still. You’re on your phone, you woke up late, your internet went down while making your case. That’s convenient. NK happens to be on the guy you promised your case on, also convenient. Convenient that you can still be unaccountable. Sounds like you’ve got lots of excuses but haven’t managed to push any original analysis. You sheep FOS onto iamperfection, sheep vote onto tube, and sheep FOS onto me. Baaah. Where are your thoughts? Where are your cases? How have you contributed to town at all, even once? The mafia targeting is partially WIFOM. The simplest shot would still have been to shoot YourHarry or you. Why didn’t they take the simplest? Bolded the flaw? Lol you bolded the entire thing. I’m suspicious of you because you are acting suspicious. Where is the ‘flaw’ in that reasoning? Maybe you should bold this entire response too. On July 26 2012 09:55 Speedbump wrote: Hmm. I guess I could just stop posting and try to help the town like you have. No onus? Did you conveniently forget the part where you disappeared for 48 hours? That means you do in fact have a burden, especially this late in the game. Honestly, what is town supposed to expect when you stop playing for that long? Why did you agree to replace if you were going to post that little? I have one explanation.To answer your flawed analysis there; unless the player pre-replacement plays exceptionally poorly, I don't think that the replacement has any onus of burden to defend himself overzealously, like you're implying. In fact, overzealous play causes more problems for town, with potential mislynches. On July 26 2012 09:55 Speedbump wrote: Have you got any contributions to make to town or are you going to purely sheep the rest of the game?But then, when one is reckless and grasping at straws the whole game, it would be easier to make more brash and reckless assumptions to mislynch and win. Have you got anything substantial to go on, or is this all purely WIFOM? FoS calgar | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 26 2012 20:28 GMT
#1150
You’ve got a lot of excuses; we’ve established that and can move on for now. It looks like you’ve done a rash job of rehashing my posts. On July 26 2012 14:09 Speedbump wrote: Day 1, you spend all your time flip-flopping your vote between iamperfection who you had constantly railed and backflipped to the whole day and YourHarry. (who you only decided to vote for after Hapahauli made his case) This was done in a manner of a person who doesn't care which person is lynched, which is heavily anti-town. You’ve oversimplified the situation here without understanding the reasoning. Why didn’t you mention the most important part of day 1 - trying to avoid mislynching obvious? That was why I changed my vote. I already explained that entirely to jingle in two extremely long posts. I cared about trying to get obvious off the lynching blocks – he didn’t help himself by giving up and disappearing. Day 2, more time spent flip-flopping between YourHarry and imperfection. This time, you spend a slight amount of time on Fulla's inactivity, while still heavily railing YourHarry and iamperfection. Afterwards, you continue your tunneling of iamperfection. You tthen decided to sheep drwiggl3s, while still tunneling YourHarry, only voting for drwiggl3s once he had 4 votes on him. Fulla was lurking and needed to be pressured, why is this noteworthy? Tunneling iamperfection while focusing on others? That’s not what the word means; you’ve repeatedly misused it. You’re misusing sheep also which makes reading this annoying. Everyone was on iamperfection for very suspicious posting behavior. He has admitted that himself. Yeah I had a case on harry, so did hapa. We backed off when he was confirmed. What’s your point here? I’ve tried to be aggressive and make cases, yes. Have I done a good job? No, considering 2 are left I’d say none of town has. Day 3, yet more time spent tunneling iamperfection, only deciding to follow iamperfection in voting tube, after Hapahauli and Hopeless1der had already weighed in their suspicions of tube. This sudden flip-flop on your aggression towards iamperfection looks very suspicious, considering a mislynch in that scenario leads to MYLO the next day. Everyone agreed that tube was suspicious. He gave up and quit so he’s the only one to blame here. Iamperfection has also been suspicious and suspected all game. What’s your point here? You’re rehashing reads that I’ve made when you haven’t made one all game. Or is this all a matter of convenience that you choose to overlook in pushing a more convenient 'case' against me? You've heavily sheeped iamperfection and YourHarry from the beginning I’d think I’d be more guilty of sheeping jingle and hapa this game then these two… ?? only changing your mind when someone else does makes an analysis that you conveniently borrow I’ve posted my fair amount of original analysis. Something that you have yet to do, as I’ve noted. I find it very suspicious that you mention mafia coaching, and it is weird you conveniently overlooked this part when quoting my response to you. I guess you slipped when trying to make a case against me. You’ve entirely missed this point so I’ll say it again. Replacement town is a liability for mafia because as a general game trend the replacement is given BOTD. The mafia coach is certainly aware of this (which is why I mention it) which would mean you would be a very attractive target for mafia to hit. WIFOM or not, they passed up the top 2 targets, of which you are one. the only onus I have is to help town in whichever way I can do so. How have you contributed to the town?On July 26 2012 18:20 YourHarry wrote: I've posted a whole lot on this, Harry. It's all through my filter, how have you missed it? That whole temporary solution thing if he sheeped jingle? Calgar's busses iamperfection early, but never follows through with it. I may have missed why calgar suddenly changed his view on iamperfection though. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 26 2012 21:48 GMT
#1152
On July 27 2012 06:01 iamperfection wrote: Well, I've written what I've written so nothing I can do about it now. I didn't mean for it to be intended that way and switched my vote fast enough to convince jingle of my innocence.Show nested quote + On July 21 2012 04:38 calgar wrote: I'll agree with you that drwiggles is a good lynch right now. Is he better than harry though? I'm planning to move my vote away from iamperfection - I may have come up with a solution to him, I'll post more on that in a little. Harry under fire has given us good reads on how several people have reacted. Show nested quote + On July 23 2012 05:24 calgar wrote: On July 23 2012 05:19 iamperfection wrote: As far as I'm concerned you piled your vote onto YourHarry and doubted jingle's motives until well after he claimed JK with the crumb... How does that constitute a 'perfect read' - it had to be spelled out for you. You were pretty far from the truth in both cases.On July 23 2012 04:43 tube wrote: Did i play the best no (even though the perfect one made 2 perfect reads on jingle and yourharry before anyone else) but im gonna at least im gonna go down swinging. If your town join in the conversation even if you dont agree with the other people are saying. I said more than that. Its funny that you would make fun of me saying that my read had to be spelled out for me when we look back it seems it wasen't so obvious at the time for you. Why is that Mr. Calgar? This as other pointed out is a scum slip in my eyes. the first post is the most daming evidence against you and i will be very reluctant following any type of case you put forth. Calgar is scum and my eyes and we should lynch him and move forward from there. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 02:12 GMT
#1165
On July 28 2012 10:20 Hopeless1der wrote: Show nested quote + On July 09 2012 07:40 Probulous wrote: Activity: You must post in this thread once per day/night cycle and vote every day while you are alive. If you fail to do so, you will be modkilled. Newbie games tend to have people who decide not to participate. I will not tolerate this, if you don't think you can play, then don't sign up. To confirm you have bothered to read my wonderful OP. I will only accept you into this game if you write "I will be active" in your sign up post. Assuming there is leniency due to being a noobie game and all, we're in LYLO today. Claim any roles as soon as possible with any reads you might have based on your claim (or regular reads for that matter). I honestly don't think there is a blue left because there should have been a last minute night post getting everything onto the table just before dieing. I still think calgar is scum. ##Vote Calgar Hopeless - 2/5 left are mafia. I am town. Does Harry's read as town not mean anything to you? What about jingle's read? If you really believe I'm the best vote then I can't do anything. I can't blame you for voting as you do. You sheeped jingle before in support of my innocence. Despite my inconsistent play, I'd like to encourage you to vote with me one more time. Humor me - what if I were town? Certainly mafia would leave me alive, right? I'm an automatic mislynch because of all the suspicion on me. Are you really sure there are no blues left? I think there's one more. Look at past games - I doubt there have ever been only two. This is all WIFOM, but if no one had a strong read on me, why would I go posting my bullshit cases on several people? I think this shows the motive of desperate townie more than mafia. I'm going to ##Vote speedbump. I would encourage you to join me for the sake of town. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 02:23 GMT
#1167
On July 28 2012 11:18 Hapahauli wrote: I have my doubts as to whether or not it will matter but I'll make an in-depth reply tomorrow morning.Calgar, all I ask is for you to defend yourself. There is plenty to suggest mafia-motive in your voting pattern, and time and time again you refuse to directly address the evidence against you. ##Vote Calgar | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 18:27 GMT
#1171
Back atcha + Show Spoiler + On July 28 2012 10:20 Hopeless1der wrote: I'll kindly remind you that you've broken the rules asking this question.Is each day/night cycle considered one cycle or are we required to post at least once between any given Day and Night (Or Night and Day post)? Depending on the answer, it is possible that both speedbump and calgar should be modkilled. On July 09 2012 07:40 Probulous wrote: Ban discussions: Please wait until this game is over to talk about modkills and bans resulting from this game. Roles + Show Spoiler + On July 28 2012 12:12 Hopeless1der wrote: I guess you and hapa are right, here. I just thought 3 blues was the standard amount to try and balance the game. A game could just as easily have no blues, or 3 godfathers vs a medic. As much as they might help, I'm going to play as though there are no further blues. YourHarry's 'defence' of calgar is somehow related to the fact that Jingle (confirmed town) targeted calgar with his rb and calgar did not receive a roleblock pm. YourHarry considered the mod's "profuse apologizing" to be indicative of calgar being town. I fail to see how any of that proves calgar's alliance and I'm effectively disregarding it altogether. I think it does show me as town, though. At this point jingle is essentially ‘confirmed town’ and had most of the towns support. When I was asked if I were roleblocked, the easiest answer would have been to say yes. By saying I didn’t, I directly contradicted everything jingle had said and claimed. He claimed jailor, he claimed he jailed me, according to the rules, I should have been notified. Why would I challenge him like that if I were mafia? I posted honestly, instead, contradicting him. The mod came in and conveniently explained everything so that jingle was once again essentially confirmed, and me essentially confirmed as having no active role due to the lack of notification. I couldn’t have known that the mod was going to post the explanation though. As far as I was concerned, it could have turned into a huge “me vs. jingle who is lying about the roleblock” debate. I had less town cred so I would have lost that, guaranteed. YourHarry's read + Show Spoiler + The other thing that YourHarry noted was the fact that he was going to try to lynch calgar and that leaving him alive would be a good way to promote a mislynch if calgar was town. That is a very WIFOM-y argument. Quite frankly, I have no faith in YourHarry's read because at LYLO, confirmed townies are the biggest threat to scum. He was target #1 and the fact that he somehow thought he was going to live makes me want to completely ignore his last couple posts. Just because he thought there was a chance he might not be killed doesn’t mean his analysis and reads are completely wrong. They passed up killing the ‘confirmed town’ once before, which made no sense last time, so just based off of that there was some chance. Hapa + Show Spoiler + On July 28 2012 11:25 Hapahauli wrote: Let me know if things are clearer or not after me and hopeless explanations.Show nested quote + On July 28 2012 11:12 calgar wrote: Does Harry's read as town not mean anything to you? Can you explain Harry's read to me? I honestly have no idea why that makes you town, nor do I even understand it. On July 28 2012 11:18 Hapahauli wrote: Of our lynches, who has defended themselves more, town or mafia? Mafia much more, by far. Whether someone bothers to address evidence has had no correlation on guilt.There is plenty to suggest mafia-motive in your voting pattern, and time and time again you refuse to directly address the evidence against you. I’ve already thoroughly addressed day 1 accusations + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 07:19 calgar wrote: The so called breadcrumb + Show Spoiler + Does it really make sense to you that I would know he's an active townie and a JK and not shoot him? He’s going to point the case at me either way so why would I hold off on killing him? There’s going to be pressure on me either way. Would you pass up on that kill as mafia? I wouldn’t think so - I think evul was a poor choice of hit. He was suspicious to me for lurking and that cleared the town to go after better targets. I thought the breadcrumb was damn obvious but didn’t mention it (at first, until he started attacking me) because I wasn’t sure if other people would see it. Did you guys really not see it? I actually breadcrumbed "JK" for jailkeeper back at him because I thought he was secretly telling me he was JK at first. Then I thought he was asking the jailer to jail me but it didn’t make sense to not just ask straight out. I thought I was clearly reading town at this point so his attack blindsided me. I then thought he might be trying to bait out an attack by YourHarry and then turn back on him before I finally realized. Why I think he's after me + Show Spoiler + Think about who jingle is. He's clearly a townie, and he clearly gets STUCK on an idea, and can't ever be convinced. He’s playing emotionally rather than logically. You can't argue with a bull. He points WIFOM at me and dismisses anything I say and “won’t stoop down your level Calgar”. Here’s my case: + Show Spoiler + Let’s go back to iamperfection who I called out very early. I brought his case up before anyone else, as a matter of fact. If it’s such an obvious case then why was I the first to bring it up? I’d also like to remind you that a confirmed townie was suspicious of him. This is one of the reasons I thought obvious was innocent. Do me a favor and re-read my initial argument: On July 17 2012 06:24 calgar wrote: Two – Nice of you to grace us with a single post, iamperfection. I feel like this may have been somewhat buried so I’d like to bring it back to people’s attention. I want to call to attention poor logic and assumptions. Show nested quote + Your logic:On July 17 2012 00:42 iamperfection wrote:It means i got me eye on you google is kind of usefull. Although calgar's premise is wrong. I think a mafia member is more likely to put much more thought into their posts then a non mafia member. From my 1 game of experience in which i played more of a lurker role as a mafia member the other 2 members put a ton of thought and effort into their posts. Even as going as far as having the coach review their posts before posting them to see what they thought. Hmm, so my premise about his anti-town behavior is wrong, based on your limited observations of being mafia last game? What?! First, that’s a terrible sample size. Second, it’s fallacious to assume that anything in your previous games has any relevance on how people will act in this one. Poor logic and mafia-like. What relevance does your specific last game have at all to our situation here? Show nested quote + It looks like you just scanned my post quickly and attacked it as “trying to shift suspicion”. Did you even read it or consider what I meant? It seems like many others agree with me about his anti-town behavior. It seems you’re defending anti-town behavior of tube here. You are by far looking the more sucpicious right now. The accusation on tube is telling to me. After the heat on you it seems you like you know want to set up a policy of lynching lurker or people that do one liners. Instead of drving the attention on one person it appears to me you are trying to get us looking at a whole group in order to confuse the town FOS Calgar Also, i think there is a possibility yourharry post was an attempt to get attention away from calgar smaller FOS on YourHarry Why are you suggesting that I have some grand strategy of people to lynch? It looks to me like I made one very specific post about a single player. Yet I have plans of setting up a lynching policy to "confuse the town". Putting words into my mouth - very suspicious. Your post strikes me as if you were mafia and were planning how to enter the game late. You decided to jump onto someone’s reasoning bandwagon to try and avoid attention. Why do I say this? You make no effort in original thought. To me it looks like you scanned the thread, looked at who had been attacked, and said “Oh yeah I agree, FOS on the same two guys as jingle”. I think my case is straightforward and makes sense. Iamperfection has a habit of just jumping onto other people’s suspicions. It’s clear that he’s not even bothering to read the thread. He says neither I nor hapa have made arguments as a reason for us to be suspicious. We both, in fact, do. It’s like he’s playing a different game or all the arguments and evidence is just flying over his head. He then backs off of me after I vote him to avoid a confrontation. Now he’s back at it, tagging onto me with no reasoning. Look at this quote: On July 20 2012 01:24 iamperfection wrote: He bandwagons with jingle again. His second and third sentences are logically disconnected. What does the issue of whether or not mafia picked up on the breadcrumb have to do with how risky it is for jingle to lie? His play is so careless. It's fact that I've challenged people in the thread to talk more. iamperfection has never done this. Why does it seem that I am the only one that feels strongly about this?Jingles claim looks legitamate to me. I'm not buying any crap that jingle should be dead because he bread crumbed. It would be so risky for jingle to lie and hell this is newbie mafia i didnt spot the bread crumb and im sure a lot of players didnt spot it. I think perf is very likely mafia. Even if you think I'm a bit suspicious, I knew jingle was JK so you're saying that mafia knew of the JK and didn't shoot. Why would mafia ever pass up such an easy blue? It looks like the mafia may have missed the breadcrumb. iamperfection missed it and I think he’s mafia. Is this not plausible? Lynch him first – you can always come back to me with more information. My thoughts in regards to calling the ‘vigi hit’ from when I was in the moment. This is the best explanation I can give for my reasoning. + Show Spoiler + I've suggested a vig hit as a means to try and pressure iamperfection to talk. Trying to light a fire was my only intention with the post, I haven't actually considered whether or not it is wise to do yet. Here are my thoughts: It is 8:3 right now and probably 7:3 after night kill. Scenario A: he is mafia No vigilante kill occurs – we pressure him for 3 days, end up voting him. He dies – mafia is revealed. 7:2 going into night. Vigilante kill occurs – we see him flip mafia and glean what we can from that. We move on to lurkers/suspicious. 7:2 going into day, fate is in our hands to make it 7:1 or 6:2 into night. Scenario B: he is confused townie No vigilante kill occurs – we pressure him for 3 days, end up voting for him. He dies – town is revealed. 6:3 going into night. Vigilante kill occurs – we see him flip town and glean what we can from that (nothing). We move on to lurkers/suspicious. 6:2 going into day, fate is in our hands to make it 6:1 or 5:2 into night. Is it a rash call to make the hit? He's one of the impossible-to-tell ones with weak reads, low post count, ignores questions. I think it's basically a big gamble. We mis-lynched which I tried to argue against so this can put us ahead again, or even more behind if he ends up town. I'd want to vote for him anyways, though, for tomorrow during day lynch, so I figure if we are guaranteed to try him then might as well flip him now because if we're wrong about him we're wrong. For wavering + Show Spoiler + I’m trying to show you through my actions that I have pro-town goals. It’s disheartening to be in this position after becoming emotionally invested in the game - that is my explanation for wavering today. I thought about doing what obvious did and I understand why he just walked away. It's incredibly frustrating to be attacked when I'm trying to help the town make progress by encouraging discussion. In regards to asserting my noob and using "wait and see". + Show Spoiler + On July 16 2012 10:07 calgar wrote:You make a very interesting inference there, hapa. You infer that my lack of mafia history on TL equates to newbieness. I have in fact played many games of Mafia before and am not a newb. I don’t plan to use newbieness as any kind of excuse for my actions. I clarify to hapa that I am not a newb and am not planning on using it as an excuse. It doesn't make sense for me to hint at being newb and then directly assert the opposite and that I don't plan on using that excuse in my response. The “wait and see” comment doesn’t mean a thing. Obvious was lynched for similar reasons. That is proof that taking comments out of context is no measure of mafia. My defense for that portion of the conversation, rather than was is paraphrased and put into my mouth, is that I am town because I am making an effort to talk. It would have been very easy for me to disappear after showing up briefly, responding to hapa’s attack, satisfying him with a good answer, and then lurking much more like several other players in the thread have. jingle sums this up with "you're just talking, not doing anything productive". What is my next post, in tacit response to this? I call tube out and eventually get him to become a more active poster. My voting + Show Spoiler + My goal in voting D1 was to try and lynch someone else besides obvious.660 since I read him as town. I swung between people I thought were good targets to try and sway the vote away. On July 20 2012 01:45 JingleHell wrote: There's so much excessive exaggeration here that it blows my stance out of proportion. I "jumped on the tube wagon" to pressure him into talking more. It worked - and guess what, I read him town and backed off. I me-too on hapa because I read him strongly town. I tried to work with him to lobby votes to save obvious.660. 2: Second part of day 1: He jumps on the tube wagon, shifts votes everywhere, and "me-too"s onto myself and Hapa incessantly. Calls for votes on perfection, but doesn't vote for perfection himself until Hapa does. He has his vote on someone other than the various people he calls his strongest scum read quite often. This is false. I was the first person to vote for iamperfection. My strongest read is iamperfection and 2/3 of my votes were for him. How is this "on someone other than the various people he calls his strongest read on"? I changed to YourHarry in an effort to swing momentum over to him to save obvious. I swung it back to my original target after harry defended accusations and I thought the case was stronger on iamperfection once again.and + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 08:34 calgar wrote: The last one took me over an hour, here we go again. I’ve responded a little out of order but everything is there. If you can just explain + Show Spoiler + So, if you can just explain the scummy behavior in your responses to me, and finish with the shortcomings I've already outlined, I'll move on to someone else happily. Well, I’ll explain honestly. The interpretation is up to you. When you dismissed my last night’s post and said you wouldn’t stoop to my level you made me feel powerless. I didn’t understand what you expected from hypothetical townie calgar and thought you had robbed me of my voice. I read you as town but I couldn’t completely stop emotion from getting into my posts. I said in my previous post, for better or worse and however silly, that I’ve become emotionally invested. I’m posting today after encouragement in a different state of mind. I said it blindsided me – this added more to the emotion. If you sense a different player from yesterday to today – this is why. Ad homs and emotion + Show Spoiler + You're still using ad homs and invoking emotion as a response to me. You've started to sort of mention the things I brought up, but not properly. You're accusing me of taking you out of context, yet I'm not. I'm taking you in context of the thread as a whole, at the times of posts. I feel that your overall tone in posting is overly aggressive, condescending, and you have offended me outside the game. I wasn’t kidding about considering giving up and walking away like obvious did - perhaps my skin is too thin. I'll drop that, there's nothing really to discuss about it. That is part of the reason for my tone in response. Because you show signs of a cooler tone and logic I will reply again. As I already explained in my previous post, I have let frustration leak into my posting. That is another reason for the tone.Just for giggles + Show Spoiler + You know what, just for giggles, I'll even give benefit of the doubt on the vigi hit thing, since the numbers at least seem like a reasonable assessment, and it comes down to a gut feeling on whether it's just too damn easy of a target. The breadcrumb and hapa thing, of course, is purely circumstantial and WIFOM, and only applicable if you flip scum, so it doesn't need to be part of your defense, really. Alright, we’ll drop these two. WIFOM + Show Spoiler + Let's face it. You spend more time in your response here asserting that "Since I'm town - WIFOM". That's not an explanation for scummy behavior, that's asserting that people should trust you because you say so. Didn’t you say something along the lines of all arguments can be boiled down to WIFOM? What do we really have as hard evidence as town? We know two flips are certainly town – one produced no information and the other produced some. That’s not much objective information to go off of. Everything else is subjective – how else can I defend myself? I feel like I have acted in a pro-town manner, though. Regardless of what my role is, there is that behavior that is helpful to one side that can be analyzed.You didn't exactly make the post saying you'd been in multiple games elsewhere until Hapa called you out on subtly playing the noob card. A reaction doesn't change the post itself. I think this goes along with the WIFOM. It is what it is; you interpret it how you will. Whatever I say will be WIFOM about it.My voting continued + Show Spoiler + Your original vote on perfection has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that you then jumped from one "strong read" to another, with your votes frequently being directly contradictory to your "strongest read", up until you got Hapa to shift a vote, at which point you finally voted for perfection. I felt good about my original vote. Then no one else added on and the votes went up to 4 or 5 (don’t care to sort out the exact timing) vs. just 2. The activity seemed poor to me so I didn’t give the case my all. The logic: YourHarry had 2 votes with me and iamperfection had one. If I switched to iamperfection before I knew that hapa would then it would still be at 2 votes – this doesn’t serve my stated purpose. When hapa responded several minutes later and switched it was then beneficial to switch because it made the count go up to 3 votes. There was a chance hapa might have said “no, I’m sticking with harry”. Switching wouldn’t have mattered then because each had one vote without my support. On obvious.660 + Show Spoiler + You keep pointing fingers back to Obvious to make my case against you look weaker, but you're ignoring that the case against him was a result of his own actions. Was I a major factor in the case? Yes. Do I regret the needless loss of a town vote? Absolutely. Does that make it my fault that he appeared scummy? No. His posts were his downfall, not mine. Your posts are what have me breathing down your neck, and even while putting up this facade of a response, you continue in your need for personal attacks. My only point is that I considered myself aligned with obvious and that we have played similar games. He agreed on my suspicion of iamperfection. Yes it was a result of his inactions and then failure to defend. I’m not sure what your issue is here. I think it’s that I’m giving you a hard time for his death because we disagreed on the read. Is that the case? I can try to respond more if I’m on the right track. If not could you clarify?Hell, the Obvious case, IIRC, you said you saw where I was coming from, but didn't draw the same conclusions. That's a far cry from how you're treating it now, trying to weaponize it against me. Credible job + Show Spoiler + Overall, you're starting to do a credible job of explaining yourself. I can at least accept your explanation for most of the "me-too" attitude, although I do find it foolish to have a strong town read that early in D1. I'm not exactly at the point of no return here, I just want answers, which you've withheld, while acting like it would be some sort of waste to respond, even when it's anything but. If I can stop arguing with Hapa outside of case arguments, surely you'd be able to believe I'd be able to back off on a case I'm actually persuaded is bad. Glad you think so. All I have to go off of is reads – my style is to play a little more trusting then you. It’s risky but I like to think I have allies that I’m working with rather than trusting absolutely no one. As to the “waste to respond” attitude, see my sappy earlier bits about wavering and my last post. My breadcrumb in response to jingle + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 07:50 Hopeless1der wrote: Cant respond in detail yet, but Calgar, where is the breadcrumbed 'JK' you referred to? It’s in the silly bit about reckless animals. Two capitalized letters and the rest is lower case. If you’ll notice I always capitalize, and reverted to my normal writing style immediately after the “secret message” paragraph that started the post. Math + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 08:03 JingleHell wrote: You’re right, I was riled up and accidentally typoed there. It got a little confusing bouncing back between the scenarios.Wait, actually, the numbers on the vigi kill are both from the perspective of him being scum. You say if he flipped town, Show nested quote + e see him flip town and glean what we can from that (nothing). We move on to lurkers/suspicious. 6:2 I can assume that's a brain fart, but it would be 6:3 going into today, had vigi hit him and he was town. I still kinda see the reasoning, but based off of too little evidence like I said. The crumb revisited + Show Spoiler + While we’re on jingle, have you guys forgotten about the breadcrumbing bit? Mafia killed jingle a day late but should have done so immediately if they picked up on the crumb. No reason to pass someone up who so blatantly claims blue. I saw the breadcrumb right away, why didn’t he die that night? Why did I bother to breadcrumb back? I think mafia missed the crumb which gave him another day. Did I plant that to refer back to once I was under fire as mafia or did I try to communicate with him as town? Obvious.660 read me as town. So did jingle. Apparently YourHarry did too. You’re voting against all of their reads, as confirmed town. Doesn’t sound smart to me. iamperfection + Show Spoiler + I’ve already explained my thoughts on iamperfection. If he flips mafia then I guess I’m the fool for falling for his antics. I’ve seen the other people playing poorly this game flip town. I changed my mind before I had to see him flip this time. On July 21 2012 04:54 calgar wrote: I also want to propose a temporary solution to iamperfection. I may have been reading his actions on the wrong side of the coin. I’ve said in my previous posts that it boiled down to whether he was mafia or confused townie. At the time we didn’t have anything better to go off of so I considered it to be our best vote in order to maximize the % of killing mafia. What he’s said recently in his vote on YourHarry made me change my mind. His defense of YourHarry shows his reluctance to put the vote there, so he shouldn’t have any trouble changing to match with jingle again. Well, this didn’t work very well considering jingle died. What it boils down to.. + Show Spoiler + On July 26 2012 14:09 Speedbump wrote: I was pressuring fulla to talk more, like I did with iamperfection in day 3. A worthy cause for town. Day 2, more time spent flip-flopping between YourHarry and imperfection. This time, you spend a slight amount of time on Fulla's inactivity, while still heavily railing YourHarry and iamperfection. Afterwards, you continue your tunneling of iamperfection. You then decided to sheep drwiggl3s, while still tunneling YourHarry, only voting for drwiggl3s once he had 4 votes on him. YourHarry was very suspicious for a period. Why would a town ever post all of those garbage one liners in all caps? It was poor play – lots of things that he deserved to be pressured for. I made a case for him, so did hapa. Jingle thought he was guilty. He also had suspicions against jingle and i when everyone and their mother read jingle as town. Town would have lynched him if wiggles hadn’t revealed himself. What I’m trying to say is that my stance was reasonable and logical for a suspicious townie, and was shared by others. The post about wiggles looks bad and I can’t say anything otherwise. I changed my vote quickly enough for jingle to believe I was town. Day 3, yet more time spent tunneling iamperfection, only deciding to follow iamperfection in voting tube, after Hapahauli and Hopeless1der had already weighed in their suspicions of tube. This sudden flip-flop on your aggression towards iamperfection looks very suspicious, considering a mislynch in that scenario leads to MYLO the next day. I was pressuring iamperfection to make him talk more. He started talking, and the accusations looked tempting on tube. He was an easy target to lead a mislynch on and I got fooled. Poor posting, inactivity, suspicious motives and several things that made everyone question him. He wasn’t trying and the lack of effort doomed him. We all thought tube was a good case. I thought he was a little better than iamperfection and so I voted him. He made it look worse as the votes piled up so I left it there. I thought he was going to flip mafia. I was wrong, so was the rest of town. Not much else to say about it. If I had been right more we wouldn’t be here. My case + Show Spoiler + I see mafia motive behind speedbumps' lack of posting. He should have been more active since he agreed to replace in. He didn't need to be, though, because the town was headed to mislynch with fingers pointing the wrong direction. He steps in soon after getting attacked, but only enough to divert attention. Where are his reads? Why isn't he posting any analysis? He doesn't need to be. I was the easiest target for him to focus on because of my recent accusation against hopeless, so he pointed the finger back to me. Well, it's worked so far so tip of the hat to him. YourHarry got his read right on me. So did jingle, so did obvious. One last mislynch and it’s game over. Am I really the best lynch? | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 19:57 GMT
#1173
On July 29 2012 04:52 iamperfection wrote: Well, I don't really know, but if I had to guess I'd say speedbump + hapa.@calgar just to be clear Who do you think the second scum member is? Is it still hopeless in your eyes? | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 23:35 GMT
#1175
On July 29 2012 06:48 Hapahauli wrote: One case at a time, no reason to do otherwise.Calgar, I'm currently reading through your defense and will post a response later tonight. But I HAD to comment on this right away: Show nested quote + On July 29 2012 04:57 calgar wrote: On July 29 2012 04:52 iamperfection wrote: Well, I don't really know, but if I had to guess I'd say speedbump + hapa.@calgar just to be clear Who do you think the second scum member is? Is it still hopeless in your eyes? Congratulations Calgar, you now have standing suspicions against every player in this game. But seriously... you're saying you bandwagonned on all of my suspicions and cases since Day 1 because you thought I was mafia?!?! Everyone who thought I was town was shot. Is that not a little bit weird? Is mafia not trying to aim a mislynch in a certain direction? Seems like it would be really easy to do so. Where is speedbump? He's a better lynch. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 28 2012 23:57 GMT
#1176
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calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 29 2012 01:31 GMT
#1178
I think a lot of the case for poor voting can be made for hopeless and iamperfection. Come on guys, switch your votes! They're hoping you'll go along with the case. Try and rethink it objectively based on the facts. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
July 29 2012 12:50 GMT
#1186
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