Newbie Mini Mafia XXI - Page 3
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calgar
United States1277 Posts
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calgar
United States1277 Posts
Look at how I’ve stuck with my strongest D1 read until now. I’ve made my strong reads known. I’ve called out mufaa, evul, and fulla to participate more. I’ve tried to pressure iamperfection into talking more but he doesn’t directly respond. I wasn’t trying to lead the town in the wrong direction with my breadcrumb post, but rather give my reads before N1 ended. In response to accusing jingle of being mafia and saying he’s town – that wasn’t my intention. I’m frustrated at some of his bad logic and how his reads keep being wrong. I think if anyone had been actively posting in the thread or showed any doubts about switching during the D1 vote then I would have tried harder to get them to switch away from obvious. In hind-sight I should have tried harder but that doesn’t matter at this point. In response to YourHarry, I made point #12 very quickly at the end of my pre-typed post. I was confused about what you were suggesting by claiming that people should claim role-blocked but you guys clarified it by the time I posted so I withdrew the claim because I understood what you meant. | ||
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calgar
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On July 19 2012 22:19 JingleHell wrote: I'm curious. I've said I'll answer anything specific. I don't think it will be productive to go through everyone's huge lists with a long typed up response. Too much clutter.Why are you changing the subject? | ||
calgar
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On July 20 2012 00:33 JingleHell wrote: Your case is WIFOM, what is there to address? I'm spreading seeds of doubt? I flop votes like a bunny on cocaine? Like its going out of style? I lobbied to save a townie as part of a malicious plan? Because hapa is still alive after your silly breadcrumb? You aren't worth a response so you're not going to get another.I personally will be doing this: ##Vote Calgar Until and unless Calgar stops trying to dismiss my case against him as "too long" (too much evidence, lolwut?) and actually responds to it. | ||
calgar
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On July 20 2012 01:53 Hopeless1der wrote: You aren't going to decide for yourself who to lynch D2? This is what the game is all about, it's the crux; why are you playing?I want to see calgar's conviction to stay alive here. Let's see you either convince Jingle of your innocence or iamperfection's scumminess. OTHERWISE I'M VOTING FOR CALGAR. Seriously, I plan to sheep Jingle today regarding the decision on voting for calgar. If Jingle removes his vote, I'll learn to think for myself again. There is too much suspicious dialogue between Jingle, Hapa and calgar for me to make a good read, and I believe Jingle's breadcrumb, so he's the one I'm going to follow. Let's put all the complicated theories aside for a second. Have I managed to help the town at all with any of my actions. Has iamperfection helped the town with any of his actions? Who would you lynch of the two if one has and one hasn't? | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
On July 20 2012 06:12 Hopeless1der wrote: His stated burden of proof is "overwhelming reason". How can any defense, no matter how skillful, meet that standard? It's a forgone conclusion in my eyes.I'm going to put faith into my town read of Jingle and rely on his reaction to your (lack of) defense to determine whether or not I vote for you. I'm giving you multiple ways to get out of being voted. Either push for iamperfection's lynch properly, or post a legitimate defense. Based on my reads, I think iamperfection looks scummier, BUT I also believe that Jingle's breadcrumb is legit and that he is committed to his vote against you. If you cannot convince him to Unvote you, I'm comfortable switching my vote to you, and I'm making this as plain as I possibly can. There is no subterfuge or hidden meanings. Get yourself Unvoted by Jingle or I will vote for you calgar. If you don't think I'm playing the game, I completely disagree. I'm sheeping my town read instead of pushing my scum read. I don't think that's anti-town, as I've made my input on both cases and still have the opportunity to add more later. Its still a play using the information contained within this thread and I still had to make my own decision to commit to this course of action. I've laid out my reasoning that I might switch votes very early and shown the precise event that would cause me to switch. If the town finds my reasoning invalid, I expect to hear about it, and I am ready to defend my actions further if required. Laying aside the complicated theories, WIFOM. Present a defense you lazy bastard or you don't get any more prune juice. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
+ Show Spoiler + Does it really make sense to you that I would know he's an active townie and a JK and not shoot him? He’s going to point the case at me either way so why would I hold off on killing him? There’s going to be pressure on me either way. Would you pass up on that kill as mafia? I wouldn’t think so - I think evul was a poor choice of hit. He was suspicious to me for lurking and that cleared the town to go after better targets. I thought the breadcrumb was damn obvious but didn’t mention it (at first, until he started attacking me) because I wasn’t sure if other people would see it. Did you guys really not see it? I actually breadcrumbed "JK" for jailkeeper back at him because I thought he was secretly telling me he was JK at first. Then I thought he was asking the jailer to jail me but it didn’t make sense to not just ask straight out. I thought I was clearly reading town at this point so his attack blindsided me. I then thought he might be trying to bait out an attack by YourHarry and then turn back on him before I finally realized. Why I think he's after me + Show Spoiler + Think about who jingle is. He's clearly a townie, and he clearly gets STUCK on an idea, and can't ever be convinced. He’s playing emotionally rather than logically. You can't argue with a bull. He points WIFOM at me and dismisses anything I say and “won’t stoop down your level Calgar”. Here’s my case: + Show Spoiler + Let’s go back to iamperfection who I called out very early. I brought his case up before anyone else, as a matter of fact. If it’s such an obvious case then why was I the first to bring it up? I’d also like to remind you that a confirmed townie was suspicious of him. This is one of the reasons I thought obvious was innocent. Do me a favor and re-read my initial argument: On July 17 2012 06:24 calgar wrote: Two – Nice of you to grace us with a single post, iamperfection. I feel like this may have been somewhat buried so I’d like to bring it back to people’s attention. I want to call to attention poor logic and assumptions.Your logic: Hmm, so my premise about his anti-town behavior is wrong, based on your limited observations of being mafia last game? What?! First, that’s a terrible sample size. Second, it’s fallacious to assume that anything in your previous games has any relevance on how people will act in this one. Poor logic and mafia-like. What relevance does your specific last game have at all to our situation here? It looks like you just scanned my post quickly and attacked it as “trying to shift suspicion”. Did you even read it or consider what I meant? It seems like many others agree with me about his anti-town behavior. It seems you’re defending anti-town behavior of tube here. Why are you suggesting that I have some grand strategy of people to lynch? It looks to me like I made one very specific post about a single player. Yet I have plans of setting up a lynching policy to "confuse the town". Putting words into my mouth - very suspicious. Your post strikes me as if you were mafia and were planning how to enter the game late. You decided to jump onto someone’s reasoning bandwagon to try and avoid attention. Why do I say this? You make no effort in original thought. To me it looks like you scanned the thread, looked at who had been attacked, and said “Oh yeah I agree, FOS on the same two guys as jingle”. I think my case is straightforward and makes sense. Iamperfection has a habit of just jumping onto other people’s suspicions. It’s clear that he’s not even bothering to read the thread. He says neither I nor hapa have made arguments as a reason for us to be suspicious. We both, in fact, do. It’s like he’s playing a different game or all the arguments and evidence is just flying over his head. He then backs off of me after I vote him to avoid a confrontation. Now he’s back at it, tagging onto me with no reasoning. Look at this quote: On July 20 2012 01:24 iamperfection wrote: He bandwagons with jingle again. His second and third sentences are logically disconnected. What does the issue of whether or not mafia picked up on the breadcrumb have to do with how risky it is for jingle to lie? His play is so careless. It's fact that I've challenged people in the thread to talk more. iamperfection has never done this. Why does it seem that I am the only one that feels strongly about this?Jingles claim looks legitamate to me. I'm not buying any crap that jingle should be dead because he bread crumbed. It would be so risky for jingle to lie and hell this is newbie mafia i didnt spot the bread crumb and im sure a lot of players didnt spot it. I think perf is very likely mafia. Even if you think I'm a bit suspicious, I knew jingle was JK so you're saying that mafia knew of the JK and didn't shoot. Why would mafia ever pass up such an easy blue? It looks like the mafia may have missed the breadcrumb. iamperfection missed it and I think he’s mafia. Is this not plausible? Lynch him first – you can always come back to me with more information. My thoughts in regards to calling the ‘vigi hit’ from when I was in the moment. This is the best explanation I can give for my reasoning. + Show Spoiler + I've suggested a vig hit as a means to try and pressure iamperfection to talk. Trying to light a fire was my only intention with the post, I haven't actually considered whether or not it is wise to do yet. Here are my thoughts: It is 8:3 right now and probably 7:3 after night kill. Scenario A: he is mafia No vigilante kill occurs – we pressure him for 3 days, end up voting him. He dies – mafia is revealed. 7:2 going into night. Vigilante kill occurs – we see him flip mafia and glean what we can from that. We move on to lurkers/suspicious. 7:2 going into day, fate is in our hands to make it 7:1 or 6:2 into night. Scenario B: he is confused townie No vigilante kill occurs – we pressure him for 3 days, end up voting for him. He dies – town is revealed. 6:3 going into night. Vigilante kill occurs – we see him flip town and glean what we can from that (nothing). We move on to lurkers/suspicious. 6:2 going into day, fate is in our hands to make it 6:1 or 5:2 into night. Is it a rash call to make the hit? He's one of the impossible-to-tell ones with weak reads, low post count, ignores questions. I think it's basically a big gamble. We mis-lynched which I tried to argue against so this can put us ahead again, or even more behind if he ends up town. I'd want to vote for him anyways, though, for tomorrow during day lynch, so I figure if we are guaranteed to try him then might as well flip him now because if we're wrong about him we're wrong. For wavering + Show Spoiler + I’m trying to show you through my actions that I have pro-town goals. It’s disheartening to be in this position after becoming emotionally invested in the game - that is my explanation for wavering today. I thought about doing what obvious did and I understand why he just walked away. It's incredibly frustrating to be attacked when I'm trying to help the town make progress by encouraging discussion. In regards to asserting my noob and using "wait and see". + Show Spoiler + On July 16 2012 10:07 calgar wrote:You make a very interesting inference there, hapa. You infer that my lack of mafia history on TL equates to newbieness. I have in fact played many games of Mafia before and am not a newb. I don’t plan to use newbieness as any kind of excuse for my actions. I clarify to hapa that I am not a newb and am not planning on using it as an excuse. It doesn't make sense for me to hint at being newb and then directly assert the opposite and that I don't plan on using that excuse in my response. The “wait and see” comment doesn’t mean a thing. Obvious was lynched for similar reasons. That is proof that taking comments out of context is no measure of mafia. My defense for that portion of the conversation, rather than was is paraphrased and put into my mouth, is that I am town because I am making an effort to talk. It would have been very easy for me to disappear after showing up briefly, responding to hapa’s attack, satisfying him with a good answer, and then lurking much more like several other players in the thread have. jingle sums this up with "you're just talking, not doing anything productive". What is my next post, in tacit response to this? I call tube out and eventually get him to become a more active poster. My voting + Show Spoiler + My goal in voting D1 was to try and lynch someone else besides obvious.660 since I read him as town. I swung between people I thought were good targets to try and sway the vote away. On July 20 2012 01:45 JingleHell wrote: There's so much excessive exaggeration here that it blows my stance out of proportion. I "jumped on the tube wagon" to pressure him into talking more. It worked - and guess what, I read him town and backed off. I me-too on hapa because I read him strongly town. I tried to work with him to lobby votes to save obvious.660. 2: Second part of day 1: He jumps on the tube wagon, shifts votes everywhere, and "me-too"s onto myself and Hapa incessantly. Calls for votes on perfection, but doesn't vote for perfection himself until Hapa does. He has his vote on someone other than the various people he calls his strongest scum read quite often. This is false. I was the first person to vote for iamperfection. My strongest read is iamperfection and 2/3 of my votes were for him. How is this "on someone other than the various people he calls his strongest read on"? I changed to YourHarry in an effort to swing momentum over to him to save obvious. I swung it back to my original target after harry defended accusations and I thought the case was stronger on iamperfection once again. | ||
calgar
United States1277 Posts
If you can just explain + Show Spoiler + So, if you can just explain the scummy behavior in your responses to me, and finish with the shortcomings I've already outlined, I'll move on to someone else happily. Well, I’ll explain honestly. The interpretation is up to you. When you dismissed my last night’s post and said you wouldn’t stoop to my level you made me feel powerless. I didn’t understand what you expected from hypothetical townie calgar and thought you had robbed me of my voice. I read you as town but I couldn’t completely stop emotion from getting into my posts. I said in my previous post, for better or worse and however silly, that I’ve become emotionally invested. I’m posting today after encouragement in a different state of mind. I said it blindsided me – this added more to the emotion. If you sense a different player from yesterday to today – this is why. Ad homs and emotion + Show Spoiler + You're still using ad homs and invoking emotion as a response to me. You've started to sort of mention the things I brought up, but not properly. You're accusing me of taking you out of context, yet I'm not. I'm taking you in context of the thread as a whole, at the times of posts. I feel that your overall tone in posting is overly aggressive, condescending, and you have offended me outside the game. I wasn’t kidding about considering giving up and walking away like obvious did - perhaps my skin is too thin. I'll drop that, there's nothing really to discuss about it. That is part of the reason for my tone in response. Because you show signs of a cooler tone and logic I will reply again. As I already explained in my previous post, I have let frustration leak into my posting. That is another reason for the tone.Just for giggles + Show Spoiler + You know what, just for giggles, I'll even give benefit of the doubt on the vigi hit thing, since the numbers at least seem like a reasonable assessment, and it comes down to a gut feeling on whether it's just too damn easy of a target. The breadcrumb and hapa thing, of course, is purely circumstantial and WIFOM, and only applicable if you flip scum, so it doesn't need to be part of your defense, really. Alright, we’ll drop these two. WIFOM + Show Spoiler + Let's face it. You spend more time in your response here asserting that "Since I'm town - WIFOM". That's not an explanation for scummy behavior, that's asserting that people should trust you because you say so. Didn’t you say something along the lines of all arguments can be boiled down to WIFOM? What do we really have as hard evidence as town? We know two flips are certainly town – one produced no information and the other produced some. That’s not much objective information to go off of. Everything else is subjective – how else can I defend myself? I feel like I have acted in a pro-town manner, though. Regardless of what my role is, there is that behavior that is helpful to one side that can be analyzed.You didn't exactly make the post saying you'd been in multiple games elsewhere until Hapa called you out on subtly playing the noob card. A reaction doesn't change the post itself. I think this goes along with the WIFOM. It is what it is; you interpret it how you will. Whatever I say will be WIFOM about it.My voting continued + Show Spoiler + Your original vote on perfection has absolutely nothing to do with the fact that you then jumped from one "strong read" to another, with your votes frequently being directly contradictory to your "strongest read", up until you got Hapa to shift a vote, at which point you finally voted for perfection. I felt good about my original vote. Then no one else added on and the votes went up to 4 or 5 (don’t care to sort out the exact timing) vs. just 2. The activity seemed poor to me so I didn’t give the case my all. The logic: YourHarry had 2 votes with me and iamperfection had one. If I switched to iamperfection before I knew that hapa would then it would still be at 2 votes – this doesn’t serve my stated purpose. When hapa responded several minutes later and switched it was then beneficial to switch because it made the count go up to 3 votes. There was a chance hapa might have said “no, I’m sticking with harry”. Switching wouldn’t have mattered then because each had one vote without my support. On obvious.660 + Show Spoiler + You keep pointing fingers back to Obvious to make my case against you look weaker, but you're ignoring that the case against him was a result of his own actions. Was I a major factor in the case? Yes. Do I regret the needless loss of a town vote? Absolutely. Does that make it my fault that he appeared scummy? No. His posts were his downfall, not mine. Your posts are what have me breathing down your neck, and even while putting up this facade of a response, you continue in your need for personal attacks. My only point is that I considered myself aligned with obvious and that we have played similar games. He agreed on my suspicion of iamperfection. Yes it was a result of his inactions and then failure to defend. I’m not sure what your issue is here. I think it’s that I’m giving you a hard time for his death because we disagreed on the read. Is that the case? I can try to respond more if I’m on the right track. If not could you clarify?Hell, the Obvious case, IIRC, you said you saw where I was coming from, but didn't draw the same conclusions. That's a far cry from how you're treating it now, trying to weaponize it against me. Credible job + Show Spoiler + Overall, you're starting to do a credible job of explaining yourself. I can at least accept your explanation for most of the "me-too" attitude, although I do find it foolish to have a strong town read that early in D1. I'm not exactly at the point of no return here, I just want answers, which you've withheld, while acting like it would be some sort of waste to respond, even when it's anything but. If I can stop arguing with Hapa outside of case arguments, surely you'd be able to believe I'd be able to back off on a case I'm actually persuaded is bad. Glad you think so. All I have to go off of is reads – my style is to play a little more trusting then you. It’s risky but I like to think I have allies that I’m working with rather than trusting absolutely no one. As to the “waste to respond” attitude, see my sappy earlier bits about wavering and my last post. My breadcrumb in response to jingle + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 07:50 Hopeless1der wrote: Cant respond in detail yet, but Calgar, where is the breadcrumbed 'JK' you referred to? It’s in the silly bit about reckless animals. Two capitalized letters and the rest is lower case. If you’ll notice I always capitalize, and reverted to my normal writing style immediately after the “secret message” paragraph that started the post. Math + Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 08:03 JingleHell wrote: You’re right, I was riled up and accidentally typoed there. It got a little confusing bouncing back between the scenarios.Wait, actually, the numbers on the vigi kill are both from the perspective of him being scum. You say if he flipped town, I can assume that's a brain fart, but it would be 6:3 going into today, had vigi hit him and he was town. I still kinda see the reasoning, but based off of too little evidence like I said. | ||
calgar
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Here is the direct link to my response crumb: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=351398¤tpage=32#635 | ||
calgar
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On July 20 2012 08:46 JingleHell wrote: I understand what you mean and apologize for my tone. I feel that I've explained as much as I can and don't really have anything else to say about it.Ok, I'm not sure how I've offended you, unless it's by not trusting anyone without reason? This is a cutthroat game. My response about not stooping to your level was directly the result of this post. Can you not see where that's an entirely different type of game than I was trying to play? Quite a few rude comments in there for just getting called out for things I saw as shady. I have no qualms responding rudely to someone who tries to make a "case" against me via ad homs, or someone I dislike (as we've seen) but I try to keep my cases off this level of play, because it just turns into a clusterfuck for all involved. See D2 of XVIII where I was scum and a response like this from a townie turned what was supposed to be "Hey look I'm visible" pressure into an OMGUS "Someone dies" scenario. So I strongly avoid getting dragged down into that kind of argument where real cases are concerned, they're an utter debacle. ##Vote iamperfection | ||
calgar
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On July 20 2012 09:00 YourHarry wrote: I didn't receive a notification. calgar, if you don't answer this immediately, this is going to make you very suspicious. Under what conditions is someone notified if they are RBed/Jailed? | ||
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On July 20 2012 09:21 YourHarry wrote: Enough questions from you for now. Why don't you read since I already did link it? calgar, after realizing the breadcrumb, were you every suspicious of Jingle for being scum? also could you provide the link to your breadcrumb, where you communicated to Jingle that you read his? Jingle, did you notice calgar's breadcrumb immediately? Apologies if these have been already discussed. | ||
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You said you wanted me to make a case. What is your read now that you have read my huge explanation? | ||
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On July 21 2012 00:25 YourHarry wrote:I do think that calgar clarified the rules with the mod via PM or QT which is why I asked: I don't really know if this is outside the scope of the rules/game or not, but if it isn't then the mods will confirm that I received no mod PM regarding the issue in between my posts, which is what you are suggesting.+ Show Spoiler + On July 20 2012 09:14 YourHarry wrote: If someone asks a question to mod in QT or via PM, would you answer them via QT or PM? | ||
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On July 21 2012 01:25 JingleHell wrote: Your pronouns are a little confusing to me here. Who are you talking about trying to defend Harry? Hapa, meta case please? He's annoying as town, but not this terrible. And frankly, on the incredibly off chance he flips town, I still wouldn't call it a wasted day to ditch him. Any time there's a lull he makes the dumbest possible case? Maybe in the first half of D1 you can argue for that, but that's about it. Frankly, I find it incredibly fishy that someone who's under suspicion would try to defend Harry. | ||
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Again, I should not spend more time into arguing regarding this, because I do think that townies are also capable of making this kind of contradiction. Thus, your incapacity to keep track of things you say is NOT the reason why I am suspicious of you, though maybe it should add to it. The fact that you're suspicious of him is suspicious to me. He's done more to promote discussion than anyone else. He's basically always in the thread pouncing on someone or pushing a case. How do you get more town than that?Today, Calgar. But it's beginning to look very hopeless for me. Explain to me why you would ask someone to claim jailer. I don't see any reason that isn't heavily outweighed by town revealing a blue. So your argument about "not wanting to reveal blues" goes directly against you asking jailer to claim. | ||
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On July 21 2012 02:38 JingleHell wrote:I'll try to have some concise stuff written up during the night since the odds of me making it to the morning are slim, unless there's a medic around. It's risky for mafia to hit you though because if there is a doctor then the NK will be guaranteed to be a waste. | ||
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