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Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia IX - Page 18

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Nova_Terra
Profile Joined March 2012
Switzerland1190 Posts
March 25 2012 19:12 GMT
#341
Going to bed in a few minutes, early day at school tomorrow. will try to have my seviro analysis done by lunch tomorrow.
Proud supporter of the Basking Rootwalla
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
March 25 2012 20:54 GMT
#342
I feel like we are going in circles. But here we go:

On March 25 2012 22:54 Artanis[Xp] wrote:

Gossemerr opened in a joking way, then creates the RoF lynch train based on RoF's post making not much sense. This play I think is fine if he was town too though. Jumps from RoF to sc2system a bit too easily too after RoF was confirmed town. It also makes sense that one Mafia would want to start the bandwagons while the other two 'reluctantly' post to lynch him in the end so that the mafia aren't connected as much. This however is more of a general mafia argument then specifically for Gossemerr. Accuses sc2system again for playing dumb when it's become pretty apparent that he's just not a very good townie. Uses chainsaw argument when I accuse him which is a super scummy thing to do (if you don't know, a chainsaw argument is accusing the accuser rather than defending yourself). This is something Seviro used earlier too. It's true that he started the bandwagon on RoF. What I also find weird is that he first calls for sc2system to get killed, then doesn't want the vigilante to kill sc2system after all. Given he flipped town that does make Gossemerr less suspicious, but he said it so late that it was unlikely that any vigilante would still change their target so I'm not sure it matters too much. Reading over this again though I'd say Gossemerr is the weakest case of the three.

To all of you out there, please analyze these three people well. To Seviro, michaelthe and Gossemerr; refute these points and analyze the others to make your case that you are indeed townie. The best way to defend yourself is to contribute. Given that I'm going to be the only one in this game you can trust, you'll know I'm not trying to redirect you onto players that aren't scum. Let's see if we can turn this around. I've got a lot of work I need to do today though so I can't guarantee I can react to any posts quickly.


I think I pretty much explained all this already. I didn't use a "chainsaw argument," was just pointing out how you were attacking me and others without much evidence. Also per your definition, and considering that I did defend myself, I once again did not just accuse you. Next:

On March 26 2012 03:10 michaelthe wrote:

On Gossemerr:

What really caught me off was him talking about the vig shot. Before and after the vig shot he thinks its a terrible idea.

Show nested quote +
On March 25 2012 12:07 Gossemerr wrote:
Wow... fail vig shot.. I was too damn late. Now I slightly suspicious of Mem and Virtu. Entirely WIFOM, but makes me wonder.


Show nested quote +
On March 25 2012 11:56 Gossemerr wrote:
Are you SERIOUSLY suggesting that our vig should shoot someone who is possibly not a mafia? You would ACTUALLY want to waste a mafia kill on a bad town player? I think sc2system is playing either bad scum or town right now, as my older posts suggest, but why does he HAVE to die right now? Maybe Day 2 he will actually contribute.


First, here is why its a good vig shot:
1) Artanis had a LOT of heat on him (at least in mind) due to a big mistake of calling someone a townie (which only Mafia could know). Artanis is now the most confirmed town we have.
2) sc2system was either a anti-town townie (useless posts, wanting to confuse ppl, etc.) or scum. A vig shot on him isn't bad in either case. A townie posting anti-town crap is useless. Even more useless if they get modkilled later for inactivity!

Further more, it is particularly absurd that Goss would dislike this vig shot because Goss' ONLY attack has been agasint sc2system! Why would be pro-lynch on him and not pro-vig hit!?

I think Goss thinks it's pro-town to frown upon a vig shot hitting a green, and therefore did. Everyone else was pretty much in consensus that it was a good vig shot.

Conclusion
I think this is terribly scummy from both Seviro and Goss. Seviro wanted his bad play buried, he ignored it mostly, and then defended it poorly. Goss made a big mistake of being the only person to go against the vig hit, despite making a case agasint the target! He went against the vig hit because he thinks it's pro-town to frown upon the vig accidently killing a green.

Right now I would vote for either of these, I think they both made major mistakes. If I could vote twice, I would. I'm starting with Seviro because I think it's too his advantage to have more time past from his mistakes so he can bury them. Also, he has already tried, and failed, to cover up his bad play, Goss hasn't had a full chance to defend himself.

##Vote: Seviro


So if I disagree that using the vig shot on someone who is maybe town (now confirmed), that is scummy to you? Don't see the reasoning there. And in my reasoning I said maybe he would have stepped up his game, who knows what could have been happening IRL. Also, I would not say that EVERYONE was in a consensus, only a few have any said anything about the vig shot being a good idea. I can see why Artansis would want to save his own ass, but we still wasted a potentially free mafia kill. Moving on, I never voted for sc2system so how would that indicate that I was pro-lynch? I really don't see how I made a "major mistake," by thinking the vig shot was not a good idea. I tried to post as soon as I got home as well, but it was already near the deadline. I really have a hard time following how thinking that the vig shot was bad is somehow making me seem scummy to you.

Anyway, I'm going to analyze the thread and filters and post in a few hours.
<3
Mementoss
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Canada2595 Posts
March 26 2012 01:09 GMT
#343
Need moar posts, BlueyD said he would be here after barcraft, so Im expecting a post from in the next couple of hours. He hasn't posted since the flip. I think otherwise everyone else had posted some content. Keep the discussion up guys.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uu96xMwFVXw
Seviro
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada98 Posts
March 26 2012 01:20 GMT
#344
Hey Mementoss, I'd like to hear your opinion on what have been said since your last post and if you feel like Nova's response to your accusation was satisfying.
Mementoss
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Canada2595 Posts
March 26 2012 01:55 GMT
#345
On March 26 2012 03:54 Nova_Terra wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 26 2012 02:27 Mementoss wrote:
Alright, this activity is bad, its day 2 its crucial we get a mafia kill here. Lets up the activity and find one of these scum. With that being said Im going to present a case right now. Lets look at the filter shall we?

Nova_Terra:

His meta is completely different. He explained that he changing the way he plays to improve his game. As vanilla town, he had long thought out posts, and pressure posts. In this game I read through his first 2 pages of filter, it 50% spam. The other 50% is dedicated to either responding to people, or asking peoples opinions on things usually leading the town in circles. Honestly, I can't even find anything to quote because its all useless.

He seems to be posting in fear and holding back. He posts a case about BlueyD, but it was very forced and weak. Things were taken out of context to make them look scummy, and things that weren't scummy were meant to look scummy. Such as the leadership thing.

Here is another thing that makes him seem suspicious. He totally ignored talk about the vig shot, until after it was done. He didn't want to push it cause he knew it would make him suspicious, but he didn't want to stop it because he knew sc2system was town. Maybe I should be suspicious for bringing it up, but as a mafia wouldn't that be too risky to do? I think the people we should look at are the people who ignored the topic who were active, these people being: Nova, Seviro, and BlueyD (but he was defending himself)

On March 25 2012 17:10 Nova_Terra wrote:
Yeah, If you are the vig artanis you should have waited. We could have had a free mafia death at some point.
At least, sc2system was relatively worthless, so it should be a bit easier to go scumhunting.
BlueyD, i kind of think the point of the hit on froggynoddy is in essence exactly what you said. he was off the radar, and its hard to read anything from the hit. I will go into his filter today, but i really dont expect to find much, unless its based on WIFOM.


Says you shouldn't have shot, yet didn't say anything during the night when it was actually important.

Also in many instances in this game he is constantly apologetic. Doesn't want to get on anyones bad side, and is just slipping by.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 06:47 Nova_Terra wrote:
I am so sorry, i got caught up in a game of quake. I really feel bad.
Mementoss, the main thing thats changed is that i am trying hard to not let behaviors bother me and change the way i play. I took a lot of flak last time around, and while i am still trying to be active and helpful i dont want to go all out aggression because i will get too caught up like last time. even to the point of deluding myself that i was totally right.
I defended artanis because i think that it was an innocent mistake, albeit a bad one.
For my reasons previously stated, i am voting for Rise of Fenix. his play is not helping us at all, and i do not find artanis or anyone else (until i analyze the filters hard tomorrow morning) more suspicious.
##Vote: Rise of Fenix

On March 24 2012 06:52 Nova_Terra wrote:
Wow, i really messed up the time.
Once again, sorry all, I promise that i will stick to it for sure next time.
I will be on for another hour or so.

On March 25 2012 07:23 Nova_Terra wrote:
Oh, sorry. I didnt read over the thread while i wrote it and was going by filters. I did understand that he had a reason for it. I just didnt think that the reason made much sense when he had said that he would vote for RoF if he didnt contribute.
As Artanis just said, I do find the manner in which he tried to take leadership to be scummy. He has been guiding the town towards a certain lynch from this position, without being forced to post much analysis, which i think is a result of having made a couple posts that seemed to be from an authoritative position. Another thing that i did not like from this is that as he is seemingly capable, he isnt posting as much content as i think he could be, like what i should have noticed about you last game mementoss.
Prelim votes is OK with me, but i think that as much of the town is relatively inactive getting a clear consensus right away will be a bit challenging. I also dont want people to leave a prelim vote and forget about it until relatively late in the day because of this inactivity.
Please stay active! We cant just let scum lurk this out.

On March 25 2012 05:50 Nova_Terra wrote:
sorry, got ninja'ed, i meant that to be for BlueyD.


Overall his play is just spammy, hes not taking the town forward, his meta is completely off his vanilla. He has had one unique opinion in 3 pages of filter. He seems to be just the one asking the questions, and apologizing. Rather than analysing play and applying pressure. He is taking the town in circles. He is probably in the scum QT posting huge plans, while in here just spamming up the thread.

The only reason I would think he was town, is because he defended Artanis's scum slip, and now it is shaping up for Artanis to be town. Other than that, I would be very sure this guy is scum. Maybe he just defended Artanis, to stay away from the same opinion of his scumbuddy seviro, who quickly after Artanis's case on him OMGUS'd and voted Artanis. But that is just WIFOM.

##Vote: Nova_Terra

Ok.
I just went over last game briefly.
Starting off with, i made an apparently "bad move" by FoS'ing somebody early. Then, i got mad and frustrated, and ended up spamming defense posts and some OMGUS. At least in the pages i read, i was responding to people calling me out and playing aggressively because i was lashing out at people.
After last game, i learned that i wanted to play in a more "emotionless" manner where it wouldnt screw me up and cause me to post cases and analysis that goes totally incorrect because my mind wanted to lynch them for even daring to accuse something i did to be bad or wrong. I wanted to play more like Mementoss (which is a bad example as he was scum, but still accurate) but he really did seem like a helpful townie, and he just seemed like his behavior never changed when different things happened. His posts didnt have OMGUS, or terrible cases. I wanted to do just that. And that i feel accounts for my meta. My pressure posts made me feel like i didnt actually do anything. We ended up letting a mafia through and a townie die. Yet, I dont even get how it could have helped. We pressured a townie who posted and then left, and he didnt respond and so he died. Then i received flak for switching my vote off him when i thought he was innocent later. All that this reinforced to me was that i shouldnt play the way my brain thinks. because its suspicious, etc.

Enter this game. It starts in a week where i am busy to begin with with many tests, and my brain was scrambled to begin with. And i knew that i wanted to change up my play and play without this emotion crap. Because it was making me scummy. I've been trying to let people know that i agree with them in some issues here, and others there, to make myself as transparent as possible. And then every now and again, when some posts went through me, I went a little into rage mode. Immediately to shut it down, i kinda held back on analysis so i wouldnt let it influence my play, which i realize now makes no sense because by shutting down the analysis it was influencing my play.I was kinda scared about how i would come across because of how i was feeling.
Strangely enough, this weekend i have had a relatively busy social schedule. Thats kind of new for me, and i realize this. Then i started missing deadlines (that i myself had made) and just not posting on time, making stupid lapses in judgement (like not reading the thread alongside filters and taking BlueyD's post out of context) as a result of me being out and about and/or playing games with friends. And i feel so bad about it, because i really didnt want to come off as suspicious but because of these little things i found that i was coming across in that manner, at least to myself, and thats why i've been apologising. Its so hard to be transparent when i was screwing up these little things, and i feel bad for making it so hard on the other townies to read me.

However, i was spending some time looking over filters. I still maintain that i find the leadership thing to be scummy. I cant remember if i explained why i did in a previous post, but please ask if you want me to again. Dont want to waste space if i dont have to.

Looking over the case, it definitely felt to me like it was certainly warranted and some things were suspicious, but it also felt like my case on seviro last game. I dont get why my analysis is apparently so bad, but all i know is that im trying to put tons of effort on these cases and nobodys really agreeing with it and it doesnt do anything.it feels terrible to be putting all the time and feeling into it and having it do nothing.
Last night i came in after an exciting day out in the city, and finished my case, and then decided to relax for a little while and watch some MLG. yeah, i did see something about vigilante shot on sc2system, but at the time wasnt concerned about it and actually thought that it made sense as we wouldnt waste the day arguing about him (which i didnt post because people were taking flak for making posts to just agree with people), and only when i was literally falling asleep did i realize that the vigilante shot is pretty much a free kill against mafia if its used right, and didnt feel like getting up to go post to state my opinion. Not because i knew system was town or anything like that, I was just too damn tired around 1 in the morning. Which was another thing that i apologized for as i should have gotten up to do that.

So, to end this defense, I want to add my reads on everybody so far.
Mementoss: Leaning far town, seems very inno which scares me as thats how i was thinking last game.
Seviro: leaning scum, actually. I hope to provide analysis on him tonight or tomorrow during the day.
artanis: most likely to be town, at least in my eyes
Virtu: Relatively null. I havent really gotten any vibes from him at all. Posts some analysis (of last games play etc) but doesnt really seem to do much with it at least in my eyes.
Nova_Terra (yes i am putting myself on my own list): null. hard to read because of not posting thoughts when they seem to arise.
Michaelthe: null leaning scummy. makes some posts that i find were pretty good early game, but then he just randomly drops off and doesnt post much. One thing in his favor in my eyes is how he has been playing aggressively.
Gossemerr: Null leaning town. I like the aggressiveness however.
Ninja4ever.:Null. not a very active player, but he does come and post his thoughts a couple times a day. I dont like his activity however.
BlueyD: Null leaning scummy. I still think my points on the position he has been taking in the game are valid, and i find that he got defensive pretty dang fast.



Alright lets respond to this defense.

First lets start off by underlining everything Nova_Terra said about IRL, and just not read it. Why? IRL stuff has nothing to do with the game, because it can be lied about and no one would know the difference. It is not acceptable as a defense in any form.

You shouldn't be scared to post as a vanilla townie. The only way scum is found is through posting your ideas. Re-read your posts from a different perspective to see how it sounds. No excuse to not be posting analysis. Stick to your guns if you think your right, correct yourself if you think you are wrong and explain why the change of thought. No apologizing needed.

While you maintain your opinion on leadership, I maintain my opinion that it is bullshit. Not only is it not a good scum argument, it could scare BlueyD and other newer players away from posting, because they don't want this "leadershit" stuff to come back and haunt them. And why BlueyD? I would consider myself in that role more than him. I put out a case that lead to a townie lynch, and was the first to suggest a vigshot on another townie. Would I rathered one or both of them to flip scum? Of course. Am I pissed at myself about it? Not really. It did its job at getting rid of 2 confusing shitty players. Confirmed a townie that was leaning scum in a couple peoples eyes. And took a lot of time that woulda been wasted pushing/pressure sc2system and Artanis. Now we can continue with the game. It gained time and added information, 2 very important resources.

About people not agreeing with your case and putting time into it. This game is not being able to be right and finding scum. Its about being able to convince people to agree with your opinions. No matter how much your right about finding scum, if you cant convince the rest of the town, it will not matter. Don't let this discourage you, keep getting better.

About people saying its a free kill against a mafia? No it isn't. You realize how hard it would be for Artanis to survive to a point where it actually would be this situation. Hell we mighta lynched him day 2. At least it wasn't wasted in a death, and helped the town and gave information. Which is helpful at anytime.

Then to end your defense you post something scummy. Ugh. This list is not helpful to me. If your posting with purpose and concisely. You should be able to know someones read on everyone just by reading their filter. The list basically says who you think is scum and half a sentence explanation. Would it not make more sense to just post a post based on the explanation? This doesn't pressure the players, it doesn't generate discussion and is easy way for mafia to "contribute" while he can just put a townie label on his mafia friends and scum on the popular choices.

Im not retracting my vote on you at the moment. Let the discussion continue. I want to see some opinions. We have a relatively good chance of killing a scum today, and it would be huge to do so.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uu96xMwFVXw
Mementoss
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Canada2595 Posts
March 26 2012 02:00 GMT
#346
On March 26 2012 10:20 Seviro wrote:
Hey Mementoss, I'd like to hear your opinion on what have been said since your last post and if you feel like Nova's response to your accusation was satisfying.


What are your thoughts on Nova/his defense?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uu96xMwFVXw
Seviro
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada98 Posts
March 26 2012 02:25 GMT
#347
won't be long, i'm currenly writing my overall thought about everyone from start until now. Expect it in about 5-10 min.
Seviro
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada98 Posts
March 26 2012 02:55 GMT
#348
Seems like he's gone, I'll post my present thought on everyone now before heading to bed.

Mementoss: I summed up my thought about him in another post, overall he does seems to be leaning town, good activity and good content. Some people seemed to agree that he is the most townie of us, but since he is not confirmed town, we shouldn't act as if he was. He got us last game because of this, I don't want it to happen a second time.

Micaelthe: The most scummy of us in my opinion, go read my other post to know my reasoning. I'll add that all I had from him after this post is
On March 26 2012 03:20 michaelthe wrote:
ebwop:

one last note before I'm out for a bit. If anyone wants me to respond to Seviro, I will- but it seems to me like he is forcing really weak cases to try and bury his terrible play and Artanis issue. Both his cases are rather poor and forced.


Seriously, who does that, I don'T see how my case is not worth an answer.

Artanis[Xp]: Nothing much to say since he is confirmed townie at this stage (since no counter claim of any sort) other than even if he is townie he can be wrong so we need to not blindly agree with what he say.

Virtu:Leaning scum. His only case at the moment is on Gossemer, case that he didn'T even complete because of a fail tabbing. It seems that his suspicion lies in the fact that Gosse as little content when he doesn't not a lot more himself.

Nova_TerraDon't know at all, I'd say slightly leaning scum mostly because of the meta difference from last game as stated by Mementoss. That doesn'T mean much since it was his first game but I feel that his defense have been pointlessly long. He is helping the discussion by asking question which is good but he seems scared when it is his turn to answer which is a scum behaviour, if you have nothing to hide you shouldn't be scared.

Ninja4ever: Hard to tell about him since he missed a whole day of discussion and it seems like he'll miss a big part of tomorrow as well. On day 1 though he got active enough and was giving his opinion on most subject but never really brought up anything new. He did come a bit earlier today to sum up what have been said and to place a vote on Nova and then point out that he will be inactive moost of the day. I can't pronounce myself on him, he seemed townie enough on day 1 but since then he did literally nothing. I know sometimes real life can be a bitch but he he is scum we could be in trouble is we let it pass.

BlueyD: 50/50, On day 1 he was watching the lurker closely and was making sure that no one become inactive for too long. When everyone got some post he post a clear list of ROS scummy behaviour. And after that he pointed out the inconscitencies in sc2masters posting. He end the day by agreeing with the town decision and vote ROS. Since then he didn'T post much except a quick defense about nova's case. And now he is in the same boat as Ninja4ver since he didn'T post today due to being at Barcraft. Until he restart being active nothing much to say about him.

Gossemer:Leaning scum. As other said, not much content on day 1, he started by voting ROS based of one post which he didn't understand the meaning due to it being terribly worded. His argument was that he contradict himself in this post when in fact he was not. He then brielfy mention the confusion thing about sc2system and quickly jump on it in Night 1. From there he've been pricipaly denfending himself briefly pointing out that a vig shot on sc2sustem was bad. Since the only content that he wrote were about ROS and sc2system which both turned out to be town, I am prone to suspect him. He did say that he will post soon so that may change.

Well, that's it from me for today, g'night all.

Sorry Mem, that took longer than expected.
ZBot
Profile Joined April 2010
194 Posts
March 26 2012 03:07 GMT
#349
Day 2 Vote Count.

Remember, everyone must vote, and you need a majority to lynch (5 people in this case)

Current votes:

Nova_Terra (2): Mementoss, Ninja4ever.

Seviro (1): michaelthe

Not voting: Artanis[Xp], Nova_Terra, Gossemerr, Seviro, virtu, BlueyD

The Day deadline is at 2012-03-27 12:00:00. (That's approximately 23:52:42 from now.)
All ZBot operation in a thread is under the control of the Original Poster of the respective thread.
michaelthe
Profile Joined February 2010
United States359 Posts
March 26 2012 05:34 GMT
#350
Re Seviro Attack
You make two points about my ultimatum:
1) 3 out of the 4 people I posted as lurkers are now dead townies.
2) I didn't vote until 23 hours after my 8 hour ultimatum.

Reponses:
1) two are dead because they are bad townines. This is the reason they were on the inactive list, this is the reason they were selected to die. The reason they are dead and on the list of inactives has the same root, this in no way makes their deaths have a causal relationship to my list. This should be completely easy to see by anyone.
2) My ultimatum was an attempt to force lurkers to post. All of them actually posted. Fenix spammed useless content, one said “I'm awake”, one said “Im drunk”. No one strictly failed, it was only mildly successful at making people post.

On Artanis, you make two points:
1) I targest Artanis after we had two good targets to lynch
2) I was the second vote for Artanis, not the first

I refute both of these points with one simple point: Artanis' slip was a major one. Artanis himself said so. Every Mafia guide says so. It ended up being a complete accident, but there was no way to tell this at the time. At the time, this was one of the strongest pieces of objective information we had.


Your claims are terrible, they have no weight, I find them very artificial. There are a few people who have said “oops, that does look scummy”, but I have not with the above. My responses are simple, and straightforward to your meritless claims. I think you are artificially trying to make a case.
michaelthe
Profile Joined February 2010
United States359 Posts
March 26 2012 05:48 GMT
#351
Re: Goss

So if I disagree that using the vig shot on someone who is maybe town (now confirmed), that is scummy to you? Don't see the reasoning there. And in my reasoning I said maybe he would have stepped up his game, who knows what could have been happening IRL. Also, I would not say that EVERYONE was in a consensus, only a few have any said anything about the vig shot being a good idea. I can see why Artansis would want to save his own ass, but we still wasted a potentially free mafia kill. Moving on, I never voted for sc2system so how would that indicate that I was pro-lynch? I really don't see how I made a "major mistake," by thinking the vig shot was not a good idea. I tried to post as soon as I got home as well, but it was already near the deadline. I really have a hard time following how thinking that the vig shot was bad is somehow making me seem scummy to you.

Anyway, I'm going to analyze the thread and filters and post in a few hours.

sc2system feels like the safer bet to me. Scummy post that I point out above, and then hardcore lurker basically since.

On March 25 2012 02:06 Gossemerr wrote:
sc2system is the most scummy candidate in my opinion that we currently have. There are a few other cases out there on him so I won't rehash those. However, this response to when I asked:

Are you SERIOUSLY suggesting that our vig should shoot someone who is possibly not a mafia? You would ACTUALLY want to waste a mafia kill on a bad town player? I think sc2system is playing either bad scum or town right now, as my older posts suggest, but why does he HAVE to die right now? Maybe Day 2 he will actually contribute.

On the vig shot:
-You had made a case against him. You had a high suspicion he was scum. This was YOUR case and YOUR suspicion which you later essentially deny.
-You suggest that he might have “stepped up on day 2?” More likely he would have made it more difficult. I think that was clear on day 1.
-Artanis basically confirmed himself town for day 2 when he was a good lynch target for day 2. He gave the town a valuable asset, while taking out a useless/bad/possible scum person.
-Even AFTER you realized the above point, you still dont see it as good?

You are pretty much the only person who sees the vig kill as bad, I still do not understand why.

There has been a call for you to post some more substantial content. I would like to hear your thoughts on the current issues. Nova and Seviro would be a good start.
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
March 26 2012 05:58 GMT
#352
I read through most of the thread, and right now I don't have a strong case or read on anyone. If you think that's scummy then fine, but I'm not going to make a weak case like Nova did after I asked him to post some analysis.

Nova
I DO agree with Mementoss, as I was the first to say that Nova was playing so differently than the last game. However, I kinda of have a feeling it's due to our last game, as mentioned before where he was slammed for his early pressure. BUT, I also feel like this is a terrible defense. Nova, you should not change your meta when its putting pressure on people and making them talk and contribute. Actually, if I remember correctly the people who actually were so critical of you in the last game were the scummies. Anyway, I am most suspicious of Nova atm, but like I said before nothing substantial.
<3
Gossemerr
Profile Joined April 2011
United States195 Posts
March 26 2012 06:01 GMT
#353
@michaelthe

I am seriously not going to continue to argue over nothing. Did you not read my last post?
Btw your attitude is poor.

I just posted on Nova, and Seviro: your case is not strong enough to warrant a vote from me.
<3
BlueyD
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada437 Posts
March 26 2012 06:17 GMT
#354
The best cases by far right now are those brought up against Seviro and Nova. The case against Gossamer by Virtu was unconvincing, especially since he failed to post the whole thing... And the case against michaelthe is weak as well: He defends himself well against Artanis’s legit pressure, and Seviro’s case on him feels very forced to begin with.

Nova:
Not much to say here, just read mementoss’s post on him, he does an excellent job pointing out the inconsistencies, weak cases brought up, and different metagame of Nova this game... Nova’s defense, in return, is spectacularly bad: He makes the most unreasonably long-winded post in the thread full of real life spam, and explains his ‘new metagame’ as a way to get closer to mementoss’s play, even though he’s actually getting farther from it in my opinion. Scummy behavior in my eyes.

I also think it’s funny that he’s leaning “scum” for Seviro and “null leaning scummy” for me, but I’m the one who got FoSed.

Seviro:
I think he’s scum too. Erratic voting record, most posts giving no new contributions, some stuff about ‘pressure but no lynch’ which was really silly, etc... It’s all been pointed out before me so I won’t repeat. But I will point out a few posts (or parts of posts):

+ Show Spoiler +
“I had no position on this, and since it seems that I don't have opinion or I just use others argument I might as well just not post.”


You had no opinion, really?! On a vigi hit?!

How seviro’s case against mementoss begins:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 03:04 Seviro wrote:
He was the first one to make a real case against Rise Of Fenix which really started the train rolling in my opinion. While Rise was doing a great job of sinking himself into bad and bad post, peolple started to look more into it after this case. He also was the first one to point out sc2system lurkerness.These two people had already been mentionned beforehand, respectively by Gossemer and Ninja4ever. My point is, not that it mean anything since it was the same for a lot of people, his two main suspect flipped town which is worth pointing out I think.


1. These 2 were a lot of people’s first 2 suspects. Pointing out that they were mementoss’s as well is not worth it.

2. He pointed out the lurking of people who had been pointed out by Gossemer and Ninja4ever, which makes him the first to make these cases? Contradiction, anyone?

And I like how you position yourself as a defender of Rise, twice...

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 05:44 Seviro wrote:
Where in the world do you see in this post that I am following the Rise Of Fenix train? Hell i'm like the only one that is trying to defend him.

On March 26 2012 03:39 Seviro wrote:
What are you talking about?. Literally all the EFFING day I've been DEFENDING Fenix in hope that he would come up with something useful, which didn'T happen.


When your only time specifically mentioning Rise day 1 is this:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 06:07 Seviro wrote:
And about Rise, posting your thought about 1 hour before the deadline is possibly the more scummy thing you could do as the deadline is relatively late and a lot of people are not around at the time. Voting at this time is basically a ninja vote and it is not right to do so since, as Nova said we wouldn't have enough time to discuss about it and change our vote if need be.


He was commenting on Rise's "I will likely post my thoughts about 1 hour before the deadline." comment at that point... I get it now! That must be the old “defend him by pointing out his scummy behavior” strategy! Yeah, I don’t see it too often…

I’d be fine with lynching any of these two at the moment. They may very well both be scum. But since I only vote once…

##Vote: Seviro
Zealot Chaaaaarge!
Seviro
Profile Joined June 2011
Canada98 Posts
March 26 2012 07:04 GMT
#355
Inb4 OMG he said he was going to bed last post and he didn'T, SCUMSCUMSCUM, by heading to bed I meant getting of the computer and doing something else before actually going to bed. I planned to take a look at the thread just before sleeping but there was 2 post adressed to me so I responded to them while they were of actuality.


+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 14:34 michaelthe wrote:
Re Seviro Attack
You make two points about my ultimatum:
1) 3 out of the 4 people I posted as lurkers are now dead townies.
2) I didn't vote until 23 hours after my 8 hour ultimatum.

Reponses:
1) two are dead because they are bad townines. This is the reason they were on the inactive list, this is the reason they were selected to die. The reason they are dead and on the list of inactives has the same root, this in no way makes their deaths have a causal relationship to my list. This should be completely easy to see by anyone.
2) My ultimatum was an attempt to force lurkers to post. All of them actually posted. Fenix spammed useless content, one said “I'm awake”, one said “Im drunk”. No one strictly failed, it was only mildly successful at making people post.

On Artanis, you make two points:
1) I targest Artanis after we had two good targets to lynch
2) I was the second vote for Artanis, not the first

I refute both of these points with one simple point: Artanis' slip was a major one. Artanis himself said so. Every Mafia guide says so. It ended up being a complete accident, but there was no way to tell this at the time. At the time, this was one of the strongest pieces of objective information we had.


Your claims are terrible, they have no weight, I find them very artificial. There are a few people who have said “oops, that does look scummy”, but I have not with the above. My responses are simple, and straightforward to your meritless claims. I think you are artificially trying to make a case.


About the 3 out of 4 thingie, of course this was purely WIFOM but I thought it was worth mentioning.

And on the Ultimatum you did say

On March 23 2012 06:16 michaelthe wrote:
ULTIMATUM: Post something of value within 8 hours or you are getting my vote!


So you are basically saying that "i'm drunk" and "i'm awake" are valuable for the town right?

And for the "Feudian slip" as you like to call it I did bring it up because of the way you brought it back. You basically said everything Mementoss had already say in his post about it, but you write it in a way that make it look like you were the one to find it.

And also, I forgot to mention that your answer about froggy's post that was asking you to give content was:

On March 23 2012 15:23 michaelthe wrote:
On Froggy

You came out VERY defensive. I called for lurkers to post, and they did... But hey, that's not my strategy!:

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 04:54 froggynoddy wrote:
The decision to lynch should therefore be based on 1. information (gathered by pressuring, amongst other ways) 2. Correct analysis. But without 1. we shall never be able to do 2. And therefore any decisions to lynch will be less strong.


Your turn Euro's. See you in the morning.


You didn'T adress any of his claim.

And on my point being weak, weightless and artificial I don't know if you saw my answer about your case on me, I countered every single point of yours without even trying and I did not say anything about your point being weak and weightless because it is useless to discredit other post the way you do it.

So if you could stop with your arrogant attitude of "I'm right and I'm good, you're wrong and you suck" that would be beneficial for the town.


And blueyD

You had no opinion, really?! On a vigi hit?!


Yeah really.

1. These 2 were a lot of people’s first 2 suspects. Pointing out that they were mementoss’s as well is not worth it.

2. He pointed out the lurking of people who had been pointed out by Gossemer and Ninja4ever, which makes him the first to make these cases? Contradiction, anyone?


There is a difference between pointing out something and making a case on it.

Anyway the goal of the small case on Mem was only to show that we need to not put him in the "almost confirmed townie" yet since on day 1 some people seemed to believe he was the most townie of us, which he may be but it is not a reason to not suspect him and to let him slip by.


When your only time specifically mentioning Rise day 1 is this:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 06:07 Seviro wrote:
And about Rise, posting your thought about 1 hour before the deadline is possibly the more scummy thing you could do as the deadline is relatively late and a lot of people are not around at the time. Voting at this time is basically a ninja vote and it is not right to do so since, as Nova said we wouldn't have enough time to discuss about it and change our vote if need be.


When you go through my filter, at least do it right :

On March 24 2012 03:14 Seviro wrote:
Oh, I really just think now that Fenix is playing poorly or just doesn't care enough to put enough time on the game. But I'll give him the chance to step up his play because I really think he is town.



I think that if he was mafia, his fellow scum would have helped him in the background so that he don't look so suspicious. For now I think he is just bad and as I said, i'm willing to give him a chance to step up his play. I shouldn't have said that I think that he is really town, more like I don't see him being more scummy than anyone else right now.


On March 24 2012 05:10 Seviro wrote:
Yeah I know, I just feel like it's too obvious to be true. I might be wrong tho.


that is 3 more post where I defend him so if you claim something, don't only 1/4 post on it to make me look bad.

And I did mention this defense twice because 2 people said that I jumped on the ROS train right away, which is false.

Seriously, I don'T know if my english is so bad or you just can't read but i'm getting tired of repeating myself over and over again.

Now I'm really going to bed.
Nova_Terra
Profile Joined March 2012
Switzerland1190 Posts
March 26 2012 10:21 GMT
#356
Seviro
Some of the parts are spoilered at the end to save space.
On March 23 2012 03:50 Seviro wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 22 2012 23:42 BlueyD wrote:
People I consider to be lurkers right now, until further notice:

Seviro (one useless post, but he's there)
Rise of Fenix (one useless post calling me a townie for posting first, I want his opinion on day 1 lynching)
Ninja4Ever (he did say he would post later)

No one is entirely inactive, but most people seem to agree to lynch a lurker day 1. This means we have to start thinking about who to lynch if there's no convenient lurker.

On Gossemer's early vote for Mementoss: He was q


My post wasn't useless, I had to post something before going to bed and I can't post while i'm asleep sorry .

As for the lurker lynch we should really put pressure on this, as Mementoss and Nova said, last game all three scums were very active and it was easy for them to control the flow of the game. It is useless to have the number advantage if half of the town only post once in a while just to make sure they are not modkilled. If you look at last day of last game (SNMMVIII) we were 5 town/3 scums and in one day we lynched a townie and 2 others got modkilled, and one of the lurkers was a Blue. This overall inactivity was a good part of why we lose the game since every lurker that we targetted flipped town.

That said we should put pressure on lurker but not lynch them to fast because last game's situation will happen again and we will die horribly.

This post kinda came off weird to me. posts some stuff about last game, says how we shouldnt be inactive, and ends on kind of a weird note about pressuring lurkers but not lynching too fast. which is especially strange when later in the day he randomly votes for a lurker.

On March 23 2012 07:58 Seviro wrote:
there's no haste to vote yet, it's just that you said you would wait about and hour before the deadline before your vote, which is really late.

It will be best for everyone if we say something like 8 to 6 hour before the deadline we should post what is our vote at that moment. At this point we can discuss and see what would be the best for the town. If at the time of the "soft" deadline you have no one that you think is more suspicious than the other you can always vote for no-lynch and change your vote later.

This is one of the posts that i feel the weirdest about. he says that we should have some soft deadline which i had already stated and he agreed on, and then says we can discuss and that if someone has nobody they think is suspicious at all they can just vote No-Lynch no problem and then just switch it later when they feel like? Seems to me like hes encouraging sc2system-like behavior. really weird.
On March 23 2012 08:05 Seviro wrote:
It depends, on day 1 it is bad since we have no informations whatsoever if we don'T lynch someone, but later in the game a no lynch can be better than a mislynch. It does seems scummy but at time it can be good (rarely tho).

But my point was not to no lynch, it was that you can vote no-lynch like 6-8 hour before the deadline if you don't know who to vote for and then with the discussion that follow you can make up your mind.

Then he clears this up saying not to no-lynch, but I still don’t think that his point makes sense, its just encouraging people to say that they are undecided, then wait until last minute and flip with little explanation of their own.
On March 24 2012 03:10 Seviro wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 23:55 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Time to bring another suspect to the table.
Show nested quote +
On March 22 2012 14:55 Seviro wrote:
I just noticed it had started and now I'm going to bed so I can't speak much now. I'll come back tomorrow to participate more.

It's my second game myself (SNMMVIII, perfect win for mafia and I was among the last survivor, yay!)

Introductory post. Pretty much no content other than saying he'll post again later.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 03:50 Seviro wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 22 2012 23:42 BlueyD wrote:
People I consider to be lurkers right now, until further notice:

Seviro (one useless post, but he's there)
Rise of Fenix (one useless post calling me a townie for posting first, I want his opinion on day 1 lynching)
Ninja4Ever (he did say he would post later)

No one is entirely inactive, but most people seem to agree to lynch a lurker day 1. This means we have to start thinking about who to lynch if there's no convenient lurker.

On Gossemer's early vote for Mementoss: He was q


My post wasn't useless, I had to post something before going to bed and I can't post while i'm asleep sorry .

As for the lurker lynch we should really put pressure on this, as Mementoss and Nova said, last game all three scums were very active and it was easy for them to control the flow of the game. It is useless to have the number advantage if half of the town only post once in a while just to make sure they are not modkilled. If you look at last day of last game (SNMMVIII) we were 5 town/3 scums and in one day we lynched a townie and 2 others got modkilled, and one of the lurkers was a Blue. This overall inactivity was a good part of why we lose the game since every lurker that we targetted flipped town.

That said we should put pressure on lurker but not lynch them to fast because last game's situation will happen again and we will die horribly.

Wants to pressure for lurker lynch when this is pretty much established in town, the whole paragraph goes on about how lurking is bad which has pretty much been established already. Somewhat defends lurkers in the same post which is odd.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 06:07 Seviro wrote:
On March 23 2012 04:37 Nova_Terra wrote:
Seviro, while i agree with your post, i dont get how we can put pressure on lurkers but not lynch them fast, as thats really the only way to pressure them.


Pretty much what froggy said, last game we didn't really pressure them as much, yes we were talking a lot about lynching them but as soon as they posted like 1 or 2 post we were ok and were going on another subject. If we are talking about something, we need to have the opinion of everyone. I'll take Eleanthas of last game as an example, everytime he posted something he was completely ignoring the discussion that was going on, that should not happen.

And about Rise, posting your thought about 1 hour before the deadline is possibly the more scummy thing you could do as the deadline is relatively late and a lot of people are not around at the time. Voting at this time is basically a ninja vote and it is not right to do so since, as Nova said we wouldn't have enough time to discuss about it and change our vote if need be.

Agrees with another townie to gain cred, this is a trend in Seviro's posts; rarely comes up with any own ideas and mostly agrees with other townies to 'blend in'. Also jumps on the against the 1 hour bandwagon which is fairly obvious. Long post basically stating the obvious and agreeing with other people.


Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 06:31 Seviro wrote:
On March 23 2012 06:22 Nova_Terra wrote:
michaelthe could you make that 12 hours for them? some of them might live in europe and they have my sympathy.
Also would everyone be okay with a 6 hour soft deadline?


I'm okay with 6 but I'd like 8 more. 6 feel kind of short.

Nothing of real worth here.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 07:58 Seviro wrote:
there's no haste to vote yet, it's just that you said you would wait about and hour before the deadline before your vote, which is really late.

It will be best for everyone if we say something like 8 to 6 hour before the deadline we should post what is our vote at that moment. At this point we can discuss and see what would be the best for the town. If at the time of the "soft" deadline you have no one that you think is more suspicious than the other you can always vote for no-lynch and change your vote later.

These are exactly the type of contributions that scum is fine with doing, as they don't really 'help' the town in any way. The Rise of Fenix train is going nicely, which if he's just a bad townie is fine for mafia.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 08:05 Seviro wrote:
It depends, on day 1 it is bad since we have no informations whatsoever if we don'T lynch someone, but later in the game a no lynch can be better than a mislynch. It does seems scummy but at time it can be good (rarely tho).

But my point was not to no lynch, it was that you can vote no-lynch like 6-8 hour before the deadline if you don't know who to vote for and then with the discussion that follow you can make up your mind.

Are you suddenly suggesting to no lynch? We've pretty much all agreed that not lynching day 1 is bad because of lack of information. People should vote on suspicion regardless.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 08:10 Seviro wrote:
EBWOP, If we agree that everyone should have a vote posted at a set time before the deadline (since no one disagreed right now let's say 8 to 6 hour) we can then make a better choice for the lynch of this day and if someone fail to do so then he is most likely to be proposed as a lunch candidate.

But now I think everyone should post what are their thought about that, if they agree etc. If we want to be able to win this, we need to work together and to not let 1 or 2 people take the control of the town.

Continuing on with something that really isn't that crucial and if people agree to 8 hours instead of 6 there's nothing groundbreaking that will be decided.

Based on all these posts that pretty much say nothing at all and seem to want to blend in most of all which seems like scum behaviour to me, though it's just a suspicion, I'm voting for Seviro for now. At worst it'll spark some more discussion.

##Vote Seviro



Show nested quote +
Wants to pressure for lurker lynch when this is pretty much established in town, the whole paragraph goes on about how lurking is bad which has pretty much been established already. Somewhat defends lurkers in the same post which is odd.


I already answered what I meant by that, pressuring and lynching are two different thing. Pressuring is forcing them to post by asking them directly their opinion on a subject so that we can more precisely find who is scum and who is not. A scum under pressure is most likely to post than a town in my opinion.

Show nested quote +
Agrees with another townie to gain cred, this is a trend in Seviro's posts; rarely comes up with any own ideas and mostly agrees with other townies to 'blend in'. Also jumps on the against the 1 hour bandwagon which is fairly obvious. Long post basically stating the obvious and agreeing with other people.


Ok, so I can't agree with anyone that's what you're saying? I mean I wasn'T online after Nova question and Froggy kind of answered him in my place and I just pointed out that it was indeed what I meant.

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 04:54 froggynoddy wrote:
What I have been saying (and I think what Seviro is saying), is to be able to analyse behaviour you need to get actions and reactions from people. The analysis then has to be correct in of itself. The decision to lynch should therefore be based on 1. information (gathered by pressuring, amongst other ways) 2. Correct analysis. But without 1. we shall never be able to do 2. And therefore any decisions to lynch will be less strong.


Show nested quote +
These are exactly the type of contributions that scum is fine with doing, as they don't really 'help' the town in any way. The Rise of Fenix train is going nicely, which if he's just a bad townie is fine for mafia.


Ok, so now I'm suspicious because i'm not badwagonning? I don'T really see your point here.

Show nested quote +
Are you suddenly suggesting to no lynch? We've pretty much all agreed that not lynching day 1 is bad because of lack of information. People should vote on suspicion regardless.


Way to miss the point, I won't bother explaining again since what you quoted was clear and you just seem to want to make me look scummy by making me say what I didn'T say.

Show nested quote +
Continuing on with something that really isn't that crucial and if people agree to 8 hours instead of 6 there's nothing groundbreaking that will be decided.


It is not that crucial but if we can come up with something like this we will be a lot more organized and will have time to discuss all the votes before the actual deadline. Once again I explained it very well.



Now that you put yourself on the stage, let's take a look at you.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 22 2012 21:12 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Hey guys, just woke up, sorry for not replying yet. 3am is quite late for us Europeans, but I'm here now
This is my third or fourth game of TL Mafia, I've organized Insane Mafia before which was an absolutely insane game and a ton of fun. I'm also pro lynching someone on day 1 as lynches are the only reliable way to kill mafia. We don't know if there's a vigilante in the game, but I don't think we can count on it. We should also treat any roleclaims with suspicion. Don't blindly follow anyone that claims, or anyone that makes long posts. Think for yourself and don't jump on bandwagons. From what I've seen in other games this is generally what kills towns.
Mafia is by definition more organized so they're better at bandwagoning, though a smart mafia will never have everyone voting on one person. However, if there's any risk of a mafia getting lynched they'll normally switch their votes off so anyone that switches votes at the last minute should be viewed with suspicion.


Introductory post, little content else than the obvious and some WIFOM toward the end

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 05:39 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 05:24 Rise Of Fenix wrote:
Day one lynching is always a solid plan to move foreward, but no real tells are showing thus far. I will likely post my thoughts about 1 hour before the deadline. But not lynching anyone only benefits the scum.

Why would you not post your thoughts now instead of one hour before the deadline? We could actually discuss them if you post it now, there's no reason not to.


On of the first to tell what everyone else will say after. (People can have the same opinion, it'S not necessary badwagonning)

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 01:22 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
@Nova_Terra however bandwagoning on everything and making large posts that basically say "I agree" IS scummy, because the length of the post can make it seem like you're contributing when in fact you're not saying anything new. Sure, others have done this as well, but I haven't seen anyone else make such long posts without any real 'content'.


I agree that my posts are kind of long but just because you are missing every point that I make it doesn't mean that I have no content.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 02:07 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
Also, to my defense, if I was mafia I'd probably have a large accusatory post proofread by the other mafia. The chance of a slip like that happening in that case are much smaller. And to correct myself, when I said town I simply meant all players, not specifically town aligned.


This defense is not valid as it is only WIFOM. (It's a newbie game after all)


Now I hate to do that, but I need to vote on you for now. In your case on me you were purposely (or not) missing all my point to make me look scummy and that for me is a lot more scummy. so for now

##Vote: Artanis[Xp]


I don’t really think that seviro handled defending this case well.it came off very defensive and the end was just OMGUS. One thing I want to note is that he says pressuring is asking people to post thoughts and respond to questions, and lynching is voting them down.
In his next few posts he just goes on about how rise of fenix is just probably bad in general, but it isn’t really helping anything. He doesn’t want to lynch him, but doesn’t really present any other option? Scummy.


And then when RoF posts saying he will try to make it up he goes a bit weird.
On March 24 2012 05:48 Seviro wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 24 2012 05:36 Rise Of Fenix wrote:
give me another chance, please. I will make up my terrible play today tommorow.


Dude you still have about 6 hour left before today's deadline. At the rate thi is going you won'T be alive tomorrow anyway, if you want to defend yourself and step up your play it is today. With a post like this it seems like you don'T even try so we might as well lynch you right now.

At this point it starts to go back to the thing about how he just wants to pressure lurkers and not lynch. Now hes just threatening him to post or die, which isn’t really wanting to “not lynch lurkers immediately”

On March 24 2012 06:00 Seviro wrote:
I want to point out that it'S been a bit more than 22 hour since virtu last post. He did said he'll post today but I have yet to see anything from him. I think for now i'll put my vote on him until he comes out.

##unvote: Artanis[Xp]
##Vote: Virtu


Lolwut?
This is just….
Says lurkers should be pressured (which apparently means asking them directly for their opinion and not voting
>Votes for lurker for no reason other than him not having been there for 22 hours
That’s just contradicting and scummy.
Then he switches between Virtu and RoF (also a lurker)

In his next couple posts he just adds how system needs to be looked at. Oh, and then theres this which bugged me a bit
On March 25 2012 04:56 Seviro wrote:
Hum, you have some good point there but you could have add these two post as well


+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 07:57 BlueyD wrote:
Note: I haven't vote counted, but I'm still here for a few hours (MLG yay!) and will switch for Rise if we need a majority when the time limit gets near, but I would much prefer to see sc2master lynched.




+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 08:38 BlueyD wrote:
Hint to Rise, if he's still around: Switching his vote to sc2system might let him stay alive another day.



It seems like it is 100% sure that these two are the lynch target for the first 2 day when everything can happen during day 1 that can change anything.

Personnally after seeing Rise flip Town I think that Sc2system is most likely a town that can't put his thought together. I believe that his day 1 posting are mostly inexperienced post and that if he try a bit he could come up with some good thing. I just know that for now i'm not willing to vote for him on day 2 yet.

After I post my case, the only thing I get from him is Hum, some good point there. No other thoughts on the case at all. Not really suspicious there, but to not share any thoughts on it at all?

His thoughts on system were pretty much yeah hes probably bad townie but not sure if worth a lynch etc. Yeah, everyone knows hes suspicious.

On March 25 2012 06:43 Seviro wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 25 2012 06:39 BlueyD wrote:
And I didn't like that he had a "pressure but no lynch" opinion on lurkers at first, but then switched his vote to Virtu for his period of inactivity, despite many ok Virtu posts before. "Flexible in opinion" is how I'd describe Seviro, and that's not a compliment...


This is what I meant by pressure but not necessarly lynch, I put my vote on him and then he came and posted his thought so I switched back. This is what I call pressure play.


Mhm, compare this to
Pressuring is forcing them to post by asking them directly their opinion on a subject so that we can more precisely find who is scum and who is not.

No? you call a pressure play a play where you ask someone to post their opinion on a subject.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 03:04 Seviro wrote:
Ok, so now,

Mementoss: He was the first one to make a real case against Rise Of Fenix which really started the train rolling in my opinion. While Rise was doing a great job of sinking himself into bad and bad post, peolple started to look more into it after this case. He also was the first one to point out sc2system lurkerness.These two people had already been mentionned beforehand, respectively by Gossemer and Ninja4ever. My point is, not that it mean anything since it was the same for a lot of people, his two main suspect flipped town which is worth pointing out I think.

Now, this is not scummy in itself but I also saw a little inconsistency in his posting.

In his first post he states:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 22 2012 20:41 Mementoss wrote:
Therefore, I say we lynch a lurker/useless poster day 1, unless we have a significant scum slip. Why is this beneifical to us the town, even though there is a good chance it will be a townie?
1) Helps narrow down the field for scum hunting later
2) Keeps the active ratio higher for discussion
3) Attempts to keep replacements out of the game, which are always difficult to read and deal with as one persons scum meta =/= the other persons.
.


Then, later he is the one who notice the slip of artanis

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 24 2012 01:43 Mementoss wrote:

Note the bolded/underlined, its both because its a very big mistake. A very big scum slip. Why is it such a huge deal? Because we have no clue if Nova_Terra is town. AT ALL. Here are the possibilities:

1) He is scum, he knows peoples roles, therefore he knows Nova_Terra is town. Slipped it by mistake.
2) He is scum, Nova_Terra is scum, he is quick to give the idea to the rest that Nova is confirmed town, when there is no proof behind it. Just saying it because Nova is active.
3) He is town, bad town play, making assumptions that lead to town not exploring all the possibilities, getting tunnelled away from someone (See me as mafia SNMM VIII)

Dat scum slip


If we follow his reasoning, At this point Artanis had 66% chance of being a scum but even then he didn't put a vote even after:

Show nested quote +
On March 24 2012 05:24 Mementoss wrote:
@Artanis, I don't believe your defense, but its not enough to warrant a day 1 lynch. Now that I have given Seviro a chance to defend, your case against him seemed weak to me. It was basically him discussing things that were going on in the thread, while they were important, don't see how this is scummy.


He point out the slip, don't believe the defense, have stated in his first post that he would vote a lurker/useless poster unless a scum slip like this happened, be even then he doesn't put his vote on him once.

Now, since Artanis is a confirmed townie now (unless a counter claim but at this point I doubt it), it is not inherently scummy but these littles inconsistencies are worth mentionning if we want to scum hunt effectively.


My main suspect now is Micaelthe: Here is Froggy post about his early game so I won't have to repeat it.


+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 10:07 froggynoddy wrote:
Wow. Michaelthe, I'm not sure if you are bad town or bad scum. Regardless, you seem pretty bad.

You're first post states (after day 1) that you are for lurker lynch:

Show nested quote +
Additionally, I would suggest we open with a lurker lynch strategy. Stating our willingness to lynch a lurker should force activity. If push comes to shove, we must follow through, but hopefully it will force no lurkers. I know mafia tips suggest policy lynches are bad, but I think it's hard to get the ball rolling in newbie games.


You're second post has no content:

Show nested quote +
Ok,

It took like 2 minutes to read the 8 posts so far

I've been reading FAQs and strategy and whatnot (I missed getting last game by a bit :/) but still had to look up OMGUS. So here is a webpage I found useful: http://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Main_Page

I would still like to go back and read the opening day of some of the newbie games. I will do this regardless, but I think it would be beneficial for those that played in those newbie games to go back, reread, and offer analysis of those games as well (or even if you didn't play like me!) My point is we can't analyze players who haven't played any games very accurately, but we can analyze strategy of past newbie games.


Your third point is some very weak finger pointing:

Show nested quote +
I know it is hard to contribute on Day1 in a newbie game, but again, the only way to force... is to force it... Post anything of value to this game of mafia. Even a weak thought about who looks suspicious, who doesn't, if you think we should day1 lynch etc.

Posts that say nothing "HI GUYS" are equal to not posting in my book. As are posts simply agreeing with another post. Try and post some original thought, regardless of how weak it is.

I've made a spreadsheet with posts and ranked posts according to a day1-content scale I made. These are the three lowest people:

1)sc2system
2)Ninja4ever
3)Froggynoddy

You all have posts, but not enough substance!

ULTIMATUM: Post something of value within 8 hours or you are getting my vote!


There is pretty much nothing to go by. Your content is zilch, you are putting suspicion on people who have more content than you; I have argued that forcing lurkers to post is beneficial to town, more convincingly than you have (as has seviro and to a certain extent Nova_Terra), yet you put a really weak case forward against three posters.

I'm not voting for you YET but you seriously need to shape up. Accusing players who have posted content in day 1 seems scummy to me as there is so little to go by.

Make a better case dude. (for all three of us)


I want to add on his ultimatum thingie.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 07:19 michaelthe wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 06:54 Gossemerr wrote:
On March 23 2012 06:16 michaelthe wrote:
I know it is hard to contribute on Day1 in a newbie game, but again, the only way to force... is to force it... Post anything of value to this game of mafia. Even a weak thought about who looks suspicious, who doesn't, if you think we should day1 lynch etc.

Posts that say nothing "HI GUYS" are equal to not posting in my book. As are posts simply agreeing with another post. Try and post some original thought, regardless of how weak it is.

I've made a spreadsheet with posts and ranked posts according to a day1-content scale I made. These are the three lowest people:

1)sc2system
2)Ninja4ever
3)Froggynoddy

You all have posts, but not enough substance!

ULTIMATUM: Post something of value within 8 hours or you are getting my vote!


How in the world is Fenix not number one on this list?



Actually, completely by accident. He should be below sc2system and ninja, but above froggy.

I was tracking posts by quality and page by assigning a value to each post from 0 (greeting, basic chatter), 1 (very basic, but maybe an opinion), 2 (basic thoughts), or 3 (solid attempt at analysis for day1). Best I could do for day1... I suspect filters and exact content will matter more on day 2 or 3+

The scores are as follows:

sc2system: 0,0 (a few posts on day1 I lumpped I think)
Ninja: 0,0
Froggy: 0,1,1

And, as you said and I missed:
Fenix: 1,1 (Argentina)


So I will add him to the list, I guess in fairness I will give him 8 hours from this post, so an extra 40 minutes or whatever

Revised list:
1. Sc2system
2. Ninja
3. Rise of Fenix
4. Froggy



2 thing I want to point out with this.

First thing, 3 out of 4 on this list are now dead dead townies.

Second, he post an Ultimatum than never happen:
Show nested quote +
ULTIMATUM: Post something of value within 8 hours or you are getting my vote!


Which he emphasize as being an ultimatum.
Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 06:25 michaelthe wrote:
On March 23 2012 06:22 Nova_Terra wrote:
michaelthe could you make that 12 hours for them? some of them might live in europe and they have my sympathy.
Also would everyone be okay with a 6 hour soft deadline?


not much of an ultimatum if I change it 5 minutes later!

You're Euro.. what time is it there?


Then his first actual vote happen 23 hour after his ultimatum whereas he said an ultimatum of 8 hour more so that he vote for someone that is not on his list.

Which lead me to talk about the "Feudian slip" as he calls it.

He seems to insist a lot on this than needed, now that we already had ROS and sc2system under the radar he bring back a point that had been discuss hours before as if since ROS and sc2system where dead men walking at this stage if he could change day 1 lynch then day 2 and 3 would have been a big mess for the town.

I'll point out also that he was not the first to vote for Artanis since my vote was still on him and most of his opinion were mostly reformulating. Then, at the end of the day he just follow the bandwagon as he see that Artanis won't get lynched.


Sorry for the lenght of the post, longer than expected.

He posts some seeming analysis on Mementoss and more importantly TheMichael but doesn’t really do anything with it. This is his first “real” case/important analysis. Most of his content has been defense or fluff.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 03:39 Seviro wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 03:10 michaelthe wrote:

Initial Day 2 Thoughts
At the end of day1, I reread the argument between Seviro and Artanis. While I was pretty sure Artanis was scum, I thought Seviro's reponse was absurd. I came to the conclusion that one of these two were most likely scum... Since Artanis is now mostly-confirmed, the attack on Seviro gained another look.

On Seviro:

(This is based heavily on his filter, pull it up if you want to see specific posts, this is already long enough without them all)
First substantial post after initial wave of basic crap:

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 08:10 Seviro wrote:
EBWOP, If we agree that everyone should have a vote posted at a set time before the deadline (since no one disagreed right now let's say 8 to 6 hour) we can then make a better choice for the lynch of this day and if someone fail to do so then he is most likely to be proposed as a lunch candidate.


He is suggesting a policy lynch based on not voting within an 8 hour deadline. The reason policy lynches are bad is because it removes analysis and focuses only on the policy. This one specifically means someone would be a lynch target simply for voting 4 hours from the deadline rather than 8. If you get scum to meet the deadline, the scum get a free town kill.

Seviro's reponse to Artanis Attack. I was fairly certain Artanis was scum, after what I saw as a strong slip. But I think the vig claim was great (more on that later). I reread the Artanis / Servio post and thought Artanis' attack was simple (based on day1 stuffs..) but Serviro WAY overreacted with his defense. He went on to vote for Artanis in his defense, which is a TERRBIE move!

FOUR minutes later he states a willingness to go after Fenix...

After the Fenix train picks up some steam, he totally forgets about Artanis.

Then he changes OFF Artanis and... onto Virtu, for not being active enough. His acusations are extremely fickle. He ends the day by jumping on the same train as everyone, Fenix.

After Day1, he posts that he thinks sc2system is town. He has defended bad play of Fenix and SC2 as town. ONLY MAFIA KNOW WHO TOWNIES ARE!

Show nested quote +
On March 25 2012 06:43 Seviro wrote:
On March 25 2012 06:39 BlueyD wrote:
And I didn't like that he had a "pressure but no lynch" opinion on lurkers at first, but then switched his vote to Virtu for his period of inactivity, despite many ok Virtu posts before. "Flexible in opinion" is how I'd describe Seviro, and that's not a compliment...


This is what I meant by pressure but not necessarly lynch, I put my vote on him and then he came and posted his thought so I switched back. This is what I call pressure play.


He discusses the virtu vote as “pressure”. A vote with nothing behind it, with no case, nothing. He doesn't at all revisit his Artanis vote here.

His most recent posts finally address the Artanis vote, his reasoning is ABSURD:

Show nested quote +
On March 26 2012 01:47 Seviro wrote:
On March 25 2012 22:54 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
.He also used a chainsaw argument against me after I accused him, voting me for little reason seemingly only because I voted on him and some minor suspicions. Regardless of alignment, that's bad.


I don't think it was a "chainsaw argument" as you say because I did defend myself. I just thought "ok, he took all my post out of context so let's do the same thing with him". I know that was a bad play, but your accusations were meaningless so I just kind of did the same.

Now i'm gonna go read some filter and I'll post some of my thought after, especially Mementoss, a lot of people seem to think that he his almost confirmed town and given last game scenario, I don't like that. So brb in some hours.


He says it wasn't a chainsaw defense, but then pretty much describes a chainsaw defense. We have all been discussing the initial Seviro/Artanis issue, I think Seviro would rather see it buried.



+ Show Spoiler +
Initial Day 2 Thoughts
At the end of day1, I reread the argument between Seviro and Artanis. While I was pretty sure Artanis was scum, I thought Seviro's reponse was absurd. I came to the conclusion that one of these two were most likely scum... Since Artanis is now mostly-confirmed, the attack on Seviro gained another look.


That is purely WIFOM.


Show nested quote +
He is suggesting a policy lynch based on not voting within an 8 hour deadline. The reason policy lynches are bad is because it removes analysis and focuses only on the policy. This one specifically means someone would be a lynch target simply for voting 4 hours from the deadline rather than 8. If you get scum to meet the deadline, the scum get a free town kill.


It doesn't mean it at all, let's say a 8 or even a 6 hour dealine, you had 40-42 to come up with a vote at this point in the day you should have your opinion anyway. It is in no way final but this way we can have an organized town and we have actually enough time to discuss each vote.

Show nested quote +
FOUR minutes later he states a willingness to go after Fenix...

After the Fenix train picks up some steam, he totally forgets about Artanis.


What are you talking about?. Literally all the EFFING day I've been DEFENDING Fenix in hope that he would come up with something useful, which didn'T happen.

Show nested quote +
Then he changes OFF Artanis and... onto Virtu, for not being active enough. His acusations are extremely fickle. He ends the day by jumping on the same train as everyone, Fenix.


Virtu had promised us a post which was not there at the time, after he did post I switch my vote onto Fenix since his post were making less and less sense.

Show nested quote +
After Day1, he posts that he thinks sc2system is town. He has defended bad play of Fenix and SC2 as town. ONLY MAFIA KNOW WHO TOWNIES ARE!


Show nested quote +
On March 24 2012 23:54 michaelthe wrote:

It was more or less expected that we'd get a bad townie on day 1. I thought it was pretty clear he was bad town rather than mafia, but just a really bad town who couldn't even vote in the right format last minute that would have saved him.


You must be scum right? Just because I think something and it come down that I was right it doesn't mean anything.

Show nested quote +
He says it wasn't a chainsaw defense, but then pretty much describes a chainsaw defense. We have all been discussing the initial Seviro/Artanis issue, I think Seviro would rather see it buried.


Show nested quote +
On March 25 2012 22:54 Artanis[Xp] wrote:
(if you don't know, a chainsaw argument is accusing the accuser rather than defending yourself)..


I did not accuse him rather than defending myself, I did defend myself then I accused him, this is werew the difference lies.


If you have other question about this Artanis/Seviro thing feel free to ask.

The main thing I noticed in his defense is really how defensive and angry he got. Scum traits.

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 16:04 Seviro wrote:
Inb4 OMG he said he was going to bed last post and he didn'T, SCUMSCUMSCUM, by heading to bed I meant getting of the computer and doing something else before actually going to bed. I planned to take a look at the thread just before sleeping but there was 2 post adressed to me so I responded to them while they were of actuality.


+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 14:34 michaelthe wrote:
Re Seviro Attack
You make two points about my ultimatum:
1) 3 out of the 4 people I posted as lurkers are now dead townies.
2) I didn't vote until 23 hours after my 8 hour ultimatum.

Reponses:
1) two are dead because they are bad townines. This is the reason they were on the inactive list, this is the reason they were selected to die. The reason they are dead and on the list of inactives has the same root, this in no way makes their deaths have a causal relationship to my list. This should be completely easy to see by anyone.
2) My ultimatum was an attempt to force lurkers to post. All of them actually posted. Fenix spammed useless content, one said “I'm awake”, one said “Im drunk”. No one strictly failed, it was only mildly successful at making people post.

On Artanis, you make two points:
1) I targest Artanis after we had two good targets to lynch
2) I was the second vote for Artanis, not the first

I refute both of these points with one simple point: Artanis' slip was a major one. Artanis himself said so. Every Mafia guide says so. It ended up being a complete accident, but there was no way to tell this at the time. At the time, this was one of the strongest pieces of objective information we had.


Your claims are terrible, they have no weight, I find them very artificial. There are a few people who have said “oops, that does look scummy”, but I have not with the above. My responses are simple, and straightforward to your meritless claims. I think you are artificially trying to make a case.


About the 3 out of 4 thingie, of course this was purely WIFOM but I thought it was worth mentioning.

And on the Ultimatum you did say

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 06:16 michaelthe wrote:
ULTIMATUM: Post something of value within 8 hours or you are getting my vote!


So you are basically saying that "i'm drunk" and "i'm awake" are valuable for the town right?

And for the "Feudian slip" as you like to call it I did bring it up because of the way you brought it back. You basically said everything Mementoss had already say in his post about it, but you write it in a way that make it look like you were the one to find it.

And also, I forgot to mention that your answer about froggy's post that was asking you to give content was:

Show nested quote +
On March 23 2012 15:23 michaelthe wrote:
On Froggy

You came out VERY defensive. I called for lurkers to post, and they did... But hey, that's not my strategy!:

On March 23 2012 04:54 froggynoddy wrote:
The decision to lynch should therefore be based on 1. information (gathered by pressuring, amongst other ways) 2. Correct analysis. But without 1. we shall never be able to do 2. And therefore any decisions to lynch will be less strong.


Your turn Euro's. See you in the morning.


You didn'T adress any of his claim.

And on my point being weak, weightless and artificial I don't know if you saw my answer about your case on me, I countered every single point of yours without even trying and I did not say anything about your point being weak and weightless because it is useless to discredit other post the way you do it.

So if you could stop with your arrogant attitude of "I'm right and I'm good, you're wrong and you suck" that would be beneficial for the town.


And blueyD

Show nested quote +
You had no opinion, really?! On a vigi hit?!


Yeah really.

Show nested quote +
1. These 2 were a lot of people’s first 2 suspects. Pointing out that they were mementoss’s as well is not worth it.

2. He pointed out the lurking of people who had been pointed out by Gossemer and Ninja4ever, which makes him the first to make these cases? Contradiction, anyone?


There is a difference between pointing out something and making a case on it.

Anyway the goal of the small case on Mem was only to show that we need to not put him in the "almost confirmed townie" yet since on day 1 some people seemed to believe he was the most townie of us, which he may be but it is not a reason to not suspect him and to let him slip by.


Show nested quote +
When your only time specifically mentioning Rise day 1 is this:

+ Show Spoiler +
On March 23 2012 06:07 Seviro wrote:
And about Rise, posting your thought about 1 hour before the deadline is possibly the more scummy thing you could do as the deadline is relatively late and a lot of people are not around at the time. Voting at this time is basically a ninja vote and it is not right to do so since, as Nova said we wouldn't have enough time to discuss about it and change our vote if need be.


When you go through my filter, at least do it right :

Show nested quote +
On March 24 2012 03:14 Seviro wrote:
Oh, I really just think now that Fenix is playing poorly or just doesn't care enough to put enough time on the game. But I'll give him the chance to step up his play because I really think he is town.


Show nested quote +

I think that if he was mafia, his fellow scum would have helped him in the background so that he don't look so suspicious. For now I think he is just bad and as I said, i'm willing to give him a chance to step up his play. I shouldn't have said that I think that he is really town, more like I don't see him being more scummy than anyone else right now.


Show nested quote +
On March 24 2012 05:10 Seviro wrote:
Yeah I know, I just feel like it's too obvious to be true. I might be wrong tho.


that is 3 more post where I defend him so if you claim something, don't only 1/4 post on it to make me look bad.

And I did mention this defense twice because 2 people said that I jumped on the ROS train right away, which is false.

Seriously, I don'T know if my english is so bad or you just can't read but i'm getting tired of repeating myself over and over again.

Now I'm really going to bed.

The endless irritation and defense doesn’t stop. Particularly here:
+ Show Spoiler +
On March 26 2012 16:04 Seviro wrote:
Inb4 OMG he said he was going to bed last post and he didn'T, SCUMSCUMSCUM, by heading to bed I meant getting of the computer and doing something else before actually going to bed. I planned to take a look at the thread just before sleeping but there was 2 post adressed to me so I responded to them while they were of actuality.

In the post he says that the other person is understanding badly, makes this Inb4 crap, says that themichael is arrogant etc and has a certain attitude (not saying themichael isn’t scummy, hope to post my thoughts on him relatively soon after this case) but its just rude, and seems OMGUS himself.

That’s my analysis on seviro.
##Vote: Seviro
I wish I could have analyzed a bit more, but I can see that I am running short on time and for times sake I’ll put this out as early as possible.

Proud supporter of the Basking Rootwalla
Nova_Terra
Profile Joined March 2012
Switzerland1190 Posts
March 26 2012 10:26 GMT
#357
Just wanted to respond quickly to clear this up.
I also think it’s funny that he’s leaning “scum” for Seviro and “null leaning scummy” for me, but I’m the one who got FoSed.

Yes, and the delay is because i had been busy. i hadnt gone through Seviro's filter before i did yours, and so first case was on you. I would apologize but apparently i shouldnt do that. You were FoS'ed, whereas he is voted (which can still be changed). You defended relatively adequately by my standards so i gave up on you and went to him.
Proud supporter of the Basking Rootwalla
Nova_Terra
Profile Joined March 2012
Switzerland1190 Posts
March 26 2012 10:37 GMT
#358
EBWOP thats to BlueyD btw.
Proud supporter of the Basking Rootwalla
virtu
Profile Joined November 2010
United Kingdom147 Posts
March 26 2012 12:06 GMT
#359
A serious RL Family issue has arisen and unfortunately I know I won't have the time to dedicate to this game, can i be replaced?
Mementoss
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Canada2595 Posts
March 26 2012 12:38 GMT
#360
At this point it feels like we have two scum that are the ones going to be the main lynching targets for today. They are now realizing that it is most likely going to happen, and Nova is trying to bus his team mate. I gotta re-read the filters/meta to decide who is the safer lynch if what I said isn't actually the case.

If we lynch Seviro and Seviro flips town, Michael would be highly suspicious and so would Nova Terra.
If we lynch Seviro and Seviro flips scum, Michael would be off my radar, and Nova would still remain suspicious.

If we lynch Nova_Terra and he flips town, I would be highly suspicious, and ninja4ever would be partially suspicious.
If we lynch Nova_Terra and he flips scum, I would be off the radar, and ninja4ever wouldn't be that suspicious.

The thing that confused me is day 1 they both defended Artanis slip. Which is something scum I would have thought would jumped all over, if a town had a scum slip. Obviously all 3 mafia aren't going to connect themselves by jumping on it. But at least one would jump on it, and if the town went with it they would get that day 1 active lynch. Michael pushed this point hard, but it seemed like he really believed it, even though the lynch was really risky.

The main reason I would pick a Seviro lynch over a Nova_Terra is to get information on Michael, who has a super Null read for me at the moment. I can't figure it/him out. I still think case-wise, the Nova_Terra case seems stronger to me, but Seviro is suspicious based on the context of his actions/posts, more than the actual post content.

Gotta go back over the filter, and gotta recheck the meta, as this is a really close call in my head:

Seviro (Vanilla Town SNMM VIII): http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=317174&user=188261

Seviro this game:http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=322222&user=188261

Nova_Terra (Vanilla Town SNMM VIII): http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=317174&user=255225

Nova_Terra this game : http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=322222&user=255225

@Michael, I feel like your tunnelling Goss hard, He defended the same case twice already. It is stopping you and him from providing further analysis.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uu96xMwFVXw
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