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TL Mafia XXXIX

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 27 2011 11:26 GMT
#31
Could be fun

/in
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 27 2011 19:53 GMT
#35
When is this projected to start? I will have problems posting around friday and saturday.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 27 2011 21:45 GMT
#41
On April 28 2011 05:25 Node wrote:
I plan to start as soon as signups are filled. At the current rate that's happening, the game probably won't begin until at least this weekend -- I imagine that we won't fill up until some of the other games taking place have finished.

Sounds good.

While starting soon is preferable, not posting for 30h during the first day is a good way to get lynched. Even if I post here in advance to warn of the inactivity, someone will see the inactivity and giving an advance warning about being inactive as scumtells.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 28 2011 11:24 GMT
#52
Can we vote to not lynch someone?

Obviously that´s a bad idea in a game with lots of mafia KP and only single-shot vigilantes, but i wonder if the option is there.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 28 2011 14:03 GMT
#56
Can the Mafia vote a Roleblocker to be their Godfather? Does the unholy hybrid keep his roleblocker ability?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 28 2011 16:25 GMT
#58
Thanks Host, that´s all I wanted to know.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
April 30 2011 20:37 GMT
#101
What is Jackals problem with Zorkmid, or does Jackal always aggro?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 01 2011 23:41 GMT
#117
Starting right now is a bad idea, we have several players from the Sleeper Cell game here, and that one is still going for a few days more.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 07:45 GMT
#149
We start in about 20 hours then?

Just a heads up, I will miss about 4 hours in the beginning of the first day. It´s morning here, and the start will be in the middle of the night.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 07:46 GMT
#150
Okay, 43 hours from now it seems.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 10:31 GMT
#157
Next up, Butterfly Effect Mafia.

O_o
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 10:53 GMT
#158
"Paradox Mafia
The game has started.
The first phase of the game is Night 4. Since we have a recruiter in the game, everybody is a potential Mafia, so go ahead and make your votes on who to kill.
The next phase is day 2, and we´re voting for a Lynch. Remember that anyone dying during Day 2 will loose their votes during later stages. The result of the lynch may change due to votes lost from players killed during day 1 and Night 1, which will be played in a few days."
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 18:49 GMT
#165
On May 03 2011 03:17 Amber[LighT] wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 02 2011 20:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On May 02 2011 15:43 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 02 2011 15:05 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
I just remembered that I go to school in Manhattan. I wonder what that is going to be like tomorrow.


You forgot where you go to school?

Nah, it was kind of like putting two and two together.


How on earth do you manage to get dressed every morning?

I guess you didn´t read the full spoiler.

Osama Bin Laden was killed by american forces, and New York will be strange these next few days,
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 19:05 GMT
#167
On May 03 2011 03:53 KillerSOS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2011 03:49 Forumite wrote:
On May 03 2011 03:17 Amber[LighT] wrote:
On May 02 2011 20:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
On May 02 2011 15:43 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 02 2011 15:05 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
I just remembered that I go to school in Manhattan. I wonder what that is going to be like tomorrow.


You forgot where you go to school?

Nah, it was kind of like putting two and two together.


How on earth do you manage to get dressed every morning?

I guess you didn´t read the full spoiler.

Osama Bin Laden was killed by american forces, and New York will be strange these next few days,



I guess you don't understand jokes.

I watched Obama announce it to the world.

I understand that it was meant to be a joke, but I´m still not laughing.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 02 2011 22:13 GMT
#173
On May 03 2011 06:52 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
My GF can do backflips too! and yeah, I am from the suburbs forumite, them killing Osama doesn't really effect me on any emotional level. I am actually at school right now, nothing is really going on.

Odd, I expected more, even in the suburbs. 9/11 shook my school a lot when it happened, and I´m european.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 03 2011 11:06 GMT
#184
I hope the delayed start doesn´t create more inactives. I did a cursory postcount check for a few players on the list, and I found a few that haven´t posted for a week.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 08:41 GMT
#308
Lol, Orgolove has got a point, although I will give redtooth the benefit of the doubt for now.

I have a general question to people. This game has 30 players, meaning that we have 29 possible scum to investigate. Personally that´s a bit hefty for the classical post-by-post check of everyone. Many other players will quickly jump on any scummy posts and bring them to attention, but that doesn´t help finding the scum that are good at looking like scum. Does anyone have a good idea on how to effectively scum-hunt in a big game like this? Would checking up on a random player be a good tactic?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 08:44 GMT
#309
On May 04 2011 17:19 orgolove wrote:
Lies.

Haunted Mafia:
Show nested quote +
On October 24 2010 07:47 redtooth wrote:
vote HeavOnEarth

Show nested quote +
On October 24 2010 09:58 LSB wrote:
On October 24 2010 09:44 zerroth wrote:
On October 24 2010 09:25 SiNiquity wrote:
On October 24 2010 07:47 redtooth wrote:
vote HeavOnEarth

... wtf.



? Whats up?

Unvote
vote HeavOnEarth

redtooth isn't playing.
He probably forgot to log onto his smurf



Insane
Show nested quote +
On April 04 2011 18:20 redtooth wrote:
can we wait til insane 2 ends? then i can be in this one =)



Another (as of yet unknown) game:
Show nested quote +
On March 15 2011 05:31 redtooth wrote:
can i /in?
i haven't played a game in so long.
is playing in 2 concurrent games still allowed?

not the item game btw.



Lynch all liars.

Orgolove? What is the point of these accusations? They are extremely old posts, and none of them seem to be lies, at least not the the ones from April 4 and March 15
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 09:12 GMT
#311
On May 04 2011 15:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 14:09 chaoser wrote:
Ok, so I posted that line just to see how people would respond. You can see that I didn't even post in the actual voting thread and already I think I've got some good reactions. Irish, why such a big response, going so far as to posting a link to another website, even saying that you would dismiss me and "not waste time on trying to convince someone I'm not scum". I didn't even actually vote for you, I posted some bolded words that could have easily been knocked down since there was no analysis behind it, and no logic behind it; it had nothing behind it. Why so serious? Why such a big reaction? Same thing to chaos13.

At the same time, why so much silence on the issue from people who were clearly present? Kitaman? You pop in to say that people shouldn't edit but you don't mention a single thing about Irish, a single thing about me, and a single thing about anything. What up?


I think this long of a post is more suspicious than anything irish punk dude said.

He does have a few points, people need to make constructive posts, even more so with a 30-player game. Also even this early it´s a good move to call out people on their scum-tells.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 12:29 GMT
#319
Answering to Redtooth:
I played in a recent newbie game, so this is 2nd on TL. I´m relatively new to this forum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 14:36 GMT
#332
I don´t have many suspicions so far, it´s early in the game and the discussion hasn´t started up yet. Right now I´m looking at Orgolove for making a very weak case against redtooth, using very old posts, I think it was mildly scummy, borderline lying, and I´d like a response from him.

Back in a few hours.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 14:38 GMT
#333
On May 04 2011 23:31 DropBear wrote:
I am unfamiliar with the following names and would like to know if people think they are smurfs:

eternalmisfit
varpuliS
sinani206
elmizzt
Lyter
Takuna
Cthsasa

Node, this may seem like a question with an obvious answer, but can a Day Vigilante be roleblocked? It's pretty good for us if not.

Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 22:48 sandroba wrote:
Ok, so I've caught up right now and something in particular has caught my attention.

On May 04 2011 18:33 chaoser wrote:
On May 04 2011 18:12 Forumite wrote:
On May 04 2011 15:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:
On May 04 2011 14:09 chaoser wrote:
Ok, so I posted that line just to see how people would respond. You can see that I didn't even post in the actual voting thread and already I think I've got some good reactions. Irish, why such a big response, going so far as to posting a link to another website, even saying that you would dismiss me and "not waste time on trying to convince someone I'm not scum". I didn't even actually vote for you, I posted some bolded words that could have easily been knocked down since there was no analysis behind it, and no logic behind it; it had nothing behind it. Why so serious? Why such a big reaction? Same thing to chaos13.

At the same time, why so much silence on the issue from people who were clearly present? Kitaman? You pop in to say that people shouldn't edit but you don't mention a single thing about Irish, a single thing about me, and a single thing about anything. What up?


I think this long of a post is more suspicious than anything irish punk dude said.

He does have a few points, people need to make constructive posts, even more so with a 30-player game. Also even this early it´s a good move to call out people on their scum-tells.


There's no real such thing as a scum-tell per say. TL doesn't really do the MS "You said good job to medic when he saved someone, you're scum!" kind of deal but there are limitations to what mafia can and can't do. Or at least feel comfortable with doing. If you look at XXXVII, you'll see that mafia found it very hard to make cases against each other and that ended up catching a lot of them. If you look at XXXXVIII, you can see that mafia were decently wishy-washy. By wishy-washy I don't mean they changed their opinions on things, but that they changed them based upon nothing, merely to please the rest of town.

In Simple Mafia, Town because Mafia were inactive and allowed town to dominate the discussion. Even so, you'll notice that most of the time it was town arguing against town, using weak arguments and trying to figure out alliances before anyone even flipped. That's bad play since you don't know how mafia will act towards each other. They could bus each other a bit, they could act friendly, or they might not interact at all. The point is that you should focus on a few people and then make judgements about connections AFTER the flip. On day one, conversation generation is the most important thing, even if it IS the 30th game we're discussing about lynching inactives or not. Pressure is also a good conversation generator and I know for a fact that GM's question asking helps too.

Mafia wants town to have no direction and I'm sure in this game, where it's filled with mostly newbies, the mafia aren't going to go out of their way to help newbie townies. As such, redtooth get's +townie points in my book. Townies should be sure to ask coaches for help and read over guides conveniently localed here:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=215574


That's all fine and all but the thing I find extremelly suspicious about this post is this:
Chaoser points out how redtooth post is pro-town and then he proceeds to do exactly what redtooth did. Why are making such a huge effort to appear pro-town chaoser? This post would have exactly the same content without the bolded part. The only thing this part adds is making YOU look more town.

Chaoser is quite active so far and his history has been that he is much more active as town than mafia. I don't think he is worthy of suspicion as yet.

Waiting on a reply from AO.
Kita has still not replied to chaoser.

eternalmisfit
varpuliS
elmizzt


The ones above are new, and played in the Surprisingly Normal Mini Mafia I, along with me.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:15 GMT
#455
I´d like to chime in a bit. To me it looks like primarily the ones below are suspected at the moment:
Kurumi
Irish_Punk13
AirbladeOrange


I have one problem with this, that they are voting on eachother, meaning that they are probably not all Scum. Below are the posts from these players that I found in the voting thread, with the newest post highest.

Kurumi:
#Vote Irish_Punk13

Irish_Punk13:
##Vote AirbladeOrange

Kurumi:
#Unvote Irish_Punk13
#Vote AirbladeOrange
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:22 GMT
#457
Of these three, I think we have the least to go on with AirbladeOrange, because he´s only got 4 posts so far. He looks more like a slow poster that made a few scumtells.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:27 GMT
#461
On May 05 2011 08:22 Forumite wrote:
Of these three, I think we have the least to go on with AirbladeOrange, because he´s only got 4 posts so far. He looks more like a slow poster that made a few scumtells.

EBWOP
Of the 3 suspicious ones, Kurumi, Irish_Punk13 and AirbladeOrange, AirbladeOrange has the least posts, and therefore the least to base a lynch on.

On May 05 2011 04:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 00:56 Kurumi wrote:
Drop Chaoser discussion as scum.
He will be probably shot this night because he is good at Mafia and is staying really pro-town.
It is good to see some lurkers waking up!


I don't like this post. I never like it when a townie tries to end discussion. The town should always encourage discussion. However, Chaoser does not seem to support Kurumi at all. It seems like Kurumi could be trying to defend his mafia buddy Chaoser but Chaoser is being very serious about not defending Kurumi at all. Maybe Kurumi just made a bad mistake that Chaoser is trying to distance himself from it in order to not be involved if Kurumi turns out to be mafia. Chaoser even did a little investigation on Kurumi's other TL posts which is very interesting. Chaoser is a good player which nobody should forget. I believe he has the potential to be a great townie or a great mafia player.

Eternalmisfit did a good analysis of Kurumi as well. I think the worst part about him is his posting method. What's up with that? At least if we lynch him and he flips town, we won't have to attempt to read those type of posts anymore. I agree with your overall assessment of Kurumi and I see him at least as of right now being most likely to be mafia.


This is my third mafia game. I played haunted mafia a while ago and I had no idea what was going on the entire game. Then I just played Brown Bear's mafia game in which I was a mafia goon. DropBear, Coagulation, and GMarshal were all on my team.

This is his longest post, one of FOUR posts. Apart from wanting to lynch Kurumi to keep him from spamming, i don´t see many weird tells.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:30 GMT
#463
On May 05 2011 08:24 Beneather wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 08:22 Forumite wrote:
Of these three, I think we have the least to go on with AirbladeOrange, because he´s only got 4 posts so far. He looks more like a slow poster that made a few scumtells.


Could you analyze these posts. So that we can see the scumtells you are telling us. We can't just bandwagon a guy just you say he has 4 posts and had a few scumtells. We need a little more than that.

I looked at his longest post. The other 3 are mostly oneliners. One thinks Chaoser is suspicious for doing an analysis early, the others looks like they are asking Irish questions, or asking questions about Irish.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:41 GMT
#476
On May 04 2011 15:54 KillerSOS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2011 15:09 AirbladeOrange wrote:
On May 04 2011 14:09 chaoser wrote:
Ok, so I posted that line just to see how people would respond. You can see that I didn't even post in the actual voting thread and already I think I've got some good reactions. Irish, why such a big response, going so far as to posting a link to another website, even saying that you would dismiss me and "not waste time on trying to convince someone I'm not scum". I didn't even actually vote for you, I posted some bolded words that could have easily been knocked down since there was no analysis behind it, and no logic behind it; it had nothing behind it. Why so serious? Why such a big reaction? Same thing to chaos13.

At the same time, why so much silence on the issue from people who were clearly present? Kitaman? You pop in to say that people shouldn't edit but you don't mention a single thing about Irish, a single thing about me, and a single thing about anything. What up?


I think this long of a post is more suspicious than anything irish punk dude said.



I have to agree. First to analyze, last to be analyzed.

On May 05 2011 04:25 KillerSOS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 04:22 Irish_Punk13 wrote:
Okay, for now my vote is going on AirbladeOrange for his last post. I don't like the fact that he's okay with the idea of lynching town. Kurumi is making some great posts so far, and I think he's most likely town based off of his actions so far. The fact that you think it's okay to lynch him tells me that you're probably scum, so I'm putting my vote on you.


I'm going to have to agree with this post, while I am not decided on a vote at all, this is a good line to follow.

On May 05 2011 06:02 KillerSOS wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 06:00 Rising_Phoenix wrote:
I'm sitting here hoping that something interesting happen but all I see is:

*SPAM* *SPAM* *SPAM* *SPAM* *SPAM* *SPAM* *SPAM*

Also lots of finger pointing without any actual evidence. I almost say vote for the spammers so at least we can have some constructive comments.

Also, the reason why my one post was unsubstantial is because I am still waiting for something to stick out. Right now all the spam looks suspicious, or at least is really annoying.


I like how you make a spam post about spam posts.

You would like to vote for yourself then?

Do these posts look scummy to you? They look like attempts to follow along with anothers accusations instead of adding own analysis. On the other hand it might just be low on analysis because he´s a new player.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:48 GMT
#481
On May 05 2011 08:33 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 08:30 Forumite wrote:
On May 05 2011 08:24 Beneather wrote:
On May 05 2011 08:22 Forumite wrote:
Of these three, I think we have the least to go on with AirbladeOrange, because he´s only got 4 posts so far. He looks more like a slow poster that made a few scumtells.


Could you analyze these posts. So that we can see the scumtells you are telling us. We can't just bandwagon a guy just you say he has 4 posts and had a few scumtells. We need a little more than that.

I looked at his longest post. The other 3 are mostly oneliners. One thinks Chaoser is suspicious for doing an analysis early, the others looks like they are asking Irish questions, or asking questions about Irish.


You know post count and length have nothing to do with actual scumminess right? Foolishness when he plays rarely posts but he makes his posts count when he does. You said AO posted four times only. At least he's taking stances in his posts. Kurumi hasn't taken a real stance at all. He said he was suspicious of Punk and then voted WITH Punk as soon as Punk started the AO wagon. I'm inclined to look at behavior, not post count or post length. Go read previous games please. You'll see that focusing on these issues do nothing to further the town agenda. I don't know if it's because you are a new player or what but I've got my eye on you.

Does this mean you think AO is scummy and I´m wrong in my analysis as I missed that, or that you only object to the way I look at posts? I don´t focus on short posts, but I still read them.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 04 2011 23:57 GMT
#488
On May 05 2011 08:53 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 08:48 Forumite wrote:
Does this mean you think AO is scummy and I´m wrong in my analysis as I missed that, or that you only object to the way I look at posts? I don´t focus on short posts, but I still read them.


What? I don't think AO is scummy, where do I say that in my post? I said your analysis is FLAWED. You're trying to spin a sweater out of a tiny piece of yarn. Out of the three, AO, Kurumi, and Irish_Punk, the latter two have acted way more scummy in both singular posts and behaviorally. Irish says he'll contribute but he always say "after I deal with this other game". He posts a weak argument against as heat starts to appear on Kumuri and immediately Kurumi votes with Irish even though he had previously said he thought Irish was mafia. Kurumi also tried to stop actual discussion over the topic of me, trying to buddy up to me. How is AO's posts WORSE than all that put together?

Wait a minute, I thought I was defending AO, where do I try to make him out to be more scummy than the others?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 00:11 GMT
#493
On May 05 2011 08:59 chaoser wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 08:22 Forumite wrote:
Of these three, I think we have the least to go on with AirbladeOrange, because he´s only got 4 posts so far. He looks more like a slow poster that made a few scumtells.


Ohhhh, my bad dude, I thought you said he had the MOST to go on. 4 hours of sleep = eyes blurred lol

No problem, with 30 people, confusing them is easy. I will quote properly in my EBWOPs in the future, might help prevent some confusion.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 01:51 GMT
#529
I´m voting Kurumi. His last post was 5 pages ago, and I´m open to retracting if he has a good defence once he gets online, or we find someone more scummy, but my vote is on him for now.

##Vote: Kurumi
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 09:02 GMT
#618
On May 05 2011 17:29 Lyter wrote:
I'm not really buying all these random accusations flying around on day 1, maybe its just me, but I'd much rather see a night through so we actually have something to work with, at this point it is just pure guesswork imo.

It might be guesswork but we still get information out of it, information that will be important once the first lynch flips. Also we don´t have a "no lynch" option, someone HAS to die during day 1.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 09:04 GMT
#619
On May 05 2011 16:54 aidnai wrote:
offtopic:
-Takuna still hasn't posted.

There is still most of a day left, so we're actually doing pretty damn good on activity. Gratz everyone.

Is Takuna the only one who hasn´t posted yet since the first day-post, or just one of them?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 13:09 GMT
#628
On May 05 2011 21:55 Kurumi wrote:
It flipped so wrong,but so good after all.
My mistakes and weird play created a bandwagon which is such an easy way for scum to push lynch. That's ok. About my hyperactive posting:
I was really pumped out for my first Mafia game on TL,don't get me wrong but I wanted to flip out as best as I could,horribly failed though.
The biggest concern now is that I generated some kind of defence for Irish_Punk13 which was not my intention,also I got connected with him.
Even if You lynch Irish and he flips out Mafia I am DEAD.
If You lynch me,I am DEAD.
Who else can You lynch?
Well,entire society is now focused on me,Irish,AO.
It is very easy to make another same analysis post about how my or those two posting was,just take a note that does not certainly mean someone wants to help You,but just to show that Mafia cares to lynch someone who isn't them.
My derail wasted a lot of Your time and I am sorry for that,I might meant it,but I did not think that it would turn out to be discussion number 1.
Bandwagon is ready Scum,buy Your tickets,I am already cursing at You.

Kurumi, while you are online and not yet lynched, would you please try your analysis of the game and who you think are scum or anti-town? I want to know. Even in the face of a bandwagon you can still help Town. Chances are that you drop a gem that someone will pick up on, allowing us to track down scum after you are lynched.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 13:13 GMT
#630
On May 05 2011 21:47 redtooth wrote:
Kurumi, Irish, and AO are all looking extremely noobtown to me. Every argument used against them could be used to argue that they're noobtown.

For sake of argument, if they are noobs making false scumtells, in that case, who beyond Chaoser do you see as Scum? Right now Kurumi and Irish are the best candidates for a lynch, and I agree that the cases may seem weak, but I don´t see anyone else!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 13:15 GMT
#632
On May 05 2011 22:13 Kurumi wrote:
I set the traps already,just waiting for prey,sadly I am out of nets so I won't be able to catch it myself.
My analysis would be based on weak accusations and probably overlooked things,I might not be able to write anything useful,but I will try.
It is sad to see You're counting me only as dead's last will.
But it is okay.

You are not dead until you are dead, which is why you should defend yourself.

Also even if it´s a weak case, I still want to hear it. You have seen something, and if it keeps going like this, then you won´t be able to tell anyone about it after the lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 17:55 GMT
#667
On May 06 2011 02:36 Eternalmisfit wrote:
People defending others
[image loading]


People accusing/FoS/Voting others
[image loading]


How to read this chart
Every player has a number against him.
Green number on the column of a player means defense or town call for player # by this player
Red number on the column means accusation or mafia call for player # by this player
Bold and deep color represents multiple occasions of the said event i.e. strong support/attack
This chart is applicable till Takuna's first post on page 33 (not including it)

The purpose behind this is to analyze potential relationships between different people which will come into play after we people flip after lynches/deaths.

I will post a more detailed analysis with my thoughts based on this within 30-60 mins.

Very interesting numbers, thanks for gathering them.
If you accept advice, you may have a bit low threshold on defending, but I might be wrong, defending and picking apart a weak argument are not the same thing.

May I suggest an inverted table on the second one, where you show who each player have been accused of being scum by?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 17:58 GMT
#669
TIP ABOUT THE TABLES:
If you open them in two tabs between eachother and switch back and forth, it´s much easier to see which players are not saying anything.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 18:03 GMT
#672
I just did a postcheck of Redtooth, and apart from the initial "Random Vote" on Irish, he´s been trying to defend Irish the whole game from the accusations that he started early.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 18:08 GMT
#673
For trying too hard to defend Irish.

##Unote: Kurumi
##Vote: redtooth

(I´m posting in the other thread too, just wanted to be polite and inform people of the voting here too, since it´s easier to see updates in the main thread)
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 20:08 GMT
#706
It should be easy to recreate the spreadsheet, and add new FoS, Votes and defences.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 20:40 GMT
#713
On May 06 2011 05:33 redtooth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 04:30 kitaman27 wrote:
He calls chaoser out for being too safe, yet rather than calling anyone out as scum, he posts a town list. It seems as if he doesn't want to upset anyone so early in the game.
On May 05 2011 02:20 kitaman27 wrote:
On May 04 2011 21:37 redtooth wrote:
@orgolove - The first vote was a joke between me and HeavonEarth (who I know very well from LoL days) where I wasn't in the game at all and just decided to poke at him anyways.

On October 24 2010 18:01 redtooth wrote:
##vote Kitaman27


I assure everyone, there was no inside joke taking place when this vote was cast. The fact that you were smurfing in a previous game doesn't bother me, but what interests me is why would you lie about it.
I called him out earlier on a lie, not because I care that he was smurfing, but to see how he responds and he completely ignores it. The way he disappears after stirring the pot makes him look shifty, but he claims to have real life obligations, which makes it tough to tell if he is lurking or not.
Zzzz. I didn't upset anybody? Errr I upset >half the goddamn town already, not to mention Chaoser personally. Also, please understand the value of finding town. It really isn't as sexy as finding scum but just as valuable. If you're prosecuting for the sake of prosecuting, gtfo. You should be prosecuting for the sake of finding scum and eliminating the options seems pretty valuable to me. Also, you make no sense. Why would I be scared of pissing off Kurumi and Irish? It would make me more town-looking if anything.

Secondly, why does my smurf matter to you? I mean you're really pushing for it to get revealed but I really don't get why. Is it a lynch-all-liars thing? Maybe I'm just embarrassed about how bad I played. Maybe I got inactivity lynched. Who knows but I mean the only reason you would look for it is to see my meta but you have plenty of that already. Please explain to me the following: What does lying about another game have to do with my role in this game?

Wait a second, redtooth, I thought you considered Kurumi and Irish to be noobtown before, did you change your mind?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 20:56 GMT
#718
On May 06 2011 05:41 redtooth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 05:40 Forumite wrote:
On May 06 2011 05:33 redtooth wrote:
On May 06 2011 04:30 kitaman27 wrote:
He calls chaoser out for being too safe, yet rather than calling anyone out as scum, he posts a town list. It seems as if he doesn't want to upset anyone so early in the game.
On May 05 2011 02:20 kitaman27 wrote:
On May 04 2011 21:37 redtooth wrote:
@orgolove - The first vote was a joke between me and HeavonEarth (who I know very well from LoL days) where I wasn't in the game at all and just decided to poke at him anyways.

On October 24 2010 18:01 redtooth wrote:
##vote Kitaman27


I assure everyone, there was no inside joke taking place when this vote was cast. The fact that you were smurfing in a previous game doesn't bother me, but what interests me is why would you lie about it.
I called him out earlier on a lie, not because I care that he was smurfing, but to see how he responds and he completely ignores it. The way he disappears after stirring the pot makes him look shifty, but he claims to have real life obligations, which makes it tough to tell if he is lurking or not.
Zzzz. I didn't upset anybody? Errr I upset >half the goddamn town already, not to mention Chaoser personally. Also, please understand the value of finding town. It really isn't as sexy as finding scum but just as valuable. If you're prosecuting for the sake of prosecuting, gtfo. You should be prosecuting for the sake of finding scum and eliminating the options seems pretty valuable to me. Also, you make no sense. Why would I be scared of pissing off Kurumi and Irish? It would make me more town-looking if anything.

Secondly, why does my smurf matter to you? I mean you're really pushing for it to get revealed but I really don't get why. Is it a lynch-all-liars thing? Maybe I'm just embarrassed about how bad I played. Maybe I got inactivity lynched. Who knows but I mean the only reason you would look for it is to see my meta but you have plenty of that already. Please explain to me the following: What does lying about another game have to do with my role in this game?
Wait a second, redtooth, I thought you considered Kurumi and Irish to be noobtown before, did you change your mind?
Irish I still think is town. Kurumi, I'll have to check again. Still leaning towards town though. Actually, where the hell did you even get that line of thought from my previous post?

You said you were checking Kurumi, and I assumed pissing off Kurumi and Irish refered to calling them out on their scummy behavior.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 21:33 GMT
#729
On May 06 2011 06:17 redtooth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 05:56 Forumite wrote:
You said you were checking Kurumi, and I assumed pissing off Kurumi and Irish refered to calling them out on their scummy behavior.
AKA tunneling. See scumtells from everything I say don't you. Well whatever, I'll play along for now - I said that the act of pissing off Kurumi and Irish would have made me seem protown since they were getting bandwagoned hard and I would have fit right in with the rest of you all. Instead I kicked the beehive and now (somehow) stand accused of pandering them.

I did check out Kurumi. Less confident that he's town but he's still leaning town nonetheless.

Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 05:52 Mig wrote:
Red I understand it can be important to find townies but we have to lynch someone within the next few hours. So who are you going to vote for and why?
We'll see. I don't like realvoting (as opposed to baitvoting) early, especially if I'll probably be around for the deadline and can actually make a difference in the count. If voting was to end 5 minutes from now, I'd put it on Chaoser just out of protest. If I had to be the tiebreaker between Kurumi and KillerSOS, I'd probably put it on Killer. If I had to be the tiebreaker between Kurumi and Irish, I'd probably put it on Chaoser simply because I don't want to be anywhere near those ridiculous lynches.

Is it tunneling if you admit that I´m right, that calling Irish and Kurumi scum would be protown right now?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 21:44 GMT
#732
On May 06 2011 06:33 redtooth wrote:
I am busy today. We will probably end up lynching Kurumi. I was going to ask whether you would want to request a Day Vigi hit on Irish since you're so confident (70% is absolutely ridiculous IMO but you might just like higher numbers) but it's too late and our response would take too long. Worst case scenario, we fumble the lynch and do have a double-townkill round.

Wouldn´t wasting a day-vigilante be a bit of a waste?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 21:56 GMT
#740
On May 06 2011 06:44 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 06:33 redtooth wrote:
I am busy today. We will probably end up lynching Kurumi. I was going to ask whether you would want to request a Day Vigi hit on Irish since you're so confident (70% is absolutely ridiculous IMO but you might just like higher numbers) but it's too late and our response would take too long. Worst case scenario, we fumble the lynch and do have a double-townkill round.

Wouldn´t wasting a day-vigilante be a bit of a waste?
It's not a waste if it's a 70% chance of scumhit. If I was the one pushing it, I'd take those odds anyday. If it really was 70%, the net expected results aren't too bad either:
- 70% chance of occurring - We hit Irish, he flips red, we catch a scum we wouldn't have caught otherwise. Net of +1 at the cost of a Day Vigi shot.
- 30% chance of occurring - We hit Irish, he flips green, we stop the bandwagon on Kurumi and save a townie. Net of 0 at the cost of a Day Vigi shot.[/QUOTE]
Where does 70/30 come from?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 21:58 GMT
#743
EBWOP
On May 06 2011 06:51 redtooth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 06:44 Forumite wrote:
On May 06 2011 06:33 redtooth wrote:
I am busy today. We will probably end up lynching Kurumi. I was going to ask whether you would want to request a Day Vigi hit on Irish since you're so confident (70% is absolutely ridiculous IMO but you might just like higher numbers) but it's too late and our response would take too long. Worst case scenario, we fumble the lynch and do have a double-townkill round.

Wouldn´t wasting a day-vigilante be a bit of a waste?
It's not a waste if it's a 70% chance of scumhit. If I was the one pushing it, I'd take those odds anyday. If it really was 70%, the net expected results aren't too bad either:
- 70% chance of occurring - We hit Irish, he flips red, we catch a scum we wouldn't have caught otherwise. Net of +1 at the cost of a Day Vigi shot.
- 30% chance of occurring - We hit Irish, he flips green, we stop the bandwagon on Kurumi and save a townie. Net of 0 at the cost of a Day Vigi shot.

What does 70/30 come from?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 22:02 GMT
#748
On May 06 2011 07:00 AirbladeOrange wrote:
Please don't use any vigilante actions now. It's way too soon without having much to go on. These percentages don't really mean anything and anyone advocating the use of our blue roles at this point is not having the town's best interests in mind.

Quoted for visibility
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 22:04 GMT
#750
On May 06 2011 06:59 Kurumi wrote:
Again I stayed up for Mafia a bit too long,but I just want to see how it goes,so I will be lurking from my PSP in bed.
Just a thought:
I flip red,Irish and redtooth are suspicious. 3 Scum giveaway on Day1? Really? I don't think it is possible.
I flip blue and people can't understand how I managed to get myself lynched
I flip green and Irish and redtooth are not as suspicious,but every person nitpicking and tunneling me is now suspicious,together with bandwagoners and lurkers emerging just to vote on me.

+ Show Spoiler +
I will flip rainbow,maybe even double one

If you are blue, now´s the time to roleclaim.

On May 06 2011 07:00 redtooth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 06:56 Forumite wrote:
Where does 70/30 come from?
This is the last time I'm helping you. Seriously, stop acting like a baby and do the reasoning yourself. You're quickly losing any credibility you have with your empty questioning.

Chaoser stated that he was 70% sure Irish was scum. That is the "70" part of 70/30. The "30" part of 70/30 comes from when you subtract 70 from 100 and then you get 30.

Why are you arguing that day-vigilante is a good move by using probabilities you yourself think are wrong?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 05 2011 23:43 GMT
#773
Is that it? Are we only awaiting the lynch?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 06 2011 00:00 GMT
#776
Moving my vote to Kurumi. If we have 20 votes on one person, at least we know it stays there, scum can´t flip the vote at the last second.

##Unvote: redtooth
##Vote: Kurumi
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 06 2011 07:07 GMT
#822
Damn...
It was really too good to be true to find scum during the first day. At least we got some analysis to work with, one way or another.

@Cthsazsa
Not much to say, questions are often short posts, and you don´t burn a day-vigi to make sure a lynch sticks. About the bandwagon, there really wasn´t any support to lynch redtooth, so I moved back to kurumi to make sure the vote couldn´t be redirected during the last minute by Mafia. Satisfied?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 08:31 GMT
#943
On May 07 2011 13:49 DropBear wrote:
What redtooth is doing is derailing town. Don't listen to him.

Before his big "reorganisation" people were looking at who voted for Kurumi. Now discussion is being dominated by rules on how we should post. He is trying to shift the focus of town away from scumhunting. If this isn't pushing Mafia objectives I don't know what is.

I urge everyone to continue posting analysis and prodding people. Instead of his rules, I offer two:

1. Keep it structured
2. Back it up with evidence.

That's all you need!

Continue looking at people, keep hunting!


I agree with what Dropbear is saying here. Redtooth is posting a lot about rules, and while it may look nice, they don´t help in scumhunting.

Earlier the discussion was on Kurumi and Irish, and since Irish came under suspicion, he´s stopped posting. Furthermore the mislynch of Kurumi seems to make people forget that once many actually considered Irish a stronger candidate for a lynch than Kurumi. We were wrong about Kurumi, but that doesn´t make Irish a confirmed Town.

Unfortunately I don´t have any evidence for or against, since Irish hasn´t posted since page 22!

My vote will stay on Irish_Punk13 until he shows up and gives a good explanation for himself.

#Vote: Irish_Punk13
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 09:31 GMT
#945
On May 07 2011 17:55 DropBear wrote:
Node, you put out a call for subs. Is it possible to find out which players are requesting replacement and why? There are a lot of people lurking and this information is relevant.

I´d like to chime in. I fear Irish is taking his "lurking to avoid suspicion" a bit too far. If he´s replaced then the new player will probably blame having to read through the thread, staying under the radar even longer.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 10:11 GMT
#947
Just calling attention here. Rising_Phoenix was the only player not to vote yesterday, and didn´t post very much, blaming it on too much to read. He was replaced by kevconsim, and here is his only post so far, at least since he entered the game.

On May 06 2011 14:36 kevconsim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 12:22 VarpuliS wrote:
Hi kevconism!



I would just like to say hello and that i think ur scum because you spelled my name wrong. I have been following the thread a little bit and will have my full opinion of people tomorrow but as of now and when i was told i could start posting. I AM TIRED

I´m looking forward to hearing his analysis of the game so far.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 14:41 GMT
#950
On May 07 2011 22:54 Kenpachi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2011 17:31 Forumite wrote:
On May 07 2011 13:49 DropBear wrote:
What redtooth is doing is derailing town. Don't listen to him.

Before his big "reorganisation" people were looking at who voted for Kurumi. Now discussion is being dominated by rules on how we should post. He is trying to shift the focus of town away from scumhunting. If this isn't pushing Mafia objectives I don't know what is.

I urge everyone to continue posting analysis and prodding people. Instead of his rules, I offer two:

1. Keep it structured
2. Back it up with evidence.

That's all you need!

Continue looking at people, keep hunting!


I agree with what Dropbear is saying here. Redtooth is posting a lot about rules, and while it may look nice, they don´t help in scumhunting.

Earlier the discussion was on Kurumi and Irish, and since Irish came under suspicion, he´s stopped posting. Furthermore the mislynch of Kurumi seems to make people forget that once many actually considered Irish a stronger candidate for a lynch than Kurumi. We were wrong about Kurumi, but that doesn´t make Irish a confirmed Town.

Unfortunately I don´t have any evidence for or against, since Irish hasn´t posted since page 22!

My vote will stay on Irish_Punk13 until he shows up and gives a good explanation for himself.

#Vote: Irish_Punk13

lol. scum

Thanks for your extensive analysis =P
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 19:21 GMT
#988
On May 08 2011 03:56 ilovejonn wrote:
I confused myself there. What my main point is, is that I think Beneather should have voted who he thought was scum, instead of last minute going on the bandwagon with NO explanation at all to seem to blend in with the majority of the people. It felt like his mentality was since the majority of town thinks Kurumi needs to be lynched, it would be silly of me to not go with the town's decision.

Perhaps my logic is faulty, but my bigger scum read on him is still the activity level change. If he decides to come back with an explanation, I'll reconsider my vote.

About Beneather

I am having a hard time getting a scumread on Beneather. There´s just not enough to go on. Even the late vote doesn´t guarantee a scum, it could just have been a vote to avoid a modkill, and thrown on Kurumi because he didn´t have any opinion, and he just wanted to get a vote in where it didn´t really matter. It´s hard to get a scumread on him, even if he´s extremely anti-town by hardcore lurking, but anti-town =/= scum. For now I´d prefer to wait with lynching him until after the next day, because I´m hoping he gets modkilled.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 19:38 GMT
#993
On May 08 2011 04:29 ilovejonn wrote:
In that case, would you not think Irish would get modkilled as well?

I can only hope.

It feels like people forgot of the accusations on Irish, and I´m keeping my vote on him so people don´t forget. I don´t like the embarassed silence after the mislynch. How often does Town make a correct lynch during the first day anyway?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 19:41 GMT
#996
On May 08 2011 04:29 ilovejonn wrote:
In that case, would you not think Irish would get modkilled as well?

I can only hope.

It feels like people forgot of the accusations on Irish, and I´m keeping my vote on him so people don´t forget. I don´t like the embarassed silence after the mislynch. How often does Town make a correct lynch during the first day anyway?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 19:42 GMT
#997
Sorry for the clone-post.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 07 2011 22:04 GMT
#1002
Keeping with Sandrobas suggestion, I´m checking Amber and Cthsazsa. Unfortunately I can´t get a good read on them.

About Amber. Reluctant to point fingers. Talks a bit about Chaoser, but mostly defending himself. Calling attention to the nightkills. Would have lurked much better unless tunneled by Chaoser.
Vote on Kurumi for the weak posting. Good music in his Profile.
OMGUS: Wall-of-text'ed Chaoser, not a real Omgus but that wall was almost as scary as Redtooths rules.
Took no votes at all during Day 1, but tunneling from Chaoser.

Cthsazsa, initially no real accusations, talking about inactives and how noone looks scummy. Claims noobtown. Soon starts with FoS. Objects to redtooth and his rules. Defends himself by brushing away accusations or being rude. Not afraid to get attention.
FoS and votes on: AO, Conversion, Irish, Beneather, Forumite, VarpuliS
OMGUS on: Conversion, Chaoser, possible others
2nd most votes Day 1 (5 after Kurumis 13)
Fun fact: Jackal who voted on Cth died.

_________________
Crude postcheck, I probably missed a lot of things against them. Right now I get red/bluetell from Amber, red/green from Cthsazsa. A lot of it depends on who you decide are obvTown, because the accusers are more or less the same for both. With Cth battling or accusing Conversion, Irish, two scummy players, makes me doubt the idea of lynching either of them.

I´m having trouble backing a lynch on Cthsazsa OR Amber, and will keep my vote on Irish for now.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 12:35 GMT
#1054
On May 08 2011 15:17 chaos13 wrote:
I was talking to Irish on UG, and he said he forgot the password to his TL account. Chances are he will be modkilled.
The reason behind being gone is irrelevant, since we can´t check up on it, and because Mafia lie. If Irish returns then he has a lot to answer for.

On May 08 2011 14:15 Mig wrote:
Beneather/irish should be completely ignored for the time being. There is a good chance both will be modkilled. So unless they post again in the thread, there is no reason to discuss or vote for them. It would be a good idea if people who did vote for these 2 changed their votes on to someone else. Placing a vote on someone likely to be modkilled is a good way to blend in without actually taking a stand on any issues. Also then we have to deal with a bunch of people switching around their votes last minute. If either of them actually post then we can discuss if they should be lynched.

If I were going to vote now I would vote for Cthsazsa. I am not 100% sold on him being scum but out of the leading candidates I think he looks the worst. Mainly for his first couple of posts where he was staying extremely neutral and then his reaction to jackals tunneling.

I am not completely sold on amber being mafia yet. The long post where he talked about his previous games I thought was pretty shady but I thought his reasons for voting for kurumi were fine. So I guess the main points against him are the long post and just his overall lack of content along with possibly aidnai fosing him. I will wait for him to post more before the end of the day before I make a judgment on him.

And so its clear GGQ is the only one claiming to have been role blocked last night right?
Fine, I guess we can hold on Beneather and Irish until they return or get modkilled.

Is it correct that GGQ claim roleblock for last night? Does that tell us anything at all?

On May 08 2011 14:19 DropBear wrote:
Orgolove is bandwagoning whoever is most suspicious at the time. His votes redtooth despite misgivings. Why would you vote redtooth if you think he could be townie?
Why did he vote for Kurumi?

Orgolove is mafia.
I noticed from earlier how orgolove was following along on voiting for big talkers, chaoser and redtooth, and the easy target of Kurumi. Right now he looks, at least to me, more scummy than either Amber or Cthasazha.

______________
If we are focusing on a few Scum, then I say we remove Irish and Beneather (at least until they return), and add Orgolove from the list.

I got scumtells from redtooth during day1, but more and more I´m leaning towards Chaoser and redtooth as obvTown. Because of that, and because a Mafia that talks eventually outs himself, I say we should drop trying to lynch him and focus on the others.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 12:41 GMT
#1055
Good wall of text there, Sandroba.

Yes, I agree that Amber is looking weird with his post about "Once the day hits" and not taking stances, never accusing anyone, but that isn´t necessarily a redtell, even for veterans. We should still keep him on the scumlist and consider lynching.

_____________
What do people think about considering these for lynching? Please add or remove as you think best:
Amber[Light]
Cthsazsa
Orgolove
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 14:32 GMT
#1068
On May 08 2011 23:25 Eternalmisfit wrote:
EDWOP:
both Cthsazsa and Irish are

Are what? Possible scum? Better lynches?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 15:05 GMT
#1073
On May 08 2011 23:51 sinani206 wrote:
Lyter
chaos13
kevconsim
Takuna
Beneather

On May 07 2011 22:54 Kenpachi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 07 2011 17:31 Forumite wrote:
On May 07 2011 13:49 DropBear wrote:
What redtooth is doing is derailing town. Don't listen to him.

Before his big "reorganisation" people were looking at who voted for Kurumi. Now discussion is being dominated by rules on how we should post. He is trying to shift the focus of town away from scumhunting. If this isn't pushing Mafia objectives I don't know what is.

I urge everyone to continue posting analysis and prodding people. Instead of his rules, I offer two:

1. Keep it structured
2. Back it up with evidence.

That's all you need!

Continue looking at people, keep hunting!


I agree with what Dropbear is saying here. Redtooth is posting a lot about rules, and while it may look nice, they don´t help in scumhunting.

Earlier the discussion was on Kurumi and Irish, and since Irish came under suspicion, he´s stopped posting. Furthermore the mislynch of Kurumi seems to make people forget that once many actually considered Irish a stronger candidate for a lynch than Kurumi. We were wrong about Kurumi, but that doesn´t make Irish a confirmed Town.

Unfortunately I don´t have any evidence for or against, since Irish hasn´t posted since page 22!

My vote will stay on Irish_Punk13 until he shows up and gives a good explanation for himself.

#Vote: Irish_Punk13

lol. scum
I´d like to add Kenpachi to the list of people not contributing. The only thing he´s done since Day 2 is calling me scum, voting on me, and then disappearing again. It´s enough to avoid a modkill, but that´s it.

I assume from your list that Irish_Punk13 is considered for a modkill, correct?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 15:20 GMT
#1081
On May 09 2011 00:12 Varpulis wrote:
Just woke up. Busy weekend. It looks like Beneather's in for a modkill, so i'm taking my vote off of him. I was hoping to pressure him into some activity, but no dice. As soon as I find his suspicious posts (damn the lack of the "all" button) I'll make my case against Cthsazsa.

Check his profile, only 10 posts in this game.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/search.php?q=&t=c&f=-1&u=Beneather&gb=date

On May 09 2011 00:11 sandroba wrote:
Ok, vote for me or Amber[Light]. One of us is definitively scum.
Please, make a decent argument. This post doesn´t help in any way.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 15:37 GMT
#1084
On May 09 2011 00:23 sandroba wrote:
I've already made my argument. You can read my full analysis on amber here:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=53#1053
redtooth refuted that post the next page. Amber bragged about another game where he did well, and now proceed to accuse without conviction, but that´s most of the case against him.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 17:23 GMT
#1111
On May 09 2011 02:18 Cthsazsa wrote:
And I just realized, you are using the very termed you coined on me, WIFOM.

It´s a widely used term.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 18:40 GMT
#1123
On May 09 2011 03:16 sandroba wrote:
Most people who don't believe Amber is mafia are stuck on the idea that chaoser is mafia or I am mafia. So lynching either him or me is going to reveal the most mafia.

About the lynch, I get a strong bluetell from Amber, and I prefer not to ignore my gutfeeling and lynch a blue when we have perfectly good scumtells from Cthsazsa and Orgolove.

Sandroba and Chaoser are really pushing on that connection between eachother. I don´t like how Sandroba does these "lynch me if I´m wrong" statements. Town can mislynch, it happens all the time, because it´s only Mafia who can ever be 100% sure of the lynch, and saying that you are 100% sure that a target is Mafia is just confusing, because why would Mafia lynch their own? Sure, they can be correct, but they can´t be sure as Town, which is the problem. Self-lynching Mafia or confident Town? I´d prefer to wait with this WIFOM for a while. Is Sandroba and Chaoser scum? I don´t think so, I hope not, but that discussion can wait.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 18:44 GMT
#1124
EBWOP
Ignore the last paragraf. I thought they said somewhere they were 100% sure but I didn´t find the post.

Either way, I think the question if Sandroba and Chaoser are Town shouldn´t be the topic now, with 8h left on the lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 19:04 GMT
#1132
On May 09 2011 03:56 chaoser wrote:
@Forumite, if amber is blue, he's playing the worst blue ever. He's been consciously trying to fake contribute. Blues don't do that.

Reread his attack on Sandroba, it was very weak. If he´s blue, then he can save himself by claiming, so fine, he´s a valid target for now.

On May 09 2011 04:00 sandroba wrote:
Another point on why Amber[Light] is scum:
He has posted a list of the "important" post of each player that died at night.
First of all this is a non-contribution, because it does not states the reason why those are important.
Second, If you are town How The Hell would you know which posts are really important? The post are presented on a non chronological fashion, and it only makes sense for you to post them in such manner, without stating reason, if you are scum trying to point town in the wrong direction.

This is a very weak accusation. Picking out posts is not a scumtell, unless he actively choose posts which give a certain message, like pointing fingers against a certain player. Did you find something like that?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 19:17 GMT
#1135
Cthsazsa, random votes and general questions get discussion started, they are not scumtells.

While his guidelines for posting are too much of a hazzle for me, they don´t make him scum. He actually posted a good reason for spending Night 1 with talking about that, to avoid rampant accusations that would only lead to WIFOM and chaos once the nightkills came in.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 19:44 GMT
#1143
Fair enough.

##Unvote: Irish_Punk13
##Vote: Cthsazsa
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 20:42 GMT
#1152
On May 09 2011 05:30 Kenpachi wrote:
Ill get you next time Forumite.

##unvote
##vote Amber[Light]

I hear you.

By the way, do you have any reasoning to go against Amber[Light] over the other candidates?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 20:50 GMT
#1155
On May 09 2011 05:19 chaoser wrote:
If we were mafia you think we'd BOTH stick our necks out to get AMBER out of all people lynched?
I don´t follow this reasoning. Mafia killpower is 3/night for now. Being undetected and creating confusion is Mafias primary goal, lynching strong Town is secondary. It´s much easier to kill the right person with a nightkill, so Mafia don´t need to lynch strong Town in order to win, just stay undetected. Pushing a lynch on an easy target over a strong player is not a Towntell.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 21:10 GMT
#1174
Around 6 hours left by my count.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 21:36 GMT
#1179
On May 09 2011 06:28 sandroba wrote:
@Redtooth Look at it this way. You were pretty convinced KillerSOS was mafia day1. You both were the most loud voices on town day1. Don't you think that if chaoser was mafia, he would push for KillerSOS lynch with you?

Why would Mafia push to lynch a blue, when they can just nightkill him? Pushing a lynch only mean Town catches on and perhaps sends a Medic to protect him.

Not trying to lynch KillerSOS when you see he´s Blue is not a towntell.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 21:37 GMT
#1180
On May 09 2011 06:03 Varpulis wrote:
Found it! Page 28.
Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 11:11 jaminz wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:10 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:06 chaoser wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:00 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 05 2011 10:50 ilovejonn wrote:
On May 05 2011 10:45 KillerSOS wrote:
Guess I fall into "doesn't stand out"

Success? >_>

?? Your posts don't hold a lot of value really. I consider myself an invisible poster but I don't spam the thread with useless wifom like what you did here. What do you mean success? You like to not stand out because you are scum?

KillerFOS



How could standing out possibly be a good thing? Its only going to get you lynched or killed by the mafia.

Nice play on my name btw, but I would prefer KillerSOS


Also my whorish posting can be somewhat explained by my lack of interest in working on my paper, therefore I am obsessively F5'ing the thread. I'll be up all night finishing anyways...


Actually I agree with Jaminz's recently written post about you. The object of mafia FOR TOWN is not to stay alive till the end. It is to try to find mafia. And to do that you take stances on issues and you fight for them. We're not trying to say another 3 years in congress. However, it IS the job of the mafia to stay alive till the end. I've been standing out all game and I probably will be killed but I'll do some god before I go. FoS KillerSOS.


That is an interesting way of putting things. I'll allow you to think of all the possible roles in this game before blatantly explaining how you are wrong. The way you make it look like you are a positive to get killed and in the same statement giving me a FoS is too easy of a lead for any potential mafia to use.

Simply put if you were to die tonight, by this line of reasoning I must be mafia.

That seems a bit too forward than seems reasonable.


Are you saying you're a blue? That's a really dumb thing to say either way.

Show nested quote +
On May 05 2011 11:12 chaoser wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:11 jaminz wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:10 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:06 chaoser wrote:
On May 05 2011 11:00 KillerSOS wrote:
On May 05 2011 10:50 ilovejonn wrote:
On May 05 2011 10:45 KillerSOS wrote:
Guess I fall into "doesn't stand out"

Success? >_>

?? Your posts don't hold a lot of value really. I consider myself an invisible poster but I don't spam the thread with useless wifom like what you did here. What do you mean success? You like to not stand out because you are scum?

KillerFOS



How could standing out possibly be a good thing? Its only going to get you lynched or killed by the mafia.

Nice play on my name btw, but I would prefer KillerSOS


Also my whorish posting can be somewhat explained by my lack of interest in working on my paper, therefore I am obsessively F5'ing the thread. I'll be up all night finishing anyways...


Actually I agree with Jaminz's recently written post about you. The object of mafia FOR TOWN is not to stay alive till the end. It is to try to find mafia. And to do that you take stances on issues and you fight for them. We're not trying to say another 3 years in congress. However, it IS the job of the mafia to stay alive till the end. I've been standing out all game and I probably will be killed but I'll do some god before I go. FoS KillerSOS.


That is an interesting way of putting things. I'll allow you to think of all the possible roles in this game before blatantly explaining how you are wrong. The way you make it look like you are a positive to get killed and in the same statement giving me a FoS is too easy of a lead for any potential mafia to use.

Simply put if you were to die tonight, by this line of reasoning I must be mafia.

That seems a bit too forward than seems reasonable.


Are you saying you're a blue? That's a really dumb thing to say either way.


....I was hoping you wouldn't actually post this btw...

Town would back off, to avoid calling attention to a blue
Mafia would back off, and rely on a safe nightkill out of the blue

Backing off from a blue is neither a Towntell or a Scumtell.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 22:00 GMT
#1188
On May 09 2011 06:41 sandroba wrote:
@Forumite For reals? Why would Mafia NOT push for a lynch in that situation? A lot of people were suspicious of Killer at that point.

He was on the edge of claiming blue, he did hint enough that several noticed. Once he claims, getting him lynched is much harder, and scum risk showing themselves, or provoke a medic to protect KillerSOS. Sure, scum might try to lynch anyway, I´m just saying that backing off isn´t just something Town would do. Mafia has almost as much reason. The only thing that comment, and subsequent backing off, by chaoser proves is that he knew Killer was blue.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 22:27 GMT
#1190
On May 09 2011 07:04 chaoser wrote:
Ok Forumite, then why do I want amber lynched so god damn bad then? The current theory is that he's blue and that's why I want to do it but according to you that's not what mafia would do.
I´m just pointing out that some things that might look like Towntells are not tells at all.

I do think Amber is an acceptable lynch. That people get a bluetell from him is out allready. Now I´m waiting for him to claim or die.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 22:37 GMT
#1194
On May 09 2011 07:36 Varpulis wrote:
How many modkills are we looking at today? I have a feeling that this game could get very small, very fast.

Right now? 10 possible modkills...
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 22:43 GMT
#1199
On May 09 2011 07:37 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2011 07:36 Varpulis wrote:
How many modkills are we looking at today? I have a feeling that this game could get very small, very fast.

Right now? 10 possible modkills...

9 now, since MIg voted.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 08 2011 22:51 GMT
#1205
On May 09 2011 07:43 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2011 07:37 Forumite wrote:
On May 09 2011 07:36 Varpulis wrote:
How many modkills are we looking at today? I have a feeling that this game could get very small, very fast.

Right now? 10 possible modkills...

9 now, since MIg voted.

Looks like the stealthvotes are coming in.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 07:45 GMT
#1385
Good one chaoser, with 2 scum down from the modkill and successfull lynch, we´re finally getting somewhere. Although I´m angry at Lyter and beneather, if you have such an important role, you don´t screw town over by forgetting to post once for three days. Town is down 3 killroles, two of them because the players lurked too hard. At least the modkill took a scum too.

. . . . . Town:Scum
Day 1 . - 24:6
Night 1 - 20:6
Day 2 . - 17:4
Night 2 - 15:4 - projected
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 08:53 GMT
#1387
Mafia killpower isn´t linked to their roles, but their number, so I´d say no, but waiting for host to answer.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 09:28 GMT
#1390
On May 09 2011 18:05 DropBear wrote:
EBWOP: Conversely, if roleblocking one of their own players costs a KP, then GGQ is cleared as telling the truth because 3 people died night 1.

Wether or not roleblocking costs a KP doesn´t matter. GGQ can still be Mafia if GGQ lied about being roleblocked.

This is WIFOM, and doesn´t give anything.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 09:52 GMT
#1395
On May 09 2011 18:45 DropBear wrote:
Actually Node, one more question. Can the roleblocker block themselves or can they only block other mafia goons and the godfather?

Again, no point. Roleblocking themselves and withholding the roleblock is the same thing. Roleblockers don´t have to use their ability every night.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 09:55 GMT
#1396
What happened to kevconsim? He replaced Rising_Phoenix but didn´t vote this day either. Shouldn´t he be modkilled too?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 09:56 GMT
#1397
On May 09 2011 18:55 Forumite wrote:
What happened to kevconsim? He replaced Rising_Phoenix but didn´t vote this day either. Shouldn´t he be modkilled too?

Nevermind, he was replaced by Beneather who got himself modkilled.
*facepalm*
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 10:01 GMT
#1399
On May 09 2011 18:56 Forumite wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 09 2011 18:55 Forumite wrote:
What happened to kevconsim? He replaced Rising_Phoenix but didn´t vote this day either. Shouldn´t he be modkilled too?

Nevermind, he was replaced by Beneather who got himself modkilled.
*facepalm*

Actually, it´s still relevant.

The player list says Beneather was modkilled as Day vigi #30, but also took over #23 after Rising_Phoenix and kevconsim. What happened to #23? is it modkilled too?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 10:38 GMT
#1401
On May 09 2011 19:25 Node wrote:
Kevconsim was not modkilled because he requested a replacement with advance notice and had a damn good reason for not being around. For some reason I confused Beneather with Impervious and mixed them up on the player list. For the record, Impervious replaced kevconsim who replaced Rising_Phoenix.

I know kevconsim had a good reason, but his role could still be removed.

Got it, Impervious, took over right after the Day2 post, and posted two short posts.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 11:09 GMT
#1403
On May 09 2011 20:05 Impervious wrote:
Yea, it was pretty late at night for me, so I didn't say much more than "hi". I don't have anything to add to the discussion yet, but I am keeping up with everything.

What is your opinion on the current players? Thoughts on the most popular scums?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 19:42 GMT
#1419
On May 10 2011 04:39 Kurumi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 10 2011 04:28 aidnai wrote:
[spectral voice] *ahem* [/spectral voice]

shut up foo' ghosts don't exist
+ Show Spoiler +
I am joking(I didn't mean to be aggressive by any means)

Ah! A Ghost!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 09 2011 21:57 GMT
#1424
On May 10 2011 05:53 Varpulis wrote:
Chaoser's list seems solid, assuming it is
  • Sinani
  • GGQ
  • Eternal
  • TBD (don't have a strong read on a 4th, possibly Forumite)
I was looking through the list of players, trying to find TBD, until I remembered the acronym.

Also, I´m not scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 06:33 GMT
#1466
Wow, chaoser is good. Kudos to him.

On May 10 2011 11:47 orgolove wrote:
This is in progress - I'm posting this just in case I'm killed in the night (though not likely)

[url blocked]

The excel file contains the vote time and target for the past 2 days. It's quite interesting. I'll post a full analysis after day breaks and I have a few more identifiers.

Waiting for your analysis.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 08:22 GMT
#1481
The simple fact that Cthsazsa was a strong lynchtarget the last turn, but show up as -17 (!) in the graph, tells us that this technique is unreliable at best.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 08:25 GMT
#1482
Orgolove, could you throw up the calculations that resulted in those numbers for the following players? Jaminz, MIg, Orgolove and Cthsazsa.

I just want to know why they come so far down.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 08:28 GMT
#1484
Why does redtooth go from -9,5 in the first list, to 2 in the next, just by removing the changes after the DT-claim?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 08:31 GMT
#1488
On May 10 2011 17:27 orgolove wrote:
10 out of those 17 comes from the fact that he came second to a red lynch, and all the high red-value players were willing to vote on him and see him through before the votes turned against them...

It's not like Amber was the godfather or even the roleblocker. Amber was just a mafia goon, and the reds were willing to lynch Cthsazsa over Amber...

I think I can be very sure that Cthsazsa is town aligned.

Why do you take away 10p for something like that? There is nothing stopping Mafia from voting on eachother, in fact I think they do it all the time to throw us off.

Anyway I´d like the whole total, not just where those 10 come from.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 09:22 GMT
#1514
On May 10 2011 18:06 orgolove wrote:
Ah. I just saw your post.

Actually, from my records your votes were:

Day 2 player voted for
7-May 12:30 dropbear redtooth
8-May 14:20 dropbear orgolove
9-May 1:12 dropbear sandroba
9-May 11:15 dropbear cthsazsa
9-May 11:24 dropbear Amber[light]

Where does the other points on Dropbear come from?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 10:39 GMT
#1524
On May 10 2011 19:15 sandroba wrote:If they had multiple roleblockers they would not waste 2kp on him and only keep roleblocking him.
Makes sense. Also it´s been awfully quiet about roleblocks.

If anyone was roleblocked during night 1 or 2, please come forward with it.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 10:47 GMT
#1525
On May 10 2011 18:34 orgolove wrote:
+3 from voting one of the #2s when a confirmed red was leading
+5 from making the lynch a tie from a red leading lynch
+2 from last minute bandwagon vote switch on a red that is confirmed to be lynched
the +2 came after chaosers DT-claim, so should be ignored. +5 is plain bad luck for voting at the wrong time, and the +3 doesn´t mean much either, unless he KNEW who was scum.

So from +13.5 we end up with +3.5...

I´m not saying that this can´t be usefull data, but it´s too many random factors, like the +/-10 difference between tieing in favor of a green or red. The calculation assume that the players know the alignments, but only scum do, and they will probably not act the way you say scum should act anyway, because it´s dangerous and Town sometimes pick up on it.

Dropbear could be the one anyway, but not because of the data.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 11:11 GMT
#1527
On May 10 2011 19:49 sandroba wrote:
@Forumite So can we please slay EternalMisfit?
His votes look a bit scummy in hindsight, as does his call for a vigi-hit, but I don´t get a scumfeeling from his posts in general. On the other hand he was on chaosers list, and chaoser has had scary accuracy so far, and I´m inclined to trust his scumsense more than my own.

Sure, EM deserve to be looked at as a primary candidate for a lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 14:45 GMT
#1545
@Sandroba
@Impervious
If one of you could do a check on Orgolove, I´d appreciate it. I´ve noticed his voting strategy being to single out strong posters, especially trying to build a lynch against redtooth, and is one of those players that look scummy to me but never crop up when we try to lynch someone.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:16 GMT
#1547
Fairly certain of Chaos13, not so much for EM and DB, they could be either scum or town.

_________
Chaos13 - One of the earlier to go for Amber[Light]. Slow poster with sometimes weak arguments, but probably Town.

EternalMisfit - Consistently defending Amber[Light], attacking Cthsazsa, Sandroba, Chaoser and Redtooth. Very focused during day2. Stopped the attack once Amber[Light] flipped.

DropBear - Hard to read, but has one strong scumtell. The slip is that there could of course be 2 roleblockers, but DropBear knows there is only one, who just died.
On May 10 2011 13:16 DropBear wrote:
Good work chaoser. Sorry I accused you

After GGQ's flip we are down to the godfather and 2 goons. More roleblock claims are outright lies.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:17 GMT
#1548
@EternalMisfit
Both your linked posts against sinani206 have to do with him not reading the thread enough, they don´t prove he´s scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 15:55 GMT
#1555
On May 11 2011 00:47 DropBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 10 2011 23:05 sandroba wrote:
Ok I looked at ilovejonn's posts and the only one that has major content is his acusation on EternalMisfit which I recommend everyone to read:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=42#825
Which is pretty solid. But also kind of contradictory with his option of not voting Amber, given the fact that amber was "appearing to be contruibuting" the same way EM was in his analysis. The main reason I believe ilovejonn to be town is because I believe EM to be scum.

And should I and/or EM flip town, I hope you will lynch him. Look at his voting pattern as well.
You think Sandroba is Scum?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:24 GMT
#1561
On May 11 2011 01:03 sandroba wrote:
He's saying ilovejonn.

My bad.

If EternalMisfit is building a case against sinani206, and both are on the list, what does that make those two? Both scum or one of each?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:32 GMT
#1563
@DropBear
GGQ doesn´t clear either DropBear, Kitaman or orgolove, he disagrees with them all, but no strong FoS against any of them, at least I didn´t find any. .
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 16:59 GMT
#1570
On May 11 2011 01:39 DropBear wrote:
Yeah I know I said in the post is isn't solid enough. The one closest to an FoS is on me.
Show nested quote +
On May 06 2011 04:08 GGQ wrote:
On May 06 2011 00:03 DropBear wrote:
On Lyter

Lyter has 3 posts in the thread since the game began properly, 5 overall.

On May 04 2011 23:54 Lyter wrote:
On May 04 2011 16:35 redtooth wrote:

To start off, let's have everybody answer the following question:
What is your mafia experience/backround like?
This can be experience in IRL mafia, approximate # of TL mafia games played, experience playing on mafiascum, "I just arrived from Noobtown", etc. Thanks!


This is my first game of Mafia on a forum, I've played quite a lot of the Mafia custom on SC2 so I know how it works but I'd consider myself a newbie in a big forum game like this.


That's cool, fair enough.

On May 05 2011 17:29 Lyter wrote:
I'm not really buying all these random accusations flying around on day 1, maybe its just me, but I'd much rather see a night through so we actually have something to work with, at this point it is just pure guesswork imo.


On May 05 2011 18:20 Lyter wrote:
On May 05 2011 18:02 Forumite wrote:
It might be guesswork but we still get information out of it, information that will be important once the first lynch flips. Also we don´t have a "no lynch" option, someone HAS to die during day 1.


Ah didn't realise someone had to die, time to do some thinking


Um, lol? This is either really nooby or just plain trying to hide. Take a stance!

On May 05 2011 22:24 Lyter wrote:
##Vote: Irish_Punk13


You obviously did your thinking. You have no other posts after your thinking post though. Please explain? I am not accusing you just yet but I'd like to hear your reasoning.


This post rings some bells in my head. There was no need for a PbP analysis here, you just needed to tell Lyter to post more and explain his vote. Doing a PbP in this instance feels like an attempt to gain townie cred for nothing.

Yes, it is a FoS, a weak one though. PbP analysies are ALWAYS the way to go

On May 11 2011 01:35 DropBear wrote:oh fuck I don't know.
And neither do I.

IMO EM remain a better target than DB
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:29 GMT
#1575
On May 11 2011 02:11 DropBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 11 2011 02:08 sandroba wrote:
DropBear, did you read the analysis ilovejonn's made on EM? I posted a link to it some posts ago.

I most certainly have.
So you are saying that it´s like this?
EternalMisfit
Ilovejonn
Elmizzt
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:31 GMT
#1576
Ilovejonn only ever voted for Cthsazsa or players that flipped Town.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 17:40 GMT
#1579
I don´t see a point in waiting. Voting until a better target comes up.

##Vote: sinani206
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:02 GMT
#1592
It´s still about 32h before night, right?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:17 GMT
#1599
On May 11 2011 04:06 sandroba wrote:
Ok I just read my pm and the OP. Nowhere in the op is the word vanilla. I guess I must be wrong about EM.
You refer to his old roleclaim, where he called himself Vanilla Townie?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 19:21 GMT
#1601
On May 11 2011 03:52 ilovejonn wrote:
Wow can you guys not read only one part of a sentence? I am basically role claiming there hello? It's fine if you don't believe you can go ahead and vote for me, but I'd rather not have us mislynch.

If there are still veterans in the mafia, my GF suspects are redtooth and orgolove. If there are only new players in the mafia team left it could be anyone really.
I would unvote but I´d probably be pinged as scum for voteswitching. (bah dum tsh)

Question, why redtooth and orgolove?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 21:46 GMT
#1615
The discussion seems to have died. Come on, we will only find scum by talking.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 22:35 GMT
#1622
On May 11 2011 06:50 sandroba wrote:
Hey forumite, I noticed you promissed to change your vote to amber unless he claimed blue but you didn't do it. What's up with that?
I fell asleep, that´s what was up. It went well anyway.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 10 2011 23:50 GMT
#1624
On May 11 2011 08:42 Eternalmisfit wrote:In any case, quite a few people are missing from thread completely today and I would like to hear their opinion/take on the discussion. Them being: VarpuliS, Kenpachi, jaminz, Conversion, and sinani.
Staying silent now is the most anti-town thing you can do. Start posting.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 00:35 GMT
#1630
On May 11 2011 09:14 Varpulis wrote:
How's that for posting? btw i got the mods to change my name, so there's no longer a capital "s."

[tyrael] No! Don´t do it! [/tyrael]

@VarpuliS
Good write-up on sinani206.
Looks like a good day 3 lynch
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 13:27 GMT
#1656
ANALYSIS: Why orgolove is Scum

____________
Early posts.
+ Show Spoiler +
Defending confirmed scum
On May 04 2011 14:46 orgolove wrote:
Is Irish a new player? Could make sense if he's new - he wouldn't want his first game end so quickly.

Diverting attention to Town
On page 35, after EM posted his excelsheet, orgolove posted that the ones who looked suspicious to him was EM, chaoser, kurumi (and DropBear), two of which are confirmed [green]Town[green].
On May 06 2011 04:15 orgolove wrote:
Great post. We need to look at the people who've been pointing fingers indiscriminately, like 5, 18, and 22.
On May 06 2011 04:20 orgolove wrote:
Oh and 17 too.

Trying to look helpfull
Nothing came of this, even though the spreadsheet could be easily recreated.
On May 06 2011 04:23 orgolove wrote:
Can you give me this spreadsheet? I may have some pattern recognition software that I might be able to gather, and coordinate the time of the accusatory posts with the contents to see if a particular group of players (reds) were on-line and accusing the same person at around the same point in time.
____________
Tunneling on helpfull Town-leader, redtooth
+ Show Spoiler +
Following are a few posts that implicate redtooth as scum, 9 of them.
After the first 5 posts against redtooth, he suddenly becomes convinced redtooth is Town, but quickly after, he posts 4 times urging a lynch on redtooth, including a ##Vote.
On May 07 2011 09:30 orgolove wrote:He's really putting serious effort into his posts, and he's trying to trick things without being afraid of being revealed. I can't detect any hint of red-ness (pun intended).


Trying to save Amber by lynching a probable Town as an information-lynch
On May 08 2011 09:11 orgolove wrote:
I really think redtooth either needs to be checked by a dt or be lynched asap. He's been acting plenty scummy enough, and his kills will give us plenty of information both on Amber and others involved in this dispute.

A pre-night posting of useless information
+ Show Spoiler +
During Night 2, just 15minutes before the daypost. It didn´t show us anything that the voting thread didn´t allready show. Seriously, the post contained NO usefull data.
On May 10 2011 11:47 orgolove wrote:
This is in progress - I'm posting this just in case I'm killed in the night (though not likely)

[url blocked]

The excel file contains the vote time and target for the past 2 days. It's quite interesting. I'll post a full analysis after day breaks and I have a few more identifiers.
____________
First attempt at analysis, during day 3.
+ Show Spoiler +

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=216644&currentpage=74#1473
The analysis was full of conditions that turn Cthsazsas from +1 to -17, conditions easily tweaked, added or removed to get the desired outcome, or even asking his scumbuddies to vote in a way that makes them look Town to his conditions. This is also referenced later to try and get DropBear lynched. He sends out his FoS, summarized in the next spoiler

FoS and votes
+ Show Spoiler +
Focused accusations. Has been trying to get these lynched since Day 1
FoS DropBear 6
FoS Ilovejonn 2
FoS AirbladeOrange 2
FoS VarpuliS 2
FoS Eternalmisfit 2
FoS redtooth 9

Votes on helpfull Town-leaders, Town, and one post on Amber, which he milked for Town-points.
Votes!
Day 1
##Vote Redtooth ##unvote
##Vote: Chaoser ##unvote
##Vote: Kurumi

Day 2
##Vote: Redtooth ##unvote
##vote: Amber[Light] -(tieing Amber with Cthsazsa, for which his analysis makes him more Town)

Day 3
##Vote: ilovejonn
____________
His latest post, which was 27h ago. He´s confident that Town will mislynch, so he´s been lurking ever since, there´s no need to interfere.
On May 10 2011 18:39 orgolove wrote:
Hm. All right - I won't claim my effort as of now is 100% flawless, as after all, it's only dealing with two days worth of data.

It's really late - good night.
____________
Conclusion
+ Show Spoiler +
Unhelpfull analysis, the few times he gives it, voting on Confirmed Town or in a way that is used only to gain Town-credit. Defends Irish and Amber. Lurks now that noone is thinking about lynching him. Scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 14:11 GMT
#1664
On May 11 2011 22:33 chaos13 wrote:
Forumite, I haven't trusted you for a while in this game. Your analysis has seemed a bit strange from the start. Doesn't mean that you're scum, as I haven't noticed a good scum read from you yet, but you're definitely iffy with me.
Yeah, I remember your last FoS on me, it wasn´t very strong so i guess most of it was undefineable suspicions. I´m a bit erratic, and sometimes tunnel, so i guess that´s part of it.

On May 11 2011 22:37 sandroba wrote:
Easy there forumite. There's a chance orgolove is scum indeed, but he was one of the first to vote for Amber on his lynch. This gets him +towine points in my eyes. There are much more obvious scum waiting to be lynched. We can save the discussion on orgolove for tomorrow.
I just wanted him considered. He´s been commented as scummy by a few, posted an analysis that didn´t help, and now dropped out. I want to make sure we don´t forget about him, even though I don´t have any high hopes on lynching him today.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 14:28 GMT
#1667
On May 11 2011 23:21 sandroba wrote:I would like an explanation on your sleep schedule aswel. 14:40 you just woke up, you will read the thread and comment. Where is the comment? 23:05 you just woke up again????
I lol´d
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 20:15 GMT
#1680
EternalMistfit: 7
Sinani206: 4
Ilovejonn: 2
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 20:46 GMT
#1684
NOW I know who ilj is. I saw it way earlier in the thread but never grasped.

Indeed, I´m worrying about how many are going for Sinani, on the other hand it can´t be all scum, and we can´t rule out that scum are hiding outside the vote entirely. There are 6 players who haven´t voted yet, and 2 more who haven´t taken a stand on those two.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 21:17 GMT
#1690
On May 12 2011 05:49 Varpulis wrote:@forumite why are you concerned that people are voting for Sinani?
The vote is strongly in favor of EM, so there is a possibility of that they are going for EM to save sinani. It´s still a few left to vote, so my panic is probably premature.

On May 12 2011 05:56 sandroba wrote:
Well, none of my prime suspects except for sinani are on the EM wagon. Plus there's pretty solid evidence EM is scum.
If somehow EM flips green I will see things in a different light.
Please don´t tell them that.

On May 12 2011 05:58 kitaman27 wrote:
It's not an OMGUS vote when your life is at stake. Regardless of whether Sinani is scum or town, it makes sense for his vote to be on EM unless he was going to push a third candidate.
True, true.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 21:52 GMT
#1693
On May 12 2011 06:40 Varpulis wrote:
Fine, it's not OMGUS. It's still joining a bandwagon without giving a real reason. "There's some evidence and stuff" is not a reason, at least not a good one.
None of them had a really good reason to vote for the other, except "better you than me".

EM said "I´ll vote for sinani206 unless I come back before night"
sinani206 said "It looks like there is most evidence on EM"
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 21:54 GMT
#1694
On May 12 2011 06:50 sandroba wrote:
@Forumite Rest assured I'm not telling them everything. I have 3 pages of stuff written with various possible scenarios =)
=)
Good to hear.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 23:47 GMT
#1705
@EternalMisfit
Thank you for posting your opinions, and reposting the analysis. Solid read, especially who you think is what. Few (including me) come out with things like that. I´m getting more of a Town read from you than sinani206, so I´m keeping my vote on him.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 23:51 GMT
#1706
Eternalmisfit: 6
sinani206: 6

It´s a close lynch, but still many left.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 11 2011 23:55 GMT
#1707
Players who haven´t voted yet:
jaminz
Conversion
elmizzt
Mig
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 00:48 GMT
#1722
I´d prefer if we just ignored the role-claim and focus on EMs posts instead.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 01:35 GMT
#1738
@Kenpachi
If you have to choose between sinani and EM, whom do you choose? I´m not telling you to vote, I just want your opinion.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:17 GMT
#1749
That voting thread must be defective, crush it and make a new one.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:20 GMT
#1751
On May 12 2011 11:18 GMarshal wrote:##Pardon: Node

Not today. I am the mafia pardoner, and I cannot be lynched!
Where´s the Planar Dragon when we need it?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:33 GMT
#1755
Who knows? We got Irish through a modkill. It´s too random though, with bad luck on a modkill and a mislynch and we´re almost at LYLO.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:40 GMT
#1757
Eternalmisfit: 8
sinani206: 7
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:42 GMT
#1758
jaminz, it´s not a matter if EM is scummy, but if he´s MORE scummy than sinani206. Do you think so?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:45 GMT
#1759
sinani206 voted for Kurumi, and Kevconsim, a confirmed Town and an extreme lurker that noone can get a read of. First to conform, second to be invisible. Don´t you think that´s scummy?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:48 GMT
#1761
Or he´s the scum that doesn´t make any noise, thereby surviving. sinani206 is not helping Town at all with his weak posting.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:51 GMT
#1763
It´s still on EM, 8 minutes left.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:53 GMT
#1764
Well, looks like Jaminz decided the vote, at least for now.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:55 GMT
#1766
@jaminz
We are currently voting based on your gut, I hope it´s correct.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 02:59 GMT
#1771
damn this is tense, can´t wait for the flip.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:00 GMT
#1774
Kenpachi voted on sinani
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:01 GMT
#1779
FoS Jaminz
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:02 GMT
#1785
Jaminz
sinani206
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:03 GMT
#1786
On May 12 2011 12:01 jaminz wrote:
Well fuck
Well played
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:07 GMT
#1789
On May 12 2011 12:03 Varpulis wrote:
FoS ilovejonn and Sinani206. Throw in Jaminz for good measure.
I´ve no idea about ilj, but Jaminz's save of sinani make them both almost 100% confirmed scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:22 GMT
#1799
On May 12 2011 12:15 sinani206 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 12 2011 12:07 Node wrote:
FINAL Vote Tally Day 3:
ilovejonn(1)
DropBear
orgolove

EternalMisfit (8)
sandroba
ilovejonn
Cthsazsa
Impervious
AirbladeOrange
sinani206
Mig
jaminz

DropBear (0)
sandroba

sinani206 (8)
Forumite
Varpulis
chaos13
sandroba
Eternalmisfit
kitaman27
elmizzt
DropBear
Kenpachi

chaos13 (0)
Kenpachi

redtooth (1)
redtooth

Conversion (1)
Conversion

GMarshal (9001)
Vegeta

Note that EternalMisfit was the first player to receive the majority.


*plurality

sinani206 looks glad to be alive at the cost of a townie
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 03:54 GMT
#1809
On May 12 2011 12:51 orgolove wrote:Don't expect me to put in any more significant effort into this game. You deserve to lose this.
Are you going back to lurking then?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 04:26 GMT
#1822
On May 12 2011 13:15 orgolove wrote:
Sure. Lynch me -_- I really don't care anymore.
Are you giving up now that Town is on to Scum?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 04:31 GMT
#1828
On May 12 2011 13:27 orgolove wrote:
You expect me to spend another 3-4 hours recording every single vote, when I know it won't be heeded? Notice how a. none of the townies actually cared to read it, and b. my suspects are actually trying to frame me back as a red because they feel threatened. GG
Seriously? The only ones calling you scum until now is EM and I. Where is the framing going on?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 10:16 GMT
#1839
Making scummy accusations, and then being accused by the accused, does not make the accused scummier.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 21:15 GMT
#1851
Is there anything to discuss for the night, or do we just wait to see who bites the dust?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 21:55 GMT
#1854
What about sinani206?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 22:26 GMT
#1857
Yes, but I assumed that sinani206 and jaminz were more or less confirmed scum. We don´t need a DT to know they are high candidates for a lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 12 2011 23:38 GMT
#1872
On May 13 2011 08:22 GMarshal wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 13 2011 08:19 sandroba wrote:
Also I wonder why kevconsin was not modkilled like everyone else. Maybe to preserve the balance on the game.


For future reference we replace players in the order replacements were requested, kevconism was actually the only player to request to be replaced, so don't make any assumptions based on that. ^_^
It´s still a balance issue. Those Day 2 modkills hurt Town immensely, and I´d actually prefer if Rising_Phoenix had been modkilled too. It would have elliminated the possibility of him being Scum, but made sure to get a replacement because of pressure from Mafia. It´s a changed element of the game, which will affect the outcome. When people get themselves modkilled, then at least they cripple their own team, so it´s fair in a way, and we don´t get these blameless extremelurkers. Having Rising_Phoenix modkilled would have been simpler.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 13 2011 06:45 GMT
#1911
I´m all for cleaning up.
##Vote: sinani206
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 13 2011 07:42 GMT
#1912
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 13 2011 11:55 Varpulis wrote:
Alright, I got some shit to do tonight, so I'm going to post my scum/town list now.

Scum

Sinani206
I've already said why multiple times, but I'll say it again.
-He's not contributing
-He's using inexperience as an excuse
-He wasn't lynched because of a bandwagon on a townie. Because this lynch was so close, this makes him even more suspicious.

ilovejonn
I'm not sure about him, but he's been relatively suspicious. He's worth checking out after lynching Sinani

orgolove
I disagree with his methods, and to me his data seems tailored not to point out actual scum. Again, somebody to check out after Sinani. Could just be a townie who I disagree with though, not sure.

Apart from these, I don't have very good scumreads on anybody else. The only solid read I've got is on Sinani.

Town

Sandroba
Pretty much got confirmed when Amber[LighT] flipped, iirc

DropBear
Aggressively analyzing, admitting his mistakes, overall good town play.

Cthsazsa
There's no way that both he and Amber were scum.

Kenpachi
vigi. 'nuff said.

I don't have time right now to post what I think about each player. I'm sure I'm forgetting some people.

If I die tonight, lynch Sinani. Don't argue, don't try to find a better target, just lynch Sinani.

I have to agree with VarpuliS post right before the night. Right now we´re going for sinani206, and then moving on to the others. Personally I don´t see how Ilovejonn and orgolove could both be Scum, but that´s for another day. Right now we take out sinani206.

Sinani206
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 13 2011 13:39 GMT
#1921
On May 13 2011 22:36 chaos13 wrote:I would like to point out that I did not vote for Cthsazsa. I was the third vote on Amber[Light], and it stayed there. I have in fact never voted for Cthsazsa.
Noted.

Personally chaos13 is not on my short-list of scummiest players.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 13 2011 20:32 GMT
#1946
Bad news, I´m not going to be here during the later half of this Day, or at least the last ~18h.
I´m going away over the weekend, leaving in about 14h. I´m hoping sinani206 is going down, because of what happened during the last night, because he still looks scummy, and because his flip would give a lot of info on jaminz and others. Unfortunately I won´t be here to argue during the end of it, so who is getting lynched is up to you.

If it makes you happier, then think about the fact that I´m going to have to wait about 15h after the night before I finally get to know the result of this days lynch.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 13 2011 21:38 GMT
#1949
On May 14 2011 05:54 Kenpachi wrote:
K. i dont wan tto kill sinani anymore. hes being stacked on way too fast in the past couple of hours. i say we kill AirbladeOrange..
After yesterday? Seriously? Don´t let up, Scum will take any chance they can to get on our good side the moment we forget their history.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 14 2011 07:32 GMT
#1964
Do what you think is best, but I really hope we don´t get another situation like yesterday, where it´s a close lynch, sinani206 escapes again, and we loose three town from the mislynch and nightkills.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 14 2011 08:59 GMT
#1967
DropBear, is this based on older data too, or just the last lynch?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 14 2011 09:19 GMT
#1969
DropBear, one thing that looks odd with Possibility A, why would they lynch EternalMisfit if they didn´t want to save sinani206? If they are the scum, then they wouldn´t have gained anything on lynching EM over sinani206, right?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 14 2011 09:40 GMT
#1972
What I mean is, that if both sinani206 is Town too, then A wouldn´t risk themselves by going for EM, they´d try to spread out between the targets.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 14 2011 09:53 GMT
#1974
Leaving soon. I will NOT be back before the lynch. My vote stays on sinani206, but I´d be fine with an ilj lynch too to follow DropBears thoughts and find the side that is scummiest.

Good Luck with the lynch!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 15 2011 16:25 GMT
#2044
Back. Excellent work on the lynch, and the analysis since. Still a lot to do but it looks more and more like we´re taking this.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 00:51 GMT
#2055
On May 16 2011 08:52 AirbladeOrange wrote:
Is the godfather guaranteed to be an experienced player?

No, not at all. It´s either random, scum vote or hosts choice, none of those require a veteran as GF.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 02:59 GMT
#2060
lol

For what it´s worth, I say Orgolove is Scum
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 03:05 GMT
#2068
They took out an obvTown, nasty. One less confirmed Townie.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 03:14 GMT
#2071
About redtooth, I´d be carefull in attributing that first Random-FoS on Irish, and the defence that followed, as scummy. It could be a plan, but it´s just as likely that redtooth did a random vote to provoke argument, then felt bad about all the negative attention Irish caught because of him and wanted to make amends. What is scummy however, was how he took a long time to stop defending Irish, even after people had found their own reasons to suspect him, but the initial accusations were not scummy.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 09:26 GMT
#2085
If those are the prime suspects then my vote goes on orgolove. Besides being the scummiest target, it should clear or doom ilj, because of how long orgolove has been tunneling on him.

##Vote: orgolove
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 21:10 GMT
#2092
Jaminz, I did a rough postcheck from the Amber-lynch and forward. He was early on Amber, reluctant on sinani, which is why that scum survived a day. I can´t get a good read, he could be a good scum, or an unlucky town.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 16 2011 21:42 GMT
#2094
Anyone have a fresh analysis of ilj or redtooth?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 17 2011 00:27 GMT
#2105
One of sinani206's few big posts, probably a coached post. I´m not sure how to read this one, because of WIFOM. It was posted fairly early, when there was still time to divert the lynch on someone else, to me it´s more likely that scum would discredit a townie than cast suspicions on their own at that stage.

I´m fairly certain this makes Ilovejonn Town, but I can´t be sure.
+ Show Spoiler +
On May 14 2011 13:42 sinani206 wrote:
ilovejonn


This is ilovejonn's list of votes:

1)
kurumi
2)
beneather
cthsaza

3)
eternalmisfit
4)
sinani206
ilovejonn
oroglove

Hmm....
So far, 3 greens and a blue. Kurumi bandwagon day 1 and EternalMisfit bandwagon day 3, with no real explanations for either. He is also experienced, so he can't be forgiven for not explaining.

Today, first he votes on my bandwagon, then after I defend myself and DropBear accepts the defense, he switches to himself, saying this:

Show nested quote +
On May 14 2011 04:06 ilovejonn wrote:
I'm townie. Why not lynch for information? We have mislynches at disposal. And what defense do you guys possibly want from me. I've been on all the wrong lynches and have no credibility in this game any more, flipping will probably provide more than what I can say.

Why do you first roleclaim townie and then tell the town to lynch you for information? You want us to call a bluff, to believe that you are a Townie that will sacrifice himself for the town, and then leave you alive. But you aren't. You wanted us to leave you alone so that you could stay alive and the Mafia would keep their 2KP.

Then, after Varpulis' post:

Show nested quote +
On May 14 2011 04:40 Varpulis wrote:
It's good policy to lynch scum. If you're town, you should help us lynch scum, not help us lynch you.

Wrong =/= scum. Saying "I give up, just lynch me" makes me very suspicious. orgolove did it, and people aren't discussing him anymore, so you're going to try it too?

You post this and switch back to oroglove:

Show nested quote +
On May 14 2011 05:34 ilovejonn wrote:
I still think orgolove is GF. Check his posts before 1802 and after.

Like people mentioned, he gives us a flawed data sheet to follow (I know it's flawed because I'm townie but managed to accumulate the most points due to a) not switching to Amber because I was away, b) sticking with my analysis on EM which turned out to be wrong.), says that Dropbear and I are top targets based on the point system he made out of thin air, and then when we lynch EM he goes, guys I convinced you soooooo hard that you guys deserve to lose if you don't follow my spreadsheet.

You didn't convince us on anything dude, you laid out information we all could have observed and placed some arbitrary points into it, then said you're disgusted with the town after a mislynch. That's some major convincing you did.

And you guys are right, why waste a vote on myself. I'll use MY vote on who I think is scum.


Because you realize that Varpulis is right, you switch to orgolove, to act more like a townie and act like you are trying to kill the scum. But you just use the same arguments against him that everyone else has. Another bandwagon. You realize that this is 3 band wagons you have joined, all without adding to the accusation?

I know where my vote is going today.
##Vote: ilovejonn

I noted something interesting at the end of that post (bold for emphasis). sinani206 says he was voting on orgolove to seem more town, but orgolove rarely come up in the top of most-scummy lists. I wonder if sinani206 accidentally outed a fellow scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 17 2011 22:48 GMT
#2143
I don´t like the fact that there are 4 up for the lynch today. ilj, orgolove, impervious and redtooth. It´s a close lynch, and therefore easy for Mafia to manipulate.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:23 GMT
#2156
In a way, it´s a waste to lynch someone who is going to be modkilled anyway, especially when there are so many other potential scum to lynch. Waiting a day to lynch only mean that another Town will die tonight.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:40 GMT
#2159
We need 3 to switch, including Mlg, in order to lynch Impervious. I could help, although I´d prefer a lynch of orgolove.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:54 GMT
#2169
5 minutes...
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:55 GMT
#2172
This doesn´t make Imp less scummy, does it?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:56 GMT
#2175
Redtooth die anyway. If you don´t want to lynch Imp after this stunt, then consider orgolove.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:57 GMT
#2180
2 minutes...
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 02:59 GMT
#2187
The blame is redtooth being modkilled, we didn´t know this before.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:01 GMT
#2193
Oh, come on!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:03 GMT
#2197
I don´t get it, orgolove got the most votes.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:03 GMT
#2199
2 trollposts this time?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:06 GMT
#2208
I say the "no flip"-post was the worst, talk about a scary game at this phase.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:08 GMT
#2211
The hosts are getting trollier by each day!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:14 GMT
#2217
Damn you Jaminz....
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:17 GMT
#2224
You are good at turning lynches on Town, aren´t you, jaminz?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:24 GMT
#2230
On May 18 2011 12:21 chaos13 wrote:
Also, this is the second time jaminz has vote switched at literally the last minute and made a townie lynch.
True. Very scummy.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 03:37 GMT
#2236
What a mess.

Ok, I will initiate recuperation-coma in a while.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 18 2011 22:05 GMT
#2244
I have nothing more to add, I´ve said it allready. It´s not like I´m a hard player to read.
I´ll try to do some analysis tomorrow, or I may just tunnel mindlessly, either way I´m kind of tired, and I don´t see much point to debating during the night.

To anyone surviving the night; See you tomorrow!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 19 2011 06:55 GMT
#2262
I know who the chatic voteswitching of Jaminz saved.

##Vote: orgolove
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 19 2011 14:11 GMT
#2265
I´ve had my eye on orgolove far longer than jaminz.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 19 2011 21:13 GMT
#2273
Either, or? We can´t lynch two, so we want to lynch the one that give the most information. orgolove is suspicious because of his actions, votes and analysis, while jaminz because of his lurking and voteswitching, but if these are the candidates, who is the best candidate for a lynch?

If we lynch jaminz then we don´t get any information on scum.
If we lynch jaminz then we can´t KNOW if orgolove is scum, since the voteswitching could just have been a way to throw us off.
If we lynch orgolove then jaminz looks suspicious still.
If we lynch orgolove then jaminz or imp are probably scum, and ilj is cleared.

Because the main incriminating action of Jaminz does not connect him to others, he´s actually a worse lynch than orgolove, whose activity and actions give us much more to work with once he flips, no matter which way he flips. I´m not clearing jaminz, not at all, but right now I´m more interested in what orgolove is up to.

Also I´m a helper;
On May 20 2011 03:04 orgolove wrote:
Yet ilovejonn still lives. Go ahead - lynch me, if that'll give a 1-1 exchange I'm all for it. But I'm still 100% convinced that ilovejonn is scum.


Do I make sense?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 20 2011 12:17 GMT
#2287
I don´t mind people not saying who they are voting for nearly as much as those who wait until the last 10h to vote.

Stop sheeping, just vote and get it over with, waiting until the end of the day to vote only help scum.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 20 2011 20:33 GMT
#2291
Once again, a close lynch, and enough people to vote that the lynch can go either way.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 04:26 GMT
#2312
I don´t think AO is scum. He was out scumhinting early, and put many FoS on players who have been confirmed scum since.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 05:25 GMT
#2316
On May 21 2011 14:03 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2011 13:59 orgolove wrote:
Anyway. It's ilovejonn. Your fault for not listening to me. w.e


Oh shut up. Your condescension won't get you anywhere.
Quoted for Truth. Orgolove, if you wanted for us to listen to you, then making a solid and reasonable argument is better than flaming. If we find scum, then it is in no way thanks to you and this behavior.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 07:48 GMT
#2319
On May 21 2011 16:35 orgolove wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 21 2011 14:25 Forumite wrote:
On May 21 2011 14:03 chaos13 wrote:
On May 21 2011 13:59 orgolove wrote:
Anyway. It's ilovejonn. Your fault for not listening to me. w.e


Oh shut up. Your condescension won't get you anywhere.
Quoted for Truth. Orgolove, if you wanted for us to listen to you, then making a solid and reasonable argument is better than flaming. If we find scum, then it is in no way thanks to you and this behavior.


I spent literally at least 10 hours or more compiling data and organizing it for town. It's your choice to not use it, and it's my choice to award you with an "I told you so" each time you fail.
You admitted yourself that your data wouldn´t have helped to find most of the scum, so why should we use it?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 09:58 GMT
#2321
Correct Lynches:
6:2 night 6
6:1 day 7
5:1 night 7
5:0 day 8 - Town win

1 Mislynch:
6:2 night 6
5:2 day 7
4:2 night 7 - LYLO
4:1 day 8
3:1 night 8
3:0 day 9 - Town win

2 Mislynches
6:2 night 6
5:2 day 7
4:2 night 7 - LYLO
3:2 day 8
2:2 night 8 - Scum win

If I´m correct, and I´m not 100% I am, we have one mislynch left, no more. There is the possibility that there´s a vigi left, but even that will only delay Scum a little, if at all. If the next lynch doesn´t hit scum or identify the rest of scum, then we´re done.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 14:11 GMT
#2324
Correct, kitaman27. So it´s 2 mislynches before LYLO, not 1.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 21 2011 20:01 GMT
#2329
Scumhunting is hard. I think orgolove is scum, but whenever I look elsewhere it gets tough, partly because of the tunneling on orgolove, everything else gets distorted around it, like ilj, orgolove has been tunneling on him for so damn long.
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 22 2011 10:02 GMT
#2375
To be fair, knowing that Key Lime Pie is Mafia wouldn´t have helped that much.

Lots of activity, and everyone postchecking me, all 250 posts.

Go Town!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 25 2011 11:04 GMT
#2445
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 27 2011 07:45 GMT
#2488
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 27 2011 10:04 GMT
#2490
All the active have fallen. So this is how good towns die...
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 27 2011 11:19 GMT
#2493
Popcorn you say? There´s only one solution to that!

Om nom nom nom....
+ Show Spoiler +

:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 27 2011 14:30 GMT
#2497
On May 27 2011 23:20 redFF wrote:
whats going on in this thre-
My associates inform me that you are in possession of ma bucket!
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 30 2011 21:31 GMT
#2720
On May 30 2011 18:12 Mig wrote:
Er I mean you got 3 mafia out of 6 then ran unlucky hitting orgolove as miller. But still a great job.
Some of them were just confirming, so that I could push for them the next day. It´s was tough though, millers and GF means I couldn´t really be secure in my votes, and the more I post the more attention I get from scum.

On May 30 2011 21:45 chaos13 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 30 2011 18:07 Node wrote:
On May 30 2011 17:07 Mig wrote:
Oh also anyone know who exactly forumite checked?


I'm too lazy to produce a full action list for everybody, but I can give you who Forumite checked:

N1: Irish_Punk13
N2: orgolove
N3: sinani206 (at this point gm and I were lolling because Forumite had gotten 3 red checks in a row, Forumite PMd us wondering if it was possible to be an Insane DT leading to further lols)
N4: redtooth
N5: jaminz
N6: ilovejonn (Forumite died N6)


You should have tried harder to stop us from lynching redtooth and jaminz, since they didn't bother to defend themselves. 3/6 mafia checked though, that's impressive.
I didn´t want to risk saving the GF, while I got a green read from them, I couldn´t be sure, and I didn´t want to look too sure of myself too, calling out orgolove all the time was bad enough for bluetells.

Scum, I have a question, why did you nightkill me? Did you take me out because I was a loud town or did you get a bluetell?
:3
Forumite
Profile Joined February 2011
Sweden3280 Posts
May 30 2011 23:15 GMT
#2722
On May 31 2011 07:25 kitaman27 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 31 2011 06:31 Forumite wrote:
Scum, I have a question, why did you nightkill me? Did you take me out because I was a loud town or did you get a bluetell?


Because you were a clean town. We were pretty surprised there was another dt around considering the amount of blues that had already popped.
Got it. It´s not always a good idea to be considered town.
:3
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