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On March 28 2011 14:46 Coagulation wrote:Show nested quote +3. My scum team bussing Annul is stupid Apparently if I am scum and my team bus Coags shot onto Annul then that 100% confirms me as scum. If that is the case this is a TERRIBLE plan for mafia. Why do something so obvious? ARE YOU SERIOUS? SCUM IS GONNA PROTECT YOU BECAUSE ITS BETTER YOUR ALIVE AND SUSPICIOUS THAN DEAD AND OUT OF THE GAME. ITS AN ALL IN. SCUM HAD NO CHOICE.
But i explained the better option underneath Mr. All Caps. The only way what happened is a better option is to scum me up...
You're basing everything on your UNFOUNDED trust on Jackal. And you refuse to even consider alternatives...
C'mon man try an be pro town please!
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On March 28 2011 14:57 Coagulation wrote: Now to the conclusions: 1. The other three IG players have in no-way confirmed each other Your in no way confirmed either Moot point. Not to mention I STILL have the ability to CONFIRM JACKAL after we lynch you. Another moot point because he will be confirmed when you flip red 2. The fact that they are so sure of themselves without confirmation throws their judgement into question - green or not. Ok fantastic this doesnt help you at all. 3. Jackal can easily be scum. The plan is clever but also strong and something red could have come up with. They didn't even need to come up with it before jackal decided on his 'plan' because as he is such a tunneler they probably just decided to make the most of it Ok but how does this prove your green in the slightest.. you have given 0 information for town to attempt to work with. you just repeat over and over jackal could be scum. thats fantastic why dont you try coming up with a plan like jackal did why dont you try dumping information that town wants to know in the thread like jackal did. 4. The IG is in great peril. All evidence has to be scrutinized, all votes have to be carefully considered your mafia teams chance at getting the items are in peril 5. My stealing Jackals item in NO WAY makes me scummy. It was in fact the town thing to do. Yes stealing the item makes you scummy. you had been PMing annul about wanting to steal an item long before anyone mentioned a gun. your arguments again do nothing to make you look green and is purely based on "im innocent omg"
Ok Coag let's take this point by point:
1. The other three IG players have in no-way confirmed each other Your in no way confirmed either Moot point. Not to mention I STILL have the ability to CONFIRM JACKAL after we lynch you. Another moot point because he will be confirmed when you flip red
- I believe I put forth strong evidence for my point. You are the one that has not put any evidence forward that you can confirm. - You say it is moot whether or not you guys are confirmed - that is simply not true for obvious reasons - Having the ability to confirm Jackal AFTER you lynch me is not a good reason to lynch me - The fact that you need me to flip red in fact makes it extremely non-moot
2. The fact that they are so sure of themselves without confirmation throws their judgement into question - green or not. Ok fantastic this doesnt help you at all.
- You're saying your quality of judgement does not affect town's choice to follow your lead?
3. Jackal can easily be scum. The plan is clever but also strong and something red could have come up with. They didn't even need to come up with it before jackal decided on his 'plan' because as he is such a tunneler they probably just decided to make the most of it Ok but how does this prove your green in the slightest.. you have given 0 information for town to attempt to work with. you just repeat over and over jackal could be scum. thats fantastic why dont you try coming up with a plan like jackal did why dont you try dumping information that town wants to know in the thread like jackal did.
- First of all I have been analyzing all game and posting plenty of ideas on what strategies to use inside and outside of the item game. I in fact had a conversation in thread on whether we should all agree to steal, defend, use. I constantly PMd you to discuss strategy. You on the other have followed this 'plan' without giving any real information out ever or considering any other possibilities. - The fact Jackal can be scum implies I can be green. You never admit this and keep calling me 100% mafia - I have in fact been playing as pro-town as possible. I have given several reasons in the post you're quoting for why i'm not mafia such as the fact that if I was mafia I highlighted better plans to follow such as the one you mentioned just 2 posts ago
4. The IG is in great peril. All evidence has to be scrutinized, all votes have to be carefully considered your mafia teams chance at getting the items are in peril
- This isn't in fact a point just another stubborn claim
5. My stealing Jackals item in NO WAY makes me scummy. It was in fact the town thing to do. [b]Yes stealing the item makes you scummy. you had been PMing annul about wanting to steal an item long before anyone mentioned a gun. your arguments again do nothing to make you look green and is purely based on "im innocent omg"
- I never once mentioned stealing an item to annul. Go prove it as I just checked my inbox and cant find anything near to that - I answered the second point earlier
Now are you willing to make some real points?
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Ok I'm getting tired of repeating myself but here goes anyway:
On March 28 2011 15:01 chaoser wrote: By jackals argument if I was green should I have let myself get shot or something? What would any other green do in my position?
Yes. You would want to get shot. Why? Cause if you flipped green, it'd be 1/4 chances of catching mafia in the item game. Since annul got shot, it would be 1/3 chance. You not dying made today be about you v Jackal again. If you had died, it would have been Jackal on the chopping block since it was his plan. Or we start looking at LW. If I was in your situation, I would have used my item to check Jackal or maybe LW, not steal some shit. Townies don't care much for living, only that they can somehow help town win.
You say if I flipped green it would have been 1:4 chance of catching mafia and 1:3 cos annul was shot. #1 How would I know annul would be shot and hence take that into account? #2 If i died it would be Jackal on the chopping block... Or LemonWalrus... So eventually you will get around to Or coag/Or annul right? #3 If I DT check when I'm getting shot how exactly do I reveal that information to town? You're saying if I think i'm getting shot I should dt check and then let myself die.
2. No one is confirmed
No one is ever confirmed unless they're dead. There's no such thing as confirmation of alignment, even DTs can be insane and give wrong reads. The fact of the matter is, Jackal came out and FoS-ed you. His actions compared to your actions, in my head, shows that he is more town then you are. His plan makes sense while you haven't done a single thing for town. Your posts have been basically copies of other people's posts, and until Jackal FoSed you, you didn't give a single FoS or analysis of anyone else. You merely defended Bum's blueness, you didn't even call out annul as scum.
First of all read my posts before you call them copies. Second I have suggested strategies in and out of the IG all game Third if no one is ever confirmed why are those three constantly confirming it and making decisions BASED ON THOSE CONFIRMATIONS?
Why would I bus to annul? Annul claimed he was out of the game and outed his item power which affects me NOT AT ALL.
Annul was pretty much going to be read as town. RoL's stupid little gambit worked and annul's reaction was that of a town thinking he was dead, not of mafia. Mafia take things to the grave on the off chance something they said gives shit away, townies don't. That being said, it's better to get rid of a green that everyone knows is a green and then try to argue against someone who is less "confirmed" like Jackal.
You obviously haven't read my post properly. I said a better bus would be to lemon. You havent mentioned why that is wrong
4. Jackal can easily be mafia. 5. The IG is in grave peril So making the assumption I'm green: - I get lynched and flip green - scum use their 2 KP to kill the other greens - Red is last one standing and therefore red team get the items
Not true and a contradiction, if anything, I feel like IG is going to be won by town if both statements are true. It's just whether we have three confirmed townies or one. If you are green, you get lynched, it's 1 red, 2 green. We got medics, LW got a vest. If Jackal really is red like you said, then all we have to do is chill out, and tell LW to protect. It's a passive vest that makes him bullet proof. Mafia can't shoot into that shit. Black is lynched so he can't be black. Next day, we lynch Jackal. BOOM. Town wins IG.
This is a matter of opinion. Feeling we lynch a town tonight is acceptable doesn't mean you should gamble with the vote anyway. Use some logic maybe?
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On March 28 2011 15:20 GGQ wrote: Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.
If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red.
By your standards:
Situation 1: I DT check and get shot. Town now has more reason to lynch Jackal (GOOD)
Situation 2: I DT check and some1 else gets shot. I 'claim' a check on Jackal that can't be confirmed and we end up in this situation. (BAD)
Situation 3: I steal and get the gun. We're now in the same situation as yesterday except town gets to lynch instead of leaving the kill to someone else (VERY GOOD)
Situation 4: I steal and don't get gun. I am shot. Same situation as 1. (GOOD)
Situation 5: I steal and don't get gun. I am not shot. We are now in this position.(BAD)
So a DT check either has 50% chance for the positive result you're looking for or 50% this situation comes up.
A steal on the other hand has a 66% chance for a positive result or 33% this situation comes up.
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On March 28 2011 15:27 Coagulation wrote: OK well for the sake of the thread not getting flooded with circular arguments this is what im gonna do
Tackster is mafia. its my gut feeling and lemon walrus and jackals and annuls
can you argue about me having a gut feeling tackster? didnt think so. im pretty sure i have raped enough scum as town to be given the time of die when it comes to town listening to my gut feeling.
so that ends it.
Well that's easy to argue -
Logic > A gut feeling
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On March 28 2011 15:25 chaoser wrote:Show nested quote +Now I admit it's possible that coagulation or lemon are scum. However for coag to shoot the person and bus himself is too alien to consider. For Lemon to be planning all this in his first game is possible given he has a PM circle - but seems unlikely.
Show nested quote +You obviously haven't read my post properly. I said a better bus would be to lemon. You havent mentioned why that is wrong Both are unlikely to you in the JACKAL MIGHT BE RED POST. Your post pretty much says that you think JACKAL is red. In that case, we got item game won since point number 5, which is you trying to scare people into not voting for you, is wrong. SEE! WE GOTS IT YO!
So you're entire point there was rather than check any points I made just go with
If we lynch tack maybe he's mafia If not we can gamble to hopefully win the IG
I should just not try and defend myself and agree to gamble the IG away?
Why don't you instead tell me why what I wrote is wrong. If in fact what I wrote leads to a conclusion where Jackal is the likely mafia we are STILL in the situation you mentioned + we used logic to get there = more likely we lynch mafia
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On March 28 2011 15:31 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:Oh I think I remembered the other part. Show nested quote + Well, looks like people aren't really using their items well. Only one person was able to use his item. Only problem is that he found himself in the wrong place. He stood over the dead body of Annul and wondered what happened. And why was there two bullets when he only loaded one in his gun? And what's up with all the blood smeared on him?
From what I recall you don't answer this. If what you are saying is correct coagulation then Annul and Tack were bussed, meaning all night actions focused on one hits the other and vice versa. The first part of the bold seems to infer that he was shot twice. Once by you, and once by another. While the second part implies that you were the one who was bussed, because YOU are the confused one. So what you are saying can't follow a logical progression of thought. You hit Tack and the mafia bussed tack and annul to save him, meaning someone else would of also had to hit tack for Annul to have gotten shot twice. But if we accept those events then we have to ask ourselves why the third party (or mafia?) would hit tack while bussing him while KNOWING you were going to try to hit him too. Something just seems off, unless you can explain that and I misread something.
You know you seem to be confusing bussing. However as the more experienced player I assume you're likely the right one.
Bussing to me means: Player A targets Player B with abilities Player A is bussed to Player C Player A now targets Player C with abilities
Bussing to you seems to me: Stuff happens to Player A Player A is bussed to Player B Stuff now happens to Player B instead
By your definition what you said makes sense.
By my definition someone shot annul. Coag aimed at me. Coag was bussed to annul. Coag shot annul. Hence 2 shots on annul.
So which definition is right?
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On March 28 2011 15:34 GGQ wrote: Also, re: bus driver.
Just so no one is confused about what this role does:
The bus driver picks two players. All abilities that target either of those two players during the night phase now target the other player instead. This means that, judging from the way the Day Post was written, the bus driver picked Tackster and annul. Since it seems like annul was shot twice, that means that two shots were used on Tackster, one of which came from coagulation.
I played the bus driver as town in Harry Potter Mafia (to pretty good effect, I might add :D) but the driver role is more commonly a scum role, and (given that it spreads chaos and confusion) it is much more suited to scum.
If this is how the bus driver works it does indeed imply I was shot twice.
If one of these shots were scum that should help my case. Let's investigate this!!
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On March 28 2011 15:37 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: My definition is the correct one on this forum. If A shot B but B was bussed with C then A would of actually have shot C. What you are referring to I only ever saw once in ExMiMa. I can't remember what DrH called it though.
On epic mafia it's the other way. Happy to learn!!
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On March 28 2011 15:43 GGQ wrote:Show nested quote +On March 28 2011 15:27 Tackster wrote:On March 28 2011 15:20 GGQ wrote: Also, I was gonna point out what Chaoser or Coagulation pointed out above.
If you are town, stealing Jackal's item was retarded. The town thing to do would be to role-check someone. If you lived or died, you would be giving the town some great information. The much simpler explanation is that you are red. By your standards: Situation 1: I DT check and get shot. Town now has more reason to lynch Jackal (GOOD) Situation 2: I DT check and some1 else gets shot. I 'claim' a check on Jackal that can't be confirmed and we end up in this situation. (BAD) Situation 3: I steal and get the gun. We're now in the same situation as yesterday except town gets to lynch instead of leaving the kill to someone else (VERY GOOD) Situation 4: I steal and don't get gun. I am shot. Same situation as 1. (GOOD) Situation 5: I steal and don't get gun. I am not shot. We are now in this position.(BAD) So a DT check either has 50% chance for the positive result you're looking for or 50% this situation comes up. A steal on the other hand has a 66% chance for a positive result or 33% this situation comes up. Your logic is poor because you assume that each situation has an equal chance of playing out under each scenario.
LOL actually I stated by your standards. I was being pessimistic. By my standards the chances are much higher...
You realise you're implying the situation YOU suggested would be worse for town right?
Lastly my stats would be poor not my logic and unlike the other players in this thread that can't confirm their abilities I can confirm when I state I am good at stats. Theoretical Physics is not an easy degree to get!
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Jackal but I'm of course saving my vote in case any new evidence pops up.
And yes I know that I can always unvote but I don't like the idea of deciding im totally right before the day is a quarter through.
You're posts are so much nicer when they aren't in caps!! Beautiful handwriting
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@kevconism - What are you saying I got 'tricked' into?
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On March 28 2011 16:01 kevconsim wrote: i dont mean you personally got tricked
I mean they tricked other people into believing that you are scum.
Which you may or may not be.
Tricked into being called scum when you are not
ohhhhhhhhhh....
Ya dat happend dude... Dese scumz iz badass...
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On March 28 2011 16:03 chaoser wrote:Show nested quote +So you're entire point there was rather than check any points I made just go with
If we lynch tack maybe he's mafia If not we can gamble to hopefully win the IG
I should just not try and defend myself and agree to gamble the IG away? WRONG! It's not a gamble. If Jackal is red, like you think he is, then town wins the IG. The Two hits are LW and Coag for Mafia. They have two KP. We got a vest and lets say 2 medics (standard amount). 1 medic on Coag, 1 medic on LW. There's nothing mafia can do. At the most, they'll kill 1 town.
Ok this game consists of mechanics we dont know about yes?
so: framers nerfers drivers etc. + everything we don't know about
Lemons vest is useless as it can be stolen.
And there's always the chance that Coag or Lemon are scum...
That isn't even close to auto-win
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On March 28 2011 16:04 Coagulation wrote:Show nested quote +On March 28 2011 15:55 Tackster wrote:Jackal but I'm of course saving my vote in case any new evidence pops up. And yes I know that I can always unvote but I don't like the idea of deciding im totally right before the day is a quarter through. You're posts are so much nicer when they aren't in caps!! Beautiful handwriting  And what evidence do you have that jackal is in fact red exactly?
Coagulation have you been reading this thread? Have you seen how everyone is mentioning the Tackster or Jackal debate?
You expect me to vote for myself man?
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@Coag - let me ask you a question:
If i do flip green then who do you think is the scum?
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On March 28 2011 16:08 Coagulation wrote: probably jackal
Ok but you think I'm wrong to vote for him?
I refer you to:
And what evidence do you have that jackal is in fact red exactly?
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I'm sorry for explaining things to you from your point of view...
It's just that it's been so hard up until now I was trying to make it easier for you.
And your analysis is going to be trashed when i flip green.
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On March 28 2011 16:16 Coagulation wrote: thats a risk im willing to take
The risk you're taking is to assume you're decisions make sense and you're play style is conducive to winning. As many others have stated before.
Try and reread what has been going on with an open mind. Now that you can admit the chance exists try and see if it's more probable then you've let yourself believe.
Much better to check again than to gamble!
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EBWOP: Second you're should be your. trying to appease the spell checkers in the thread!
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