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TL Mafia XXII - Page 3

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Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:01 GMT
#1048
On April 21 2010 13:56 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:51 IntoTheWow wrote:
I'm just curious. Role checks are PM'd to the person who made them, but no one else knows for sure right? Ace could just be making up whatever role check he thinks best fits him. If I'm wrong in my train of thought please tell me.

You could be right, however he would be playing very anti-town then. The thing is if Ace is lying and just wants to kill Caller it would be stupid, he could argue behavior analysis and probably get him lynched. Sure this would get it done with less effort, however if hes wrong he sets us back two lynches, which would suck for us.

In short, he could lie, but it wouldn't make sense unless he was trying to sac caller to gain town trust to ride it through the game to mislead us further.

That move was done to caller by MrBabyHands in a previous mafia game.


I guess that's possible, and that's the problem if caller flips red. Because everyone would probably trust Ace. I wonder if the gain in trust for Ace would be worth losing the KP though (if another mafia dies the kp goes to 3).
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:02 GMT
#1049
On April 21 2010 13:57 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 13:27 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Great, so I have to nail a mafia every day or you will kill me?

Fine, BC is mafia.

Rolecheck confirmed it.


In light of this, and Ace's alleged RC on Caller, would it be appropriate to double lynch today (Day 2)?
.


We can't double lynch today. We can do it tomorrow if we get a majority vote for double lynch today though.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:15 GMT
#1061
Oh wow I forgot about the roleblocker. nobody has claimed to be blocked yet? that's odd.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:20 GMT
#1063
On April 21 2010 14:19 Fishball wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 14:15 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Oh wow I forgot about the roleblocker. nobody has claimed to be blocked yet? that's odd.


What do you mean odd?

If the Roleblocker blocks a player with no night actions, eg. plain Townie, Miller, nothing happens. The person being blocked wouldn't know.


Oh, are you sure? I thought everyone got PM if they were blocked, regardless of role

also possible is the mafia blocking nobody, and having a red come out and say he was blocked. Like jeejee did in WaW.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 05:24 GMT
#1069
On April 21 2010 14:22 Fishball wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 21 2010 14:20 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
On April 21 2010 14:19 Fishball wrote:
On April 21 2010 14:15 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
Oh wow I forgot about the roleblocker. nobody has claimed to be blocked yet? that's odd.


What do you mean odd?

If the Roleblocker blocks a player with no night actions, eg. plain Townie, Miller, nothing happens. The person being blocked wouldn't know.


Oh, are you sure? I thought everyone got PM if they were blocked, regardless of role

also possible is the mafia blocking nobody, and having a red come out and say he was blocked. Like jeejee did in WaW.


It has always been like this in every game.


Oh lol. I think the last game i played that had a roleblocker (besides WaW) was Mafia 2... so i guess i'm not exactly up to speed. thanks for clarifying.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 14:52 GMT
#1164
So we lynch Caller, what happens next?

Say double lynch is in effect.

1. Caller is red. Lynch who and who?
2. Caller is green/blue. Lynch Ace and who?
3. Caller is an assassin. Do we lynch Ace in case he's also an assassin and we don't want him to "win"? But then we still need a 2nd target.

What are some possible people to lynch during the double?
- I personally don't think BC is red. I hope we don't have to lynch him just to clear up RoL's claim
- motbob isn't helping and freely admits it.

- Caller's list: ITW, Meeple, Motbob, BC

no matter what color caller flips, these are important people to look at. I guess if worse comes to worse we can just use 1 of the 2 lynches on an inactive if there aren't any convincing targets. But personally i'd rather hope we see the inactive(s) modkilled.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 14:52 GMT
#1165
*if* we lynch Caller. forgot a word
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 15:43 GMT
#1169
On April 22 2010 00:21 Ace wrote:
You can rule out me being an Assassin as I've already illustrated how ridiculous that would be.


i know, was just including it for the sake of completeness
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 21:11 GMT
#1211
On April 22 2010 05:52 Scamp wrote:
I agree with Korynne. Tree.Hugger's logic is suspect and looks like a distraction. Why would any mafia call Ace a liar when he didn't target one of their own?

Even WIFOM doesn't really work here.


Gotta agree with this, the big debate only really rested between Ace, Caller, BC, and Rol and i had a couple posts in it. Given the number of people just sitting back and voting i'd wager the mafia just took this as a freebie.

Keep in mind caller's suspect list: BC, meeple, motbob, ITW.

here's his last big post for reference
+ Show Spoiler +

On April 21 2010 15:14 Caller wrote:
This entire thread is lols.

I'm not even going to bother trying to defend myself here because it's patently obvious that I'm getting bandwagoned and nobody's listening to me.

Here's what you do need to know once you find out that I'm a townie.

A) Ace still has not accepted my bet with him to have nai.protoss lynched to determine my and possibly his affiliation. More importantly, nai.protoss has jumped out of nowhere to proceed to attack me, because

Show nested quote +
I would just like to point out that since Caller is now proven to be mafia and he tried to take me out near the start when he was under risk of being lynched, I am clearly not mafia. Although I am also proving your point that I only post to defend myself and I am semi-inactive. But until I find time to sift through all these posts and come up with a good arguement for why somone is mafia I don't have anything to post.


I think it should be fairly obvious that with an idiotic comment like that, once I flip town it should be apparent that nai.protoss is just a stupid townie. No mafia member would ever say something like that EVER. In fact, mafia would be sure to leave a "assuming Ace isn't bullshitting" remark. Someone like...

Show nested quote +
Rolechecked red, and has been making some pretty loose intuition-based attacks on ppl. No strong solid evidence here, so nothing of redeeming value. I guess the rolecheck does it for me. The only reason I could see for Ace lying like that was if he was mafia. I don't think he's that "L"ish to sabotage his own team, so he's probably telling the truth if town. Since its not exactly the best time to sac a mafia member (a mafia death would mean a KP drop), its highly unlikely that Ace really is mafia in this situation imo.


I'll let you figure out who that is.

But is Ace a DT? Quite likely. Did he check me? Quite likely. Is he playing rationally? No. It should be fairly obvious that he's trying to spite town here. Look at his attitude change. While it is true that I grossly misrepresented several random pieces of mafiascum terminology, it should also be apparent that the people I attacked were already suspect. RaGe has gone silent since Ace arrived with his high and mighty RC (the one that I personally asked for, twice, I might add).

B) I'm not the only one playing for the metagame here. I hope that when I die you look back on my posts that you notice that I was imitating a very certain someone who isn't in this game

C) IntotheWow is appearing to know too much. Look at this post.

Show nested quote +
First, he gave BloodyC0bbler the most bidding power, even thought he has hardly participated so far. Point? Please don't say it's random.

Then he says he gave Caller the most bidding power to make him fall for his trap. Makes sense with meeple riding 120$ and BC as well, but then again there's other suspicious people Foolishness no money? Did you know he was going to die?

You could be an Assassin and then this game would make zero sense at all, since all it's doing is keeping you in the spotlish, either to be lynched or in Mafia eyes to take you down if they feel you are a threat.

If you were a real detective, I don't think this helps too much, you are just instantly rallying people into what you want to do.

You could very well make up whatever answer it fits you best as mafia. If somebody rolechecks anyone, you can make up whatever is the general idea of that person's role. Then again, with one detective down, it's hard to really know what you are up to. If somebody asks for a self-role check (like Jugan did) you can make up whatever you like, Townie would have a high % of nailing it. If you feel your plan might fall that way, you can just kill him during the night before revealing the role check and hence, knowing what the person's role was.

I'm not sure why you are trying to pull this little game, it doesn't help the town at all in my opinion. At the same time I haven't played other Mafia games here, so I don't know if this is your general playstyle, or something you have done before.

I will post more on other people soon, just want to stop some bandwagon that makes no sense. I suspect of Ace as much as I suspect of Caller.

Someone that wants to stop a "no sense" bandwagon, even though it's fairly obvious that he firstly joined one (RoL Day 1) and suspects Ace heavily, yet failed to mention the primary hilarious part, which was quite frankly that I was the one that asked for my own rolecheck. No mafia player ever would do something as risky as that. Why would I go out of my way to do that when I could have instead picked RaGe or meeple, people that were high on my suspect list? It's because it was patently obvious to me that Ace was going the "fuck y'all i'm a boss" strategy. It's an admirable strategy but clearly I either didn't anticipate I was miller or that Ace would be willing to go to such extremes

In other words, ITW is playing too intelligently for someone who's a newbie to TL mafia. Either he is a super mafia genius that will sweep town to victory, or he's scum.

D) BC is a liar. You were pissed at me in Ace's Mafia World because I had pardoned you (and guaranteed your death by mafia the next day) and as a result you were unable to tell us the 6 or so mafia that you pinned by Day 2. Don't give me that "I'm bad at behavior" bullshit. This man is scum.

E) I'm terrible at this game. Don't ever listen to my advice. Seriously. This game is meant to show you how bad I am at this game. Veteran =/= good.

By the same token, since I played just like a certain "veteran" player, you should get the implication.

Summary:
-Once I flip town, you know this means:
-Ace is innocent. Nai.Protoss is innocent.

-ITW and BC are scum. Meeple is also highly likely scum.
Motbob is also likely scum because of his complete uselessness and this:
Show nested quote +
##Vote: Caller

Caller and then Ace if Caller flips green


-I'm bad

zizi-yo



But given the logic posted by Korynne, it wouldn't make sense for BC to be red since he was Aces strongest opponent. I'm more wary of RoL given the circumstances of his roleclaim - right after Ace, and right after I pointed out that he hadn't really contributed anything to the town since he get back, despite saying he would.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 21:33 GMT
#1215
On April 22 2010 06:25 Bill Murray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 22 2010 04:46 KF91 wrote:
On April 21 2010 23:52 iNfuNdiBuLuM wrote:
So we lynch Caller, what happens next?

Say double lynch is in effect.

1. Caller is red. Lynch who and who?
2. Caller is green/blue. Lynch Ace and who?
3. Caller is an assassin. Do we lynch Ace in case he's also an assassin and we don't want him to "win"? But then we still need a 2nd target.

What are some possible people to lynch during the double?
- I personally don't think BC is red. I hope we don't have to lynch him just to clear up RoL's claim
- motbob isn't helping and freely admits it.

- Caller's list: ITW, Meeple, Motbob, BC

no matter what color caller flips, these are important people to look at. I guess if worse comes to worse we can just use 1 of the 2 lynches on an inactive if there aren't any convincing targets. But personally i'd rather hope we see the inactive(s) modkilled.


Looks like we forgot the chance that Caller could be miller. XD Well this does look good for Ace and his "I'm a detective" thing. Although I'm still kind of not sure on who we should vote for if we go for that double lynch on Day (Although RoL and BC seems to be big targets at this moment.)

On April 22 2010 04:27 Korynne wrote:
Ouch, this makes things more complicated. So Ace was WRONG in that he incorrectly deduced that Caller was mafia. But I guess there isn't much to do about the fact that he "role-checked" Caller and Caller turned up mafia...

So either Ace just failed at deducing if Caller was mafia, and he's innocent.
Or Ace is mafia, in that case, it would be extremely risky to claim Caller as mafia. As mafia, Ace would know that Caller was not mafia, so claiming he's mafia is pretty much death if he turned out townie. There would be a very low probability of him turning up Miller.

So for now, I think Ace is telling the truth, but a bit sketchy with analysis (possibly just because Caller's acting funny, which seems counterproductive from his role as a townie?).


I don't think that Ace failed at deducing if Caller was mafia. I think the combined products of the role-check and Caller's suspicious way of posting and playing style made it concrete for Ace to say that Caller was definitely mafia.

I think the double lynch will definitely depend on what happens with the mafia kills. Personally, I don' t think that Ace could die tonight, due to that fact that he hasn't gotten any mafia members killed. The only reason (that I can see) for Ace to get killed is if RoL or BC is mafia. Even then, if the majority of the town agrees with this lynch, killing Ace won't do anything at all to save their member.

Right now, the suspicions of Ace being mafia for me are very low. It would have been a very ballsy move by Ace to do something like what he did (If he was mafia) and the chances that Caller would flip Miller are very low. So I really believe that Ace is a legit DT at this point.

Now what would be even more surprising is if RoL and BC are both killed during the night. Although I don't think mafia is stupid enough to kill off the two people we are accusing if they are both townies. This goes along with what Korynne said, the mafia would rather have the townies kill each other rather than have the spotlight shine on them.

Well I'm going to go with the double lynch at this moment, because we could possibly end up choosing not to use it if the situation calls for it. We still have 2 more left if we don't use it, and I think the majority, or rather, some members of the town will be smart enough if we don't need to use it on Day 3.

I have to go to work, so I'll be back in around 6 hours. When I get back, I'm going to read over what RoL and BC have been saying and I'll hopefully put up a post before I go to sleep.


Just because Ace rolechecked him, and he acted like a DT, I'd like to remind you of WHY he's NOT a confirmed DT.

He can say "well I wouldn't do that as an assassin" but his only possible argument of not being an assassin is literally a scummy argument.

there are 3 options:

a) Ace is a detective. This is great for us, as the best player is on our side.
b) Ace is an assassin. This isn't terrible for us, as the best player is for himself (we can ignore him)
Remember, assassins get rolechecks. I find this likely, as he has already defended one accusation of this. I'm not saying "lets lynch ace, he's an assassin!", all I'm saying is remember he could be.
c) Ace is a good guesser. I don't see this being the case, regardless. He wouldn't do this.

Do I personally think he's a DT? Yes.
Do I think he could be an assassin? Yes.

Either way, we have reds to hunt.



What, were you in a coma during Day 1? Ace said during the day he was sure Caller was red, why would an Assassin rolecheck somebody he thought was red when his goal is to find the other assassins? Ace is pretty much confirmed DT. At least you're trying to think though, B- for effort.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 21 2010 21:44 GMT
#1219
On April 22 2010 06:40 Bill Murray wrote:
well if he was an assassin he wouldnt hit a red he would give them up to the town


my point is that the assassin is not going to waste 1 of his 2 rolechecks on someone he thinks is a red. by your own admission you do not think Ace bluffed a rolecheck, so where does that leave us?
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 22 2010 01:41 GMT
#1231
A5J, I voted for Caller. flamewheel missed it in his vote count.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 22 2010 02:09 GMT
#1238
BC, why did you vote against double lynch?
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 22 2010 02:10 GMT
#1239
ebwop: i am now a queen :3
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 23 2010 03:31 GMT
#1292
we can still just lynch 1 person, given the majority lynch rules.

would suck for wasting a double lynch though.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 23 2010 04:17 GMT
#1301
The thing is, I have already stated that I believe BC's behavior points to him being innocent, as he so openly railed against Ace. If you look at the circumstances of RoL's rolecheck, it was a lot different than Ace's rolecheck because Ace checked a player that he had publicly suspected Day 1, and Caller was unlucky enough to be the miller. Combined with Caller's already odd play it was enough to get people to vote for him. However it seems like theres a lot more doubt in the town regarding rol/bc. I mean I guess it's totally possible that BC is also a Miller, and RoL does have a point that his play doesn't make a whole lot of sense from the mafia perspective (though is this a bit of a wifom? it sort of sounds like it). Korynne has similar sentiments expressed in her post above.

Basically i think the plan tonight is to hope our medics are playing up to speed. Vigi's should hit whoever they think is suspicious (i consider Caller's suspect list a decent starting point, minus ITW who i feel has shown himself to be a pretty solidly town player, and add Scaramanga). Hopefully DT's dont check any more(?) Millers.

Also i don't think ALL vigis should shoot tonight like Ace said, considering its a 1 time power and the outcome of tomorrows lynch could set up some good vigi targets for tomorrows night. Of course there's no way to coordinate this, so if you're a vigi with no idea who to hit it might be smarter to wait instead of risking your 1 shot - town is pretty much on the verge of death here.

LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 24 2010 15:11 GMT
#1485
lol
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 24 2010 15:28 GMT
#1486
This is stupid. I was so ready to write a fantastic nonsensical defense post that would probably confuse a number of people greater or equal to 1 and I'm already dead.

P.S. ace you messed up, i wasn't on the jpak wagon
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 26 2010 00:39 GMT
#1539
where are all the posts? i demand to be entertained!
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
April 26 2010 23:27 GMT
#1562
LOL
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
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