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Russo-Ukrainian War Thread - Page 308

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NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

Your supporting statement should always come BEFORE you provide the source.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
November 15 2022 20:21 GMT
#6141
No Fly zone means shooting down aircraft and to do that you need to eliminate enemy air defense. It's basically war.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Mohdoo
Profile Joined August 2007
United States15742 Posts
November 15 2022 20:26 GMT
#6142
If NATO does nothing, it will be most enabling thing they could possibly do. I pray that NATO doesn't "take the high road" here.
Lmui
Profile Joined November 2010
Canada6223 Posts
November 15 2022 20:26 GMT
#6143
A no-fly zone only works if enforced. If Russia puts up a fighter jet, you are saying that it WILL be shot down inside that zone.

You also need to be prepared to shoot any and all anti-air assets in, and outside the area that may impact your ability to enforce the no-fly zone. This includes ground targets within Belarus.
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16121 Posts
November 15 2022 20:28 GMT
#6144
So Russia has to come out and immediately apologize for this right? That's their only out. If they don't immediately walk this back and offer up some kind of explanation and give up some officers that are responsible, then NATO doesn't have a choice but to retaliate right?
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-11-15 20:36:43
November 15 2022 20:32 GMT
#6145
On November 16 2022 05:28 Vindicare605 wrote:
So Russia has to come out and immediately apologize for this right? That's their only out. If they don't immediately walk this back and offer up some kind of explanation and give up some officers that are responsible, then NATO doesn't have a choice but to retaliate right?


NATO has nothing to do if Poland doesn't trigger article 5. It hasn't yet. It probably won't. Russia probably won't acknowledge or apologize.
Source : me, not having been called back to work (yet).

Maybe article 4.

The worst that can happen in my mind would be Poland notifying (through art 4) that it would take retaliatory measures (shooting missile launch sites) on its own. Russia probably wouldnt clearly retaliate (otherwise art 5).
But I'm willing to bet it won't even go that far.
NoiR
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2322 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-11-15 20:42:05
November 15 2022 20:41 GMT
#6146
On November 16 2022 05:32 Nouar wrote:


Maybe article 4.

The worst that can happen in my mind would be Poland notifying (through art 4) that it would take retaliatory measures (shooting missile launch sites) on its own. Russia probably wouldnt clearly retaliate (otherwise art 5).
But I'm willing to bet it won't even go that far.


Not critical infrastructure. Response will be limited. I'm sure WP would retaliate if ammo depot or fuel depot would be striken, but its not the case.
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28761 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-11-15 20:53:24
November 15 2022 20:53 GMT
#6147
Doesn't really seem like we're about to get any apology. From Reuters:
Russia's defence ministry on Tuesday denied reports that Russian missiles had hit Polish territory, describing them as "a deliberate provocation aimed at escalating the situation".

It added in a statement: "No strikes on targets near the Ukrainian-Polish state border were made by Russian means of destruction."

Wreckage reportedly found at the scene "has nothing to do with Russian weapons", it said.
Moderator
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9284 Posts
November 15 2022 20:53 GMT
#6148
On November 16 2022 05:28 Vindicare605 wrote:
So Russia has to come out and immediately apologize for this right? That's their only out. If they don't immediately walk this back and offer up some kind of explanation and give up some officers that are responsible, then NATO doesn't have a choice but to retaliate right?


Russian Ministry of Defence already called it a "provocation intended to escalate tensions". I don't think they're even considering apologizing.
You're now breathing manually
Liquid`Drone
Profile Joined September 2002
Norway28761 Posts
November 15 2022 20:53 GMT
#6149
Beat you by three seconds. xD
Moderator
Sent.
Profile Joined June 2012
Poland9284 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-11-15 20:55:12
November 15 2022 20:54 GMT
#6150
gg wp
You're now breathing manually
Nouar
Profile Joined May 2009
France3270 Posts
November 15 2022 20:56 GMT
#6151
Was there any doubt. Deny and deflect has been the policy since day 1 (even before that... MH17, february 2022, poisonings... Even with 100% proof there was no way they would).
NoiR
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2322 Posts
November 15 2022 20:56 GMT
#6152
On November 16 2022 05:53 Liquid`Drone wrote:
Doesn't really seem like we're about to get any apology.


Predictable like action in porn movie.
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43677 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-11-15 21:15:12
November 15 2022 21:07 GMT
#6153
On November 16 2022 03:46 hitthat wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2022 03:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Two Russia missiles strayed off course and have hit a Polish town on the border with Ukraine.



Too little to retaliate, too much to ignore.

Poland can get directly involved without full NATO. Nothing stopping them from going 1 on 1 with Russia if they think they can take them. Absolutely zero reason for them to think they can’t right now. They can also fight anywhere in Ukraine without technically invading Russia so they could likely still do so under the NATO aegis.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
hitthat
Profile Joined January 2010
Poland2322 Posts
November 15 2022 21:25 GMT
#6154
Aparently military is now on high alert https://streamable.com/qidcna
Shameless BroodWar separatistic, elitist, fanaticaly devoted puritan fanboy.
plasmidghost
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgium16168 Posts
November 15 2022 21:29 GMT
#6155
Could this have been deliberate? And Russia tries to deny it like usual

Yugoslavia will always live on in my heart
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9179 Posts
November 15 2022 21:33 GMT
#6156
On November 16 2022 03:47 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2022 03:46 hitthat wrote:
On November 16 2022 03:38 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Two Russia missiles strayed off course and have hit a Polish town on the border with Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/Joyce_Karam/status/1592585156384415744


Too little to retaliate, too much to ignore.


Yeah, one has to wonder if that isn't possibly intentional. Putin loves to do stupid power games like that.

This isn't a power move though, it's a massive blunder. Russia needed the western public to pay less and less attention to the war and more of it on energy/food bills. This is trying to tip toe around someone falling asleep, tripping and knocking over the TV.
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States43677 Posts
November 15 2022 21:40 GMT
#6157
On November 16 2022 06:29 plasmidghost wrote:
Could this have been deliberate? And Russia tries to deny it like usual

https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1592616005851054080

I think it’s fair to say they didn’t trip over and land on the launch button. Either they deliberately launched inaccurate missiles targeting a wide area including Poland or they deliberately launched accurate missiles at Poland. In either case they aimed at Poland.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22131 Posts
November 15 2022 21:42 GMT
#6158
I highly doubt Russia meant to hit Poland, they don't want more NATO involvement and are likely panicking harder then we are.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Artesimo
Profile Joined February 2015
Germany567 Posts
November 15 2022 21:44 GMT
#6159
On November 16 2022 06:29 plasmidghost wrote:
Could this have been deliberate? And Russia tries to deny it like usual

https://twitter.com/sumlenny/status/1592616005851054080


Right in the responses:

maybenexttime
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
Poland5761 Posts
November 15 2022 22:18 GMT
#6160
Certain people were concerned about off-ramps for Putin. According to Russian propaganda, losing to NATO would be preferable to losing to Ukraine. I think we owe him that much. ;-)
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