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UK Politics Mega-thread - Page 458

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Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
January 15 2019 18:36 GMT
#9141
On January 16 2019 00:15 ahswtini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 15 2019 21:12 schaf wrote:
How does no deal increase the likelihood of reunification? I'm under the impression that treating NI different from the rest of UK would go more in that direction. No deal is just a go ahead for terrorists, isn't it?

No deal (with no backstop) means the return of a hard border between north and south. Such a situation would be practically untenable in modern times. Before Ireland and the UK joined the then-EEC in 1973, there was the Common Travel Area, which allowed citizens of both countries to travel freely with no passport requirement. But, at the border, checkpoints were present for customs purposes. I don't know how movement of people will be affected in the event of a no deal, and how compatible the CTA is with the EU.

I've always been of the belief that if NI had a special arrangement, it could have the best of both worlds.



The republic of Ireland have said they would not put up a hard border in the event of No deal as have the EU and the UK.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:42:56
January 15 2019 19:41 GMT
#9142
202 yay
432 nay

That's a bit disappointing,depending on your perspective off course.
Now whats next,noone knows.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22610 Posts
January 15 2019 19:43 GMT
#9143
Here is hoping May cancels Brexit to give them the finger and then calls for new elections.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Garrl
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Scotland1980 Posts
January 15 2019 19:47 GMT
#9144
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22610 Posts
January 15 2019 19:48 GMT
#9145
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.
I will laugh so hard if it fails :p
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
January 15 2019 19:49 GMT
#9146
That's the biggest ever margin a UK government has lost a vote by. Corbyn calls a no confidence vote for tomorrow. The government won't lose probably though.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42416 Posts
January 15 2019 19:49 GMT
#9147
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.


Isn't this like 3rd of such vote in couple months?
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:50:08
January 15 2019 19:49 GMT
#9148
On January 16 2019 04:48 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.
I will laugh so hard if it fails :p


prepare to laugh then, its very likely to fail unless May upsets the ERG massively.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:51:10
January 15 2019 19:50 GMT
#9149
On January 16 2019 04:49 Grettin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.


Isn't this like 3rd of such vote in couple months?


she had 1 conservative party vote of confidence she has faced 0 parliamentary confidence votes until tomorrow.


Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
January 15 2019 19:51 GMT
#9150
On January 16 2019 04:49 Grettin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.


Isn't this like 3rd of such vote in couple months?


There have been slight differences between each one, and they have very different consequences. A no confidence vote will bring down the government as a necessity this time, whereas last time it would have only forced May to resign.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42416 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:54:20
January 15 2019 19:51 GMT
#9151
On January 16 2019 04:50 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:49 Grettin wrote:
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.


Isn't this like 3rd of such vote in couple months?


she had 1 conservative party vote of confidence she has faced 0 parliamentary confidence votes until tomorrow.


https://twitter.com/richjm/status/1085262704745553925


On January 16 2019 04:51 Jockmcplop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:49 Grettin wrote:
On January 16 2019 04:47 Garrl wrote:
no confidence vote announced by Jeremy Corbyn pretty much as expected.


Isn't this like 3rd of such vote in couple months?


There have been slight differences between each one, and they have very different consequences. A no confidence vote will bring down the government as a necessity this time, whereas last time it would have only forced May to resign.


Gotcha. Thanks for the info!
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:57:22
January 15 2019 19:54 GMT
#9152
No confidence vote tomorrow. Beforehand they said that a no confidence vote would have little chance to make it as torys would vote against but seeing the result of the vote just now I am not so sure about that anymore.
If I would have to guess,whish is always fun to do,then I guess the vote will make it.
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
January 15 2019 19:57 GMT
#9153
may seems likely to remain PM for the lack of an alternative.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
January 15 2019 19:58 GMT
#9154
On January 16 2019 04:57 ticklishmusic wrote:
may seems likely to remain PM for the lack of an alternative.


Its shocking to me that she hasn't resigned. She obviously can't do this, and simply being determined to do it isn't enough any more.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 19:59:43
January 15 2019 19:58 GMT
#9155
On January 16 2019 04:57 ticklishmusic wrote:
may seems likely to remain PM for the lack of an alternative.


Depends if the con remainers or brexiteers decide to get rid of her, both could decide to turn against her then give confidence to a new leader (they would have 14 days to find a new leader before a general election.) The DUP could also turn on May remember the vote will be very close as she has a minority government, only a few cons or the DUP need to turn against her for her to be forced out.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1416 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 20:07:08
January 15 2019 20:01 GMT
#9156
New elections could maybe halt the brexit all together?
Like maybe a scenario where there is new elections and parliament decides to withdraw the brexit for now to let a new government decide what to do. Not sure if that is realistic at all btw.

There maybe is no alternative but I don't see a way forward for May either,the defeat is to overwhelming to have hopes of a slightly better deal getting through. If she stays in power the only thing she can do is lead the UK to a hard brexit or withdraw the whole brexit plan for now. Something that she clearly doesn't want to do seeing everything she has said (people have voted we have to deliver and such).

@below:i thought the eu court did decide that Britain could withdraw from the brexit on its own and would not need eu permission to do so. Maybe its different now I honestly do not know but I thought Britain could withdraw brexit on its own.
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
January 15 2019 20:05 GMT
#9157
On January 16 2019 05:01 pmh wrote:
New elections could maybe halt the brexit all together?
Like maybe a scenario where there is new elections and parliament decides to withdraw the brexit for now to let a new government decide what to do. Not sure if that is realistic at all btw.

There maybe is no alternative but I don't see a way forward for May either,the defeat is to overwhelming to have hopes of a slightly better deal getting through. If she stays in power the only thing she can do is lead to a hard brexit or withdraw the whole brexit plan for now. Something that she clearly doesn't want to do seeing everything she said (people have voted we have to deliver and such)


Its general election or No deal in my opinion, there is no majority to stop brexit in parliament, no majority for Mays deal, the alternative plans involve accepting May's deal so they don't work, delaying article 50 doesn't change anything and needs the EU permission which it wont accept unless its to finish signing off a deal or stop brexit.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands22610 Posts
January 15 2019 20:05 GMT
#9158
On January 16 2019 04:58 Zaros wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 16 2019 04:57 ticklishmusic wrote:
may seems likely to remain PM for the lack of an alternative.


Depends if the con remainers or brexiteers decide to get rid of her, both could decide to turn against her then give confidence to a new leader (they would have 14 days to find a new leader before a general election.) The DUP could also turn on May remember the vote will be very close as she has a minority government, only a few cons or the DUP need to turn against her for her to be forced out.
Again, no one wants to be in charge when Brexit happens. The brexiters want Brexit to happen while they are not in charge so they can blame the fallout on someone else with 'I would have gotten a better deal'.
If someone wanted to be in charge May would have been kicked out any time in the last 2 years.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Zaros
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United Kingdom3692 Posts
January 15 2019 20:07 GMT
#9159
Dangermousecatdog
Profile Joined December 2010
United Kingdom7084 Posts
Last Edited: 2019-01-15 20:09:05
January 15 2019 20:08 GMT
#9160
Urgh Jeremy Corbyn playing politics. Where does he stand on Brexit? Isn't he of the same position as May? Is anybody actually debating what the deal on offer is and how it is different from previously? In the end both hard brexiteers and those for remain are against the deal for opposite reasons. There is simply no way for both sides to co-operate.

Corbyn is not offering a deal any different from what is May is offering, he is simply attempting to in power.
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