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Vatican City State90 Posts
On October 03 2024 02:45 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On October 02 2024 04:58 cheesehuehue wrote:
I'm rooting for Soulkey taking his third ASL/SSL in a row, but it seems like such a hard road ahead.
The bottom bracket seems somewhat easy to predict Rush>>Rain, Hero>Sharp, Rush > Hero.
The upper bracket however is all a big toss-up.
Online, Light would be heavily favored against SK, but Soulkey seems to always have an ace under his sleeve reserved for high-stake ASL matches, and Light is a choker. Still I would slightly favor Light but it's close to 55/45 for me. Snow in top shape should beat even this improved version of Barracks, but he has been far from his peak for a long time (possibly related to just having a baby? compounded by the Terran-favored maps). If Snow and SK win, I'd give SK the edge but not by much. The only potential match in the upper bracket that seems easy to predict is SK > Barracks.
Hero 3-1 Rush last ASL and 4-1 Sharp last ASL. Yes, this map pool is worse, but this is some hero disrespect. He is the most successful ASL/SSL player in terms of consistent performances outside of FlaSh.
Hero disrespect? Lol. Citing the results of a single series against Rush and Sharp is uninformative (sample size is 1). Since August 1st, his win rate against Rush is 39% (9W/14L). In the same period, he has played only 4 games against Sharp, so also largely uninformative, but he has lost 3 of the 4 matches.
I've never been impressed by Hero's skill. His unit control is often lackluster, just last season against sharp he rallied units across the map and got them killed without doing anything with them.
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Snow > Barracks
Light < Soulkey
HerO > Sharp
Rush > Rain
Soulkey > Snow
Rush > HerO
Soulkey > Rush
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Out of all 4 Terrans, Soulkey got assigned to the toughest one. Sharp and Barracks would be no match against SK, and even Rush would be easier than Light.
Soulkey might as well take the 2nd place in ro16, and he would have had an easier opponent in ro8.
Normally I have seen SK favored against Light, but this map pool is killing him.
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Another awesome RO16 group. Very good RO8 matches waiting too :D
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Snow > Barracks
Light > SK
Hero > Sharp
Rush > Rain
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Now I'm tied with Fakefin at the top of the LB rankings.
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Ah fuck Stork fell but at least Light finally made it
it has been awhile he has always been stuck in Group D
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Everyone is underestimating Rain
this
is
rains
season
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We all saw Stork trashing everyone in KCM, but still Artosis over-hyped him too much. At least Tastless ''silently'' disagreed and did not make such bold predictions - what a disappointment not to win a single game, though to be fair, the old man did not play bad.
This particular round of 16 was turning into a caravan of disappointment, but i have to say, Light vs Royal battle stole the show and made up for it - this TvT series will not be forgotten!
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EPT
