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[ASL5] Ro8 Larva vs Mini - Page 6

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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winson
Profile Joined September 2007
China138 Posts
April 29 2018 22:29 GMT
#101
Larva out the sooner the better
Djabanete
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States2786 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-30 02:54:48
April 30 2018 02:46 GMT
#102
Mini played beautifully! Congrats to him!

Re: Larva saying he had no chance on the maps --- what's the current view for race balance on Sparkle and Third World (in all matchups)? In LR threads right now, every loss seems to get chalked up to map imbalance faster than I can keep up with which races are favored. First Sparkle was a Zerg graveyard, then the center island got removed and now Terrans can't win a TvZ there to save their life. I thought Third World was supposed to be good for ZvP and that Shuttle was a visionary for finding a workable game plan, but it seems Larva doesn't think he can win a ZvP on the map. So where do things actually stand and what are the stats?

More paradoxes: On the basis of their performance in YouTube matches, Jaedong is unstoppable in Sparkle ZvP and Effort always loses in the matchup. They're both good players, so what gives? Stork, too, is unstoppable in Sparkle PvZ. What if Jaedong and Stork face off on Sparkle? If someone doesn't persuade me otherwise, I might conclude that it all comes down to skill and preparation... which is crazy, right?

Edit: Thank you, Miragee. That is informative. What does "tile" mean in the tables you posted?
May the BeSt man win.
Miragee
Profile Joined December 2009
8623 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-30 03:03:36
April 30 2018 02:51 GMT
#103
On April 30 2018 11:46 Djabanete wrote:
Mini played beautifully! Congrats to him!

Re: Larva saying he had no chance on the maps --- what's the current view for race balance on Sparkle and Third World (in all matchups)? In LR threads right now, every loss seems to get chalked up to map imbalance faster than I can keep up with which races are favored. First Sparkle was a Zerg graveyard, then the center island got removed and now Terrans can't win a TvZ there to save their life. I thought Third World was supposed to be good for ZvP and that Shuttle was a visionary for finding a workable game plan, but it seems Larva doesn't think he can win a ZvP on the map. So where do things actually stand and what are the stats?


This was posted on the Mind vs Hero Thread:

[image loading]

Looks like both Third World and Sparkle are about 60:40 in favour of protoss. Based on ELO the odds are more like 70:30 in favour of protoss. So yeah, zerg seems to have a hard time on those maps against protoss.

//Addressing your last paragraph, I think it's far too early to talk about balance right now. With the current knowledge and strategy the above numbers are the odds for winning/losing. However, that doesn't take into account that the maps may play into the strength of certain player, which makes them defy all odds. The maps are also far from being figured out. There was so much strategy development on these maps and we are just at a level where that starts to slow down. For reference, even on standard maps new strategies, which completely overthrew the know balance of the map, were developed after months or even years.

I don't actually know what tile means. Probably a miss-translation from Korean? I'm pretty sure the numbers in that category show the losses.
LocoBolon
Profile Joined June 2012
Argentina243 Posts
April 30 2018 03:10 GMT
#104
According to those stats Sparkle seems to reverse the natural rock>scissor>papper/ terran>zerg>protoss and that's kind of cool IMO.

On today matches I'm just a little dissapointed, Mini looked very strong and I'm glad the better player advances, but you could tell by looking at Larva's face right from the start that he wasn't his best self, something was off.
Standard Queens
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
April 30 2018 05:28 GMT
#105
Larva played so weak.
2Pacalypse-
Profile Joined October 2006
Croatia9527 Posts
April 30 2018 09:43 GMT
#106
Also, don't forget that on Gladiator, the map that Mini banned, Larva lost so badly as well. Like, it wasn't even close.

Map (im)balance should be a last resort when discussing a certain game, as there are almost always other, bigger factors that lead to the outcome that it did.
Moderator"We're a community of geniuses because we've found how to extract 95% of the feeling of doing something amazing without actually doing anything." - Chill
kogeT
Profile Joined September 2013
Poland2041 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-30 09:58:10
April 30 2018 09:56 GMT
#107
I think it's difficult to talk about real stats for maps as game styles evolve so quickly that something that has been 80-20 win rate for one race can now be 20-80. It would nice to see the overview of winrate per month, or even per week (as long as sample is big enough, but I guess it is considering that we have 800+ games for sparke and 500+ games for third world)

My opinion is that maps were firstly good for zerg (both sparke and tranzistor), but now I would say they are really good for protoss. Gladiator being the most balanced out of 3 obviously (standard map), Sparke heavily favouring protoss in all matchups, and tranzistor being a very good P > T map, T > Z map and P = Z map with slight P adv.
https://www.twitch.tv/kogetbw
Barneyk
Profile Joined November 2008
Sweden310 Posts
April 30 2018 13:48 GMT
#108
I don't think Mini gets enough credit for shutting Larva down in this thread.

Larva got a bunch of lings into Minis main, Mini defended very very well. Kind of crazy how little he lost there.

Larva got a big drop of in Minis main on Third World, Mini did a great job with countering and defending at the same time. Very impressive play.

I felt like Mini was a step ahead and disrupting Larvas plans all the time while at the same time fending of Larvas attacks beautifully.

Mini was on fire and Larva was put of balance, I thought it was a great series and Mini had great decision making without hesitation and played with confidence. It was great to see.

Gonna miss Larva in the Ro4 but great games...
nah
Alpha-NP-
Profile Blog Joined September 2008
United States1242 Posts
April 30 2018 15:14 GMT
#109
Koget why do you think Sparkle favors P in PvT? I really think it favors Terran. But you are more gosu than me.
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19300 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-30 15:18:17
April 30 2018 15:18 GMT
#110
What a crushing victory. It felt like I was watching a mini-Bisu.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
Xeln4g4
Profile Joined January 2005
Italy1209 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-30 19:40:59
April 30 2018 19:38 GMT
#111
Haven't seen a P playing PvZ at this level in a long long time! Wonderful Mini, so entertaining!!!! (side nte: one map in map pool was chosen to give P a free win in the whole tournament, but still ... a great serie!)
mierin
Profile Joined August 2010
United States4943 Posts
April 30 2018 21:22 GMT
#112
Wow, that was brutal. The only upside to me is, it's another Protoss Flash likely has to play instead of the free win he would have had vs. Larva (though depending on how his match vs. Snow goes, it could be just as big of a beatdown).
JD, Stork, Calm, Hyuk Fighting!
BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
April 30 2018 21:36 GMT
#113
On April 30 2018 00:10 usopsama wrote:
Larva is so overrated. He had absolutely no answer to corsairs. Also, his unit control was mediocre.

No I don't think he is overrated. Something wasn't right when he played the games. Watching the games, I was flabbergasted at how he played. It's like he didn't care or had no confidence or something. It was just extremely odd to me when a season back, he was taunting others and putting on these mini-ceremonies. Maybe part of it is that he's lost so much in practice or maybe he gave up internally when up against a player who's style is rough to deal with on these maps.

Regardless, something was off with his game. Gladiator game is a prime example of that. He got rolled over and didn't even feel like he put up much of a fight. Sparkle game, I'll give to the toss and as for third world, all those pylon blocks must've been horrible, especially considering where his third was. Given, I don't blame the maps fully though I feel they did play a small role. Larva was just not himself. I kept thinking maybe he'll turn this around, nope. A dream ~
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
soujiro_
Profile Joined June 2010
Uruguay5195 Posts
April 30 2018 23:49 GMT
#114
yay mini!! 3-0 like boss
ace hwaiting!!
Malongo
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Chile3472 Posts
May 01 2018 01:34 GMT
#115
Mini should have played with his foot.
Help me! im still improving my English. An eye for an eye makes the whole world blind. M. G.
Nematocyst
Profile Joined October 2017
United States164 Posts
May 01 2018 02:19 GMT
#116
Cool, Mini rocked. Feel bad for Larva-- I remember after the quarters in ASL4, he commented how happy he was not to have to qualify for ASL5.
Magic Powers
Profile Joined April 2012
Austria4478 Posts
May 01 2018 02:33 GMT
#117
Larva played unusually sloppy. Mini seemed to play quite well.
I'm still unhappy about the map pool but it's impossible to reasonably point fingers with so little data.
Mini probably deserved this victory. I don't like to admit it.

But I really don't want to see another ASL like this. Such a mess.
If you want to do the right thing, 80% of your job is done if you don't do the wrong thing.
estuary
Profile Joined May 2018
1 Post
May 01 2018 02:55 GMT
#118
I am convinced Larva threw the match. We've seen this in the past. Money makes people do shitty things. The truth will come out eventually.

User was warned for this post
Nematocyst
Profile Joined October 2017
United States164 Posts
May 01 2018 03:46 GMT
#119
On May 01 2018 11:55 estuary wrote:
I am convinced Larva .... The truth will come out eventually.

He's one of the top streamers, and you think he might put that at risk? Potential (permanent) streaming bans, public outcry leading to drop in viewership, sponsors, to say nothing of his many pro friends.

"convinced" Seriously? Ok, whatver.
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4139 Posts
May 01 2018 04:02 GMT
#120
On May 01 2018 00:14 Alpha-NP- wrote:
Koget why do you think Sparkle favors P in PvT? I really think it favors Terran. But you are more gosu than me.


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