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ASL5 Ro16 Group Selection Ceremony - Page 4

Forum Index > Brood War Tournaments
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PVJ
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
Hungary5221 Posts
March 27 2018 12:23 GMT
#61
I might change my mind later but right now I'd say:

Flash, Shine,
Best, Stork
Jd, Effort,
Rain, Mini

will be the ones advancing.
The heart's eternal vow
Stax736
Profile Joined February 2017
United States119 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-03 14:44:12
March 27 2018 12:31 GMT
#62
Grp A: Flash, Shine
Grp B: Snow, Stork
Grp C: Jaedong, Effort
Grp D: Movie, Mini
By.Movie hwaiting
M2
Profile Joined December 2002
Bulgaria4146 Posts
March 27 2018 12:34 GMT
#63
Grp A: Flash, Where/Miso
Grp B: hero, Snow
Grp C: Larva, Jaedong
Grp D: Rain, Mini
Knife kitty, night kitty, put you on a slab. Stealthy kitty, hunter kitty, stab stab stab :-)
Golgotha
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Korea (South)8418 Posts
March 27 2018 13:16 GMT
#64
Since JD's group has a lot of Zerg, does this increase the chance of JD winning? it's good for him right? He is a ZvZ master?

Also, I found it funny when Flash removed Snow from his group. It was smart of Where to include snow in the group and smart of Flash to kick him back out. =)
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
March 27 2018 13:28 GMT
#65
In theory it's decent for JD, but at the end of the day it's a bo1 zvz and another thing to consider is, who do you even practice with? Soulkey is basically the best bet but who will he practice with?

I still feel he should make it out of that group, hopefully not in 2nd place though because that would mean a ro8 vs flash
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
Cryoc
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany912 Posts
March 27 2018 14:15 GMT
#66
The first and second place finishers of each group are usually reshuffled again for the Ro8 bracket, so the chances to meet each other are equal for everyone. And if you already played in the same group you won't face each other again in the Ro8.
http://www.twitch.tv/cryoc
The_Red_Viper
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
19533 Posts
March 27 2018 14:24 GMT
#67
On March 27 2018 23:15 Cryoc wrote:
The first and second place finishers of each group are usually reshuffled again for the Ro8 bracket, so the chances to meet each other are equal for everyone. And if you already played in the same group you won't face each other again in the Ro8.

Oh i only checked last ASL and figured that's the usual ro8 seeding, fair enough then
Point still remains now, would be better to get first ^^
IU | Sohyang || There is no God and we are his prophets | For if ‘Thou mayest’—it is also true that ‘Thou mayest not.” | Ignorance is the parent of fear |
juvenal
Profile Joined July 2013
2448 Posts
March 27 2018 14:38 GMT
#68
Here's all the groups with dates:
[image loading]
Michael Probu
Alpha-NP-
Profile Blog Joined September 2008
United States1242 Posts
March 27 2018 15:30 GMT
#69
My picks:
Group A: Flash Mind
Group B: Hero Snow
Group C: Jaedong Effort
Group D: Mini Rain

BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
March 27 2018 16:09 GMT
#70
lol. That group C. Larva, honestly, why would you even bring JD into that group? I think Larva just wants to beat all the old time greats on stage but now we have a crazy group. Flash is for sure advancing out of his group. Even if the unthinkable happens and Mind beats him, he should be able to handle both Miso and Shine easy.

One thing I'm glad of is that we have no all Z or P groups and it's a little mixed. Sad that the only two terrans are in group A though
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
usopsama
Profile Joined April 2008
6502 Posts
March 27 2018 17:41 GMT
#71
Picking Mind is a smart choice. Flash doesn't have to worry about getting sniped by zerg/protoss on Sparkle.
oEkY
Profile Joined August 2016
Germany649 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-27 18:30:00
March 27 2018 18:29 GMT
#72
On March 27 2018 23:15 Cryoc wrote:
The first and second place finishers of each group are usually reshuffled again for the Ro8 bracket, so the chances to meet each other are equal for everyone. And if you already played in the same group you won't face each other again in the Ro8.



Sorry to say that, but thats wrong. in all past ASLs there was no reshuffle. it has always been 1st place qualifiers against 2nd place qualifiers and when someone was drawn the same opponent as in the ro16 group, they layed the ticket back into the pot...


On March 28 2018 02:41 usopsama wrote:
Picking Mind is a smart choice. Flash doesn't have to worry about getting sniped by zerg/protoss on Sparkle.


Sparkle wont be used in Ro16, so he couldnt be sniped there...
Cryoc
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany912 Posts
March 27 2018 19:06 GMT
#73
On March 28 2018 03:29 oEkY wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2018 23:15 Cryoc wrote:
The first and second place finishers of each group are usually reshuffled again for the Ro8 bracket, so the chances to meet each other are equal for everyone. And if you already played in the same group you won't face each other again in the Ro8.



Sorry to say that, but thats wrong. in all past ASLs there was no reshuffle. it has always been 1st place qualifiers against 2nd place qualifiers and when someone was drawn the same opponent as in the ro16 group, they layed the ticket back into the pot...


Show nested quote +
On March 28 2018 02:41 usopsama wrote:
Picking Mind is a smart choice. Flash doesn't have to worry about getting sniped by zerg/protoss on Sparkle.


Sparkle wont be used in Ro16, so he couldnt be sniped there...

Drawing from a pot to determine the matchups between the first and second places is reshuffling. During MSL and OSL times the bracket was always fully determined by the Ro16 finishes, there was no drawing.
http://www.twitch.tv/cryoc
StylishVODs
Profile Joined December 2005
Sweden5331 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-27 19:37:51
March 27 2018 19:34 GMT
#74
On March 27 2018 21:05 Essbee wrote:
This protoss/zerg fest sucks because it makes players who can barely zvt like shine and hero able to go far, hence making it super easy for flash once again because he has a high change of facing them later on. We need flash to face the likes of effort/larva/stork/jaedong, not zvp snipers... I'm getting pessimistic again but the exact same thing happened last season and I called it at the beginning that it would be hero vs flash in the finals after the group selection... :/

Someone please change my mind

herO is probably the best ZvT player right now and the only one with a good chance of bringing Flash down. This is mainly due to herO being the best at facing the 1-1-1 build. JaeDong, Larva and Effort have been performing badly against it.
As a reference, from the Flash interview article we can see the different zerg players winning percentage against Flash, when Flash mostly used his 1-1-1 build.

herO 31%, 21-46
SoulKey 27%, 12-31
Larva 20%, 29-99
JaeDong 10%, 3-27
Effort 10%, 5-46

The maps and the live pressure can of course change the odds somewhat, but stating that herO can barely zvt is wrong.
Flash has been practicing a lot with herO due to his skill vs the 1-1-1 build.
According to Reach, he is the fastest learner he has ever seen. He start bw only like 2/3 years ago. Infact, his bw history knowledge is so limited, he didn't even know what the map Guillotine was.
Kuks
Profile Joined March 2018
43 Posts
March 27 2018 19:53 GMT
#75
I am putting down all of my marbles on Stork. He will remind us why he is one of the Legendary Yonin!
TaardadAiel
Profile Joined May 2017
Bulgaria750 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-27 20:31:16
March 27 2018 20:30 GMT
#76
On March 28 2018 04:34 StylishVODs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 27 2018 21:05 Essbee wrote:
This protoss/zerg fest sucks because it makes players who can barely zvt like shine and hero able to go far, hence making it super easy for flash once again because he has a high change of facing them later on. We need flash to face the likes of effort/larva/stork/jaedong, not zvp snipers... I'm getting pessimistic again but the exact same thing happened last season and I called it at the beginning that it would be hero vs flash in the finals after the group selection... :/

Someone please change my mind

herO is probably the best ZvT player right now and the only one with a good chance of bringing Flash down. This is mainly due to herO being the best at facing the 1-1-1 build. JaeDong, Larva and Effort have been performing badly against it.
As a reference, from the Flash interview article we can see the different zerg players winning percentage against Flash, when Flash mostly used his 1-1-1 build.

herO 31%, 21-46
SoulKey 27%, 12-31
Larva 20%, 29-99
JaeDong 10%, 3-27
Effort 10%, 5-46

The maps and the live pressure can of course change the odds somewhat, but stating that herO can barely zvt is wrong.
Flash has been practicing a lot with herO due to his skill vs the 1-1-1 build.


True that. Though Flash's main problem atm are the protoss players, at least as I see it. But herO is very far from being a pushover in ZvT. And Flash having to face terrans would actually be a good bet for him, maps are definitely slanted against Terran. BTW, when were the khaydarin crystals added in the unused mains on Transistor? Because it seemed like a terran graveyard vs zerg to me, but that way it looks a bit better, though the naturals are almost as good (though more droppable) for a zerg 3rd - being on high ground and all. Are there crystals on the naturals also?

And is it just me or Stork is in beast form? Every time I tune in to his channel I see him beating a high-end player. I only saw him losing to Effort.
WriterReV hwaiting!
oEkY
Profile Joined August 2016
Germany649 Posts
March 27 2018 20:32 GMT
#77
On March 28 2018 04:06 Cryoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2018 03:29 oEkY wrote:
On March 27 2018 23:15 Cryoc wrote:
The first and second place finishers of each group are usually reshuffled again for the Ro8 bracket, so the chances to meet each other are equal for everyone. And if you already played in the same group you won't face each other again in the Ro8.



Sorry to say that, but thats wrong. in all past ASLs there was no reshuffle. it has always been 1st place qualifiers against 2nd place qualifiers and when someone was drawn the same opponent as in the ro16 group, they layed the ticket back into the pot...


On March 28 2018 02:41 usopsama wrote:
Picking Mind is a smart choice. Flash doesn't have to worry about getting sniped by zerg/protoss on Sparkle.


Sparkle wont be used in Ro16, so he couldnt be sniped there...

Drawing from a pot to determine the matchups between the first and second places is reshuffling. During MSL and OSL times the bracket was always fully determined by the Ro16 finishes, there was no drawing.


omg, sorry, missunderstood what you were saying. thought u would mean, that even two 1st place qualifiers could get matched... my fault
StylishVODs
Profile Joined December 2005
Sweden5331 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-27 20:46:33
March 27 2018 20:45 GMT
#78
On March 28 2018 05:30 TaardadAiel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2018 04:34 StylishVODs wrote:
On March 27 2018 21:05 Essbee wrote:
This protoss/zerg fest sucks because it makes players who can barely zvt like shine and hero able to go far, hence making it super easy for flash once again because he has a high change of facing them later on. We need flash to face the likes of effort/larva/stork/jaedong, not zvp snipers... I'm getting pessimistic again but the exact same thing happened last season and I called it at the beginning that it would be hero vs flash in the finals after the group selection... :/

Someone please change my mind

herO is probably the best ZvT player right now and the only one with a good chance of bringing Flash down. This is mainly due to herO being the best at facing the 1-1-1 build. JaeDong, Larva and Effort have been performing badly against it.
As a reference, from the Flash interview article we can see the different zerg players winning percentage against Flash, when Flash mostly used his 1-1-1 build.

herO 31%, 21-46
SoulKey 27%, 12-31
Larva 20%, 29-99
JaeDong 10%, 3-27
Effort 10%, 5-46

The maps and the live pressure can of course change the odds somewhat, but stating that herO can barely zvt is wrong.
Flash has been practicing a lot with herO due to his skill vs the 1-1-1 build.


And is it just me or Stork is in beast form? Every time I tune in to his channel I see him beating a high-end player. I only saw him losing to Effort.


Yes it seems as if Stork is in beast form. Partly due to that enough time has passed since he came back and partly, in my opinion, because Stork's calm and calculated style profits from maps where you have to think outside the box. He was never the fastest player but he plays intelligently, specially in PvT and PvP.

I'd say Flash's biggest threats this season is Stork, Rain and Mini. At least if the maps consists of sparkle, transistor and third world. Stork beat flash over and over on transistor and third world a few days ago. I still hope Flash will solve those maps though.
According to Reach, he is the fastest learner he has ever seen. He start bw only like 2/3 years ago. Infact, his bw history knowledge is so limited, he didn't even know what the map Guillotine was.
TaardadAiel
Profile Joined May 2017
Bulgaria750 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-03-28 03:52:28
March 27 2018 20:55 GMT
#79
On March 28 2018 05:45 StylishVODs wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 28 2018 05:30 TaardadAiel wrote:
On March 28 2018 04:34 StylishVODs wrote:
On March 27 2018 21:05 Essbee wrote:
This protoss/zerg fest sucks because it makes players who can barely zvt like shine and hero able to go far, hence making it super easy for flash once again because he has a high change of facing them later on. We need flash to face the likes of effort/larva/stork/jaedong, not zvp snipers... I'm getting pessimistic again but the exact same thing happened last season and I called it at the beginning that it would be hero vs flash in the finals after the group selection... :/

Someone please change my mind

herO is probably the best ZvT player right now and the only one with a good chance of bringing Flash down. This is mainly due to herO being the best at facing the 1-1-1 build. JaeDong, Larva and Effort have been performing badly against it.
As a reference, from the Flash interview article we can see the different zerg players winning percentage against Flash, when Flash mostly used his 1-1-1 build.

herO 31%, 21-46
SoulKey 27%, 12-31
Larva 20%, 29-99
JaeDong 10%, 3-27
Effort 10%, 5-46

The maps and the live pressure can of course change the odds somewhat, but stating that herO can barely zvt is wrong.
Flash has been practicing a lot with herO due to his skill vs the 1-1-1 build.


And is it just me or Stork is in beast form? Every time I tune in to his channel I see him beating a high-end player. I only saw him losing to Effort.


Yes it seems as if Stork is in beast form. Partly due to that enough time has passed since he came back and partly, in my opinion, because Stork's calm and calculated style profits from maps where you have to think outside the box. He was never the fastest player but he plays intelligently, specially in PvT and PvP.

I'd say Flash's biggest threats this season is Stork, Rain and Mini. At least if the maps consists of sparkle, transistor and third world. Stork beat flash over and over on transistor and third world a few days ago. I still hope Flash will solve those maps though.


I also thought of this as an explanation. He's just too experienced and too smart not to profit from such maps.
WriterReV hwaiting!
SlayerS_BunkiE
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Canada1715 Posts
March 28 2018 02:14 GMT
#80
it was predictable that flash will choose mind so he could play tvt in sparkle... but oh man, i wish both of them will advance.
iloveby.SlayerS_BunkiE[Shield]
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