Damn theres a bunch of tough groups, Shuttle/Best/Last/Sharp groups are really hard. JD and Sea are getting out of their groups 100%, EffOrt is obviously getting out of his group but any 1 of the 3 P's can finish 2nd.

MarcoJ

Germany146 Posts

March 01 2018 08:49 GMT

#1749

On March 01 2018 17:03 SchAmToo wrote:
Soulkey for ASL #1

That group looks EZPZ

tbh if sparkle is so bad for ZvP than Soulkey will likely lose vs Mini, while Sharp wins against Action and then you got a ZvZ who will be eliminated. So idk theres a realistic chance Soulkey will bottle it.

Peeano

Netherlands4987 Posts

March 01 2018 10:15 GMT

#1750

Mini has the abillity to PvZ like Bisu. ZvZ is a coinflip. (And you'd be surprised how good Action can be.) And if it's AB vs CD, winner vs. winner etc. then Soulkey can't just beat Sharp twice to advance. I wouldn't call it ezpz.

Group A should be fun. Hard to guess who will come out on top. Gonna root for bag of builds to dissect his opponents 2-0, without some boring 5h hydra all in.

PVJ

Hungary5214 Posts

March 01 2018 10:30 GMT

#1751

Current stats for Sparkle just so we can reference data when discussing these things.

The last bracket is the expected win-rate weighted by Elo.

jinjin5000

United States1422 Posts

March 01 2018 10:44 GMT

#1752

On March 01 2018 19:30 PVJ wrote:
[image loading]

Current stats for Sparkle just so we can reference data when discussing these things.

The last bracket is the expected win-rate weighted by Elo.

One particular player lost 10 pvts in row didnt he

Lorch

Germany3682 Posts

March 01 2018 13:38 GMT

#1753

I am so happy that they are using Sparkle as the starting map. I wish Jaedong had a bit of an easier group, but I guess it'll be a good sign for things to come if he makes it out in first place.

RedW4rr10r

Germany745 Posts

March 01 2018 14:24 GMT

#1754

On March 01 2018 22:38 Lorch wrote:
I am so happy that they are using Sparkle as the starting map. I wish Jaedong had a bit of an easier group, but I guess it'll be a good sign for things to come if he makes it out in first place.

Also, JD is the only zerg so far I saw win vs P on Sparkle (watched Soulkey and Effort got torn apart several times). I like JD’s queen/scourge vs. P on that map.
Makes me confident that he’ll make it out of the group without too much trouble. Additionally, there’s no ZvZ gamble for him.

Alpha-NP-

United States1242 Posts

March 01 2018 14:29 GMT

#1755

On March 01 2018 19:30 PVJ wrote:
[image loading]

Current stats for Sparkle just so we can reference data when discussing these things.

The last bracket is the expected win-rate weighted by Elo.

Can you please translate that? I don't understand any of it...

The_Red_Viper

19533 Posts

March 01 2018 14:38 GMT

#1756

The race order from top to bottom is terran, protoss, zerg.
So terran overall won 66 games on the map, lost 48 which is 57.9% winrate. Then you see it per race and at the end the expected results depending on the elo of the players.

ne4aJIb

Russian Federation3209 Posts

March 01 2018 14:55 GMT

#1757

I don't understand, I thought this map was introduced to weaken Flash. Terran still have high % win, lol.
ZvP winrate 22%, maybe they should switch nydus to tier 2.