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[SPL] Playoff Maths *spoilers* - Page 3

Forum Index > BW General
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LighT.
Profile Joined December 2010
Canada4501 Posts
August 20 2012 20:00 GMT
#41
On August 21 2012 04:51 N.geNuity wrote:
Yeah, I believe you can't leave south korea at all when under your 2 year military service (probably there is things like if family medical emergencies overseas or something, etc).

I also wouldn't believe any of the kespa players would go with that timing. They value proleague title more than anything else.

Good point.
It's unfortunate the only team mathematically out of the playoff is the one team where MLG can't invite (Ace)
The tournament would have brought more hype with the likes of Flash, Bisu etc, but they'll be fighting hard to get their team into the playoffs.
Fionn
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
United States23455 Posts
August 20 2012 20:02 GMT
#42
I can see SKT1 losing Rain and probably either Fantasy/Bisu to MLG. This could leave an opening for an Ace upset.
Writerhttps://twitter.com/FionnOnFire
Epoxide
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Magic Woods9326 Posts
August 20 2012 20:03 GMT
#43
CJ have to win against STX, the most important match of the season in 5 days O_O
LiquipediaSouma: EU MM is just Russian Roulette. Literally.
Lordanubis
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom198 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-20 20:16:59
August 20 2012 20:16 GMT
#44
On August 21 2012 05:02 Fionn wrote:
I can see SKT1 losing Rain and probably either Fantasy/Bisu to MLG. This could leave an opening for an Ace upset.

Can't see Bisu going. KeSPA will be being very careful right now to foster as strong an image in SC2 as they can overseas with those that may not follow BW. With all due respect to Bisu, he's hardly a picture of strength right now as it relates to SC2.

Personally, I'd guess that they'll request each team send a player that's performing well (and the eighth being maybe randomly drawn or chosen based on those doing well in WCS?). Whilst the top players may not be sent due to Proleague committments (as much as I'd love to see Jaedong in group play), I can't imagine they'd sanction any teams sending people who would reflect poorly on KeSPA during a period where they are trying to show themselves as as-legitimate as the GSL players.

Alternatively, of course, the names may have been chosen weeks ago before this situation became apparent and therefore may well include some of the top players. Less likely perhaps if Proleague is all important, but possible.

I may be wrong, but that's how I see it.
"Hell hath no fury like a Shattered Star" - The Shattered Star
Kal_rA
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States2925 Posts
August 20 2012 20:18 GMT
#45
Jaedong 8.
Jaedong.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10477 Posts
August 20 2012 21:16 GMT
#46
KT I BELIEVE!!!! :D
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
fuzzylogic44
Profile Joined December 2011
Canada2633 Posts
August 20 2012 21:41 GMT
#47
On August 20 2012 23:51 Grumbels wrote:
Talk about bad planning, I don't understand why MLG + Kespa didn't reschedule this final proleague weekend. If CJ drops out because Effort is winning MLG that seems really like a double-edged sword.


On the other hand, what are the odds that every team that could send players would have playoff consequences on the line in the last weekend? Under normal circumstances, there would be at least one team if not two other than ACE out of the running and maybe also a team with first on lockdown.

Things are still unannounced, so maybe MLG will change course and invite the next 8 highest in the summer arena or something because of this.
hydrogg
Profile Joined September 2011
United States377 Posts
August 20 2012 22:37 GMT
#48
On August 21 2012 05:16 Lordanubis wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 21 2012 05:02 Fionn wrote:
I can see SKT1 losing Rain and probably either Fantasy/Bisu to MLG. This could leave an opening for an Ace upset.

Can't see Bisu going. KeSPA will be being very careful right now to foster as strong an image in SC2 as they can overseas with those that may not follow BW. With all due respect to Bisu, he's hardly a picture of strength right now as it relates to SC2.

Personally, I'd guess that they'll request each team send a player that's performing well (and the eighth being maybe randomly drawn or chosen based on those doing well in WCS?). Whilst the top players may not be sent due to Proleague committments (as much as I'd love to see Jaedong in group play), I can't imagine they'd sanction any teams sending people who would reflect poorly on KeSPA during a period where they are trying to show themselves as as-legitimate as the GSL players.

Alternatively, of course, the names may have been chosen weeks ago before this situation became apparent and therefore may well include some of the top players. Less likely perhaps if Proleague is all important, but possible.

I may be wrong, but that's how I see it.


DIdnt they send players to MLG at the beginning of the season? With the rankings so close right now, everything may have been different if they didnt do that.
Darneck
Profile Joined September 2010
Sweden1394 Posts
August 21 2012 08:42 GMT
#49
Perhaps Flash will go to MLG now as KT are out?
Kleinmuuhg
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Vanuatu4091 Posts
August 21 2012 09:05 GMT
#50
Updated!

^ I think the decision who will go to MLG has already fallen weeks ago. Flights and such are expensive you know
This is our town, scrub
ShadeR
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
Australia7535 Posts
August 21 2012 09:17 GMT
#51
Completely forgot bout this tournament lol...
ArvickHero
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
10387 Posts
August 21 2012 09:31 GMT
#52
On August 21 2012 05:02 Fionn wrote:
I can see SKT1 losing Rain and probably either Fantasy/Bisu to MLG. This could leave an opening for an Ace upset.

I seriously doubt that Rain, or any important player in a team for playoff contention will be going to MLG instead of staying for Proleague. This isn't GSTL or IPL TAC, PL is the number one most important thing for a KeSPA player and is prioritized over ANY individual league.

I would bet that's the reason why MLG hadn't announced its invites yet, since the playoff scenario is still totally unstable.
Writerptrk
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18657 Posts
August 21 2012 12:43 GMT
#53
Oh my god, Khan can still lose their playoff position? O.O
Kal_rA
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
United States2925 Posts
August 21 2012 18:01 GMT
#54
Oh KT. lol
Jaedong.
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
August 22 2012 03:12 GMT
#55
does anyone know if a schedule for the playoffs has been released?
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
Ciryandor
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States3735 Posts
August 22 2012 06:40 GMT
#56
SKT going to lose to Ace, GIANT KILLERS :D
에일리 and 아이유 <3 - O Captain 박재혁 ・゚✧*:・*゚+..。✧・゚:*・..。 ✧・゚ :・゚* ゜・*:・ ✧・゚:・゚:.。 ✧・゚ SPARKULING ・゜・:・゚✧*:・゚✧。*゚+..。 ✧・゚: ✧・゚:*・゜・:・゚✧*::
OminouS
Profile Joined February 2010
Sweden1343 Posts
August 22 2012 07:04 GMT
#57
I'm so worried about Khans chances. Please please please win against T8.
On the 6th day JF made Reavers and on the 7th day JF put his opponent to rest
Kleinmuuhg
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
Vanuatu4091 Posts
August 22 2012 07:26 GMT
#58
On August 22 2012 16:04 OminouS wrote:
I'm so worried about Khans chances. Please please please win against T8.

neverrrrrrrrrr
This is our town, scrub
Lordanubis
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
United Kingdom198 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-22 17:29:55
August 22 2012 17:29 GMT
#59
So, now it's been confirmed that no KeSPA pros will attend MLG, we know the lay of the land a bit clearer.

With that in mind, I'm going to put my money behind the "most likely scenario" from the OP, but with CJ taking second
"Hell hath no fury like a Shattered Star" - The Shattered Star
Sayle
Profile Joined October 2010
United Kingdom3685 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-22 20:13:22
August 22 2012 20:10 GMT
#60
I am so ridiculously excited now for these last four matches with everything on the line. My ideal situation would be Team 8 beating Khan then Stars beating KT (both likely), meaning the last match between SKT and ACE determines whether it's SKT or Khan who gets the 4th playoff spot. SKT then drops the ball in epic fashion and Khan goes through, meaning we get a playoffs without either telecom (when was the last time this happened?!) due to both of them having been defeated at the hands of the underdogs.

Then for the playoffs, Khan needs to win a couple of really close 2-1 series against the 2nd/3rd seeds to make it to the finals against Team 8, where I hope they will lose in an epic 7 game series. Yes, I want Khan to make it to the finals and lose so that Team 8 can get a sponsor.

Edit: I also kinda want STX to beat CJ so we get a lulzy situation where even CJ isn't in the playoffs and STX is 2nd overall :D
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