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Basketball fans...help me DEcide!!

Blogs > kdog3683
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kdog3683
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
United States916 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-05-27 08:16:12
May 27 2009 08:07 GMT
#1
My Nuggets (1,000$) vs his lakers (3,000$) Game 5 @ LA

Some statistics from NBA stats:


SU = Straight up
ATS = Against the spread meaning failed to achieve the point spread if they are 0-1 for example.
LA Lakers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games
LA Lakers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver


Should I take this straight up bet?

Factors I'm Considering:

Cons:
It's @ LA where they explode.
Kobe wants revenge.
Carmelo is playing shitty.
Pros:
LA isn't fulfilling their pointspreads. Game 1 @ LA was extremely close with a -6.5 for lakers.
Denver seems like a better overallteam.



*
Multiply your efforts.
Monoxide
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada1190 Posts
May 27 2009 08:10 GMT
#2
Kobe rarely loses 2 games in a row especially in the playoffs...I don't think its happened yet this year where they lose twice in a row in the playoffs. After that defeat, Kobe's gunna come back hard.
Pacifist
Profile Joined October 2003
Israel1683 Posts
May 27 2009 08:12 GMT
#3
getting 3-1 odds I would take that in a heartbeat
Riding a bike is overrated.
paper
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
13196 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-05-27 08:17:42
May 27 2009 08:17 GMT
#4
i'd take it

never mind hahah go lakers :3
Hates Fun🤔
selboN
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States2523 Posts
May 27 2009 08:29 GMT
#5
You would be a fool to take that bet straight up. Denver completely dominated the boards in game 4. Phil Jackson is the best coach in the NBA with the most play-off experience. You can be damn sure that he has a bullet proof game plan going into game 5. Not to mention Kobe will be out for blood. Save your money, don't take that bet.
"That's what happens when you're using a mouse made out of glass!" -Tasteless (Referring to ZergBong)
Nanoo
Profile Joined March 2009
229 Posts
May 27 2009 11:19 GMT
#6
after watching game 4 i think u should take it....Nuggets outmuscelede Lakers in everyway...

i'm lakers fans btw...
igotmyown
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States4291 Posts
May 27 2009 14:59 GMT
#7
accuscore.com

They give the nuggets 28% moneyline. See if you can get 4 to 1.
inertinept
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
Bangladesh1195 Posts
May 27 2009 16:03 GMT
#8
dont do it. go for a 1:1 spread bet and take the nuggets. see if he would do that
With a gust of wind, perhaps.
HamerD
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United Kingdom1922 Posts
May 27 2009 16:39 GMT
#9
that is SO much money my god.
"Oh no, we've drawn Judge Schneider" "Is that bad?" "Well, he's had it in for me ever since I kinda ran over his dog" "You did?" "Yeah...if you replace the word *kinda* with *repeatedly*...and the word *dog* with son"
GHOSTCLAW
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States17042 Posts
May 27 2009 17:08 GMT
#10
On May 27 2009 17:07 kdog3683 wrote:
My Nuggets (1,000$) vs his lakers (3,000$) Game 5 @ LA

Pros:
LA isn't fulfilling their pointspreads. Game 1 @ LA was extremely close with a -6.5 for lakers.
Denver seems like a better overallteam.



What spread are you guys going to play with? If it's no spread, just about the win, don't take it. LA in LA with kobe out for blood? I don't like the odds. And the stats are nice, but this is the playoffs, where stats really don't mean almost anything.
PhotographerLiquipedia. Drop me a pm if you've got questions/need help.
tiffany
Profile Joined November 2003
3664 Posts
May 27 2009 17:30 GMT
#11
the spread is LA by 5.5

i'd take it at 1:3.5
motbob
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States12546 Posts
May 27 2009 17:46 GMT
#12
You've got to be kidding me. Take the Nuggets. 3-1, jesus, are the vegas oddsmakers stupid?
ModeratorGood content always wins.
Juglinjugglo
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Korea (South)187 Posts
May 27 2009 17:48 GMT
#13
i mean the odds are good and all but i think lakers will probably win it.
Lakers at home ehhhhhhh nono
selboN
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States2523 Posts
May 27 2009 18:12 GMT
#14
On May 28 2009 02:46 motbob wrote:
You've got to be kidding me. Take the Nuggets. 3-1, jesus, are the vegas oddsmakers stupid?

No, no, they're not. The betters have actually watched basketball games over the years.
"That's what happens when you're using a mouse made out of glass!" -Tasteless (Referring to ZergBong)
CharlieMurphy
Profile Blog Joined March 2006
United States22895 Posts
Last Edited: 2009-05-27 22:23:39
May 27 2009 22:22 GMT
#15
On May 27 2009 17:12 Pacifist wrote:
getting 3-1 odds I would take that in a heartbeat

QFT, but I wouldn't bet 1000, Maybe like 50 cause I'm poor and I think its gonna be closer and the nuggets prolly gonna lose, but still like 50% shot imo.

so you're getting 3:1 on a 1:1 shot imo.
..and then I would, ya know, check em'. (Aka SpoR)
selboN
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
United States2523 Posts
May 28 2009 03:45 GMT
#16
Hope you took my advice. Denver is getting their shit pushed in the 4th.
"That's what happens when you're using a mouse made out of glass!" -Tasteless (Referring to ZergBong)
Gray[FH
Profile Joined January 2009
152 Posts
May 28 2009 03:47 GMT
#17
K08E is going to take it. GO LAKERS!
<3
paper
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
13196 Posts
May 28 2009 03:55 GMT
#18
so, did you take it :3
Hates Fun🤔
Cambium
Profile Blog Joined June 2004
United States16368 Posts
May 28 2009 04:49 GMT
#19
+ Show Spoiler +
I hope you didn't take the bet.
When you want something, all the universe conspires in helping you to achieve it.
Monoxide
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
Canada1190 Posts
May 28 2009 05:36 GMT
#20
On May 28 2009 02:46 motbob wrote:
You've got to be kidding me. Take the Nuggets. 3-1, jesus, are the vegas oddsmakers stupid?


YOU shoulda taken the bet then. Turns out the vegas oddsmakers weren't stupid after all.
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
May 28 2009 05:38 GMT
#21
Don't "vegas oddmakers" just determine the odds based on where the betting is?

So how would their intelligence come into the picture?
kdog3683
Profile Blog Joined January 2007
United States916 Posts
May 29 2009 06:27 GMT
#22
I actually took the Lakers giving 3:1 odds
Multiply your efforts.
GHOSTCLAW
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
United States17042 Posts
May 29 2009 15:50 GMT
#23
On May 28 2009 14:38 travis wrote:
Don't "vegas oddmakers" just determine the odds based on where the betting is?

So how would their intelligence come into the picture?


Oddsmakers are a group of people with all of the data who try to make the most money for the casinos. It used to be that it was one group of people betting against another, but it's really not anymore.

http://www.ultimatecapper.com/sports-betting-articles-08.htm
PhotographerLiquipedia. Drop me a pm if you've got questions/need help.
Racenilatr
Profile Blog Joined August 2008
United States2756 Posts
May 29 2009 23:05 GMT
#24
Nuggets are goig to fucking pwn the lakers. They are at home too and that helps significantly
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