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WCS EU: Ro32 Group F Preview/Group E Recap (S2)

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WCS EU: Ro32 Group F Preview/Group E Recap (S2)

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byshiroiusagi
July 10th, 2013 06:00 GMT
2013 WCS Europe

WCS Europe Season 2 - Premier League



Ro32: Group E Recap
Welmu and Ret advance

Ro32: Group F Preview
Lucifron, NaNiwa, Bly, Uzer

Brackets and standings on Liquipedia

VODs on Youtube

Ro32 Group E Recap

by Premasiri

Welmu and Ret top group C

Detailed results from Live Report Thread by KristofferAG
+ Show Spoiler [Click for detailed results] +
BabyKnight vs. Welmu
(P)BabyKnight <Derelict Watcher> (P)Welmu
(P)BabyKnight <Bel'Shir Vestige> (P)Welmu
(P)BabyKnight <> (P)Welmu

Welmu wins 2-0!

Ret vs. ThorZaIN
(Z)Ret <Whirlwind> (T)ThorZaIN
(Z)Ret <Star Station> (T)ThorZaIN
(Z)Ret <> (T)ThorZaIN

Ret wins 2-0!

Winners' Match
(P)Welmu <Bel'Shir Vestige> (Z)Ret
(P)Welmu <Star Station> (Z)Ret
(P)Welmu <Whirlwind> (Z)Ret

Welmu wins 2-1!

Losers' Match
(P)BabyKnight <Derelict Watcher> (T)ThorZaIN
(P)BabyKnight <Star Station> (T)ThorZaIN
(P)BabyKnight <> (T)ThorZaIN

BabyKnight wins 2-0!

Final Match
(Z)Ret <Neo Planet S> (P)BabyKnight
(Z)Ret <Bel'Shir Vestige> (P)BabyKnight
(Z)Ret <Star Station> (P)BabyKnight

Ret wins 2-1!



Welmu and Ret advance to WCS EU Premier RO16!


WCS Europe's Group E ended up being an example of class mobility as (P)NrS,Welmu, a player who spent last season down in Challenger, and (Z)Liquid`Ret, who had previously been eliminated in the Ro32, both earned spots in the Ro16. To progress, they toppled (P)Na`Vi.BabyKnight and (T)EG.ThorZaIN.RC, players who had finished in the top eight and sixteen of the previous tournament, respectively.

Initial Match 1 – Welmu vs. Babyknight

Two aggressive, micro oriented Protosses with outstanding win rates in the matchup were the first pair of players to meet in last night's WCS EU. Heading into the series, (P)Welmu was unquestionably the underdog – despite having earned his spot in the Premier League after no less than seven tries. (P)BabyKnight was the likely favourite after his legend-killing top 8 finish last season, and the only Protoss in the top 8 at that. With both players having over 70% winrates in PvP in Heart of the swarm, Welmu’s 2:0 was less one-sided than it might appear in the box score. Welmu’s excellent and continuous dark templar harassment was to be the story of the night – After deflecting three-gate aggression from Babyknight in game one on derelict watcher, he was able to consistently snipe probes all game with them, buying himself a valuable economic lead. This lead to him crushing Babyknight’s army in the midgame when the Danish protoss made the risky choice to try and keep up with Welmu’s third base timing on only three gateways.

Game two followed a similar pattern – this time it was a three gate oracle build that Welmu held off while teching straight to DTs. This time however, the follow-up for Welmu was a two base tempest play, which eventually paid off against the colossus deathball that Babyknight gradually accumulated. After sniping both the main and third of Babyknight, Welmu was able to remax faster after every engagement, eventually sweeping aside the remnants of babyknight’s army to take the series.

This first series showed that the Finnish protoss Welmu has many more cards to play in his mirror matchup than the blink stalker builds he has tended to opt for in the past. Having always performed well online, WCS looked to be no exception as the 19 year old was in fine form to kick off the night.

Initial Match 2 – ThorZaIN vs. Ret

Having avoided each other despite being in the same Ro32 group in season 1, (Z)Ret and (T)ThorZaIN were the next pair to do battle in group E. It was a clash of two opposing styles: Ret's risky, economy focused style matching up against the spoon turned fork that is thorzain's more aggressive style, adapted to suit the HotS meta. Oddly enough, the two most established players in the group were also perhaps the two players with the most to prove. On the one hand, EG’s ThorZaIN sought to shake off his recent slump in tournaments, and on the other, Liquid’s Ret, was as always battling his worst enemy – himself. While the scoreline for the first series was a clean 2 - 0 victory for Ret, the games themselves were a less one-sided affair. While ThorZaIN was not the ThorZaIN of yesteryear, undisputed best Terran in Europe, he put up a good fight. Game one on Whirlwind started off with a bang, Ret opting for an out-of-character baneling bust, working off only 22 drones. After failing to deal crippling damage to Thorzain’s fast third command centre opener, the game continued into the standard TvZ meta for Hots – Ling-baneling-mutalisk matching up against a drop heavy, bio mine composition. Despite gradually wearing down Ret with efficient engagements and good multitasking, the game was decided in the Liquid Zerg’s favour by a few well-placed fungals to crush ThorZaIN’s army convincingly in the middle of the map.

Game two was a similar affair in many ways. Another early aggressive move, this time on the part of ThorZaIN, came in the form of hellbat drops. With diligent overlord scouting, Ret was able to muster up enough roaches to deal with the harassment, and looked set to control the midgame with a large roach ball. Similar to game two, ThorZaIN once again edged out a lead with better multitasking and harassment, only to fall flat in a single, one-sided engagement in the late game – again falling victim to good fungals and ultralisk cleave damage with a poorly split bio ball.

With ThorZaIN's consistently sub-optimal play recently, this series was always going to be a question of whether Ret would be able to keep his calm - at his best, Ret has shown he is capable of taking a series from nearly anyone, but at his worst, he's crumbled to players much less accomplished than ThorZaIN. What happened in yesterday's group was somewhere between the two - while Ret was able to edge out the victory in both games, his play was littered with questionable engagements and supply blocks.

Winner's Match – Welmu vs. Ret

Heading into his second series of the night with a victory over ThorZaIN, (Z)Ret looked to be on top of the inconsistency that caused his embarrassing exit in season 1. Game one on Bel’shir Vestige saw (P)Welmu open gateway expand into phoenix against a typical 3-base opener from ret. A questionable and poorly executed phoenix/zealot push at Ret's well-defended natural, rather than exposed third was a flop, but still left Welmu in a position to take and defend a third while transitioning to colossi. However, having gone heavy on the phoenixes and even having added an extra stargate to ramp up air production, Welmu was caught with too few sentries to zone out an enormous roach-hydra-corruptor push from Ret, which was enough to secure the first game for the Dutch zerg.

Game two on star station saw Welmu once again opt for a curiously aggressive play. A delayed blink stalker attack off the back of a sentry-heavy attack at Ret’s third was his weapon of choice on this occasion. Despite some poor force-fields from Welmu, Ret’s lack of scouting left him with far too many roaches and too few zerglings to successfully deal with the blink stalkers of Welmu, and left him no choice but to tap out.

In tribute to his fellow finn, Elfi, Welmu’s all-in for game three on whirlwind was a 5 gate zealot all in on one base – pulling probes out of gas after one stalker and his warp gate tech. Despite scouting the play at almost the earliest time possible, Ret was simply unable to make enough zerglings to hold off the wall of zealots that marched into his natural, and he made a swift exit from the series, falling 1 - 2.

Welmu’s aggressive style was enough to carry him through the group in first place, and cements his growing reputation as one of the rising European stars. On top of his extremely strong ladder statistics, tonight’s performance places him as a strong contender in the round of 16, and one definitely worth keeping an eye on.

Losers' Match – Babyknight vs. ThorZaIN

Game one of what ought to have been an exciting series – with Babyknight’s aggressive, execution-based style going against the a similarly aggressive Terran meta in the matchup – turned out to be nothing special. Babyknight opened stargate on derelict watcher, managing to do only minor damage to his Swedish opponent. With a good defense of Thorzain’s followup-marine marauder-medivac timing, it was more a matter of time than anything else until Babyknight was able to move out with the patented Protoss deathball to take the victory.

Game two on Star Station came to largely the same conclusion. This time it was blink stalker aggression off two bases that Babyknight used to apply pressure, keeping ThorZaIN contained while taking a third and transitioning first into colossi, and then high templar. Although picking some odd mid-game engagements and trading poorly, Babyknight multitasked well enough to secure a dominant macro lead and was eventually able to once again build a large enough deathball to simply roll over ThorZaIN and eliminate the E.G terran from the group.

Final Match – Ret vs. Babyknight

In the final series of the night, it was Ret who was able to march away triumphant with the final ticket out of Group E, becoming the 10th player to secure a place in the round of 16. While game 1 on Neo Planet S was a hard earned victory, the remaining two matches of the series were surprisingly dull, with Babyknight evening the series 1-1 on Bel’shir vestige before Ret was able to close it out and take the series on Star Station. More important than the matches themselves was the form Ret was able to display tonight. It wasn’t Ret at his best – not by any means – but it was far better than the disappointing exit Ret made as an invitee to the inaugural season of WCS Europe only a few months ago. With the fan support he will undoubtedly receive playing in-studio in the round of 16, Ret’s chances to do well this season and make amends for the last are looking up.

Group F Preview: Lucifron, NaNiwa, Bly, Uzer

by Premasiri

Matches start in...


1. (P)Alliance.NaNiwa

The king in the north, the dragonslayer, the kingslayer. Whatever nickname you want to give him, Naniwa ought to be the firm favourite to come out on top in Group F of the round of 32. The one question mark over this will also be his first hurdle in tomorrow’s matches – Lucifron. While Naniwa has an unquestionably more impressive history of results, including most recently an unforgettable tournament on home soil at Dreamhack Stockholm, and an equally dazzling MLG spring championship only a fortnight ago, Lucifron has been performing consistently since his switch to full-time progamer at the beginning of 2013.

Naniwa’s only losses at MLG Spring did come at the hands of a Terran in what NaNiwa admitted was his worst match-up. But the eventual winner, Polt, is an improbable comparison to liken Lucifron to. 2 - 0 sweeps against TheStC and Jaedong in MLG’s Spring Championship barely two weeks ago are more than convincing testaments to Naniwa’s prowess in the two matchups he’ll be facing tonight. Of the two Zergs in the group, Bly is the more likely to pose a threat to Naniwa’s PvZ – but only in relative terms. One has only to look back at the simply dominating performance that Naniwa displayed in PvZ at Dreamhack Stockholm to be reassured that, even should he fall to Lucifron, it would be next to impossible for him to not make it out of the group at all. The more pertinent question is whether or not this is the start of another blazing performance that will see Naniwa once again take a top spot in a premier tournament – and one can’t help but assume it will be.

2. (T)mouz.LucifroN

In wings of liberty, Lucifron was, shall we say... unpredictable. A full time student, he’d disappear from the scene for periods of time only to pop up and win a tournament here and there. Since applying himself full-time to professional Starcraft in 2013, a round of 8 finish in both Season 1 of WCS Europe and Dreamhack Summer are still only tantalizing rewards for a player deserving and capable of a first place finish at most Western tournaments. A recently minted member of mousesports, the Pedro half of the Moreno Durán brothers looks however to be in good shape to take second in this, group F of the round of 32. While I’d prefer not to write Lucifron off as a loss to naniwa in the first series of the night, it’d certainly be an upset for him to topple the Swedish player. If he were to win – great; with the main threat in the group handled, the winner’s match would likely be a simple affair for him to advance. If not, the two lesser known, less tested Zergs in group E should still be unable to prevent him from claiming a place in the live portion of this season of WCS EU.

3. (Z)Acer.Bly

A pretty safe assumption to make, Bly is quite simply a level below Lucifron and Naniwa, but has performed well enough in the European scene to justify a place above Uzer. True, he’s been quiet of late, with nothing notable to speak of between now and last season’s round of 32, but with consistently satisfactory results throughout 2012, we all know that Bly’s no pushover.

4. (Z)uzer

Unquestionably the wildcard in this group. However, it’s not a group that favours wildcards. Up against two giants in Naniwa and Lucifron, chances of advancement are slim to none in a group offering only two places in the round of 16. Wins over Feast and Kas in Challenger League show that Uzer is clearly capable of upsetting the more established players in Europe, but with too few performances in Premier Tournaments to claim any consistency yet, it’s hard to justify an assumption he’ll strike twice. With all that said, there is the narrowest of chances for Uzer. Firstly, despite a surprising performance in season 1 of WCS EU, he’s still the least-known player in the group – off the radar if you will. Assuming the other players in the group have the time to do their research on him, what they’ll find is a player capable of mixing in quirky strategies amongst good “standard” play too, backed up by mechanics that saw him 2 - 0 the zombie terran, macro monster that is Kas in season 1. His surprising breakthrough into the Premier League for season two could likely be attributed to simple lack of exposure. However, having caused a stir, anonymity is a shield he’ll have a much harder time hiding behind in tomorrow’s matches, and I see little to no hope for Uzer to make a splash.


Predictions:
Naniwa > Lucifron
Bly > Uzer
Naniwa > Bly
Lucifron > Uzer
Lucifron > Bly

Naniwa and Lucifron advance

(Someone buy me a hat to eat when Uzer goes and 2:0's the group)

More WCS Europe Season 2 Coverage

Aug 9 – Welmu and Duckdeok advance to Ro8 as Stephano plays his retirement matches.
Aug 8 – HasuObs and Grubby shock Mvp in Round of eight opener group.
July 18 – Russian duo of TitaN and Happy round out Ro16 by earning final two spots
July 17 – Terrans ForGG and Bunny eliminated as VortiX and Grubby move on
July 11 – NaNiwa and Lucifron top group F, Bly and uzer fall to Challenger
July 10 – Welmu takes first place in group E, upsetting Ret, BabyKnight, and ThorZaIN


Writers: Premasiri
Graphics: shiroiusagi
Banner photo: ESL
Editor: Waxangel.
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TL+ Member
FrostedMiniWheats
Profile Joined August 2010
United States30730 Posts
July 10 2013 06:08 GMT
#2
Lucy/Nani
NesTea | Mvp | MC | Leenock | Losira | Gumiho | DRG | Taeja | Jinro | Stephano | Thorzain | Sen | Idra |Polt | Bomber | Symbol | Squirtle | Fantasy | Jaedong | Maru | sOs | Seed | ByuN | ByuL | Neeb| Scarlett | Rogue | IM forever
Elite_
Profile Joined June 2012
United States4259 Posts
July 10 2013 06:10 GMT
#3
Isn't NaNiwa in Korea? Latency might suck for him. ;o
Silvanel
Profile Blog Joined March 2003
Poland4731 Posts
July 10 2013 06:12 GMT
#4
Luci/uzer.
Pathetic Greta hater.
-IeZaeL-
Profile Joined December 2007
Spain327 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-07-10 06:14:46
July 10 2013 06:14 GMT
#5
LucifroN best mu is TvP if im not wrong. I dont see him losing to Naniwa or any other non korean protoss. uZer and Bly are zergs... so ezpz.

LucifroN
Naniwa
Bly
uZer
aka:Wizards-> FnaticMSI ->IImg.IeZaeL ->MYM.IeZaeL . Actually teamless,Top40-80 GM Europe.Twitter: @IeZaeL_7
igay
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Australia1178 Posts
July 10 2013 06:20 GMT
#6
go goo naniwa, love him or hate him sc wouldn't be the same without him
MVP <3 MKP <3 DRG <3
Jade
Profile Joined January 2011
Poland289 Posts
July 10 2013 06:26 GMT
#7
nani/uzer
@KRN_Jade "Patience is a small price to pay for perfection."
iMrising
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
United States1099 Posts
July 10 2013 06:34 GMT
#8
uzer takes both 1st and 2nd since he's that good
$O$ | soO
Wonderberg
Profile Joined November 2012
Netherlands112 Posts
July 10 2013 06:45 GMT
#9
naniwa plays from korea so hes a big underdog against luci and probably hardly favored over bly
ArcadeR
Profile Joined May 2011
Germany199 Posts
July 10 2013 07:07 GMT
#10
it's no longer "K3.Lucifron"
NovemberstOrm
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Canada16217 Posts
July 10 2013 07:10 GMT
#11
Thanks for the preview/recap.

Cool to see Welmu and Ret succeed!
Moderatorlickypiddy
ReignSupreme.
Profile Blog Joined September 2012
Australia4123 Posts
July 10 2013 07:13 GMT
#12
Let's go Nani!
Stolat
Profile Joined June 2010
Poland241 Posts
July 10 2013 07:26 GMT
#13
Luci / uzer
UF fight!
WaGGlez
Profile Joined June 2011
18 Posts
July 10 2013 07:32 GMT
#14
I want Nani to make it, but he's playing from Korea so it's going to be really hard because of the lag .
Vanimar
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
220 Posts
July 10 2013 07:34 GMT
#15
I must say that I am truly happy for Welmu, been around a long time. He deserves this.
As for this group, Lucifron will obliterate it. Naniwa might get in second, but depending on his form and enemys preparation I have seen him drop less challenging matches those last couple of weeks. So really, anything possible there.
By the way OP, its mouz.Lucifron (as you stated yourself in the text)
I figured out the EG Curse. It was set in motion by Voodoo Shamans working for Millenium. Whenever EG aquires a player, Voodoo energies start slowly draining skill from the EG guy into an Millenium newcomer. Think about it!
TheBloodyDwarf
Profile Blog Joined March 2012
Finland7524 Posts
July 10 2013 07:35 GMT
#16
Welmu number 1 EU protoss!
Fusilero: "I still can't believe he did that, like dude what the fuck there's fandom and then there's what he did like holy shit. I still see it when I close my eyes." <- reaction to the original drunk santa post which later caught on
zmsFlood
Profile Joined April 2013
Finland169 Posts
July 10 2013 07:36 GMT
#17
No surprises here imo.. Naniwa and Lucifron advance. The only variable possble of making a difference to the results is Naniwas head
twitter.com/laurifalck | I don't want to get you drunk, but, ah, that's a very fine Chardonnay you're not drinking. | TLO!
Liquid`Ryo
Profile Joined September 2011
Spain75 Posts
July 10 2013 07:42 GMT
#18
Guys, LucifroN is playing for mousesports, not K3. He's been mouz member for more than a month now
Twitter: @LiquidRyo
y0su
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
Finland7871 Posts
July 10 2013 07:49 GMT
#19
Great recap and preview. Thanks!
Gorribal
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Canada186 Posts
July 10 2013 08:23 GMT
#20
So 3 of the last Top 8 are already knocked out... Upset Upset City brahs, 1 2 3 and maybe more soon
"PartinG keeps touching us and groping us (laughs)." - Rain
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