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TL Mafia XXXV

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 25 2010 04:48 GMT
#78
/in.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-12-27 02:13:57
December 27 2010 02:13 GMT
#145
WELCOME BACK MY FRIENDS
TO THE SHOW THAT NEVER ENDS
WE'RE SO GLAD YOU COULD ATTEND
COME INSIDE, COME INSIDE!
+ Show Spoiler +
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 27 2010 04:01 GMT
#203
On December 27 2010 12:57 bumatlarge wrote:
5 votes in thirty minutes for pandain. Thats a bit unsettling. But it will give us something to work with.

Exactly.

Also, much as I love polarized votes, and I figure we should force one as frequently as possible, it's a mistake to read too much into them. Often, especially on the first day, the accused are just a batch of greens. Mafia are pretty good about not being the inactive the town decides to target.

Which is why we should pick people like Pandain, put them on the spot, see if they sweat, and move on if they don't. Eventually, we'll have two good candidates, force votes on either/or, and then work from there. But by no means is one list all mafia, and the other not. Early information is good, but it needs to be given the respect (or lack of respect) that it deserves.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 27 2010 17:59 GMT
#283
So, Pandain refuses to defend himself, which might be because he doesn't think the voting on him is serious. It isn't, but that doesn't mean it will go away if he just stays silent.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 27 2010 18:03 GMT
#285
[Pressed enter too early by accident]
Basically, we need to hear from people. Inactive towns do not last. LSB and Annul are having a cute little back and forth, which is productive, but it needs to happen tenfold.

So Pandain, we want to hear from you.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 29 2010 20:24 GMT
#706
So, I'll reserve my public judgement until we learn who kicked the bucket last night. I also have some catching up to do, yesterday was a busy day for me, but I've got some time in front of the computer tonight.

Two things that strike me, after just skimming the thread. The first is that we shouldn't settle on a Day 2 lynch too quickly, remember, we don't know anything yet. We just think we do. And that's somewhat dangerous. The second thing is that a quick search of my name turned up only a few references in this thread. I'm not publicity hungry, but that's a problem because (1) I've been completely non-existant for a host of hours. and (2) I haven't contributed anything solid, besides an attempt to get Pandain to speak that failed because Pandain is smart and I didn't have the time to devote to it. If the town simply failed to notice a guy with a custom icon not showing up in the thread, then we're letting other people off the hook too. And while I intend to participate because apparently a bunch of people thought LSB was mafia for reasons that completely elude me, others will continue to lurk, and continue to slip under the radar.

More on this later, call me out and pm me as well, more evidence is good.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 29 2010 21:50 GMT
#710
On December 30 2010 06:44 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Alright I have a new idea for the hatters. I have decided on a third person upon talking with someone and I believe he is right. The three people we should put bombs on tonight should be Seraph, Insanious, and Annul.

The way I will organize this to avoid overlapping as much as possible is follows. If you are on the player list between 1-10 please place your bomb on Seraph, if you are 11-20 please place your bomb on Insanious, and if you are on the player list for 21-30 please place your bomb on Annul.

This is very important in case one of you gets hit tonight. I have very strong suspicions that these players are mafia. Annul's case upon reflection picked up steam faster than it should of even with LSB's odd defense and aggression. It could of just been a mafia pushing forward a bandwagon to get rid of a decent player in LSB, but we agreed it felt a little off even so.

So once again. When madhatters read this place your bombs accordingly. If you are in the player list between any of the following numbers place your bomb to the corresponding players.

1-10 place on Seraph
11-20 place on Insanious
21-30 place on Annul

Hatters should use their own judgment on who to place bombs on. Bomb placements should not be predictable.

You cannot say
I have very strong suspicions that these players are mafia.
And then barely justify the suspicions of only one of these three players. Explain your FoS on each of these players, and let the hatters decide for themselves. We're not letting people get away with FoS if they're not willing or able to explain why.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 29 2010 23:33 GMT
#724
On December 30 2010 07:02 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote:
Alright, so hatters ignore this tree hugger guy. On top of that I have justified my suspicions. But just for you I will do it again.

Seraph play is characterized by indecision and feigned activity. On top of that all he ever really talked about was pointless shit and kept trying to push stupid shit like lynching inactives. I have an analysis on him on Page 25 if you would like to read it.

Insanious during the hours before the lynch of LSB tried bandwagoning the shit out of brockit claiming he "knew" LSB was blue and how stupid we were being. The analysis on him although much shorter is a few pages back on 32 iirc. No one should EVER be so sure that someone is blue. On top of just being sure he NEVER gave a good reason to want to switch which leads me to believe his intention was never to actually switch the vote, but to make it APPEAR that he wanted to switch the vote away from someone who was blue. On top of that, even though he seriously didn't want to lynch LSB he ignored my Seraph analysis which if he used that might of switched the lynch away from LSB. I believe the reason he didn't use the Seraph analysis was because Seraph is his mafia buddy AND he had no true intention to divert the lynch. You can see similar play being used by me and Insane Mafia in regards to dealing with pandain. I actively pushed for pandains lynch but never hard enough to actually change anything. He just did it a lot more shitty.

When it comes to Annul, I was really trying to find another candidate who I could put up as a MH bomb because when I divide the player list by 3 instead of 2 it GREATLY reduces the chance of overlapping bombs. On top of that the way Annul got support is a little fishy, I need to do more analysis on it but it is still extremely strange. The bandwagon IMO should never have been so lopsided in favor of LSB even though I think LSB was suspicious, it is really hard to gather a following on a day 1 lynch UNLESS you are mafia. With that justification and an indepth analysis of Annul being very time consuming at the moment I would prefer to put a bomb on him while doing a further analysis later.

I hope that meets your approval for my justification.

No need to get testy, that's all I'm looking for.

MH bombs shouldn't be directed by anyone else, because that's too easy for mafia to manipulate. If we left it up to the town or random people with plans to determine where the bombs went, then they'd land on townies every single time. MH needs to use their own judgment because your direction, or anyone else's is open to mafia interference. Also, if the mafia looked at your list, and knew that none of them were threatened, then that would relieve a large load from their shoulders, and clear the path for blue sniping.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 30 2010 08:02 GMT
#785
Rehashing what moves were made during the first day is productive, but defending them with the help of hindsight is not particularly useful. I think Insanious has a point, LSB was much more likely a role than is Annul, although you can't really peg anything down too securely at this point.

Annul however exposed himself greatly in tunneling on LSB, which wasn't really a necessary move so early on, even if Pandain (the vote leader at the time) is mafia. That's not really mafia behavior, that's townie v. townie early game shenanigans. Does this mean that Annul is definitely a townie? Of course not, I could easily be wrong.

The mistake made in the first day was to bite on the analysis. If somebody is tunneling in on someone with mere innuendo and perceived evidence the town's role should be to break this mental lock, not buy into it. When you get into the situation where "He's defending himself angrily! Just like scum" and "He's not defending himself very much! Just like scum!" are the two options, then we need to back up and re-evaluate what the evidence is.

A couple people pm'd me about who I suspected. Hell if I know. I have a list, but that doesn't mean my list is better than anyone else's. But here's what needs to happen.

1. Publicly list your FoS. It's not enough to say "I don't think X is mafia" or spend your posts debating the previous day. A successful town is a town that isn't afraid to put people on the spot. We can't just get lucky, the more people we can put on the spot, the better.

For example, Pandain is leading the voting so far, I think. A convincing reason why would be nice. As for me, I'd like to hear from George Clooney, who's full posting history consists of
On December 28 2010 14:33 GeorgeClooney wrote:
I'm active, and I'm a noob, so i'm just reading!

On December 28 2010 14:33 GeorgeClooney wrote:
And sorry, going to contribute once I get his whole logic thing of mine going
On December 29 2010 21:14 GeorgeClooney wrote:
I'm properly going to vote Paindrain when day begins, cause he won't make up his mind. I thought lynching ESB was a retarded move, he would have roleclaimed after, and for god sakes he was a Vet. He could of established a town circle, nor was he scummy after the other guy (forgot his name) decided to bit his ass and not let go.

Lets hope its not another blue lol.

By the way, I want to start a town circle. Ofcourse i'm not going to lead this, but I ain't mafia, and I want to win a game lol. Straight forward.

Anyone else for a town circle?

Not good enough.

2. Call out inactives. There are mafia among the inactives. There are always mafia amid the inactives. If we force inactives to post, we stand a better chance of cutting down mafia KP early on. The DT can check the active players without an issue. The inactives deserve town attention.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 30 2010 23:32 GMT
#821
On December 31 2010 07:33 seRapH wrote:
Soulfire
Show nested quote +
On December 27 2010 13:45 Soulfire wrote:
I had meant to contribute earlier, but I was watching some streamed games of my team's CW.

I'm a new player, so for the most part I've just been reading what everybody has said thus far and trying to come up with any reasonable conclusion, which not surprisingly has been futile. I've gone over previous games and observed common posting habits for many of the more veteran players in this game and I honestly don't notice anything alarming enough to begin to point fingers safely. I'd definitely have to agree with Pandain, Wiggles and others; focus attention on the inactives, but struggle to differentiate between those who just don't care and are probably going to be modkilled and people who are trying to lay low, specially people making pointless posts to avoid the modkill.

But I will speak for other players who are new like I am, it is difficult to post something that contributes in Day 1 - so yet another thing to differentiate: new players who are lost and can only agree with others, and mafia trying to slip under the radar and avoid modkill.
Few points here: He’s new, he doesn’t want to out himself, and hands lurkers the excuse of not caring. First point isn’t incriminating, but the other two are pretty notable.

Show nested quote +
On December 27 2010 18:01 Soulfire wrote:
Yet another vote for Pandain - can you guys seriously stop that? There's no reason to be doing that, and the only thing we know about him thus far is that he's been pretty damn helpful, and past games show that he knows what he's doing. There's no reason to be piling votes on people, and new players will just be prompted to join the bandwagon.
Ok, fine, Pandain wagon was bullshit, I have no clue why anyone joined it at all, town or not. What I do find interesting is that apparantly Pandain is "pretty damn helpful" while LSB, evidently, has not been.

Show nested quote +
On December 28 2010 14:22 Soulfire wrote:
Just read the last 5 pages, and like many others, paid attention to the argument between Annul and LSB. BOTH come off as scummy, but to be totally honest I think it's a safer bet to go with a lurker, for the same reasons that many have said - the more talkative a scum is, the more likely he is to make a mistake and thus be lynched. We have NOTHING to go by other than very slight hints in posting style. Our best bet easily is to lynch a lurker because they may continue lurking later on, and we won't be able to gather any hints from them that may identify them as scum. However, Annul and LSB will both continue posting frequently, thus increasing the chance that they may make mistakes and reveal themselves. If they all of a sudden STOP posting frequently, that'd be out of the character developed on day 1 and would be a pretty strong hint that they're scum.

Just my 2 cents.
I don’t really get this. I’m thinking that if we can get Soulfire lynched or nightkilled then annul can be cleared of most suspicions. Once again he pushes lynching lurkers too. Also, people don’t switch roles midway (or at least not in this setup), so a change in character indicates they’re either dodging an accusation or real life problems.

Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 08:19 Soulfire wrote:
I've been on the whole "lynch LSB" bandwagon, but after reading Pandain's logic, even though it makes HIM sound incredibly scummy as well the the information fishing, I'm gonna vote for Brocket. When I read over Pokemafia he indeed acted quite differently, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was trying to hide under the radar.

But yeah, Pandain really strikes me as a mafia trying to save LSB - but then again, is there any way to protect someone WITHOUT appearing suspicious? Atleast he presents a logical argument. If LSB does not "prove himself", LYNCH HIM ON DAY 2.
Completely dodges the LSB/Annul situation by going for a new bandwagon on brocket. Also staying under the radar by following pandain quite closely:

Show nested quote +
On December 29 2010 11:36 Soulfire wrote:
Gonna actually have to agree with Pandain's analysis here, I didn't think of it the way he put it: We don't have much to go on, so we might as well guarantee important information with a lynch of LSB.

##Unvote
##Vote LSB


Conclusion: Very likely scum. Not too many posts at all, and none of them offering any original insight. imo this is a better lynch than anyone else so far, but Mr Wiggles earns second place. If Soulfire dodges the lynch then I’d at least like someone to DT check him.

Just looks confused to me. I'm not sure I understand where you've parsed the line between new player and scum in this instance. He's made no attempts to say anything substantive, he's made no attempt to influence the town, he's made no attempt to add to the conversation. It's like he's been talking to himself.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
December 30 2010 23:34 GMT
#822
On December 31 2010 05:56 Barundar wrote:
Anyone else with thoughts on option for double lynch? I personally think it's too early yet, atleast untill we get a better idea of targets for today.

Why would you even bring this up? Day 2 double lynch when we have no good targets? Are you just trying to fill space?
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 02 2011 17:02 GMT
#1008
Lesson learned: Wall-of-text posts are the biggest mafia tell there is. (See: Annul, LMNOP)

Wish I had fought for your side of the story LSB.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 03 2011 17:12 GMT
#1081
Hahahah, mafia sucks at bluesniping. .200 is a great batting average. Town on the other hand is batting .500. And double lynch today. Would've rather had that tomorrow, but it's fine for today.

So why is GeorgeClooney alive? He needs to get vigi hit.

Also, I'm reprising my vote from the last round on Mepak, and adding in Darth.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 04 2011 18:00 GMT
#1151
On January 05 2011 01:06 Jackal58 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2011 00:58 GeorgeClooney wrote:
Okay ladies and gentlemen,

I would like to make my first and meaningful post in TLmafia, because I have some justifying reasons to my inactivity. I as you know, a celebrity. I do not live the life of an average human, rather I travel. I see the worlds colours through my very own dark brown pupils. The reflection of the light strathoms threw my eyes penetrating the last line of defence: ego. As it bursts, the colours of chilling blue and blazing red enter the very soul of my heart. As a man I felt ashamed. I have let down not only my family and friends, I have let down even myself.

I bent over in the cracks of dawn, thinking about the previous night. attemping to reconcile the events, but suddenly. A jolt shackled through the seeping narrow gap that layed between each bone in my spine. The pain was immense. I clenched my fist in anger, but.
I couldn't...
I looked left in my supposedly clenched first, but it was still open. Like a wintergrasp flower opening up. With all the roots deeping seeping into the ground. A giant darkeness overcame me. I struggled but nothing was listing. My temple refuse to listen to me. The closing tip of my worship tower was sealed, my influence has no more control. My eyes close.

"ARE YOU OKAY".

Woken up by the shaking of face, I arose. It was my sister. Her tears were rushing down her face like the ohio river in the spring.

What happened I thought.....

"YOU WERE H...."

THE END.....of part 1.

I am town.

I say we lynch you just so we don't have to read part 2.

Mafia has nothing to lose at this point apparently.

Mepak and Darth tonight, and GC can be our crutch.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 04 2011 19:25 GMT
#1154
On January 05 2011 04:01 d3_crescentia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 05 2011 03:00 tree.hugger wrote:
On January 05 2011 01:06 Jackal58 wrote:
On January 05 2011 00:58 GeorgeClooney wrote:
Okay ladies and gentlemen,

I would like to make my first and meaningful post in TLmafia, because I have some justifying reasons to my inactivity. I as you know, a celebrity. I do not live the life of an average human, rather I travel. I see the worlds colours through my very own dark brown pupils. The reflection of the light strathoms threw my eyes penetrating the last line of defence: ego. As it bursts, the colours of chilling blue and blazing red enter the very soul of my heart. As a man I felt ashamed. I have let down not only my family and friends, I have let down even myself.

I bent over in the cracks of dawn, thinking about the previous night. attemping to reconcile the events, but suddenly. A jolt shackled through the seeping narrow gap that layed between each bone in my spine. The pain was immense. I clenched my fist in anger, but.
I couldn't...
I looked left in my supposedly clenched first, but it was still open. Like a wintergrasp flower opening up. With all the roots deeping seeping into the ground. A giant darkeness overcame me. I struggled but nothing was listing. My temple refuse to listen to me. The closing tip of my worship tower was sealed, my influence has no more control. My eyes close.

"ARE YOU OKAY".

Woken up by the shaking of face, I arose. It was my sister. Her tears were rushing down her face like the ohio river in the spring.

What happened I thought.....

"YOU WERE H...."

THE END.....of part 1.

I am town.

I say we lynch you just so we don't have to read part 2.

Mafia has nothing to lose at this point apparently.

Mepak and Darth tonight, and GC can be our crutch.

I think GC is a better candidate than Darth right now, actually. Any thoughts on switching?

Maybe, but GC isn't going anywhere. We'll take him out tomorrow if we don't have any more important targets.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 06 2011 16:04 GMT
#1224
Loooooooooooollll mafia. Quality hits yet again.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 08 2011 02:24 GMT
#1266
On January 08 2011 10:01 ShoCkeyy wrote:
End votes now!!! I want to see if seraph is really red --

And yet, you're voting for Pandain?
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
January 08 2011 06:54 GMT
#1287
Time for Pandain to go, amirite?

14 v 3. Inactivity has killed more reds than the town (2-1) and as many blues as the mafia. (1-1) Classic.
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
tree.hugger
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
Philadelphia, PA10406 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-09 17:38:05
January 09 2011 17:37 GMT
#1312
+ Show Spoiler +
[image loading]
ModeratorEffOrt, Snow, GuMiho, and Team Liquid
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IEM Cologne 2025
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