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Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Mafia

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 3 Next All
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 18 2010 04:36 GMT
#70
Is there space left? If so I'll play!
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 21 2010 03:03 GMT
#107
Goodie, time to start. This should be fun.

@ Radfield: here's a post from BM at the end of the last page, seems you missed it.

On June 21 2010 07:44 Bill Murray wrote:
To clear up some things:

i'll make a thread for mayoral voting
you may nameclaim or roleclaim just don't claim masons or I will modkill you
keep it clean, please


So mass role claiming IS an option.

Mass role claiming has the advantage of forcing mafia to come up with fake names/roles, and in the event of a name clash we clearly will end up with knowing 1 of 2 people are mafia. However, we have no idea whether mafia have been provided a safe list of town names to prevent this sort of this from happening. Even if they were not provided a list, there are plenty of characters in HP to choose from and it seems likely they could get away with it.

Another potential advantage is allowing the town to coordinate night actions together and possibly verify that people are doing what they are supposed to be doing through tracker type roles. However, since this is a special game I wouldn't be surprised if there are more town aligned special roles than normal. It would get confusing coordinating 8 town blues, and worse, we'd have no easy way to judge whether there are mafia mixed in the blues.

Given that the potential advantages don't look great in this particular set up, and the clusterfuck that the last game was when we roleclaimed, and the fact that the town won so easily partly due to 2 lucky events (L acted stupidly enough to get shot by citizen, ~Opz~ was modkilled) I would argue vehemently against a mass role claim.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 21 2010 18:22 GMT
#138
I'll go ahead and nominate amber[light] for mayor since he seems to be talking sense at this point. I'd suggest not to nominate radfield because frankly he played pretty badly and was inactive for long stretches last game.

Amber, why don't you post a plan you'd carry out as mayor, including first lynch?
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 22 2010 14:52 GMT
#208
I'm voting amber[light]. I'm a little worried about him because he is insisting that he be role checked when he could hypothetically be the godfather. Still, though, he seems like the best candidate.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 22 2010 14:57 GMT
#209
Btw, BM, can we get a clarification on whether there is in fact a god father in this game?
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 22 2010 15:04 GMT
#211
On June 23 2010 00:00 Hesmyrr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 22 2010 08:03 Hesmyrr wrote:
Also I'm not sure I can maintain this level of activity for future days yet, so I would like to turn Radfield's mayoral proposal down. In interest of proposing more candidates, I would like to nominate Roffles. He jumped straight into discussing spell mechanics, including whether AK was block able or not, which I think is type of discussion mafia would shy away from a little. I do not know scum hunting abilities of most players however, so I would appreciate if more people voiced who they support.


Guys, you are missing this post.

acrossfivejulys -> Amber[light].
AFJ, what specific part of amber[light]'s post did you like? It is in responsibility of nominee to also give a reason for nomination so if nominated is mafia he/she can't go like "oh I picked someone in random lol". We need to know if the nomination is mafia push, or legit pro-town reasoning.


Well if you'd taken the time to read my original post nominating amber, you'd see that I said (at a time where not much about players was known) that he seemed to be posting pro town, analyzing the rules and such.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 22 2010 19:35 GMT
#235
On June 23 2010 04:00 Radfield wrote:
couldn't you just have been mafia AFJ? I would have looked so good....


You could always try your luck this game -_^ if we keep playing together, eventually you'll be right! To be fair, for a few hours I was fairly convinced you were red last game when you turned out green.

Anyway, unless the rest of the town wakes up and starts voting a lot differently, it looks like we'll have amber/radfield as our town leaders. Both of them seem rather pro town at this point, but of course, as always, don't overreact and start PM'ing your roles to them or put complete trust in them.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 22 2010 19:50 GMT
#237
On June 23 2010 04:44 Jayme wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2010 04:35 AcrossFiveJulys wrote:
On June 23 2010 04:00 Radfield wrote:
couldn't you just have been mafia AFJ? I would have looked so good....


You could always try your luck this game -_^ if we keep playing together, eventually you'll be right! To be fair, for a few hours I was fairly convinced you were red last game when you turned out green.

Anyway, unless the rest of the town wakes up and starts voting a lot differently, it looks like we'll have amber/radfield as our town leaders. Both of them seem rather pro town at this point, but of course, as always, don't overreact and start PM'ing your roles to them or put complete trust in them.


You aren't supposed to PM at all unless you have a role that allows it in the first place...


Ah. Good point. My previous couple games have allowed it so it's ingrained in my strategizing.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 23 2010 01:12 GMT
#307
Posting my bah:
Every game I've played in that I can remember, a green townie was lynched on the first day. At least he wasn't a blue.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 01:37 GMT
#325
this no talking @ night thing is goofy, but w/e

now that it's day, we should think about what happened last night. we lost 2 people, but the DE only have 1 KP. This means one of two things: either a night vig was trigger happy and took a shot, or mafia have extra avada kadavra spells at their disposal. if it's the former, well shit, that sucks. if it's the latter, it means that role blocker(s) might know that whoever they role blocked cannot cast avada kadavra at night ("might" because this assumes that only one mafioso can use AK, which makes sense to me, otherwise it would be way OP).

about today: let's get a solid lynch, based off of posting evidence. We need to focus town effort on analyzing posting behavior, and inactives, please get off your ass and help out. Everyone please select at least two people to analyze. For newbs out there, if you want to search for someone's posts, just do

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/search.php?q=&t=c&f=-1&u=AcrossFiveJulys&gb=date

Replacing my ID which the searchee.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 01:43 GMT
#326
Btw, I'm going to analyze YellowInk and johnyspazz. Will write thoughts on them when I get a chance.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 02:10 GMT
#330
On June 24 2010 11:03 johnnyspazz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2010 11:01 Abenson wrote:
I would have to agree with johnny on that the 3rd party could be a serial killer.

After carefully reading through the whole first post in the game, I realized that there are absolutely no clues telling us how many DE there are. In a 21 people game, 4 DE might be a viable setup.
Therefore I think that we should not immediately assume how it amounted to 3 deaths in the few days.

Anyways, here are the possibilities I see:
1) Serial Killer killed someone
2) A random night Vig killed (unlikely, vig rarely kills on night 1 because of the risk of killing someone important on your side)
3) DE has 2 KP

sorry to be kinda mean to you abenson but you just regurgitate info to make it look like you have something useful to say

also bm said they are only 4 DE


Do you remember if it was BM that said mafia have 1 KP or if someone just said it's likely?
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 19:33 GMT
#361
Man opz, your post is a clusterfuck. Try to organize your thoughts better in the future. Regardless, you've brought forth some interesting ideas.

On June 25 2010 03:07 ~OpZ~ wrote:
First another thing I noticed...Radfield didn't die night one so we should lynch him today. He's clearly mafia.


I agree it's suspicious that mafia didn't go after radfield, but it does make some sense that they'd avoid hitting him. Since he doesn't have auror protection, he's a likely candidate for medic protection and as such a risky target.

Besides, his lack of interest in becoming elected in the first place and doing just about nothing to gain votes after he was nominated makes me lean towards him being town. Not that I think he's a terribly useful player anyway, and the pardoner position is really only useful only in mafia hands in this kind of setup... so I would be very fine with seeing him get lynched, I just hope we can come up with some more juicy targets that are more likely to be mafia at this point.

On June 15 2010 06:16 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 15 2010 06:01 BrownBear wrote:
I would think to balance it out, nameclaiming in the thread would = modkill.


Another flaw with any attempt to moderate whether you can explicitly name claim is that it can be unfair to deny a claim that you are a given name. For instance, can I say, "I am NOT Ron Weasly?" This gets to be a really slippery slope. If I can only deny claims made against me, I could just ask everyone to throw claims at me until they hit me, etc, an obvious breach of the spirit of the rules. Even if it weren't so blatant, it's clearly going in a direction that you do not intend. If we can't say, "I am NOT Ron Weasly," then suppose a player says I am either Ron Weasly or mafia (perhaps based on my list of abilities). It gets very messy as to how I can go about defending myself without saying whether or not I am Ron Weasly while still trying to show myself to be non-mafia.

tl;dr it's really hard to moderate this kind of thing when accusations start getting thrown around.

*Yawn* YellowInk's first posts in the thread are about game balance and things like that. These can not be used to judge him at all and do not fall for the "I was trying to help." Why yes, yes you were, but this was before you got your role PM that possibly coulda been Death Eater.
Now it gets interesting
First post of substance by yellowink
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=131008&currentpage=10#186
+ Show Spoiler +

On June 22 2010 13:42 YellowInk wrote:
MOD request: Please edit the rules to reflect actual gameplay. Upon reviewing the thread I have noticed scattered rule changes that do not appear reflected in the original post. As the thread gets larger, I will of course do my best to follow all of the rules you have set out, but we will all be using the original post as our core reference.

Re my inactivity: I thought we were on a Monday start due to requests to avoid Father's day, so I did not check in here. No worries, I will be plenty active in this game, but now I have a tarnished opening record. =\

Re my nomination for MoM: I am fine with running for minister here. I don't think that I have any special qualifications beyond the other two candidates posed except, well, that I know I am town. But supposedly so do they, so yeah. If people feel that I would be a valuable choice in the election, I would gladly take the role to at least keep it out of death eater or even independant hands. My spellset would mesh reasonably well with an elected role, but regardless of election will need to remain concealed to keep its optimal efficiency.

Re roleclaiming: Bill Murray has stated that we cannot mass roleclaim. We may not name claim. + Show Spoiler +
On June 15 2010 05:09 Bill Murray wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 15 2010 04:11 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +

YellowInk wrote:
You stated at the start that the list of roles was "neither limited by nor restricted to" the list given, though you put up precisely 20 town roles. Will you be giving the mafia a list of "safe" (non-contested) roles that they can claim? For balance sake will the actual list of town roles be sufficiently branched off from the posted list that roleclaiming outside the given list does not draw undue suspicion?

Bill Murray wrote:
1) I mean to say that if we get 20 people as opposed to 25 I will make it 16 vs 4

anything else?

My mafia experience is limited, but every game with a complete specific character list I have seen played (I've played in two) was a devastating victory for town. At some point in the game there is mass role claiming. Assuming all townies are truthful and mafia lying, that immediately brings the number of suspicious people down to #mafia x2. I'm not saying it's impossible to have a game like this balanced, but it takes a lot away from the game when, for instance here, there's only 10 people worth scouring for mafia and you effectively have 15 confirmed townies.

To offset this, when there are characters in a given game, one common solution is to give the mafia a 'safe list' of what they can role claim without worry of being contested. There's still the problem here where say a player claims Ron Weasly and goes uncontested, they are nearly a confirmed townie because that role was almost certainly included in the game design. A crafty mod could leave one or two of these out just for the mafia's benefit though. To follow through on this with what you've already posted as well as preserve some integrity of mafia role claims, you could just list 25 town aligned roles and have 5 that just don't get assigned to town (and given to mafia as their safe list).

I'm sure there are other ways to balance this as well. I just see complete uncontested character lists given at the start of game as a huge town advantage. Just my thoughts on the matter.



^ YellowInk


Show nested quote +
1. I am the mod. My word is law. I reserve the right to change any rules for game-breaking



I will not be accepting name claims to occur in this game unless I am sure it will be balanced or your role PM specifically states otherwise. You may spell claim, or claim whatever nonsense you want, but try not to break the game.

"Not Slytherin,eh?" said the small voice. "Are you sure? You could be great, you know, it's all here in your head, and Slytherin will help you on the way to greatness, no doubt about that--- no?

There was some discussion after this, but ended without a clear result.

Re oddities in electoral positions: Note that the Minster of Magic does not have 3 votes. They get a weak form of bodyguard protection and choose the day 1 lynch. Note that the Governor does not get bodyguard protection and an indeterminate number of chances to pardon. This role seems nearly useless for town and incredibly powerful in death eater hands. I would wonder if it has some usefulness to 3rd parties.

Policy decision: I think it may be a good policy to straight up say right now that if the Governor ever uses their power, we must hang the Governor the next day. We have masons, but I think that if we have a mason Governor it would just look too suspicious for them to save a mason anyhow. I would rather keep a death eater off gaining more than one day from this power guaranteed than for a potential town mason Governor to use this (since the town mason Governor has no way to confirm that the target is a mason anyway by rules).

I have skimmed the thread to pick up the important bits but definitely not carefully enough to pick up on behavior, so I'll have to spend some more time on this. Still, it's just day 1, reads aren't the best. Also, prospective MoMs, if you havn't already, please indicate your interest for day 1 lynch and thoughts on how to organize.


Okay, YellowInk soft claims a useful role or useful spell set I guess, and talks more on simple issues that...well...we would do anyway. Duh lynch the pardoner who fought the majority. Duh the BG protection is weak. Duh the mafia gain a day with a pardoner. He also speaks about BM not allowing name claiming (which he does now allow...or doesn't again?)

Basically...I don't like soft claiming...And then progressing with a "policy decision"

An interesting post now...
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=131008&currentpage=12#229
+ Show Spoiler +

On June 23 2010 02:56 YellowInk wrote:
@ day 1 lynching policy: Unless a good red argument is presented, I would go after whomever is least active that is not going to be modkilled. We need people to be active to root out the red, so I encourage everyone to post frequently.

@ existance of bus driver: I am sure this is a game full of spells. Be wary of when and how you use them. The bus driver is devastating if they can predict your movements.

@ existance of godfather: With 4 death eaters and one being godfather, investigation seems even less useful than ever. If your investigations are of a limited number, use them wisely. If they are extremely limited, I would probably wait until you have someone analyzed on behavior before trying to check them out.

@ DT investigations of me: I'm going to try to avoid wasting any of our investigations by saying that I would not be a good target for this. Whether you believe that makes me pro town or pro mafia is up to you. However I will say that in a few days if I am under heavy suspicion and people come after me with a lynch I should have enough substance to be able to defend myself and show myself to be town.

@ medics: Whether this claim makes me worth of protecting or not is up to you. I would recommend slightly against protecting me as I would hate to see multiple medics covering me. It's good to keep the death eaters guessing on their targets, though. My partial claim should serve this well.

Because I have come forward to say these things, I think that this would make me an ideal Governor. If I am red and end up being forced to use my pardon early, you will lynch me and my partner the following day - town would be in an excellent position. Since I have stated that if I come under suspicion later in the game I will likely be able to defend myself, you could use that to see that I am not red and therefore not have to worry about getting ambushed by a pardon effect in the late game.

I would be fine if chosen as Minister of Magic as well, but I think with what I have claimed that the death eaters would not target me in the unprotected role of Governor due to fear of being blocked by a medic.


Okay, we've all been talking about that we need to be active. Some people aren't going to be. You changed your lynch policy pretty face when I agreed that I would vote for you if you ran to lynch DC...Your partial claim should serve what well? That you get medic protection? The mafia would like that if you were, but you tried to push it off right...Oh wait...Then you said you'd probably get it anyway...whole thing wild eh?
And with regards to the bolded part...
Why pardon? I mean...You don't have to even if it is a mafia member. We all know that. It'd be better to not pardon in many instances. And you keep emphasizing you would rather have the pardon. Just like Radfield...wild I say!
On June 23 2010 06:31 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2010 06:06 ~OpZ~ wrote:
Hey, if you wanna kill DC I'll vote for you....So tell me you'll kill him and get a vote yellowink


I'll bite. I don't have a read on DCLXVI either way. If I'm elected MoM (which I think is unlikely), I'll lynch DCLXVI unless there is some other compelling argument.

DCLXVI, don't take this the wrong way, I don't think I'll be elected MoM anyhow. You should vote for me to get me into Gov if you have faith in me over the other two candidates. I believe you do since you voted for Roffles.

I have to agree with the sentiment of not liking the Amber[light] & Radfield together ticket.

Lol...So nice...He still wants to be Governor....

Supporters of the YellowInk:
ElyAs
JohnnySpazz
LaXerCannon (Townie/Killed)


and
Please begin
On June 24 2010 02:07 Hesmyrr wrote:
Is night over? Want to start analyzing soon.

[/QUOTE]

The part I agree with is that his soft role claim is very suspicious, since he was using it to push his election, notably pushing to get the pardoner position which is always great for mafia -- he gets the benefit of some town trust that comes with a blue claim, while avoiding having to prove himself by claiming being able to use a specific spell. He's also been a little more slippery and less of a town leader this game than in XVI when I played with him, which makes me a little more suspicious of him. I guess I'm about 60% leaning towards mafia for YI.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 20:36 GMT
#363
fixed post above:

Man opz, your post is a clusterfuck. Try to organize your thoughts better in the future. Regardless, you've brought forth some interesting ideas.

On June 25 2010 03:07 ~OpZ~ wrote:
First another thing I noticed...Radfield didn't die night one so we should lynch him today. He's clearly mafia.


I agree it's suspicious that mafia didn't go after radfield, but it does make some sense that they'd avoid hitting him. Since he doesn't have auror protection, he's a likely candidate for medic protection and as such a risky target.

Besides, his lack of interest in becoming elected in the first place and doing just about nothing to gain votes after he was nominated makes me lean towards him being town. Not that I think he's a terribly useful player anyway, and the pardoner position is really only useful only in mafia hands in this kind of setup... so I would be very fine with seeing him get lynched, I just hope we can come up with some more juicy targets that are more likely to be mafia at this point.


Show nested quote +
On June 15 2010 06:16 YellowInk wrote:
On June 15 2010 06:01 BrownBear wrote:
I would think to balance it out, nameclaiming in the thread would = modkill.


Another flaw with any attempt to moderate whether you can explicitly name claim is that it can be unfair to deny a claim that you are a given name. For instance, can I say, "I am NOT Ron Weasly?" This gets to be a really slippery slope. If I can only deny claims made against me, I could just ask everyone to throw claims at me until they hit me, etc, an obvious breach of the spirit of the rules. Even if it weren't so blatant, it's clearly going in a direction that you do not intend. If we can't say, "I am NOT Ron Weasly," then suppose a player says I am either Ron Weasly or mafia (perhaps based on my list of abilities). It gets very messy as to how I can go about defending myself without saying whether or not I am Ron Weasly while still trying to show myself to be non-mafia.

tl;dr it's really hard to moderate this kind of thing when accusations start getting thrown around.

*Yawn* YellowInk's first posts in the thread are about game balance and things like that. These can not be used to judge him at all and do not fall for the "I was trying to help." Why yes, yes you were, but this was before you got your role PM that possibly coulda been Death Eater.
Now it gets interesting
First post of substance by yellowink
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=131008&currentpage=10#186
+ Show Spoiler +

On June 22 2010 13:42 YellowInk wrote:
MOD request: Please edit the rules to reflect actual gameplay. Upon reviewing the thread I have noticed scattered rule changes that do not appear reflected in the original post. As the thread gets larger, I will of course do my best to follow all of the rules you have set out, but we will all be using the original post as our core reference.

Re my inactivity: I thought we were on a Monday start due to requests to avoid Father's day, so I did not check in here. No worries, I will be plenty active in this game, but now I have a tarnished opening record. =\

Re my nomination for MoM: I am fine with running for minister here. I don't think that I have any special qualifications beyond the other two candidates posed except, well, that I know I am town. But supposedly so do they, so yeah. If people feel that I would be a valuable choice in the election, I would gladly take the role to at least keep it out of death eater or even independant hands. My spellset would mesh reasonably well with an elected role, but regardless of election will need to remain concealed to keep its optimal efficiency.

Re roleclaiming: Bill Murray has stated that we cannot mass roleclaim. We may not name claim. + Show Spoiler +
On June 15 2010 05:09 Bill Murray wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 15 2010 04:11 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +

YellowInk wrote:
You stated at the start that the list of roles was "neither limited by nor restricted to" the list given, though you put up precisely 20 town roles. Will you be giving the mafia a list of "safe" (non-contested) roles that they can claim? For balance sake will the actual list of town roles be sufficiently branched off from the posted list that roleclaiming outside the given list does not draw undue suspicion?

Bill Murray wrote:
1) I mean to say that if we get 20 people as opposed to 25 I will make it 16 vs 4

anything else?

My mafia experience is limited, but every game with a complete specific character list I have seen played (I've played in two) was a devastating victory for town. At some point in the game there is mass role claiming. Assuming all townies are truthful and mafia lying, that immediately brings the number of suspicious people down to #mafia x2. I'm not saying it's impossible to have a game like this balanced, but it takes a lot away from the game when, for instance here, there's only 10 people worth scouring for mafia and you effectively have 15 confirmed townies.

To offset this, when there are characters in a given game, one common solution is to give the mafia a 'safe list' of what they can role claim without worry of being contested. There's still the problem here where say a player claims Ron Weasly and goes uncontested, they are nearly a confirmed townie because that role was almost certainly included in the game design. A crafty mod could leave one or two of these out just for the mafia's benefit though. To follow through on this with what you've already posted as well as preserve some integrity of mafia role claims, you could just list 25 town aligned roles and have 5 that just don't get assigned to town (and given to mafia as their safe list).

I'm sure there are other ways to balance this as well. I just see complete uncontested character lists given at the start of game as a huge town advantage. Just my thoughts on the matter.



^ YellowInk


Show nested quote +
1. I am the mod. My word is law. I reserve the right to change any rules for game-breaking



I will not be accepting name claims to occur in this game unless I am sure it will be balanced or your role PM specifically states otherwise. You may spell claim, or claim whatever nonsense you want, but try not to break the game.

"Not Slytherin,eh?" said the small voice. "Are you sure? You could be great, you know, it's all here in your head, and Slytherin will help you on the way to greatness, no doubt about that--- no?

There was some discussion after this, but ended without a clear result.

Re oddities in electoral positions: Note that the Minster of Magic does not have 3 votes. They get a weak form of bodyguard protection and choose the day 1 lynch. Note that the Governor does not get bodyguard protection and an indeterminate number of chances to pardon. This role seems nearly useless for town and incredibly powerful in death eater hands. I would wonder if it has some usefulness to 3rd parties.

Policy decision: I think it may be a good policy to straight up say right now that if the Governor ever uses their power, we must hang the Governor the next day. We have masons, but I think that if we have a mason Governor it would just look too suspicious for them to save a mason anyhow. I would rather keep a death eater off gaining more than one day from this power guaranteed than for a potential town mason Governor to use this (since the town mason Governor has no way to confirm that the target is a mason anyway by rules).

I have skimmed the thread to pick up the important bits but definitely not carefully enough to pick up on behavior, so I'll have to spend some more time on this. Still, it's just day 1, reads aren't the best. Also, prospective MoMs, if you havn't already, please indicate your interest for day 1 lynch and thoughts on how to organize.


Okay, YellowInk soft claims a useful role or useful spell set I guess, and talks more on simple issues that...well...we would do anyway. Duh lynch the pardoner who fought the majority. Duh the BG protection is weak. Duh the mafia gain a day with a pardoner. He also speaks about BM not allowing name claiming (which he does now allow...or doesn't again?)

Basically...I don't like soft claiming...And then progressing with a "policy decision"

An interesting post now...
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=131008&currentpage=12#229
+ Show Spoiler +

On June 23 2010 02:56 YellowInk wrote:
@ day 1 lynching policy: Unless a good red argument is presented, I would go after whomever is least active that is not going to be modkilled. We need people to be active to root out the red, so I encourage everyone to post frequently.

@ existance of bus driver: I am sure this is a game full of spells. Be wary of when and how you use them. The bus driver is devastating if they can predict your movements.

@ existance of godfather: With 4 death eaters and one being godfather, investigation seems even less useful than ever. If your investigations are of a limited number, use them wisely. If they are extremely limited, I would probably wait until you have someone analyzed on behavior before trying to check them out.

@ DT investigations of me: I'm going to try to avoid wasting any of our investigations by saying that I would not be a good target for this. Whether you believe that makes me pro town or pro mafia is up to you. However I will say that in a few days if I am under heavy suspicion and people come after me with a lynch I should have enough substance to be able to defend myself and show myself to be town.

@ medics: Whether this claim makes me worth of protecting or not is up to you. I would recommend slightly against protecting me as I would hate to see multiple medics covering me. It's good to keep the death eaters guessing on their targets, though. My partial claim should serve this well.

Because I have come forward to say these things, I think that this would make me an ideal Governor. If I am red and end up being forced to use my pardon early, you will lynch me and my partner the following day - town would be in an excellent position. Since I have stated that if I come under suspicion later in the game I will likely be able to defend myself, you could use that to see that I am not red and therefore not have to worry about getting ambushed by a pardon effect in the late game.

I would be fine if chosen as Minister of Magic as well, but I think with what I have claimed that the death eaters would not target me in the unprotected role of Governor due to fear of being blocked by a medic.


Okay, we've all been talking about that we need to be active. Some people aren't going to be. You changed your lynch policy pretty face when I agreed that I would vote for you if you ran to lynch DC...Your partial claim should serve what well? That you get medic protection? The mafia would like that if you were, but you tried to push it off right...Oh wait...Then you said you'd probably get it anyway...whole thing wild eh?
And with regards to the bolded part...
Why pardon? I mean...You don't have to even if it is a mafia member. We all know that. It'd be better to not pardon in many instances. And you keep emphasizing you would rather have the pardon. Just like Radfield...wild I say!
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2010 06:31 YellowInk wrote:
On June 23 2010 06:06 ~OpZ~ wrote:
Hey, if you wanna kill DC I'll vote for you....So tell me you'll kill him and get a vote yellowink


I'll bite. I don't have a read on DCLXVI either way. If I'm elected MoM (which I think is unlikely), I'll lynch DCLXVI unless there is some other compelling argument.

DCLXVI, don't take this the wrong way, I don't think I'll be elected MoM anyhow. You should vote for me to get me into Gov if you have faith in me over the other two candidates. I believe you do since you voted for Roffles.

I have to agree with the sentiment of not liking the Amber[light] & Radfield together ticket.

Lol...So nice...He still wants to be Governor....

Supporters of the YellowInk:
ElyAs
JohnnySpazz
LaXerCannon (Townie/Killed)


and
Please begin
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2010 02:07 Hesmyrr wrote:
Is night over? Want to start analyzing soon.



The part I agree with is that his soft role claim is very suspicious, since he was using it to push his election, notably pushing to get the pardoner position which is always great for mafia -- he gets the benefit of some town trust that comes with a blue claim, while avoiding having to prove himself by claiming being able to use a specific spell. He's also been a little more slippery and less of a town leader this game than in XVI when I played with him, which makes me a little more suspicious of him. I guess I'm about 60% leaning towards mafia for YI.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 21:48 GMT
#367
On June 25 2010 06:37 zeks wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 25 2010 03:27 Bill Murray wrote:
"He also speaks about BM not allowing name claiming (which he does now allow...or doesn't again?)"

I don't mind name claiming if you are not a mason


Hi guys, I don't see why we're not starting to do this right now?


because it gives death eaters an extremely easy way to hit blues, and is an even worse idea now that one of our doctors is dead. the benefit for the town is it might put death eaters into an awkward position having to choose names. Also note that masons will either be lying about their name or not claim at all and you have a messy situation to sort through for the town while death eaters are picking off blues! sounds like a wonderful idea to me.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 24 2010 23:47 GMT
#383
Posting Analysis:


johnnyspazz
Notable posts:
#102: nominates YI for MoM before YI posts
{next few} responds to questions/statements regarding setup with simple answers
#254: states he will vote for amber because he think amber is blue
#259: wants amber for MoM and YI for pardoner
#260: expresses that he doesn't want radfield to be pardoner
#329: criticizes abenson for posting weak analysis
#338: more discussion about obvious rules, hypothesizes that there is a 3rd party serial killer that made the 2nd kill last night

Connected to:
strongly to YellowInk, mildly to amber

Comments:
johnnyspazz has focused most of his effort towards responding to inquiries about rules, and discussing minor points without really contributing to overall town strategy. This is the sort of thing you see with people who want to make the appearance of actively contributing to the town while really not doing so in a significant way, but it's also the sort of thing you see with semi active townies.

He was also a supporter of YI being elected for pardoner, which is rather strange -- combined with the random people that jumped on the YI bandwagon towards the end of the voting, he's looking a tad suspicious.

On the other hand, when it was looking very close at the end of the voting, johnnyspazz did not change his vote from amber to YI -- this doesn't really add up in either the case he's mafia supporting the mafioso YI or if he's townie, so I'm rather confused by that. Care to explain, johnnyspazz?

I'm about 50/50 on him, no read either way as of yet.


YellowInk

Notable posts:
{First 5 or 6} Before roles were sent out, he commented thoughtfully on the setup of the game to make it balanced.
ROLES SENT OUT
#186-189: more discussion on balance, asks BM to post his scattered addendum to the rules in the OP
#229: asks not to be rolechecked by detectives so as to not waste them, says he feels confident in defending himself later on if he becomes a serious suspect. also softclaims blue and guns for an elected position. half asks for medic protection but says he doesn't want multiple people protecting him.
#248: criticizes inactives
#255: says he'd lynch DCLXVI if he was elected MoM, doesn't like amber/radfield running "together", later cites this as his reason for running for MoM
#364: more criticizing of inactives

Connected to:
Mildly: ~Opz~ (responded to opz asking for DCLXVI to be lynched to further his campaign)

Comments:
I already discussed Yi briefly a few posts ago in response to Opz's criticism of him, but I'll start from scratch here in order to put things into proper context.

This is definitely not the YI from mafia XVI. I don't know for sure whether he's busier now, laying (semi) low with a powerful blue role, or mafia. Honestly, he was more active before the game started! He may well be spending the time he spent in XVI and right before this game started discussing detailed plans with mafia. If nothing else, it's hypocritical to stomp in and criticize inactives while at the same time not contributing much yourself (he had only 2 posts of real substance that I saw after the game started).

Now the things that really make me suspicious of him are:
--he gunned for an elected position, mostly supported by random people who didn't justify their votes.
--he soft claimed blue in the hope of garnering more votes, without actually revealing what he can do so he can't be held accountable later.

I don't have a solid read on him, but I'm definitely leaning towards mafia.

Thoughts?
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 25 2010 16:29 GMT
#425
Well I'm in favor of lynching either lakrismamma or abenson. here are my thoughts on the matter:

Lakrismamma:
in favor of lynching: inactive, useless to us
not in favor of lynching: midsummer party is a really big thing in his country... and it's supposed to be big, so I do buy his story to some extent... who would let a mafia game get in the way of the biggest party of the year?

the problem, though, is that same story would fit if he were mafia. so... my read on him is like 60% vanilla townie, 10% blue, 30% mafia.

abenson
in favor of lynching: inactive, self-preserving behavior trying not to get modkilled or noticed as particularly inactive, was rather defensive earlier when people said he was inactive. Also, he doesn't have a valid excuse for inactivity
not in favor of lynching:: he could just be a bored vanilla townie, posted content about the kills from night 1.

my read on him is around 45% vanilla townie, 45% mafia, 10% blue.

AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 25 2010 16:36 GMT
#430
jspazz i don't think modkills are happening this game unless BM has changed his mind. He would instead be substituted with another player like subversion was replaced with thegilaboy. I agree the chance of him being mafia is slim though. who else do you think we should consider?
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 25 2010 16:42 GMT
#431
On June 26 2010 01:33 ~OpZ~ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 26 2010 01:29 AcrossFiveJulys wrote:
Well I'm in favor of lynching either lakrismamma or abenson. here are my thoughts on the matter:

Lakrismamma:
in favor of lynching: inactive, useless to us
not in favor of lynching: midsummer party is a really big thing in his country... and it's supposed to be big, so I do buy his story to some extent... who would let a mafia game get in the way of the biggest party of the year?

the problem, though, is that same story would fit if he were mafia. so... my read on him is like 60% vanilla townie, 10% blue, 30% mafia.

abenson
in favor of lynching: inactive, self-preserving behavior trying not to get modkilled or noticed as particularly inactive, was rather defensive earlier when people said he was inactive. Also, he doesn't have a valid excuse for inactivity
not in favor of lynching:: he could just be a bored vanilla townie, posted content about the kills from night 1.

my read on him is around 45% vanilla townie, 45% mafia, 10% blue.


Honestly. I'm in favor of lynching Radfield or YellowInk. TBH we get more information from either of them being lynched.

=/


Did you read my analysis of YI? I do get a strange vibe from him and would be quite alright with him being lynched. I'm always keen on going after suspicious looking higher profile people after the inactivity lynch on day 1 since you get much more information out of the lynch. Also, I just realized that I don't think lynching radfield is an option because he can just pardon himself (or can he? it doesn't say in the OP), which gives us little information on whether he's town or mafia.
AcrossFiveJulys
Profile Blog Joined September 2005
United States3612 Posts
June 25 2010 21:51 GMT
#457
I see abenson as a better candidate than lakrismamma if we want to play it conservatively. I am still quite suspicious of YellowInk tbh, but am fine with waiting another day to see if he slips up given that others don't seem to feel strongly enough about him to lynch him.

Let's not forgot the middle of the line posters:

Jugan: mostly defending himself from accusations, a lot of one liner posts, no real contributions to the town plan? death eater? maybe so.

Jayme: hugely disproportionate time posting in other threads on TL vs in this thread, and not too many posts in this thread overall. check out his posts:
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/search.php?q=&t=c&f=-1&u=Jayme&gb=date

His posting here, sparse as it has been, has been relatively insightful though.

JeeJee: also hugely disproportionate time posting in other threads versus this thread. he hasn't posted much, but his last few posts have just been accusing elyas, which imo is fairly grounded, yet he's not pushing for it even though he feels strongly about it -- strange?

ElyAs: recent activity consists of a somewhat thoughtful analysis of myself and zeks as well as responding to jeejee's accusations of him in a satisfactory manner.

If I had to pick one person to lynch today it would be YI, but my second choice would be Jugan. Since people seem against going after YI today, which I understand, I'll go ahead and start a vote for Jugan because he is tinted red through my current vision.

Also, I'd like to say that I am fairly confident that johnnyspazz is town at this point given his response to my question of him a few pages back.
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