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TL Mafia XXVI

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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1 2 3 Next All
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
May 27 2010 21:13 GMT
#22
I'm in again
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 04 2010 23:08 GMT
#457
I'm back
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 02:18 GMT
#479
On June 05 2010 08:18 ElyAs wrote:
So, LaXerCannon. Did you receive a PM from DarthThienAn ? :o


Yes I did
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 02:20 GMT
#480
On June 05 2010 09:41 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 05 2010 09:36 crate wrote:
Well looks like it's Darth for mayor and YellowInk for pardoner.

Any more thoughts on who you're lynching, Darth?


Yesh, I'm gonna be lynching jiabung, unless someone comes up with a good defense for him for some reason. He's as good a target as TyranoS in terms of clues and inactivity, etc. However, some people have been pushing for TyranoS without much explanation - something mafia can do quite easily without being noticed/looking suspicious. So as a bit of a precaution / to hopefully increase our chances at hitting mafia, lynch target is gonna be jiabung.

^props to YI for pointing this out to me through PM.


Anyone who was thinking about zeks: zeks is too active for a day 1 lynch - inactivity over "possible" scum. Maybe later if we think so, but not today for sure.

I don't remember if they were any other potential targets. Oh, LaXer has posted an "I'm back" post - still not off the hook for inactivity, but it's nice to see him alive.


Sorry, I'll be posting more regularly now - I forgot to take note of when this round started so I didn't post until I got your PM
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 03:07 GMT
#491
Some quick, maybe sloppy analysis as I skim through the profiles.

The format is:
Name
The hint
Why it's relevant


+ Show Spoiler +
Hugoboss21 :
Hint: However, on his way out, he passed by the receptionist’s desk
“People that leave games. Make me think fondly of death.”

Hint: He noticed he was being followed
“Loves playing…spy at TF2

Crate:
Hint: He was struck by a speeding car
“I saw a car”

Onihunter:
Hint: BloodyC0bbler dead and floating in town fountain
“I’ve been swimming ever since…”

Hint: a thrown knife while walking down the hallway
Hunters use knives >__>

MooCow:
Hint: BloodyC0bbler dead and floating in town fountain
“I tread water for three days in a row.”

AcrossFiveJulys:
Hint: showering Incognito with burning hot…
“burn your wings”

Yellowink:
Hint: the printer exploded…burning hot ink
“YellowInk”

DCLXVI:
Hint: showered Incognito with burning hot ink, hitting him in the face
His profile picture looks like a guy hit in the face with black ink.

DCLXVI:
Hint: he was struck by a speeding car
“I’m just borrowing your Humvee!”

TyranoS_NiveK:
Hint: BloodyC0bbler dead and floating in town fountain
“I tread water for three days in a row.”

BrownBear:
Hint: a figure rush forward.
Like a bear attacking?

Misder
Hint: The lack of description regarding the method used to kill BloodyC0bbler
“Nothing happens in my life. The end”

Pyr0ma5ta
Hint: showering incognito with burning hot…
Pyromasta -> fire

Deconduo
Hint: BloodyC0bbler dead and floating in town fountain
Profile picture has water in it
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 16:12 GMT
#523
On June 05 2010 21:36 MooCow wrote:
Whoa lots of reading after waking up!

The first posts that kind of "shocked" me were LaXerCannon and 3 Lions, just because they haven't been very active and they start the night phase by instantly trying to link people to clues. I know 3L gave a reason but meh seems a bit suspicious to me.


What would you like me to do then ? I just thought I'd do something before I went to sleep or I'd be hounded more for being inactive.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 16:30 GMT
#527
On June 06 2010 01:25 YellowInk wrote:
To clean out the shadows, so to speak, I'd like to propose a clear policy of anti-inactivity. In these early days before we have any good targets to hang (if for some reason we do get good targets to hang we will of course go after named scum as a priority), I suggest that we target those who are inactive. The large scale purpose of this is not that I actually desire to hang anyone due to inactivity (since unfortunately most of these people are likely to be town - especially so in a game filled with new players), but to impress the importance that we cannot effectively combat the scum if people lurk.

Therefore, I propose the following requirements to all posters: You must post your thoughts on at least four different people each day. Give reasoning (this is important). These thoughts must be spaced out such that two of these posts must be at least 12 hours apart. That is to say you can talk about 3 people at one point, then just sometime later in the day you have to give thoughts on another person. This is a bare minimum requirement. I encourage people who really are town to go ahead and post as much of their thoughts as they are willing.

It is also important that you post as much original thought as you can. Since this is not something easily judged, I'm not putting it in the above requirements. However the mafia will be forced to conceal their intentions in some way - and one of the easiest ways they could choose to do so is to just parrot the thoughts that others have already expressed. So if you're town, don't do this! You may agree with their thoughts and voice that you do so agree, just don't count it as one of your four thoughts for the day.

The consequence for failure to meet this policy will be that you will be eligible to be hung solely on the basis of your inactivity. In this early game, we will often not have great scum targets. If everyone were to talk a lot, we might have some decent reads on folk. Furthermore, we'd have more information in the mid to late game from all of this early talk to figure out who is mafia.

Please discuss your thoughts on this policy. This is something the town has to agree upon since people are lynched by majority vote. I think it is clear how this policy will have a long term effect of benefiting town.


I'd like to know why you would want this especially since it would mean hell for some people (me) as it would require getting on the computer before going to school to meet this requirement.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 16:33 GMT
#529
That's not to say I mind everything else with that policy
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 16:39 GMT
#534
On June 06 2010 01:39 YellowInk wrote:
@LaXerCannon and Thegilaboy concerns expressed

I don't see why the 12 hour thing is a challenge. You have a 48 hour window. This means you could post at hour 0 and hour 40 and you'd be fine. Or you could post at hour 24 and hour 36. It doesn't much matter to me. I'm sure almost everyone here has a job/school/regular obligations. Over the course of 48 hours you should be able to find two times to post.

The purpose of the 12 hour policy is to prevent someone from sitting down and posting once (or in one sitting nearly back to back) in the entire 48 hours. I want to hear your impressions at different times in the day (at least twice). Does this make more sense?


Sorry, I thought you meant day as in an actual 24 hour day
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 05 2010 17:20 GMT
#538
At this point, I'm waiting for the day post.

I'm not very good at analyzing behaviors and such. I could give it a go if I really have to but I prefer to just analyze clues. I've already failed at analyzing behavior in a mafia game in the past (Ace's mafia world).

As for the sloppy analysis I posted beforehand, I'll be fixing it up and adding more to it when the following day post comes out.

Through clues alone, I'm suspecting Hugoboss21 and DCLXVI but I don't really have enough clues to go on.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:06 GMT
#619
Some quick thoughts connecting clues to people:


TheGilaboy
+ Show Spoiler +
The DT in his picture corresponds to the “stealthily kept to the shadows” and also the “in an instant his life had been snuffed out” kind of like a DT slash: one swing is deadly
The picture of the stalker also corresponds to the way the masked figure followed ElyAs.


Moocow
+ Show Spoiler +
The profile in his picture looks like someone keeping stealthily intot he shadows (the masked figure).
The masked figure runs fast and Moocow has “I am a dynamic figure” in his profile.
Then again, it sucks to have so many ways to have clues connect to you.



Icysoul
+ Show Spoiler +
Barth died to a weight push against him. Icysoul has the profile saying “Nothing can stand in the way of overwhelming power~”


TyranoS_NiveK
+ Show Spoiler +
DT in his profile picture which corresponds to the masked figure.
The masked figure runs fast and TyranoS_NiveK has “I am a dynamic figure” in his profile. Same problem with moocow: too many ways to have clues connect to him


CompX
+ Show Spoiler +
The weight that pushed barth out the window could be “tiny the stone GIANT!!”
His profile involves sleep; barth was about to sleep before his final moments.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:09 GMT
#621
On June 06 2010 12:05 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2010 11:55 MooCow wrote:
Well the ninja/stealth like suspects from the profiles are:

TheGilaboy http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/1_TheGilaboy.jpg
zeks http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/14_zeks.jpg
TyranoS_NiveK http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/18_TyranoS_NiveK.jpg


I see the connection with Zeks - he has a ninja in his profile. It's why he came up before.

Why is TheGilaboy included? Isn't that just a zealot on the left? On the right I'm not so sure what it is. And the same with TyranoS_NiveK, that's just a zealot.


zealots have blue blades, dts have green
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:10 GMT
#622
to add on, TheGilaboy's picture has a protoss with only one blade; zealots have two.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:16 GMT
#628
On June 06 2010 12:11 YellowInk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2010 12:09 LaXerCannon wrote:
On June 06 2010 12:05 YellowInk wrote:
On June 06 2010 11:55 MooCow wrote:
Well the ninja/stealth like suspects from the profiles are:

TheGilaboy http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/1_TheGilaboy.jpg
zeks http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/14_zeks.jpg
TyranoS_NiveK http://www.teamliquid.net/staff/flamewheel/TL_Mafia_XXVI/18_TyranoS_NiveK.jpg


I see the connection with Zeks - he has a ninja in his profile. It's why he came up before.

Why is TheGilaboy included? Isn't that just a zealot on the left? On the right I'm not so sure what it is. And the same with TyranoS_NiveK, that's just a zealot.


zealots have blue blades, dts have green


Ah, I see. I have been out-geeked. I thought DTs had scythes not straight blades.


Both of the designs are technically right as they're both dts (blizzard made the scythe one as a model in SCII to please the fans) ; the only way you can tell for sure is the color of the blade

...you know you play too much sc when...
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:17 GMT
#629
On June 06 2010 12:14 YellowInk wrote:
It's worth noting in particular that both with this kill and with a clue in the opening there was specifically a knife involved. To me, this points much more heavily towards an actual ninja than a DT. That being said, there may be other places we can link this besides Zeks' ninja.


I'll try finding more ninja references tomorrow after some sleep.

Good Night everyone
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:40 GMT
#638
On June 06 2010 12:35 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 06 2010 12:19 YellowInk wrote:
Now barth was defenestrated. I was sure I read something about defenestration in someone's profile - does anyone remember off the top of their head?


defenestration? what is that? o.O


Another thing that might be a clue is " ElyAs moved quickly, breaking into a quick run, hoping to make it back home before he was overtaken. However, he was not to make it." which suggests someone who is a fast runner - not sure we have anyone like that though. The killer also beats ElyAs to the town courthouse in the post.

Of course, the main thing here is stealth - LD, it's true that stealth is usually present in all mafia-death-stories, but in this case, I think it's worth considering, only because of how accented the stealth of the killer is. He was "a masked figure" and "stealthily kept to the shadows" which is pretty explicit. A knife is a normal tool, but combined with the thrown knife from Day 1, I'd consider it significant.


As for barth's death, I'm not sure what to make of it... a weight pushed on him, to make him go OUTSIDE. so the weight come from inside - could've just been a normal person there pushing him, or it could've been a trap of some sort, with swinging weights etc. Seems more subtle than that though.


Looks like i'm not sleeping yet (damn youtube videos)

Defendestration is the act of throwing someone out the window
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 03:42 GMT
#639
defenestration*
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 14:06 GMT
#676
On June 06 2010 16:03 DCLXVI wrote:
Well many of the "clues" that people are making connections to I find to be far fetched. I think that trying to hang someone off the clues is a bad idea and either some stronger connections should be made or we should focus more on reading into what people say and wait for more "clues". Granted ignoring information is a bad idea, I just think that right now we could get farther by reading into what people say since they should be posting more.
And by every post mentioning TheGilaBoy you mean everyone posting "DTs in his profile!" or the fortress-barricade "connection" which is about the townies, not the killer... yes really, please list a few. The only other plausible one I find is the gila monster - poison one.

-Really LaXerCannon? do you just want to take the heat off you that you vote 40 hours early? What could possibly have made you make up your mind so quickly about this?


Sorry if you saw it that way, I really just want to vote based on clues.

From TheGilaboy, I naturally see the weak DT connection but I also see other connections:

ElyAs was being stalked and BloodyC0bbler was as well in day 1 and the fact that he has a stalker in his profile helps, but what really made me vote for him was the fact that the masked figure beat ElyAs to the courthouse even though he was being followed. If the masked figure really passed ElyAs, don't you think the murderer would've killed ElyAs as he passed him?

My only plausible explanation is that the masked figure blinked which is an ability for the stalker.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 06 2010 23:00 GMT
#732
Analysis: TheGilaBoy
- Claims to be new to Mafia
+ Show Spoiler +
- Post 169 contains his attempts at connecting people to the drowning clue.
[note: I missed this the first time around but the day 1 post never explicitly state that BloddyC0bbler died from drowning. He could’ve died from a weapon and then was thrown into the fountain]
-Post 175, connects DCLXVI and jianbung to clues
-Post 207, requests jiabung to be added on list of suspects
-Post 269, expresses doubt against YellowInk, feels it is too early to vote
-Post 344, still requires more material from candidates, leaning towards Darth
-Post 396, suddenly decides to vote for YellowInk because he’s attracted a lot of attention (his reason for doubting YellowInk in post 269 was because he was eager to get into office)
-Post 435, concurs with LunarDestiny, expresses doubt towards Misder but not BrownBear
-Post 525, reiterates that he is new to mafia and is overwhelmed by some of it. Promises to be more vocal. Becomes less wary of YellowInk and Darth. Suspects Deucegladlier.
-Post 597, “I feel at least one of [YI and Darth] could be scum, but not very sure of that”
-Post 651, Links clues, promises to take a better look soon.


One thing I picked up was his initial reluctance to vote for YellowInk and then suddenly voting for YellowInk with his sole reason being "he's attracted a lot of attention". I don't have much to go on; thus I'll keep my vote on him as a placeholder until I find someone else that's suspicious.
Just keep swimming
LaXerCannon
Profile Joined October 2008
Canada558 Posts
June 07 2010 01:25 GMT
#749
If you look at the time of the day 1 vote, mine was significantly ahead of any others. I've given my reasons for it and if I wasn't clear on anything, feel free to ask me
Just keep swimming
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