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Which region will win IEM Katowice 2022?

Forum Index > SC2 General
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TL.net Bot
Profile Joined June 2004
TL.net131 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-17 16:39:30
February 17 2022 16:38 GMT
#1
Discussion thread for frontpage poll: Which region will win IEM Katowice 2022?
Poopi
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France12875 Posts
February 17 2022 16:42 GMT
#2
I expect Korea to win it, unless too many competitors got covid and can't play or something.
Best chance for Rest of the world are obviously Serral, Clem and Reynor, but Korea has Dark, Rogue, Zest, Maru, Trap who all have a great shot of winning as well, so it's hard to predict right away without the bracket.
WriterMaru
Ciaus_Dronu
Profile Joined June 2017
South Africa1848 Posts
February 17 2022 16:58 GMT
#3
My personal (highly useless) estimate is that the chance one of Maru, Rogue, Dark, Zest win it is at least 50%. Maru and Rogue especially have been killing it.
Of the foreigners in their forms we've seen recently, I think Serral is the only one with a real competitive shot at it.

So feeling KR pretty strongly for this year.
Drfilip
Profile Joined March 2013
Sweden590 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-17 17:32:16
February 17 2022 17:30 GMT
#4
Although Serral is still highly regarded by everyone, he isn't good enough to tip the scale vs the number of top players from Korea.
My list of likely winners are
1. Rogue
2. Serral
3. Maru
4. Dark
5. Trap
6. Reynor
7. Zest
Long shot 8 (as in I do not truly believe, although...) herO

I think there is a noticeable difference between top 3 and the rest. Rogue lives on old merits of topping his form to perform in high stakes matches. Maru looks better than both Serral and Rogue, but he often loses in some surprising way in the biggest tournaments. Serral has a very, very high floor to contrast Rogue's ridiculous ceiling.

I hope that Clem can regain his form from first half of this year of ESL. That would put him in the middle of that list.
Random Platinum EU
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6928 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-17 17:31:29
February 17 2022 17:31 GMT
#5
I think Serral, Maru and Rogue have about 25% each. The other 25% are divided among players like Zest, Trap, Dark, Reynor and a few minor underdogs
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
shadow4723
Profile Joined October 2018
87 Posts
February 17 2022 17:32 GMT
#6
KR is ofc the favorite given the amount of players that are in the running to win it all, i.e. maru+dark+rogue+zest+trap+cure > serral+reynor+clem
FuRong
Profile Joined April 2010
New Zealand3089 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-18 12:27:31
February 18 2022 12:15 GMT
#7
There are too many players that Serral has to dodge this time. It's unlikely he can win without beating at least one of the top-tier Zergs, which he is certainly capable of but has failed to do so in recent times, and Clem and Maru are also probably favoured against him.

I think Maru starts as a clear favourite, the only question mark being his traditional weak(er) performances at tournaments he has to travel to. I would put Dark and Rogue as the next biggest contenders, followed by Serral and Zest.
Don't hate the player, hate the game
Charoisaur
Profile Joined August 2014
Germany15958 Posts
February 18 2022 13:29 GMT
#8
On February 18 2022 02:31 Harris1st wrote:
I think Serral, Maru and Rogue have about 25% each. The other 25% are divided among players like Zest, Trap, Dark, Reynor and a few minor underdogs

I think Zest + Dark have more than 25% and I wouldn't favor Serral that much this time due to his recently poor ZvZ which will most likely be a deciding matchup
Many of the coolest moments in sc2 happen due to worker harassment
dbRic1203
Profile Joined July 2019
Germany2655 Posts
February 18 2022 13:37 GMT
#9
I think Last year this Pool was
A) Korea
B) Europe
C) Rest
And that alone Shows, that Korea is way stronger this year compared to the last one.
My pick is pretty boring one, Maru, Rouge, Serral are the favorites
MaxPax
Xamo
Profile Joined April 2012
Spain880 Posts
February 18 2022 20:33 GMT
#10
My bets would be:
Maru 30%
Rogue: 20%
Serral: 15%
Reynor:10%
Dark: 10%
Zest: 5%
Rest (Trap,Cure, Clem...): 10%
My life for Aiur. You got a piece of me, baby. IIIIIIiiiiiii.
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16071 Posts
February 18 2022 23:13 GMT
#11
If Reynor wasn't in the same Group as Maru and Clem I'd give him a 20-25% chance of repeating. But because the groups are stupid, there's a good chance Reynor doesn't even make it out of Group D.

Therefor my favorites are.

Maru
Dark
Rogue
Serral
Reynor
Clem

In that order.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
dysenterymd
Profile Joined January 2019
1237 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-02-18 23:36:39
February 18 2022 23:34 GMT
#12
Rogue > Serral = Maru > Dark > Zest > Reynor in odds. I hope Trap shows up to play though.

Maru has overall been the best player since last Katowice but it's a big international tournament and Zerg win those.
Serral | Inno | sOs | soO | Has | Classic
Vindicare605
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States16071 Posts
February 19 2022 02:15 GMT
#13
On February 19 2022 08:34 dysenterymd wrote:
Rogue > Serral = Maru > Dark > Zest > Reynor in odds. I hope Trap shows up to play though.

Maru has overall been the best player since last Katowice but it's a big international tournament and Zerg win those.


You're not wrong.

But I'm going to irrationally say that you're wrong, and Maru is gonna win this one.

So there.
aka: KTVindicare the Geeky Bartender
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
February 19 2022 03:12 GMT
#14
On February 19 2022 08:34 dysenterymd wrote:
Rogue > Serral = Maru > Dark > Zest > Reynor in odds. I hope Trap shows up to play though.

Maru has overall been the best player since last Katowice but it's a big international tournament and Zerg win those.


I think your order is right. Normally I would put Cure over Reynor but Reynor definitely has that clutch factor and he could make a big form comeback here
DarkGamer
Profile Joined November 2012
Germany323 Posts
February 19 2022 07:46 GMT
#15
I'm giving serral a big chance to win it, but voted for korea because there are more players with winnning potential (Dark, Rogue, Maru; maybe even Zest, Cure, Trap?). I cant imagine Clem or Reynor winning it, but i heared that Reynor is getting better again recently... but Clem doesnt have the experience, i think. to play and win on a big stage offline. i would love to be wrong, though.
Solio
Profile Joined June 2016
France145 Posts
February 19 2022 16:11 GMT
#16
Korea is going to win [image loading]
Drahkn
Profile Joined June 2021
191 Posts
February 20 2022 23:02 GMT
#17
All I know is Zerg will win
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6928 Posts
February 21 2022 14:53 GMT
#18
On February 19 2022 08:13 Vindicare605 wrote:
If Reynor wasn't in the same Group as Maru and Clem I'd give him a 20-25% chance of repeating. But because the groups are stupid, there's a good chance Reynor doesn't even make it out of Group D.

Therefor my favorites are.

Maru
Dark
Rogue
Serral
Reynor
Clem

In that order.


I don't understand this: If the groups were different, Reynor would probably still have to play against at least one of those 2 to win. So either he advances his group and wins this thing or he doesn't and would have never had a shot anyway.
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
Jj_82
Profile Joined December 2012
Swaziland419 Posts
February 22 2022 09:25 GMT
#19
Dark will wreck everyone unless he runs into a very, very, very resilient Terran.
Once rode a waterslide with PartinG and TaeJa ✌
KalWarkov
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Germany4126 Posts
March 02 2022 18:21 GMT
#20
laughs in serral after the tournament
DiaBoLuS ** Sc2 - Protoss: 16x GM | Dota2 - Offlane Immortal | Wc3 - Undead decent level | Diablo nerd | Chess / Magnus fanboy | BVB | Agnostic***
Pentarp
Profile Joined August 2015
219 Posts
March 02 2022 19:05 GMT
#21
Char, obviously.
Plogamer TL.net RedRocket B.net
Harris1st
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Germany6928 Posts
March 04 2022 13:33 GMT
#22
Third option "Zerg" was obviously missing. Please do better next time OP
Go Serral! GG EZ for Ence. Flashbang dance FTW
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