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Active: 5933 users

[WCS] United States and Canada Challenger - Page 2

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
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The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52798 Posts
April 26 2015 20:43 GMT
#21
On April 27 2015 05:31 elfonse wrote:
who has the highest chance for an upset,??

Depends on what you consider an upset, but PiLiPiLi probably since Kane sucks at ZvP.
ModeratorI am still alive, somehow
TL+ Member
dangthatsright
Profile Joined July 2011
1160 Posts
April 27 2015 08:50 GMT
#22
Gretorp back at the caster desk!

Rather late time here, but at least I can go to sleep once the first two matches are done.

... just getting that comment out there before the upset happens
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
April 27 2015 14:51 GMT
#23
WCS Predictor 2015
WCS Challenger Season 2 AM Day 1

ca HuK vs kr StarDust in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
ca HuK is at 0.59% Blizzcon Chances.
38.8% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.45%.
61.2% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.03%.
kr StarDust is at 1.63% Blizzcon Chances.
61.2% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.61%.
38.8% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.08%.

kz PiLiPiLi vs ca Kane in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
kz PiLiPiLi is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.
36.18% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.02%.
63.82% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
ca Kane is at 1.85% Blizzcon Chances.
63.82% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 2.84%.
36.18% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.11%.

kr Hydra vs us Zeal in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
kr Hydra is at 80.09% Blizzcon Chances.
83.38% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 86.68%.
16.62% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 47.05%.
us Zeal is at 0.01% Blizzcon Chances.
16.62% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
83.38% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0%.

WCS Challenger Season 2 AM Day 2

kr viOLet vs us qxc in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
kr viOLet is at 4.44% Blizzcon Chances.
70.48% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 6.15%.
29.52% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.35%.
us qxc is at 0.05% Blizzcon Chances.
29.52% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.15%.
70.48% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.

us Xenocider vs us puCK in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
us Xenocider is at 0.15% Blizzcon Chances.
55.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.27%.
44.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.
us puCK is at 0.11% Blizzcon Chances.
44.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.25%.
55.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.

ca MaSa vs us Astrea in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
ca MaSa is at 2.98% Blizzcon Chances.
69.63% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 4.23%.
30.37% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.1%.
us Astrea is at 0.03% Blizzcon Chances.
30.37% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.09%.
69.63% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.

kr Jaedong vs us Suppy in
in WCS Challenger Season 2 round of 64.
kr Jaedong is at 14.74% Blizzcon Chances.
75.78% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 18.88%.
24.22% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 1.8%.
us Suppy is at 0.07% Blizzcon Chances.
24.22% of the time they win this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.26%.
75.78% of the time they lose this match and their Blizzcon Chances go to 0.01%.

+ Show Spoiler [WCS Challenger Winning Chances] +

kr ForGG has a 85.99% chance to win
----going from 55.86% to 62.41% if they get 1st, or 15.62% if they don't.
mx MajOr has a 85.2% chance to win
----going from 5.17% to 5.99% if they get 1st, or 0.39% if they don't.
kr Hydra has a 83.38% chance to win
----going from 80.08% to 86.67% if they get 1st, or 47.05% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 79.75% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 0.4% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
kr Jaedong has a 75.76% chance to win
----going from 14.74% to 18.89% if they get 1st, or 1.8% if they don't.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

kr viOLet has a 70.47% chance to win
----going from 4.42% to 6.14% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't.
ca MaSa has a 69.61% chance to win
----going from 2.98% to 4.23% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
dk Bunny has a 67.57% chance to win
----going from 22.38% to 31.19% if they get 1st, or 4.02% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 66.32% chance to win
----going from 13.93% to 19.91% if they get 1st, or 2.17% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 65.11% chance to win
----going from 3.41% to 5.14% if they get 1st, or 0.17% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 63.84% chance to win
----going from 1.85% to 2.84% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
no Snute has a 62.08% chance to win
----going from 13.64% to 20.66% if they get 1st, or 2.15% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 61.18% chance to win
----going from 1.62% to 2.6% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
nz Petraeus has a 59.47% chance to win
----going from 2.35% to 3.87% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 57.44% chance to win
----going from 3.65% to 6.21% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.
no TargA has a 56.89% chance to win
----going from 3.08% to 5.26% if they get 1st, or 0.21% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 55.63% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 0.27% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 55.05% chance to win
----going from 0.4% to 0.72% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 53.14% chance to win
----going from 1.63% to 2.97% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
fr Lilbow has a 52.99% chance to win
----going from 4.64% to 8.46% if they get 1st, or 0.33% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 51.75% chance to win
----going from 2.56% to 4.79% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
se NaNiwa has a 51.5% chance to win
----going from 6.44% to 12.01% if they get 1st, or 0.54% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 50.07% chance to win
----going from 1.56% to 3.01% if they get 1st, or 0.1% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 49.93% chance to win
----going from 0.35% to 0.68% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 48.5% chance to win
----going from 1.12% to 2.24% if they get 1st, or 0.05% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 48.25% chance to win
----going from 2.82% to 5.68% if they get 1st, or 0.16% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 47.01% chance to win
----going from 1.36% to 2.8% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 46.86% chance to win
----going from 1.56% to 3.18% if they get 1st, or 0.12% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 44.95% chance to win
----going from 1.04% to 2.25% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
us puCK has a 44.37% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 0.25% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 43.11% chance to win
----going from 0.59% to 1.33% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 42.56% chance to win
----going from 2.41% to 5.43% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
se MorroW has a 40.53% chance to win
----going from 0.41% to 0.99% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 38.82% chance to win
----going from 0.58% to 1.44% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 37.92% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 0.83% if they get 1st, or 0.02% if they don't.
kz PiLiPiLi has a 36.16% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.02% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
de TLO has a 34.89% chance to win
----going from 0.82% to 2.19% if they get 1st, or 0.08% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 33.68% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 0.18% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
rs Beastyqt has a 32.43% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.21% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Astrea has a 30.39% chance to win
----going from 0.03% to 0.09% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us qxc has a 29.53% chance to win
----going from 0.05% to 0.15% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Suppy has a 24.24% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 0.26% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
us Zeal has a 16.62% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pl souL has a 14.01% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.1% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
br ReasoN has a 6.05% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.03% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
mx JimRising has a 4.74% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
mx Cham has a 3.75% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pe CatZ has a 3.29% chance to win
----going from 0.01% to 0.01% if they get 1st, or 0.01% if they don't.
cl Jarppi has a 1.03% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cl LsEbA has a 0.81% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
br Shakti has a 0.66% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
pe OdiN has a 0.62% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
br Erik has a 0.59% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.
cl AreS has a 0.57% chance to win
----going from 0% to 0% if they get 1st, or 0% if they don't.


+ Show Spoiler [WCS Premier Winning Chances] +

kr ForGG has a 16.46% chance to win
----going from 55.85% to 99.64% if they get 1st, or 83.02% if they get 2nd.
kr Hydra has a 10.96% chance to win
----going from 80.09% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.84% if they get 2nd.
kr Polt has a 10.1% chance to win
----going from 93.15% to 100% if they get 1st, or 99.99% if they get 2nd.
dk Bunny has a 4.54% chance to win
----going from 22.38% to 99.02% if they get 1st, or 65.3% if they get 2nd.
kr Jaedong has a 4.07% chance to win
----going from 14.75% to 89.07% if they get 1st, or 43.39% if they get 2nd.
+ Show Spoiler [More Winning Chances] +

mx MajOr has a 3.99% chance to win
----going from 5.16% to 51.98% if they get 1st, or 14.48% if they get 2nd.
se NaNiwa has a 3.67% chance to win
----going from 6.44% to 66.44% if they get 1st, or 23.94% if they get 2nd.
fr Lilbow has a 3.07% chance to win
----going from 4.64% to 58.5% if they get 1st, or 2.93% if they don't.
pl Nerchio has a 3.05% chance to win
----going from 3.41% to 48.66% if they get 1st, or 1.98% if they don't.
no Snute has a 2.96% chance to win
----going from 13.64% to 96.73% if they get 1st, or 51.38% if they get 2nd.
ca MaSa has a 2.66% chance to win
----going from 2.98% to 45.54% if they get 1st, or 1.81% if they don't.
ru Happy has a 2.64% chance to win
----going from 3.65% to 54.59% if they get 1st, or 2.27% if they don't.
de ShoWTimE has a 2.59% chance to win
----going from 13.94% to 98.47% if they get 1st, or 55.95% if they get 2nd.
kr viOLet has a 2.48% chance to win
----going from 4.42% to 59.84% if they get 1st, or 3.02% if they don't.
de HeRoMaRinE has a 2.37% chance to win
----going from 2.82% to 49.49% if they get 1st, or 1.69% if they don't.
nz Petraeus has a 1.94% chance to win
----going from 2.35% to 46.57% if they get 1st, or 1.48% if they don't.
no TargA has a 1.7% chance to win
----going from 3.08% to 61.59% if they get 1st, or 2.07% if they don't.
fr MarineLorD has a 1.68% chance to win
----going from 2.41% to 52.94% if they get 1st, or 1.55% if they don't.
tw Sen has a 1.61% chance to win
----going from 1.83% to 45.74% if they get 1st, or 1.11% if they don't.
kr StarDust has a 1.57% chance to win
----going from 1.63% to 39.05% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't.
pl MaNa has a 1.38% chance to win
----going from 2.56% to 62.66% if they get 1st, or 1.72% if they don't.
de GunGFuBanDa has a 1.23% chance to win
----going from 1.12% to 37.77% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't.
nl Harstem has a 1.16% chance to win
----going from 1.63% to 52.25% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't.
fr FireCake has a 0.87% chance to win
----going from 1.56% to 61.69% if they get 1st, or 1.03% if they don't.
au iaguz has a 0.87% chance to win
----going from 0.68% to 32.79% if they get 1st, or 0.4% if they don't.
fi Serral has a 0.77% chance to win
----going from 1.56% to 66.12% if they get 1st, or 1.06% if they don't.
fi Welmu has a 0.75% chance to win
----going from 1.04% to 51.76% if they get 1st, or 0.66% if they don't.
ca Kane has a 0.75% chance to win
----going from 1.85% to 73.96% if they get 1st, or 1.3% if they don't.
nl uThermal has a 0.69% chance to win
----going from 1.36% to 61.34% if they get 1st, or 0.94% if they don't.
fi elfi has a 0.69% chance to win
----going from 0.59% to 36.05% if they get 1st, or 0.34% if they don't.
tw Has has a 0.69% chance to win
----going from 0.99% to 50.52% if they get 1st, or 0.65% if they don't.
cn iAsonu has a 0.64% chance to win
----going from 0.4% to 27.26% if they get 1st, or 0.23% if they don't.
cn Jim has a 0.54% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 25.88% if they get 1st, or 0.18% if they don't.
nl Ret has a 0.47% chance to win
----going from 0.4% to 33.52% if they get 1st, or 0.24% if they don't.
ca HuK has a 0.45% chance to win
----going from 0.58% to 45.76% if they get 1st, or 0.38% if they don't.
se Zanster has a 0.44% chance to win
----going from 0.35% to 32.53% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.
br Kelazhur has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 28.73% if they get 1st, or 0.2% if they don't.
ua Bly has a 0.43% chance to win
----going from 0.32% to 32.02% if they get 1st, or 0.19% if they don't.
se MorroW has a 0.41% chance to win
----going from 0.41% to 39.75% if they get 1st, or 0.25% if they don't.
cn TooDming has a 0.41% chance to win
----going from 0.19% to 20.44% if they get 1st, or 0.11% if they don't.
au NXZ has a 0.34% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 16.85% if they get 1st, or 0.06% if they don't.
de TLO has a 0.31% chance to win
----going from 0.82% to 76.34% if they get 1st, or 0.59% if they don't.
us Xenocider has a 0.26% chance to win
----going from 0.15% to 25.31% if they get 1st, or 0.09% if they don't.
us puCK has a 0.18% chance to win
----going from 0.11% to 25.9% if they get 1st, or 0.07% if they don't.
rs Beastyqt has a 0.16% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 22.01% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.
pl Elazer has a 0.15% chance to win
----going from 0.06% to 18.86% if they get 1st, or 0.03% if they don't.
us Suppy has a 0.11% chance to win
----going from 0.07% to 24.44% if they get 1st, or 0.04% if they don't.




please vote for me http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=24149848
"Expert" mods4ever.com
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
April 27 2015 14:56 GMT
#24
where's the EU thread? AM passion > EU passion
"Expert" mods4ever.com
SetGuitarsToKill
Profile Blog Joined December 2013
Canada28396 Posts
April 27 2015 14:57 GMT
#25
On April 27 2015 23:56 Die4Ever wrote:
where's the EU thread? AM passion > EU passion

Europe has literally 0 passion. Unless it comes to what time an event is at then they'll bitch to no end about how they deserve to have all events at good times for them.
Community News"As long as you have a warp prism you can't be bad at harassment" - Maru | @SetGuitars2Kill
fruity.
Profile Joined April 2012
England1711 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-27 15:07:09
April 27 2015 15:01 GMT
#26
StarDust
Kane
Hydra

viOLet
Xenocider
MaSa
Suppy

I'm gonna go with this, though suppy vs jaedong could be an upset, the dong just didnt seem too hot vs huk over the weekend. But then zerg has always been jaedongs best match up... And then consider that suppy beat jaedong 2-0 within the mast month (though not sure if ping was an issue there).


Ex Zerg learning Terran. A bold move.
Die4Ever
Profile Joined August 2010
United States17744 Posts
April 27 2015 20:01 GMT
#27
gogo Stardust, Pilipili, and Hydra!
"Expert" mods4ever.com
magicallypuzzled
Profile Joined June 2011
United States588 Posts
April 27 2015 20:11 GMT
#28
go huk kane hydra
is depressed
Mozdk
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark6989 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-27 20:36:54
April 27 2015 20:32 GMT
#29
"It's really hard to Protoss" - White-Ra |||| "Apedts are dfucking amazing" - Lorning
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
April 27 2015 20:32 GMT
#30
On April 28 2015 05:32 Mozdk wrote:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Ok finally got home and done with finals Getting a bit nervous already -__- Its crazy how much there is on the line for the single bo5...</p>&mdash; PiLiPiLi (@PiLiPiLi96) <a href="https://twitter.com/PiLiPiLi96/status/592785547644575745">April 27, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>


you suck at linking modzk
rip passion
Mozdk
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark6989 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-27 20:35:48
April 27 2015 20:35 GMT
#31
Hmm. It has worked before. What am I doing wrong?

I'm an old man. Help me with the new twitter tech!
"It's really hard to Protoss" - White-Ra |||| "Apedts are dfucking amazing" - Lorning
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-27 20:36:32
April 27 2015 20:36 GMT
#32
If below is what you wanted, just copy the link of the tweet. no other modifications needed
https://twitter.com/PiLiPiLi96/status/592785547644575745
rip passion
Mozdk
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark6989 Posts
April 27 2015 20:37 GMT
#33
Boom! Thank you champ :D
"It's really hard to Protoss" - White-Ra |||| "Apedts are dfucking amazing" - Lorning
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
April 27 2015 20:37 GMT
#34
huehue np
rip passion
Moosegills
Profile Joined March 2011
United States558 Posts
April 27 2015 21:22 GMT
#35
HUKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
#1 HuK fan, zerg player playing for http://www.complexitygaming.com - @coL_Moosegills
djProtocol
Profile Joined April 2015
10 Posts
April 27 2015 21:43 GMT
#36
gogo HuK and PiliPili!
Mozdk
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark6989 Posts
April 27 2015 22:02 GMT
#37
Omg Gretorp
"It's really hard to Protoss" - White-Ra |||| "Apedts are dfucking amazing" - Lorning
TheLordofAwesome
Profile Joined May 2014
Korea (South)2656 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-04-27 22:07:08
April 27 2015 22:04 GMT
#38
Going with Huk, Kane, and Hydra.

I hope Polt plays vs some more tosses this season than he did in Season 1. I like watching Polt vs Protoss a lot, and he only played 1 Bo3 vs toss in all of last season.
Mozdk
Profile Joined October 2010
Denmark6989 Posts
April 27 2015 22:07 GMT
#39
Heart:
Huk
Pili
Zeal

Head:
+ Show Spoiler +
Fuck the head!
"It's really hard to Protoss" - White-Ra |||| "Apedts are dfucking amazing" - Lorning
TheLordofAwesome
Profile Joined May 2014
Korea (South)2656 Posts
April 27 2015 22:08 GMT
#40
Huk vs Stardust Game 1

Coda
2:45
Huk spawns in bottom right, Stardust in top left
Identical builds from both players with gates and gases.
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