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Canada16217 Posts
On October 10 2013 22:26 Aeromi wrote:Hey November can you add the this to the first post : OGamingTVThere is a french stream for the whole tournament. done!
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United States23454 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:00 lolfail9001 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 11 2013 01:59 Darkhoarse wrote:On October 11 2013 01:44 Die4Ever wrote: gogo San, Hack, Life, DRG! Where are the links comparing these 4's chances of making Blizzcon based on various scenarios? 0, <1%, 0, 0. It is pretty obvious. Just a joke.
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France7248 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:02 NovemberstOrm wrote:Show nested quote +On October 10 2013 22:26 Aeromi wrote:Hey November can you add the this to the first post : OGamingTVThere is a french stream for the whole tournament. done! you can add MLG too, it will be the 2nd official stream
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Blizzcon probabilities. If a player is not listed then they probably have no chance or 100% chance. If I missed someone let me know.
+ Show Spoiler +15. HyuN, 1559696/3000000, started with 1625 WCS points, 51.9899% HyuN starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HerO Liquid, Hack, CranK Axiom HyuN loses this match 37.011% of the time, which decreases HyuN's chances to 2.448%. HyuN wins this match 62.989% of the time, which increases HyuN's chances to 81.100%.
-------------------------------------------HyuN gets 1st place in IEM This happens 25.540% of the time. When it does, it increases HyuN's chances to 60.345%.
17. Revival, 1123935/3000000, started with 2900 WCS points, 37.4645% Revival starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing sOs, HuK Revival loses this match 62.791% of the time, which decreases Revival's chances to 29.875%. Revival wins this match 37.209% of the time, which increases Revival's chances to 50.271%.
-------------------------------------------Revival gets 1st place in IEM This happens 2.189% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 99.986%.
20. NaNiwa, 323374/3000000, started with 2575 WCS points, 10.7791% NaNiwa starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing HerO Liquid, qxc NaNiwa loses this match 42.325% of the time, which decreases NaNiwa's chances to 2.432%. NaNiwa wins this match 57.675% of the time, which increases NaNiwa's chances to 16.905%.
-------------------------------------------NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM This happens 8.807% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 68.924%.
22. HuK, 196470/3000000, started with 600 WCS points, 6.549% HuK starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing ByuL, Polt, Apocalypse HuK loses this match 49.966% of the time, which decreases HuK's chances to 0.000%. HuK wins this match 50.034% of the time, which increases HuK's chances to 13.089%.
-------------------------------------------HuK gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.236% of the time. When it does, it increases HuK's chances to 14.182%.
29. Hack, 35265/3000000, started with 50 WCS points, 1.1755% Hack starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HyuN, HerO Liquid, CranK Axiom Hack loses this match 56.150% of the time, which decreases Hack's chances to 0.000%. Hack wins this match 43.850% of the time, which increases Hack's chances to 2.681%.
-------------------------------------------Hack gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.262% of the time. When it does, it increases Hack's chances to 6.295%.
34. TLO, 835/3000000, started with 1950 WCS points, 0.0278333% TLO starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing zest, HyuN TLO loses this match 55.766% of the time, which decreases TLO's chances to 0.000%. TLO wins this match 44.234% of the time, which increases TLO's chances to 0.063%.
-------------------------------------------TLO gets 1st place in IEM This happens 3.488% of the time. When it does, it increases TLO's chances to 0.798%.
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United States23454 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:13 Die4Ever wrote:Blizzcon probabilities. If a player is not listed then they probably have no chance or 100% chance. If I missed someone let me know. + Show Spoiler +15. HyuN, 1559696/3000000, started with 1625 WCS points, 51.9899% HyuN starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HerO Liquid, Hack, CranK Axiom HyuN loses this match 37.011% of the time, which decreases HyuN's chances to 2.448%. HyuN wins this match 62.989% of the time, which increases HyuN's chances to 81.100%.
-------------------------------------------HyuN gets 1st place in IEM This happens 25.540% of the time. When it does, it increases HyuN's chances to 60.345%.
17. Revival, 1123935/3000000, started with 2900 WCS points, 37.4645% Revival starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing sOs, HuK Revival loses this match 62.791% of the time, which decreases Revival's chances to 29.875%. Revival wins this match 37.209% of the time, which increases Revival's chances to 50.271%.
-------------------------------------------Revival gets 1st place in IEM This happens 2.189% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 99.986%.
20. NaNiwa, 323374/3000000, started with 2575 WCS points, 10.7791% NaNiwa starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing HerO Liquid, qxc NaNiwa loses this match 42.325% of the time, which decreases NaNiwa's chances to 2.432%. NaNiwa wins this match 57.675% of the time, which increases NaNiwa's chances to 16.905%.
-------------------------------------------NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM This happens 8.807% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 68.924%.
22. HuK, 196470/3000000, started with 600 WCS points, 6.549% HuK starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing ByuL, Polt, Apocalypse HuK loses this match 49.966% of the time, which decreases HuK's chances to 0.000%. HuK wins this match 50.034% of the time, which increases HuK's chances to 13.089%.
-------------------------------------------HuK gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.236% of the time. When it does, it increases HuK's chances to 14.182%.
29. Hack, 35265/3000000, started with 50 WCS points, 1.1755% Hack starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HyuN, HerO Liquid, CranK Axiom Hack loses this match 56.150% of the time, which decreases Hack's chances to 0.000%. Hack wins this match 43.850% of the time, which increases Hack's chances to 2.681%.
-------------------------------------------Hack gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.262% of the time. When it does, it increases Hack's chances to 6.295%.
34. TLO, 835/3000000, started with 1950 WCS points, 0.0278333% TLO starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing zest, HyuN TLO loses this match 55.766% of the time, which decreases TLO's chances to 0.000%. TLO wins this match 44.234% of the time, which increases TLO's chances to 0.063%.
-------------------------------------------TLO gets 1st place in IEM This happens 3.488% of the time. When it does, it increases TLO's chances to 0.798%.
I was just poking fun! But thanks anyway
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On October 11 2013 02:14 Darkhoarse wrote:Show nested quote +On October 11 2013 02:13 Die4Ever wrote:Blizzcon probabilities. If a player is not listed then they probably have no chance or 100% chance. If I missed someone let me know. + Show Spoiler +15. HyuN, 1559696/3000000, started with 1625 WCS points, 51.9899% HyuN starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HerO Liquid, Hack, CranK Axiom HyuN loses this match 37.011% of the time, which decreases HyuN's chances to 2.448%. HyuN wins this match 62.989% of the time, which increases HyuN's chances to 81.100%.
-------------------------------------------HyuN gets 1st place in IEM This happens 25.540% of the time. When it does, it increases HyuN's chances to 60.345%.
17. Revival, 1123935/3000000, started with 2900 WCS points, 37.4645% Revival starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing sOs, HuK Revival loses this match 62.791% of the time, which decreases Revival's chances to 29.875%. Revival wins this match 37.209% of the time, which increases Revival's chances to 50.271%.
-------------------------------------------Revival gets 1st place in IEM This happens 2.189% of the time. When it does, it increases Revival's chances to 99.986%.
20. NaNiwa, 323374/3000000, started with 2575 WCS points, 10.7791% NaNiwa starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing HerO Liquid, qxc NaNiwa loses this match 42.325% of the time, which decreases NaNiwa's chances to 2.432%. NaNiwa wins this match 57.675% of the time, which increases NaNiwa's chances to 16.905%.
-------------------------------------------NaNiwa gets 1st place in IEM This happens 8.807% of the time. When it does, it increases NaNiwa's chances to 68.924%.
22. HuK, 196470/3000000, started with 600 WCS points, 6.549% HuK starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing ByuL, Polt, Apocalypse HuK loses this match 49.966% of the time, which decreases HuK's chances to 0.000%. HuK wins this match 50.034% of the time, which increases HuK's chances to 13.089%.
-------------------------------------------HuK gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.236% of the time. When it does, it increases HuK's chances to 14.182%.
29. Hack, 35265/3000000, started with 50 WCS points, 1.1755% Hack starts in the round of 16 in America Premier facing HyuN, HerO Liquid, CranK Axiom Hack loses this match 56.150% of the time, which decreases Hack's chances to 0.000%. Hack wins this match 43.850% of the time, which increases Hack's chances to 2.681%.
-------------------------------------------Hack gets 1st place in IEM This happens 6.262% of the time. When it does, it increases Hack's chances to 6.295%.
34. TLO, 835/3000000, started with 1950 WCS points, 0.0278333% TLO starts in the round of 16 in IEM facing zest, HyuN TLO loses this match 55.766% of the time, which decreases TLO's chances to 0.000%. TLO wins this match 44.234% of the time, which increases TLO's chances to 0.063%.
-------------------------------------------TLO gets 1st place in IEM This happens 3.488% of the time. When it does, it increases TLO's chances to 0.798%.
I was just poking fun! But thanks anyway
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That's some easy choices here:
#1 San Hack
#2 Life DRG
Everything else would be a huge upset.
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United States23454 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:35 Caladan wrote: That's some easy choices here:
#1 San Hack
#2 Life DRG
Everything else would be a huge upset. I dunno I could see Hack possibly losing. Not likely, but not as huge an upset as you say.
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They changed the first matches? Sucks if they prepared for their first matchups..
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Austria24413 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:35 Caladan wrote: That's some easy choices here:
#1 San Hack
#2 Life DRG
Everything else would be a huge upset.
I wouldn't say Snute making it out over San/Hack would be a super huge upset
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Of course I'd be really happy if Snute made it out (Eurooope!), but for me he doesn't feel consistent on a top level. Also San is insanely good, and Hack is also decent. But Hack is the worst of the Koreans in OB, I agree. Maybe Snute or even hendralisk could win over him.
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United States23454 Posts
It's pretty much just DRG and Life meeting in the winners finals and whoever loses will qualify immediately through the lower bracket. I'm going to take Life over DRG based solely on Iron Squid 2 I don't even care that that was a different game a year ago.
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Russian Federation40169 Posts
On October 11 2013 02:48 Darkhoarse wrote:It's pretty much just DRG and Life meeting in the winners finals and whoever loses will qualify immediately through the lower bracket. I'm going to take Life over DRG based solely on Iron Squid 2 I don't even care that that was a different game a year ago. You forgot that games are Bo3, so DRG 2 0,
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On October 11 2013 03:18 lolfail9001 wrote:Show nested quote +On October 11 2013 02:48 Darkhoarse wrote:It's pretty much just DRG and Life meeting in the winners finals and whoever loses will qualify immediately through the lower bracket. I'm going to take Life over DRG based solely on Iron Squid 2 I don't even care that that was a different game a year ago. You forgot that games are Bo3, so DRG 2 0, But if we're going off Blizzard Cup, 2-0 Life
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so is desRow making it there? Saw he was having flight problems....
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On October 11 2013 03:24 HelpMeGetBetter wrote: so is desRow making it there? Saw he was having flight problems....
I think he will be in NY late though. Carmac was asking the admins if there is anything they can do. Possibly to delay his match(es)?
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Oh god I am cheering for more Zergs than others in this stage of the bracket.
Btw, today they're doing the open tournament part only, or?
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-------------------------------------------TLO gets 1st place in IEM This happens 3.488% of the time. When it does, it increases TLO's chances to 0.798%. Those odds Win IEM so you only need a small miracle to go to Blizzcon!
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On October 11 2013 03:29 Heartland wrote: Oh god I am cheering for more Zergs than others in this stage of the bracket.
Btw, today they're doing the open tournament part only, or? I believe it's only open bracket today.
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wtf suddenly im vs hack? GG rip
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