[SPL] Round 4 Week 4 Review - Frustration - Page 3
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NB
Netherlands12045 Posts
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Plexa
Aotearoa39261 Posts
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Jacmert
Canada1709 Posts
On May 02 2013 06:58 Plexa wrote: How many more losses until EG-TL is mathematically eliminated? There will be n + x losses until that point, where n is the number of actual EG-TL losses from this point forward and x is a finite, positive number. n + y will be the number of losses until EG-TL would actually be eliminated from the playoffs, where y is also a finite, positive number but less than x. TLDR: EG-TL will make the playoffs. | ||
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patronage
Iraq123 Posts
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rename
Estonia329 Posts
On May 02 2013 06:58 Plexa wrote: How many more losses until EG-TL is mathematically eliminated? Lets ignore top 3 teams to simplify things a bit: If 4th loses all future games 5th loses all future games, except 2 against 4th 6th loses all future games, except 4 against 4th/5th 7th loses all future games, except 6 against 4th/5th/6th Then the end result would be: Current 4th: 15 wins ( +1 win against EG-TL) Current 5th: 16 wins Current 6th: 16 wins Current 7th: 17 wins 15th and 17th could trade a win, making everyone have 16 wins, but it does not matter since to get the max amount of losses (7), one of the EG-TL games must be lost to the current 4th-7th team. So basically, EG-TL could share 4th/5th place with 17 wins, and then could win with map point. So the answer is, if everything aligns perfectly, 7 wins is enough, as soon as one of the games plays out in a non-ideal fashion for EG-TL that number goes up tho. Realistically they would need 11-12 and then some luck. | ||
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Sprouter
United States1724 Posts
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FlaShFTW
United States10236 Posts
kt really needs to be at least third after starting hot. please flash.... | ||
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Evil_Sheep
Canada902 Posts
Even if EG-TL aren't mathematically eliminated yet, a playoff miracle is certainly beyond them now. It looked like Coach Park might be able to turn it around at the start, but EG-TL have fallen back into their old ways, going 3-4, losing their last game of the round, just like in the first two rounds. The only thing left to play for is respect and somehow trying to avoid last place, but when a team have nothing else to play for, the will to win usually disappears. I think Coach Park has to take his share of the blame given that he's been unable to address their consistency issues and he hasn't improved on the previous rounds' performances, but a lot of it comes down to the players simply not being good enough. I think everyone underestimated the Kespa players b/c they didn't look that strong when they were still in the process of migrating to sc2, but they improved by leaps and bounds every day, and now it's abundantly clear that they are fucking good. I think any of the ESF teams would struggle in Proleague too, although not as badly as EG-TL. Anyway now I know what it's like to cheer for a relegation-threatened side like QPR. | ||
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Pegas
Romania211 Posts
Now seems like EGTL is playing in jumps , I mean they have some incredible wins against better rated players ( meaning there is the potential) but they lack consistency (they underperform against others), so if coach Park somehow can adress the inconsistency there is still hope for the playoffs. So I think with a bit of patience and better mindset they will start to perform very well. I still have hope for EGTL. | ||
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EleanorRIgby
Canada3923 Posts
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