EPTPyrry's Mafia Game - GG - Page 58
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crate
United States2474 Posts
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crate
United States2474 Posts
Though the funny thing is my second choice was to protect clazzi. | ||
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
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crate
United States2474 Posts
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
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Pyrrhuloxia
United States6700 Posts
Otherwise, the game will end when the mafia outnumbers innocent players or the town kills all mafia members. | ||
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SugiuraMidori
United States281 Posts
Possible Blues: crate Foolish teks (powerless --> green) ? JeeJee Shikyo Possible Greens: choaser ILoveKTF SugiuraMidori motbob Possible Reds: (based all on Foolish's post) ydg wurm Phelix l10f Sadly this means:: We have 4 greens... one is miller, two are mafia, one is blue, one is green. (yes, there is overlap due to Sheriff and Mayor) I'll hide all the calculations in a spoiler tag so as not to make a monumentally sized post and let it be collapsible. + Show Spoiler + Now following with l10f's post...(sorta) Format: Mafia/Town -- In order for mafia to win they must have greater numbers than town, equal is not a win for them. This doesn't count Shikyo lasting till Day 10; if he does, town wins "draws" -- also assuming Shikyo is not red. Additionally this doesn't account for inactivity, however I believe that to be of no matter in these counts as it would only cause events to accelerate. I am also making a huge assumption that Foolishes list is correct.. if it's not they win. From here we have: Now: 6/7 -- One of my situation tree's left. (2) D5: 5/7 (Foolishes list) N5: 5/5 (they get two hits) D6: 4/5 (Foolishes list) N6: 4/3 (mafia now wins with two hits) (2a) Diff Scenario for (2) N5: 5/4 (they get all three hits) (2b) Diff Scenario for (2) N5: 5/6 (they only get one hit) D6: 4/6 (Foolishes list) N6: 4/4 (they get two hits) D7: 3/4 (Foolishes list) N7: 3/2 (they get two hits and win) (2x) Diff Scenario for (2b) N6: 4/4 (they only get one hit) D7: 3/4 (Foolishes list) N7: 3/2 (they get two hits) (2y) Diff Scenario for (2x) N7: 3/3 (they get one hit) D8: 2/3 (last of Foolishes list) N8: 2/2 .... leads to draw -- red + draw (2c) Diff Scenario for (2b) N6: 4/5 (they get one hit) D7: 3/5 (Foolishes list) N7: 3/3 (they get another two) D8: 2/3 (we get the last on Foolishes current list) N8: 2/2 ... leads to draw -- red + draw Now assuming I hit ALL of the possibilities.. I might have missed one: Total = 8 possibilities Red: 6 abilities to win -- 75% Green: 0 abilities to win -- 0% Draw: 2 abilities to draw -- 25% If Shikyo is around and not mafia (I think he is, others don't), town wins draws.. that makes.. 25% town win chance Yes the numbers overlap.. didn't know how to count draws so they multi-counted. | ||
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SugiuraMidori
United States281 Posts
2a above doesn't count.. thus we can remove a possibility and a win for mafia...woot! 7 possible 5 red = 71% 0 green = 0% 2 draw = 28.5% so we get another 3% higher chance to win! xD | ||
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clazziquai
6685 Posts
Last words: something tells me that Shikyo or JeeJee is mafia.. | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
On May 30 2009 14:32 crate wrote: For now I'm going to trust JeeJee and vote Shikyo. We'll see what happens later. You're just really, really stupid, aren't you? If I'm mafia, there's 0% chance I'll ever die. Voting for me is useless whether I'm mafia or not. | ||
l10f
United States3241 Posts
On May 30 2009 19:17 Shikyo wrote: You're just really, really stupid, aren't you? If I'm mafia, there's 0% chance I'll ever die. Voting for me is useless whether I'm mafia or not. QFT. | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
So, would it be okay if we lynch you? Or do you have anyone you'd rather have lynched? =) | ||
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l10f
United States3241 Posts
On May 31 2009 00:34 Shikyo wrote: So, would it be okay if we lynch you? Or do you have anyone you'd rather have lynched? =) Yeah it'd be okay. | ||
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Pyrrhuloxia
United States6700 Posts
Roles of remaining players: Shikyo is a miller. iLoveKTF is a townie. motbob and crate are medics. teks is a vigilante. JeeJee and foolishness are detectives. More to come including actions and clue explanations. | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
Well lied, JeeJee. I appreciate it! When is the next game starting? | ||
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Pyrrhuloxia
United States6700 Posts
On May 31 2009 03:46 Shikyo wrote: Hey, I was a miller ^_^ SugiuraMidori played well, Foolishness as well. l10f, Phelix, wurm... at least some were correct. =) YDG wasn't really a surprise either. GG ^_^ Well lied, JeeJee. I appreciate it! When is the next game starting? Check out Caller's thread in the mafia forum for info on the next game. | ||
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crate
United States2474 Posts
The people who I remember saying a good bit of stuff: me Shikyo teks Foolishness (mostly after day 2 though...) zeks Judge and kind of Midori/iLoveKTF JeeJee did after the game was pretty much hopeless (and some of that was >_> ). I guess motbob also said stuff after the game was hopeless. Hard to say about Jimtudor since he died night 1 That leaves 2/3 of the players (>half the town and 6/7 mafia) that didn't say much at all really. | ||
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ydg
United States690 Posts
wow I am so bad at this game, I thought iLoveKTF and Knutti were BG and medic HAHAHA. | ||
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crate
United States2474 Posts
How did you not think I was a medic? lmao | ||
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ydg
United States690 Posts
hey you like my bullshit clue connections, which would've worked until teks' role claiming event, by which you should have gotten us all | ||
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