EPT[GG] Team Liquid Mafia - Resurrection
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
On December 13 2008 15:23 BloodyC0bbler wrote: 7. cyanmachae God, why do people always do that mistake with my username  | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
I should probably have done any of this earlier, but now that I'm at home for holidays and have time, I might as well do it now. I'm bad at clue analysis, but I can do something with numbers, so I'll try that first. So mafia kill power is 3 now. Good thing that we have 3 vigilantes left, but we really need to avoid lynching any of those >< . On the worse case, let's say we loose 3 random townies tonight (51% to hit no vigilante/someone medic-protected). We are down to 16. Lynch one mafia (75% seems good.) Still 3 KP. So next round they get 2 hits and hit a vigi. 14. We lynch one, down to 2 KP, etc. I assume that we we should take 5 rounds (so 6 nights) getting all the 4 mafias (on the worse case 6). And by stats (if the mafia was played randomly) they would get around 10 (9 left) townies, and then be down to 2 mafias. Assuming they have some info and don't hit vigilantes/someone protected or are simply lucky, they might get as much as 13 (6 left), but still be down to 1 KP. (That is assumng the votelists are correct, else we are just definitely screwed) So yea I think we can do it, because after all this we SHOULD have enough clues to get the remaining two, especially with the number of people getting lower as the game goes on. /cheer town I'll try to see if I can do some clue analysis to find the other two/pin-point the four on the votelists, but I'm not sure what I can find out more right now But yea, focus right now should be on the people from the votelists. | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
On December 24 2008 15:18 Fishball wrote: What are you smoking? We have 3 Veterans left. And our vigilante have used up all his kills. Lol typos. Remplace all Vigilantes by Veterans And yes I know about the vigilante, hence why I talked only about lynch kills << | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
Anyway. the fact that malongo argues that artanis[xp] is mafia and the reverse is also true makes me think that one of them is probably the 25% not mafia (and I would say it's artanis since he's saying to lynch kuja anyway), but in both cases, lynching kuja and ydg first is still better. | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
Else we are so screwed du to all that inactiveness >< | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
On December 27 2008 16:56 RebirthOfLeGenD wrote: I think Cynan is mafia. Lynch him tomorrow guyz? yea let's do it :o | ||
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CynanMachae
Canada1420 Posts
Anyway, those were my first mafia games (this one and Ace's) so I cannot speak much about role balance, etc, but I'm looking forward for more now that I understand a bit more what's going on and can participate more actively | ||
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