Ftr i am not gonna be around at the deadline, having a morning shift so i have to go to bed in like 7 hours. I'd prefer if people gave an opinion by then.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:42 GMT

#1033

Grackaroni is simply the most trusted person in this game atm. There is absolutely no way Rels had LLL and had to pass 2L and there is simply no way Grackaroni as scum enacts L from 1F1L at this stage of the game. Like there is technically a possibility that Grackaroni is scum but it doesn't make any sense at all given where we are at (4-0).

that's why anyone who is town in this game should never ever want to even vote for themselves over him.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:43 GMT

#1034

Like Grackaroni being scum would make either you or Conversion scum or me scum (with one of you/conversion) and it just doesnt make any sense at all because i think all of us would make better scumplays than this.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:44 GMT

#1035

*you or conversion scum with rels or me (+ grack)

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:48 GMT

#1037

I think we are 1L5F no?

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:50 GMT

#1038

drawing liberal in next three cards is:
1-(fascists / all cards remaining x fascists -1 / all cards -1 x fascists -2 / all cards -2)

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:54 GMT

#1040

Like (yeah we are 5 cards in deck):
1 - (4/5 x 3/4 x 2/3) = 60%

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:57 GMT

#1043

yes that is correct, if we pass the election tracker two times and then elect a town/town government we always win.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:57 GMT

#1044

unless someone has lied what they have given ofc

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 15:59 GMT

#1046

On November 13 2018 00:59 happykrogan wrote:
So we're doing 4?

i think it depends on if rels + grackaroni think i am town or not

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 17:03 GMT

#1049

I can take that if Grack/krogan agrees.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 17:16 GMT

#1055

On November 13 2018 01:17 Rels wrote:
I'm gonna read the details later, but I would simply suggest to go rayn / Conversion => krogan / Grack. We would need very bad luck to get no liberal policies in those 6 cards. If for some reason the game is not over, Grack is president at that point and can elect whoever he wants apart from krogan

The thing here is if we do this then krogan gets the investigation and not Grack. Are you okay with it?

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 17:16 GMT

#1056

Assuming something goes south.

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 17:19 GMT

#1060

On November 13 2018 02:15 Grackaroni wrote:

Show nested quote +

I don't think 4 makes sense. If somebody lied then we enact three fascist policies just to find out that somebody threw out a liberal card.

yeah well i dont believe so, so..

raynpelikoneet

Finland43270 Posts

November 12 2018 17:20 GMT

#1062

On November 13 2018 02:17 Rels wrote:
Plan 3 looks good.

We have 80% win.
If not, Grack investigates me.
Conversion elects me as chancellor => I'm conf town, so even if Conversion is scum, it doesn't matter. If he's not scum, we have 75% win I think.
If not, I elect Grack as chancellor when it's my turn. Dunno what's the percentage is but it's at least > 75%.

I think we always win here so vote no on my team.