EPT[T] MS Paint-Off Mafia - Page 7
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 03:26 raynpelikoneet wrote: Jealous is mafia and rels is not. ggnore. i'm with ya on the not rels but if you have a good reason on jealous it could make this decision a helluva lot easier | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
then again i still think jealous has a better chance of flipping mafia. and i like lynching mafia. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
i already read that case, and what i got out of it was more that conversion was town than that jealous was scum. i'd put jealous at maybe 40% mafia. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 05:16 Holyflare wrote: This is so fucking bull shit. I called it before rayn even did it. It was so fucking plain as day. Rels didn't even get to reply to rayn's question and he's already gagging to switch to jealous. Rayn has to be mafia here. It looks so unnatural. 4 jealous voters and only 3 mafia. how could it be? and rayn had already said jealous was mafia at that point iirc | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
why aren't you dead if you have already solved the game, you always die n1, and mafia have a roleblock? | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 05:23 Holyflare wrote: ????? Mafia don't have a roleblock and I won the contest. Are you mad? i could swear mafia started out with a rb + Show Spoiler [haha sick joke] + not that they dont anyway LoOL | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
i think the point is, mafia can sit on an rb and claim it is a vest. unlike with a vig shot for example | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 05:27 Rels wrote: Hf if you're town you're weirdly acting. Your read strength is not what I expect i don't think it's read strength (see hm3 d1), just how controlling he is | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 05:35 Holyflare wrote: Mafia have to be on the jealous train. I see absolutely 0 reason to ever not vote rels today. 0 content provided. ah yes i think it is reasonable to conclude that the wagon that flipped town was pure and all the mafia (Disagreers Of Holyflare) were on the other one. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 20 2017 05:39 CopCake wrote: *Tinfoils on RaynxHolyflare * i eliminated that possibility on d1 when they didn't shit up the thread more in their fight | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
the (non) NK could go either way. it makes hf townier, but mafia does not lose that much from holding a shot. LYLO becomes MYLO. maybe 80% mafia -> 60% mafia. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 21 2017 09:51 Tumblewood wrote: i am fine with either choice besides geript. conv and copcake are both highly town. the (non) NK could go either way. it makes hf townier, but mafia does not lose that much from holding a shot. LYLO becomes MYLO. maybe 80% mafia -> 60% mafia. never mind bring that down to like 40%. mylo isn't much better than lylo but mylo with vig sure is. still raises the question of, why does a non-hf team try to shoot a possibly vested hf whose town cred is at an all-time low. bring that back up to 50%, that's my final answer. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 21 2017 10:26 CopCake wrote: Hello apparently "super scum" person. Reads? i have list posts in my filter from pretty recently. but whatever likely mafia geript solid lynches jealous es hf not so sure rit town everyone else | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 21 2017 11:48 ritoky wrote: What makes conv highly likely town? Copcake too if you're feeling generous. this is a feels read so i'm not gonna do a great job of vocalizing why i think conv is town, but i will say that i towned him pretty early, and every time i wasn't so sure i saw some posts by conv and was like "oh yeah, def town." this is an example of such a post (though now i'm hoping i didn't get played by emo... i would rewrite my list post to take some likelihood from other people and say conv and 1der are 20% scum each. reading conv attacks on 1der makes me less sure on 1der, and reading conv filter makes me less sure on conv.) cake is an easier one to explain. a rare combination of not-getting-anywhere and tenacity. i can tell cake really believes her reads and i do believe she is actually frustrated by people not listening. the logic is shaky but i think just about anyone can bullshit decent reasoning, so she is in a way more town for it. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 21 2017 23:08 Holyflare wrote: I just want to lynch Tumblewood. I don't really care about much else. His lists are so bull shit. When has he ever given % chances to his reads? If tw is mafia then cop and rayn are basically cleared town too. i haven't given percent chances to my reads lists before, but why does that make me scum? i think it's a more granular way of explaining my confidence on every read, and eliminates confusion — like, completely hypothetically, when my 33% read is in my lynch pool and everyone yells at me for an entire day. | ||
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Tumblewood
United States3709 Posts
On August 22 2017 00:38 Holyflare wrote: Because whenever I see you make a read it's based off dumb crap but it's resolute and you don't waiver on it. This uncertainty bugs me a lot. i haven't at any point acted too certain about my scumreads. except at eod2 when i really was that confident on you, and said so. and even if you don't understand them, i think my townreads are very good, and that is reflected too. | ||
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