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Liquidmania Qualifier #4 - Page 9

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 11:04 GMT
#852
Rels lets have a talk some time during today. Im honna be zombie for one more hour and then go get some mafia food and mafia snacks and mafia drinks and play.

You in?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 13:00 GMT
#855
Alright Rels, are you around?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 13:06 GMT
#857
So first things first. I think we both agree in darthfoley and Koshi being town?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 13:13 GMT
#858
I have very very mixed feelings about sicklucker. On the other hand almost nothing se says makes any logical sense to me (when we are talking about probabilities here - as in a mafia game nothing is certain). On the other hand his actions yesterday don't make much sense from mafia perspective, or like... ugh... they do but that is not something i would expect sicklucker to do as mafia. How he approaches the lynch and how he treats the situation as whole. Feels very lazy town. But idk. Maybe this is just sicklucker land?

Talk to me about your read on Tumblewood. You said he could be mafia, why?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 13:14 GMT
#859
Then on the other hand his actions make sense from mafia perspective after the lynch...
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 13:54 GMT
#862
There are a couple of things that make me very certain of Tumblewood being town.
First thing is that he came out of me - sicklucker argument looking wayyyyyy better than Calix did. Basically Tumblewood had a clear view of hos wthings went and he was actually trying to do something instead of calling posts bad. Secondly i do not think both mafia attack me like that, since usually that never happens. Anddd it's a slippery slope since i usually get more accurate reads from the arguments towards the people who i am NOT arguing about (like here it would be not sicklucker but instead Calix and Tumble). The third thing is the whole townread on Calix he got from the argument doesn't make any sense if they are mafia together since you'd know that's a very shitty read - and you can get called out for it. I think it is just way more likely he saw Calix "mindmelding" with him and thought it makes her town.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 14:00 GMT
#863
On April 08 2017 09:36 Tumblewood wrote:
no reason for me to still be voting rels. shapelog vs calix is a tossup imo, given that calix can't be bothered to show up as soon as she's scumread. but I'll stick back on shape for now because I doubt town!shape clears himself later more likely than town!calix

Actually this is a very very bad post.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 14:38 GMT
#865
But i don't like the post i quoted. Meh idk which is stronger?

Like the post has nothing to do with who is mafia and who is not, it's a cheap way to decide where to place your vote without and actual reasoning.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 14:39 GMT
#866
* any actualy reasoning
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:07 GMT
#869
Here:
On April 07 2017 01:24 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 01:22 Koshi wrote:
He is. There is no way mafia does it like that.
And you all misjudge Calix her play. She saw something to whine about and did it, to fake activity and not to solve this game. That she was capable to notice bad posts to pressure is good for her.

Doesnt matter game is still young. You'll all figure it out.

Well lets move on from this then (since this is a stalemate)

Outside of Calix world, how do you feel about the rest of the pot.

On April 07 2017 05:20 Shapelog wrote:
Indeed she doesn't. You can infer she has a issue with Koshi, but that is it in reads. BTDT read went away after the misunderstanding post and then the koshi stuff started.

Not enough to flip my view on her though, especially with the time.

On April 07 2017 05:50 Shapelog wrote:
Wow i'm slow.

It actually took Darth's comment about the reads for me to figure out the majority of koshi's stance/points. I see what he means with the suck up thing, but i fully agree still with it. The other stuff does make some sense now looking at it. Does actually help clear up koshi's mindset rn for me over calix.

On April 07 2017 06:47 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 06:20 Koshi wrote:
On April 07 2017 06:10 Shapelog wrote:
On April 07 2017 05:59 Koshi wrote:
Oh goodie.

I'll explain the sucking up better. Btw I am on phone so that's why I am even moreincomprehensible as normal.

rayn is an vast entity as town. You prefer to not annoy him. But if he says dumb shit, you can get a 1up on him by engaging him in a conversation you cant lose as mafia. But I think that a town Calix, brave as she is, would get past his dumb shit, and solve the game, force rayn to get past his dumb shit if needed, or poke the bear and call him mafia. But she didnt. So that is why I said she was sucking up to him.

Ah that is why. See if you explained this about ryan earlier I might of been able to piece it together lol. I'm going to reread that section.

Question tho, have they played together tho? While I know normally is good to get a one up in general (and she would too), this does have a part with it being ryan we are talking about.

Yes. They are familiar.
Read ot and imagine if there is a banana on the table and calix and rayn ars standing before it and rayns says "Well I dont know what that is but maybe it is an apple"
And calix is like:
But it is yellow, why is it an apple?
But it is long, an apple is not long..
But it isnt something round, apples are normally round.

I cant now think about the conversation seriously now because im laughing bc im picturing that instead with the posts.

How is any of this alignment-indicative? ELI5.
It is because it doesn't make any fucking sense.
But how does that make it mafia??
Because it doesn't make any fucking sense.

So here is the conversation between Shapelog and Koshi about Calix. First post "let's do something else". Other posts "i understand Koshi but it doesn't make Calix mafia".

Now let's assume Shapelog believes what he writes there. Then it goes into this:

On April 08 2017 02:29 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +

1.Tumblewood
2.Calix
3.Rels
4.Shapelog
5.sicklucker

6.beentheredonethat
7.raynpelikoneet
8.Koshi
9.darthfoley


Where I am at kinda. Honestly feel like I am missing something tbh

Suddenly Calix is mafia?!?!? That's not what he said before and Calix certainly didn't make any posts to change his mind. So where did the change of mind come from? I know one answer... "I don't wanna look bad if Calix flips but i don't really want her to flip". And this gem:
On April 08 2017 03:00 Shapelog wrote:
Yeah, after the explanations on the points koshi's had (banana example) and Ryan's I dont mind Calix being lynched.

Personally I rather have tumblewood and do think some players are giving him the pass.

Rereading time.

Read the post where he quotes Koshi's post he is talking about.
How is any of this alignment-indicative? ELI5.
It is because it doesn't make any fucking sense.
But how does that make it mafia??
Because it doesn't make any fucking sense.

Not alignment indigative -> It makes her mafia for no apparent reason.
Basically tho totally different outcomes from a same post.
Very likely mafia.

Furthermore somewhere between there i made a post where i wrote very clearly what Koshi meant and took it even further by backing it up with some other things as well. Shapelog never touches the case, never talks about it, never. Then he places a vote on Tumblewood for this:
On April 08 2017 03:16 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2017 03:04 beentheredonethat wrote:
Switching to Calix feels like the easy choice though. Mainly because she isn't around I'm not a big fan. Policy lynch on Rels doesn't feel good, either.

Or, we could consolidate on Tumblewood.

#Vote: Tumblewood
Like I said I am fine with either or. I just prefer tumblewood over Calix at this point.

Just looking at his read on you:
Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 00:03 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 06 2017 19:47 beentheredonethat wrote:
On April 06 2017 19:45 Calix wrote:
On April 06 2017 19:44 beentheredonethat wrote:
On April 06 2017 16:25 Koshi wrote:
Hey rayn, if you don't mind, I am going for a -20 posts D1, 2-3 posts N1, 5 posts D2 and 2 posts N2. Well, unless mafia shoots me like they did the last 5 nights I was alive.

I will read the first 36 hours of the game and give my opinion. With some luck it is different than the last time.

Koshi please don't say such things they feel scummy


How is that post scummy?

"I will do [whatever]" is always scummy. Don't promise, do.

this is btw one of the worst entrance sequences I have ever seen
- btdt calls koshi scum for making a promise
- (even though koshi basically promised to be lazy and he does that every game)
- btdt says it's worth a push (1 step removed from a promise)
- btdt does not push koshi
but I will give him the benefit of the doubt on being scum for now

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 03:07 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 07 2017 01:58 beentheredonethat wrote:
Actually reading Tumblewood's filter: there is NO (absolutely no!) contribution to the game. Just banter. Besides that easily to be made up post.

##vote Tumblewood do something

how bout you do something first and I do something about that something
(I think you are bad town who thinks contributions mean anything. thankfully you are transparent. I think.)

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 03:44 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 07 2017 03:21 beentheredonethat wrote:
On April 07 2017 03:07 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 07 2017 01:58 beentheredonethat wrote:
Actually reading Tumblewood's filter: there is NO (absolutely no!) contribution to the game. Just banter. Besides that easily to be made up post.

##vote Tumblewood do something

how bout you do something first and I do something about that something
(I think you are bad town who thinks contributions mean anything. thankfully you are transparent. I think.)

The main difference between us two is that I actually do something: I interact with people (i.e. making myself readable), I drop reads, I push here and pressure there, and I try to stay reasonable.

You do nothing.

nah I'm pretty content with having three reads that I think are right with as little as has happened so far
and what ever happened to that push on koshi

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 04:03 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 07 2017 03:55 beentheredonethat wrote:
On April 06 2017 23:54 Tumblewood wrote:
I feel like a broken clock but I've got a nice mindmeld/townread on calix

On April 07 2017 03:12 Tumblewood wrote:
thinking shape is also town. but that read depends a lot on the progression of the thread


I was able to find two. What's the third?

duh when I called you bad town. you are so righteous

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 14:30 Tumblewood wrote:
On April 07 2017 14:24 beentheredonethat wrote:
Lynching sicklucker is also fine. Im not thinking hes town.

also my spidey senses are going off on this. *pending further unspecified action*

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 23:25 Tumblewood wrote:
anyway I saw this question from 10 pages ago
On April 07 2017 15:37 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Where did your townread on him come from in the first place (Tumble)?

if you mean btdt, it's because he is super self-righteous even when he is saying something bad and wrong. especially from newer scum I would expect more careful consideration
I am waiting to see what he does next though because he is in limbo right now

Show nested quote +
On April 07 2017 23:26 Tumblewood wrote:
or more like did next...


He keeps stating your bad town, but keeps hedging/options open on you. I think the most damming of it all is the one with the explanation of how righteous you are means a newer scum wouldnt fit you. But then says you are in limbo, after calling you bad town.

First of all this is a bad case. Second of all this case is nowhere near as good as the case on Calix. Basically Shapelog's case here is "Tumblewood cannot make a decision on btdt's alignment". That makes Tumblewood mafia?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:10 GMT
#870
Oh i misread something, forget the thing about the banana example post.
Rest of it still stands.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:12 GMT
#871
On April 08 2017 23:47 Shapelog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 08 2017 23:38 raynpelikoneet wrote:
But i don't like the post i quoted. Meh idk which is stronger?

Like the post has nothing to do with who is mafia and who is not, it's a cheap way to decide where to place your vote without and actual reasoning.

Depends on how much you think scum!tumble would be willing to agree to posting those posts with calix with.

Like i said in the post after the flip, I hate his posts so far but I dont see scum!tumble doing what he did. Perhaps I am reading into the associating of it too much, but I just dont see it after the flip confirming calix as scum. I would think he would be less incline to post what he did or not as much as what he did. Maybe the first one or what not, but due to the timing and thread views on calix, it just doesn't make sense.

Your day 1 case on Tumblewood has nothing to do with anything related to Calix' alignment so where did that case go? It doesn't make him mafia anymore? How much did you actually believe in your case on D1 if you're so eager to drop it just because someone else flipped something?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:13 GMT
#872
You even literally fucking said at some point Calix is probably the only person who could be mafia with Tumblewood.....
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:50 GMT
#876
It still doesn't change the fact you completely changed your read you were more sure of than your read on Calix, enough to vote for Tumblewood instead of Calix despite there being an actual good case on her. And now you don't even think your case on Tumblewood is any good anymore based on something that has been in the thread to evaluate all the time.

So yeah, excuse me but i am very suspicious of the strength of your read in the first place on D1.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 15:50 GMT
#877
Or are you saying you want to lynch people based on how they play and if you like it or not instead of them being mafia?
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 16:19 GMT
#879
Voting an afk means nothing when we are talking about Tumblewood.
He has had original thoughts.
"Throw shade on" is just another way of saying "doesn't have a conclusion on players alignment. In a same way i could say you "threw shade" on Tumblewood D1.... Actually considering your read on him now you did that way more than he did, since you never even commited to a vote before Calix was ACTUALLY starting to look like she's getting lynched and after the vote you started convincing Tumblewood that he is mafia (which is literally super dumb in the first place).

So there is that. I wasn't talking about pre-association. I was talking about the fact that your read changes based on stuff that should not affect the read at all because based on your case on Tumble, nothing Calix did means anything regarding Tumble's alignment. Nothing Tumble has done since should change your opinion on him (because he hasn't posted anything since the flip). Basically you are evaluating same evidence and coming to a completely different conclusion before. That's not unlikely to come from twon, the unlikeliness comes from the fact you have a 8 page filter, you were active almost all the time, yet you couldn't come to this conclusion earlier and indirectly defended Calix who flipped mafia by calling Tumblewood scum and making a case on him. I don't really understand how this very simple thing is so hard for you to see and why you try to twist it around.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 08 2017 21:20 GMT
#883
Tumbewood could you explain to me why did vote Shapelog over Calix like you did? I made a post about it earlier.
table for two on a tv tray
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 09 2017 00:19 GMT
#911
SHa9elog -> sicklucker
Ggnore.
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 09 2017 01:52 GMT
#925
##vote shpelog
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raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43270 Posts
April 09 2017 01:55 GMT
#928
well done sl <3
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