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[M][T] Haunted Mansion 3 - Page 146

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Prev 1 144 145 146 147 148 155 Next
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
September 18 2016 20:49 GMT
#2901
Ignore the votes. Mafia has to bus Palmar here.
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 18 2016 22:35 GMT
#2902
Why are you so sure he's mafia? He has done nothing AI this game. Only his voting pattern is telling.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 18 2016 22:48 GMT
#2903
On September 19 2016 07:35 NeverUnlucky wrote:
Why are you so sure he's mafia? He has done nothing AI this game. Only his voting pattern is telling.

jesus, have you paid no attention? he was shot by hf. no one died. put the pieces together.
good times for all
fuba
Profile Joined April 2014
United States663 Posts
September 18 2016 23:19 GMT
#2904
I'll be mostly afking until palmar comes back.

Though honestly, I'm probably afk until about an hour before the lynch either way. This course load is going to kill me.
@theRealMkfuba07
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
September 18 2016 23:23 GMT
#2905
On September 19 2016 07:35 NeverUnlucky wrote:
Why are you so sure he's mafia? He has done nothing AI this game. Only his voting pattern is telling.

Because mafia aren't going to use their spell to protect a townie.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
September 19 2016 04:50 GMT
#2906
On September 07 2016 14:39 Tumblewood wrote:
I have a spoookyy gost story for you all
one time ther was a gost. he said Boo! i was all like Aaaaahhh! it was realy spooky

Boo!
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9846 Posts
September 19 2016 04:54 GMT
#2907
Aren't you glad we killed you HF? Now we can really get some work done.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 19 2016 05:05 GMT
#2908
On September 19 2016 13:50 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 07 2016 14:39 Tumblewood wrote:
I have a spoookyy gost story for you all
one time ther was a gost. he said Boo! i was all like Aaaaahhh! it was realy spooky

Boo!

Aaaaahhh!
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 19 2016 05:05 GMT
#2909
grack dont spook me like that
good times for all
Half the Sky
Profile Joined May 2014
Germany9029 Posts
September 19 2016 11:27 GMT
#2910
Abstimmung - Tag 4


Palmar (5): Superbia, Grackaroni, fuba, NeverUnlucky, Tumblewood, Vivax
Superbia (1): NeverUnlucky

Not Voting (2): Damdred, Palmar

Dieser Tag endet in Monday, Sep 19 9:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) in .
TL countdown synchronizes with your device local time and not with the TL server time. It might be inaccurate.
The phoenix must burn to emerge. - Janet Fitch
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 11:45 GMT
#2911
Where is Damdred?
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 11:45 GMT
#2912
Also what the hell is your strategy/thought process as town NU?
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 11:55 GMT
#2913
On September 19 2016 05:47 NeverUnlucky wrote:
Ok, Palmar probably isn't mafia unless he is being bussed by his other teammate. He is unlikely to be in a team with Damdred, the only other guy who has not voted.

I'm going for Super.


Why would this matter now? Do you believe scum is likely to always vote outside of his team mate?

Explain to me a world where HF shoots Palmar and the shot doesn't go through.

HF posted this at EoD:
On September 17 2016 05:59 Holyflare wrote:
Gg I'm killing palmar


Skynx has said during N2 that Palmar is an EXCELLENT vig shot.

Now explain to me a world where BG save Palmar, who is scumread by the BGs and AFTER HF said he would shoot Palmar (this still makes it iffy, as HF is also likely to maybe shoot Vivax or MAYBE even Damdred, all WIFOM).

Now, as scum Damdred, you are pretty much never with Palmar. I don't think its Vivax either at this point.

Now, why would scum risk putting the reversal on Palmar (this is 95% confirmed at this point) if Palmar is town? The only world I can think of where this is true is if Damdred is mafia and Vivax is town.

This also pretty much makes Vivax town unless he is strictly with Palmar, as the reversal would always be used on mafia if they think they are getting shot (since HF is someone who is likely to want to take the shot bc he's an egotistical brit).
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 11:56 GMT
#2914
I think there is always one between Damdred and Palmar. I also think Vivax is town is Palmar is town.
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 11:59 GMT
#2915
It's super likely to be Palmar bc of the logic I posted. Mafia is more likely to protect themselves if they feel a shot is coming.

We can also deduce through reads given by both benevolent ghosts that they wouldn't save Palmar.
Minimal effort.
Superbia
Profile Blog Joined April 2008
Netherlands8889 Posts
September 19 2016 12:00 GMT
#2916
Though I didn't check what Calix had on Palmar. I recall it was scum or null. Either way she is much more likely to think he's scum given Skynx's reads. Would never save him.
Minimal effort.
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 19 2016 12:33 GMT
#2917
Well it's really simple

a) VS didn't actually shoot and the message is manipulated
b) I actually got protected by the BS

I don't think there is any way around this.

So to me it's simple:


@VS: If you guys shot me, vote PALMAR tonight, else vote DAMDRED


@BS: If you guys protected me, vote DAMDRED to night, else vote PALMAR

Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 19 2016 12:34 GMT
#2918
Mafia can't manipulate both votes, and they're more likely to have manipulated the VS vote.

The BS is the important one, but the VS one can help as well (especially if hf's message was dicked around with).
Computer says mafia
Palmar
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Iceland22633 Posts
September 19 2016 12:35 GMT
#2919
There is no way I'm going to convince you all without spirit help.
Computer says mafia
Damdred
Profile Joined July 2014
15669 Posts
September 19 2016 13:00 GMT
#2920
I won't be here for a few hours yet, it is our anniversary and been out of town all weekend basically.
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