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[M][T] Haunted Mansion 3 - Page 123

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 14 2016 23:46 GMT
#2441
Actually no it makes sense that wasn't an awful kill. If any of vivax/palmar (definitely vivax) are mafia then them not dying tomorrow after i died tonight would be weird/scummy.

Killing skynx gives them an extra day of an excuse of being alive after I'm killed and all the crap noobs are pushing me so maybe there's a chance I'd be lynched too.
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 14 2016 23:53 GMT
#2442
On September 15 2016 08:31 Grackaroni wrote:
I was going to try to check but it doesn't look easy. I'll take your word on being bad at mafia because I remember Calix was shitting on your scum play earlier.

The reason I said that about the night kills is that there actually aren't a lot of people I could see killing Skynx. A lot of people way overvalue certain players i.e. why some people think Palmar would be a good kill here.



First mafia game, lynched D1 after slipping on post #1.

Second mafia game, first lynch again. Scum conceded right after.

"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 14 2016 23:54 GMT
#2443
Not killing me also leaves crappo noobs to control powerful things so that's a bonus too.

Here's my theory in case it's confusing:

Vivax is mafia but if vivax is mafia he can't die at night.

Killing me would be the best move to get rid of a person who can shit all over a mafia team but if I die that raises questions of why me over vivax.

Then you'd reach tomorrow and vivax wouldn't die. You would again ask the question why isn't vivax dead?

Then the suspicion is too great and he's mafia.

This theory is kill Skynx off and kill hf if he doesn't get called out and lynched this cycle because he's scum read by a lot of people (look who's left alive, everyone that scum reads me) and then if hf gets killed tomorrow nobody is suspicious that vivax is still alive still since he is a powerful town guy.

This theory works for a lot of the vets really but especially vivax who should have got the most cred.

No way mafia aren't using their abilities for that and kill Skynx unless it's a plan by mafia.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 15 2016 00:01 GMT
#2444
Can't we just kill Palmar? I'm pretty sure this is scum!Palmar by now. He made one attempt at contributing and it was a really bad list.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:08 GMT
#2445
On September 11 2016 03:02 Vivax wrote:
Still unsure about fuba. Went through the guys voting TT atm and HF was the guy who originated that scumread, superbia chimed in but decided to instead vote TW for his read on TT. Haven't heard much from him since.

Damdred adds to HF's points that his entrance was forced, that TT lurks as scum.

As for fuba I have no clue what his reasons for voting TT are. The closest I got was this. Where he says to check his post above, but in that post he's adressing NUs posts. So still no clue what fubas reason for the vote on TT are. On page 1 he spends more time talking about TW than TT whom he's voting. If anyone has any idea what fuba is voting TT for, enlighten me.

His biggish posts are townie but that might be wall of text bias.

Show nested quote +
On September 10 2016 08:50 fuba wrote:
And before anyone mentions it, I am still voting for TT right now. If my post above didn't convince anyone, then I'm not going to have the impetus today and tomorrow to push it through. Scum NU doesn't eliminate scum TT as far as I can remember.

I work tomorrow from 8am-4pm, which is the deadline. I may be able to pop in about 3-4 hours before that for a few minutes, but will be otherwise unavailable.

On September 12 2016 06:04 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 12 2016 05:39 Holyflare wrote:
ALSO I don't like vivax's posts but I haven't read them either but when I skim I dislike all of it.

ALSOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Also vivax why have you let damdred be there saying tt's mafia meta is to afk when you just saw him afk as town?

make him answer this shit


Wut? He said it before the lynch, he then flipped town, so Damdred's meta turned out to be wrong. Why should I jump on somebody just for being wrong? The meta was legit, but turned out shitty.

I might as well jump on anyone else for being on TT. But it was a solid lynch. I'm more concerned that I spotted the same pattern adopted on TT being used by you, but it's a big picture thing, and Damdred wasn't nearly as hyperbole as you on TT, or TW now.


Vivax accepting bull shit tt meta to allow him to be lynched after just seeing tt afk for 72 hours in star wars.


Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:24 GMT
#2446
On September 12 2016 08:37 Vivax wrote:
Encrypted last wills, or how to turn a game of mafia into a Dan Brown book. Back to real business fun's over. A little test for HF if you will, finding out who wrote this before answering is against the rules, play fair:

Show nested quote +
I didn't see any reason that HF exaggerating his sureness was indicative of the case being bad. Though iirc he later mentions that he no longer had a scum read (or maybe it was just a weaker scum read? Would have to look it up) on tt and was lynching for information at that point. That bugs me.Mostly because I'm not sure how much reasonably confident information we got from the lynch. Maybe that'll come to me when I reread EoD.


1. Is bolded true?
2. Do you think this post is scummy?
3. Do you think this would ever be able to reach a correct conclusion as to your alignment and this player would believe he could?
4. Once you find out who posted this (you may now), why does he mention you in this way after stating another intention in writing this?


A few more would come to mind but that'd be an assault on your attention span.

I answered to your Damdred stuff, manus manum lavat.


Top of the post vivax comments about me and Scott with spectral votes etc.

I'd like to townread shapelog cause the fuba stuff started jumping to me when I found the energy to actually read his posts (which still ended up being only his last filter page and some from the early game) and he mentioned fubas flip floppy post parts, but it also felt like he was casually throwing suspicion at me at some points which seemed out of character. But other than this his early posts seemed townie to me.


Town reads Shapelog. Scum reads fuba and suoer all day (since day 1?)

On September 14 2016 01:18 Vivax wrote:
Either way I have a dinner in 2-3 hours, dunno if I can make it for EoD. It's really really important we get a wagon going on fuba or super I don't want to come back and see a shenanny lynch.



Going to take a closer look at Damdred, just gut wise he has been appearing scummier than when he was mafia in his last games (which would mean he's town) . This game feels like one of the games where everyone relies on tone reading people and when somebody (read:I) goes for post analysis it's rejected as irrelevant.

Remember the me vs you vs yamato lylo damdred?


Fuba/damd/super scum reads and disappears to dinner (aka not playing the game at all)

In other words, I think mafia is still super/fuba + shape/palmar/HF if alive for too long. Shape especially has dropped off a lot activity wise and if anyone is going to shenanny, shenanny on shape. I'll join you if I make it, at least one of the unreadables will be gone. Don't really have much else to add on him.


Suddenly his town read on shape disappeared and me/palmar anr shape appear in a list.
On September 14 2016 05:18 Vivax wrote:
I'm back. Damdred is being voted by calix, presumably, and Shape by scott.
Fuba is a read magnet when it comes to his posts. It feels like lots of people think he's town but keep calling his posts bad.

If neither fuba nor super are happening I'm voting Shape. Not going to sit on solely my own wagon this time.


Suddenly he can't be bothered to push his wagons and doesn't want to vote into damdred or Skynx (his Skynx towm read being literally one sentence btw) and he afks on a vote he knows was potentially messed with because he acknowledged the happenings earlier.
On September 14 2016 05:26 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2016 05:20 Holyflare wrote:
Wtf do you mean why? I left a message for scott since he left a message for me and it's not what I asked for.


I am not aware of such a thing.


On September 14 2016 05:45 Vivax wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2016 05:34 Holyflare wrote:
On September 12 2016 08:59 Holyflare wrote:
Hey scott if you're reading this your vote is likely to get manipulated now so my bad.

Uhhh also you should vote on the name on /m11 if damdred is mafia


Didn't happen it's manipulated


What if he doesn't think damdred is mafia?
All this vote bullshit is wifom anyway I literally don't care about the vote I care about shape being the person I want to lynch next if we don't get super or fuba.

You can wifom ride all you want it's not going to save him from me. The leeway time for my regular game buds is over.

His first page is fear mongering on me all the time without ever calling me mafia. He spends an entire post discussing how a guide to reading him by rsoultin is wrong, in answer to Damdred. He spent the post arguing against Damdred that his TR on shape is wrong, basically.

I'm still trying to figure out if there's more. The best thing I can think of in his defense is that he pointed out how fuba was flip floppy on some points. But otherwise I'm really unimpressed by shape this game, he loves to motivate town with youtube vids as well as town which is lacking this moment. He usually also is a much more constant presence. Not this in and out shape.

And then there's the PoE, I'm certainly not ending on a wagon that HF/fuba/Palmar/super were on first, besides that I don't think Damdred and Skynx are our best lynches for today.


Remember when vivax town read shape and being faced with a manipulated vote wanted to be a hipster?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:25 GMT
#2447
Fuck quoting posts on a phone.

How did vivax suddenly switch from town reading shape to mafia reading him?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:29 GMT
#2448
I'd like to townread shapelog cause the fuba stuff started jumping to me when I found the energy to actually read his posts (which still ended up being only his last filter page and some from the early game) and he mentioned fubas flip floppy post parts, but it also felt like he was casually throwing suspicion at me at some points which seemed out of character. But other than this his early posts seemed townie to me.


All this vote bullshit is wifom anyway I literally don't care about the vote I care about shape being the person I want to lynch next if we don't get super or fuba.

You can wifom ride all you want it's not going to save him from me. The leeway time for my regular game buds is over.

His first page is fear mongering on me all the time without ever calling me mafia. He spends an entire post discussing how a guide to reading him by rsoultin is wrong, in answer to Damdred. He spent the post arguing against Damdred that his TR on shape is wrong, basically.

I'm still trying to figure out if there's more. The best thing I can think of in his defense is that he pointed out how fuba was flip floppy on some points. But otherwise I'm really unimpressed by shape this game, he loves to motivate town with youtube vids as well as town which is lacking this moment. He usually also is a much more constant presence. Not this in and out shape.


Relevant quotes from same day.

Miraculous read turnaround.

Gets his strongest scum read from shape.

Fuck shape is so mafia for these reasons that existed when i town read him.

Screw my scum reads here's a random wagon.

-
vivax 'the mafia' nubbins
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:33 GMT
#2449
Sheep me = win game

Ty for playing vivax gg
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:37 GMT
#2450
Also I'm going to trust that Calix would have left a last will or voted nu if he was mafia so I can town read him without reading a single thing he's saying and flame calix if she's wrong end game
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:37 GMT
#2451
The question is who is vivax with
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 15 2016 00:38 GMT
#2452
Well fuck I was meant to sleep hours ago bai
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 15 2016 00:57 GMT
#2453
I was about to shit on the case but underneath a lot of meh stuff there is actually a pretty good point. Vivax started adding all of these good reasons for Shapelog being scum that weren't in his first post even though Shapelog never posted in between those two posts.

By the way, in the Damdred post he was calling Damdred town for seeming scummy. It was actually a town read on Damdred.
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 15 2016 01:01 GMT
#2454
lol nope I just had a total epiphany between the minute I posted that and right now. Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that.

It makes way more sense than that same reasoning being applied to Vivax because I don't think Vivax would ever think that.
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 15 2016 01:06 GMT
#2455
meh as long as you don't touch NU or grack or me I don't have any strong opinions on the lynch today. not yet, at least. everyone is all muddled in my head and I need to sort them out.
super and fuba are people I still don't want to lynch very much although I will not defend them. vivax is iffy but if he continues to lurk I am totally on board. he has a hard time tryharding as scum for more than a day or two as I know it. actually I can make conditions like this for everyone and it will be cool and rad. I will do that soon™
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 15 2016 01:13 GMT
#2456
On September 15 2016 10:01 Grackaroni wrote:
lol nope I just had a total epiphany between the minute I posted that and right now. Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that.

It makes way more sense than that same reasoning being applied to Vivax because I don't think Vivax would ever think that.

yeah vivax has an obvious excuse for surviving to LyLo which is that no scumteam ever has been afraid of him


conditions for lynch:
- Hf if he pushes a mislynch today (leaving this open-ended in case it is not vivax)
- vivax if he does not put a decent amount of effort in. decent to be determined when I see it
- Damdred if I don't want to lynch anyone else. or if he lurks most of the day. god he is such a plan b I want to lynch him more just thinking this
- super if I happen to not like him for whatever reason. I do not have a reason to hate him yet besides the calix bullshit from n1
- fuba if he doesn't do anything meaningful today. I will be lenient to an extent
- Palmar if he continues to be a useless shit or if he continues to call me a useless shit
- grack or NU if they literally claim scum
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
September 15 2016 01:15 GMT
#2457
although it supports what I want to believe grack I think your reasoning is getting a little shaky. overall I do not like the amount of NK wifom going on in the thread because there are 50000000 possibilities for why the hell mafia would kill Skynx and 49999999 of them are wrong
good times for all
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 15 2016 01:18 GMT
#2458
On September 15 2016 10:01 Grackaroni wrote:
lol nope I just had a total epiphany between the minute I posted that and right now. Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that.

It makes way more sense than that same reasoning being applied to Vivax because I don't think Vivax would ever think that.


I don't understand why you make those conclusions.

I would find it suspicious that HF hasn't died in LYLO as scum has the possibility of disabling all protection. It seems like you are trying to frame HF here because you are giving YOUR reasoning to why HF wasn't killed and are expecting others to agree with it by presenting it as a fact.

Why would Vivax not think that?

On September 15 2016 09:37 Holyflare wrote:
Also I'm going to trust that Calix would have left a last will or voted nu if he was mafia so I can town read him without reading a single thing he's saying and flame calix if she's wrong end game


I want to change alignment just to see that happening.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
Grackaroni
Profile Joined July 2011
United States9856 Posts
September 15 2016 01:31 GMT
#2459
On September 15 2016 10:18 NeverUnlucky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 15 2016 10:01 Grackaroni wrote:
lol nope I just had a total epiphany between the minute I posted that and right now. Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that.

It makes way more sense than that same reasoning being applied to Vivax because I don't think Vivax would ever think that.


I don't understand why you make those conclusions.

I would find it suspicious that HF hasn't died in LYLO as scum has the possibility of disabling all protection. It seems like you are trying to frame HF here because you are giving YOUR reasoning to why HF wasn't killed and are expecting others to agree with it by presenting it as a fact.

Why would Vivax not think that?

Show nested quote +
On September 15 2016 09:37 Holyflare wrote:
Also I'm going to trust that Calix would have left a last will or voted nu if he was mafia so I can town read him without reading a single thing he's saying and flame calix if she's wrong end game


I want to change alignment just to see that happening.

It's actually not because HF didn't die. I didn't expect HF to die. HF was saying that Vivax made the kill for that reason which made me realize that this would be a more plausible motive for HF than Vivax.

Regardless it's not going to convince anyone of anything.

And I get that you think that HF is super townie but I don't think you understand that HF is a really strong mafia player. Definitely in the running for the best on this site. He's super active and opinionated regardless of alignment.
NeverUnlucky
Profile Joined August 2016
Canada1622 Posts
September 15 2016 01:50 GMT
#2460
On September 15 2016 10:31 Grackaroni wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 15 2016 10:18 NeverUnlucky wrote:
On September 15 2016 10:01 Grackaroni wrote:
lol nope I just had a total epiphany between the minute I posted that and right now. Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that.

It makes way more sense than that same reasoning being applied to Vivax because I don't think Vivax would ever think that.


I don't understand why you make those conclusions.

I would find it suspicious that HF hasn't died in LYLO as scum has the possibility of disabling all protection. It seems like you are trying to frame HF here because you are giving YOUR reasoning to why HF wasn't killed and are expecting others to agree with it by presenting it as a fact.

Why would Vivax not think that?

On September 15 2016 09:37 Holyflare wrote:
Also I'm going to trust that Calix would have left a last will or voted nu if he was mafia so I can town read him without reading a single thing he's saying and flame calix if she's wrong end game


I want to change alignment just to see that happening.

It's actually not because HF didn't die. I didn't expect HF to die. HF was saying that Vivax made the kill for that reason which made me realize that this would be a more plausible motive for HF than Vivax.


You went from "Holyflare killed Skynx because in his mind he's going to look strange in LYLO for not dying even though nobody else is thinking that. " to "more plausible motive" in two posts. Inconsistent to say the least.

Regardless it's not going to convince anyone of anything.


Why are you making a case/post if your goal is not to convince? You are marginalizing your own posts.

And I get that you think that HF is super townie but I don't think you understand that HF is a really strong mafia player. Definitely in the running for the best on this site. He's super active and opinionated regardless of alignment.


Yes, I understand that he's a great player. That doesn't make him scummy nor does it change my stance on him.

I never said that activity nor opinions were AI.
"The more I look at it, the more convinced I am that NU bussed himself intentionally." -darthfoley
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