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On August 09 2016 03:56 Stutters695 wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 03:49 disformation wrote:
Yeah, I think I like the luna lynch a bit more now.
Prolly should look at kush again... and I nearly forgot to look at mdergs filter. What makes you like the Luna lynch? It actually feels like he doesn't have the time to me.
This is really different from what I've seen from Stutters before. It's full of red flags especially stating that I don't have time (which is true to a certain extent). But it implies he is ok with just lynching a townie even though he knows I am one. What he should have done is state what he believes my alignment is at the very least with this post, but he already knew so he forgot to do it.
This is a super mafia tell to me. I'm probably going to vote for him today.
Also I there is no way Grac or Shape are mafia. I don't believe sick is that either.
Vivax is really super null to me and the rest are kinda iffy.
Mderg wont generate any info.
hmmm
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On August 09 2016 05:37 Shapelog wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 05:33 Lunaticman wrote:On August 09 2016 05:27 Grackaroni wrote:On August 09 2016 00:52 Lunaticman wrote:
I think Kush is actually telling the truth on the matter of not wanting to die. But it feels like a lame excuse. Any VT would fight way more against a lynch like that when they have time to post.
I don't think Kush is the way to go based on his filter. I have a better hunch about Damdred or GlowingBear. Both of their filters are enough content to avoid a day 1 lynch and missdirection, typical mafia behaviour.
This Lunatic post is a post that I think would draw a lot of unwarranted suspicion just from disagreeing with the current lynch targets and proposing people not currently being suspected while also avoiding the most useless people. I think it's more likely to be his actual way of reading the game than mafia play. Also Glowingbear's continued push on Disinfo reads a bit red to me just because he didn't comment on anything at all that's happened since he was last here and Disinfo has been posting quite a bit since he was gone. Kush is definitely my favorite lynch of the bunch right now. Finally someone that understands that not EVERY PLAYER IN MAFIA. Uses logical deduction skills first to find contradictions etc. Hunches is a thing people. Lol, I don't either XD. I just say what ever is off the top of my head, and get the sweet rush of success when i find out post game, I have 2-1 mafia right Day 1.
Happens to me a lot when I play IRL, but the forum thing is still new to me.
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On August 09 2016 05:39 Grackaroni wrote:
You ready to get on the Kush wagon HF?
TBH the reason people are suspecting kush are the same reasons you were generating heat. I just don't buy it. He was the "lynch" target too. I've never seen the first target be mafia day 1.
I just don't feel that is where we want to be.
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mderg, stutters.
That's feels like a 1/2 chance to hit mafia.
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look at mderg*s voting pattern, he switches his vote way to many times without a reason.
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I also don't like how damdred hasn't voted yet. Is there any reason for this?
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Well one positive thing about this is that mafia probably spread their votes at this point. So when we get one flipped we should be able to figure out the rest of them purely based on the voting patterns.
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Tbh if I was mafia I would put one on town lead since we have to have majority, one on standby and one on a train.
So far I don't think it is either of Shape/Grac.
It has to be one of the early posters too.
It wouldn't be a reach to think something like Damdred/Stutter/Dis following that logic right?
I also feel it is strange that dis and Grac has changed their votes two times each.
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On August 09 2016 05:54 mderg wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 05:48 Lunaticman wrote:
look at mderg*s voting pattern, he switches his vote way to many times without a reason. No?
Oh your right, it is only 2 times. I must have confused myself.
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The only one I could be convinced to switch to atm is probably stutters/damdred.
Vivax is concerning too, but I don't know, will probably die to a mod kill either way.
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On August 09 2016 06:04 Shapelog wrote:Urg...... 3-3-3-2 That is the votes rn. Show nested quote +I also feel it is strange that dis and Grac has changed their votes two times each. Can I ask Why? Both were the leading wagons, so voting for each other early on makes sense?
I don't think so, if you are town I probably am fine with sacrificing myself if I can get a 1 for one 1 trade. Unless you are sure the other player is mafia the vote wont really yield any information. It is better to place it on who you actually believe to be mafia. For the next day.
It is better to proc lame your innocence with words, or even go so far as to self vote. Showing that you do not fear death.
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On August 09 2016 06:09 mderg wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 06:07 Lunaticman wrote:On August 09 2016 06:04 Shapelog wrote:Urg...... 3-3-3-2 That is the votes rn. I also feel it is strange that dis and Grac has changed their votes two times each. Can I ask Why? Both were the leading wagons, so voting for each other early on makes sense? I don't think so, if you are town I probably am fine with sacrificing myself if I can get a 1 for one 1 trade. Unless you are sure the other player is mafia the vote wont really yield any information. It is better to place it on who you actually believe to be mafia. For the next day. It is better to proc lame your innocence with words, or even go so far as to self vote. Showing that you do not fear death. Be careful, you're going into strong wifom territory here.
I'm fine with my reasoning, it's up to you if you want to accept it. Neither of them did it anyway so the question is moot.
Actually to switch vote to someone just because they voted you is more of a last resort/weakness indicative. Also I just said it was strange I didn't really add anymore meaning to it. I just think it might become relevant later in the game. At least the way it looks right now.
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On August 09 2016 06:10 Holyflare wrote:
Also luna can you tell me why you said that comment earlier about 1 mafia on someone and 1 not voting? Talk me through what went through your mind
Since the game is based on majority voting, the best play for mafia is the spread the votes as much as possible.
I just used my thought process based on that assumption. To catch a killer you have to think like a killer.
Damdred for example has the perfect excuse, he can just claim he wanted the town to lynch. So even if it is a misslynch he will get towncred.
That's why I went in and voted even though I didn't have time to read the thread earlier.
People also tend to use me a lot as bait I've noticed. I'm easy towncred and even if I flip green there are so many people scum reading me the town wont know what to do either way.
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On August 09 2016 06:15 Shapelog wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 06:07 Lunaticman wrote:On August 09 2016 06:04 Shapelog wrote:Urg...... 3-3-3-2 That is the votes rn. I also feel it is strange that dis and Grac has changed their votes two times each. Can I ask Why? Both were the leading wagons, so voting for each other early on makes sense? I don't think so, if you are town I probably am fine with sacrificing myself if I can get a 1 for one 1 trade. Unless you are sure the other player is mafia the vote wont really yield any information. It is better to place it on who you actually believe to be mafia. For the next day.It is better to proc lame your innocence with words, or even go so far as to self vote. Showing that you do not fear death. I understand the bold a bit, but...It was what? A few hours into the day cycle? and about the [u], if the person who is against u is town. then wouldn't u sacrificing yourself be 2/0 if u were town.,...
I'm just saying what I would have done in that situation, it didn't even apply, I was speculating from my perspective. It doesn't really matter tbh.
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I actually want to lynch dis now, because if he flips red I think we can catch the other 2 quite easy.
If I am wrong please enlighten me, but I don't feel like kush is mafia.
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On August 09 2016 06:25 disformation wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 06:23 disformation wrote:
I also think I will sheep damdy. Luna is here fighting and showing some fresh thought process. Actually not sure between grack and kush. in their exchange i like grack more. but grack had this really bad part in his exchange later with me.
Grac is in that sweet spot in which he fights for his life but doesn't really care enough if he dies or not. Being in that spot a lot lately he is an easy town read for me.
We can deal with him later in either case.
The kush random vote generator thing is kinda wierd though Ill give you that.
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I think I've said my peace atm, I leave the ball to someone else but I'm not switching my vote.
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On August 09 2016 06:36 Damdred wrote:
Honestly here's where I stand, lunatics little suspicion on me is borderline cute. But I can probably see a newbie town fall into a narrative instead of a scum who's trying to survive. I still don't like the soft pushes with very little substance to back it up or a real push on who he wants to lynch. But I think it's enough for me not to want to kill him today and 're evaluate tonight tomorrow with a clear head and more information.
Gb while I agree I dislike the play he is doing I also don't know if it's worth a lynch yet. I've seen him do this a few times as town and he matched my thought process at points and lives scum reading me as both alignments. So I am a little pocketed.
All in all I think kush is the best lynch, we gain not Mich in the way of information but if you compare his last few town games he has done nothing like this in any. Even when he was super ark and for lynched he at least had some reads in the thread.
Anywya vote kush
Haha this made me laugh thank you on a more serious note,
I'm like a laser beam shot from an owl eye and I only hit mafia.
And just to make things crystal clear, I haven't made any soft pushes.
I wouldn't mind lynching you after dis though, Ill tell you that right now.
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On August 09 2016 06:49 Damdred wrote:Show nested quote +On August 09 2016 06:45 Lunaticman wrote:On August 09 2016 06:36 Damdred wrote:
Honestly here's where I stand, lunatics little suspicion on me is borderline cute. But I can probably see a newbie town fall into a narrative instead of a scum who's trying to survive. I still don't like the soft pushes with very little substance to back it up or a real push on who he wants to lynch. But I think it's enough for me not to want to kill him today and 're evaluate tonight tomorrow with a clear head and more information.
Gb while I agree I dislike the play he is doing I also don't know if it's worth a lynch yet. I've seen him do this a few times as town and he matched my thought process at points and lives scum reading me as both alignments. So I am a little pocketed.
All in all I think kush is the best lynch, we gain not Mich in the way of information but if you compare his last few town games he has done nothing like this in any. Even when he was super ark and for lynched he at least had some reads in the thread.
Anywya vote kush Haha this made me laugh thank you on a more serious note, I'm like a laser beam shot from an owl eye and I only hit mafia. And just to make things crystal clear, I haven't made any soft pushes. I wouldn't mind lynching you after dis though, Ill tell you that right now. What you are doing is nothing but soft pushes really
I made one vote, how's that for soft pushes Half the people here are just sheeps at least I gave a good reasoning for my hunch.
You can squirm all you want but I'm not switching.
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On August 09 2016 06:50 Grackaroni wrote:
I'm trying to decide which wagon is more likely to have scum and I can't decide.
You know I might be wrong but at least I'm town.
VOTE: disinformation for better cleaner better world tomorrow.
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EPT
