On April 26 2016 03:57 justanothertownie wrote:So part 3 is about tumble + potential mafia 3:
If you read tumbles filter you notice that he interacts/talks with almost everyone. Especially when he is about to be lynched he asks specific people to do stuff. He does this to everyone.
Well, almost everyone. The people he does not do that to are Superbia and Sicklucker.
For the biggest part of his filter (until LYLO basically) he more or less completely ignores Sicklucker. He interacts with Rels quite a bit gets pushed by him repeatedly. It doesn't seem very likely they are together. He even interacts/talks about Onegu. But not SL.
All that he says early in the game about him is this:
Show nested quote +On April 17 2016 05:59 Tumblewood wrote:
rels still picking the low-hanging fruit
didn't jat SR sicklucker a while back? i thought that was a pretty good read
rsoul you have some important questions to answer
protip: if it's lylo and i'm still alive, i'm probably scum because i never make it past d4 as town
Which should indicate a mafia read, right? Still he doesn't really push that or reason it out at all. I know there is one post to rsoultin where he asks why she is going for GB and not for Onegu/SL but SL is just a listed name there.
Later he completely "forgets" about this read though.
Show nested quote +On April 19 2016 11:37 Tumblewood wrote:
SL: He's cocky in the right way, and his curiosity about the vig seems genuine.
SL suddenly town in a listpost where he has to be included.
Show nested quote +On April 21 2016 02:59 Tumblewood wrote:
I feel comfortable about my town circle now, it's probably not changing anymore, bar a scum claim. My feeeels have been working overtime this game.
town
jat
rels
gum
ows
onegu
probably also town
sl
not town
shape
rsoul
SL "probably" town. But not even as town as Onegu. Why? Who the fuck knows!
Show nested quote +On April 21 2016 14:11 Tumblewood wrote:
I honestly don't know who we would lynch after Shape. I have six townreads and one scumread this game and these are pretty solid townreads.
Is the case against Rels just that one vote? Is the case on JAT just the low-hanging fruit argument? Is the case on Onegu just Onegu? These are all solid arguments but they also go against all the townie things those players have done and my feeeels are all I have to distinguish them.
I suppose the best way to go is Shape -> jat/rels -> rels/jat
We need to get shape lynched and then Onegu/jat/rels. Where on earth has is SL?
Show nested quote +On April 23 2016 11:53 Tumblewood wrote:
is this what a ten page filter feels like? are you also looking at my filter with similar dread because you don't want to read 200 posts? anyhoo, current status is
me gumshoe ows = 100% town
sl = 80% town
rels = 60% town
onegu = 20% town
i guess that leaves 40% of a townie for jat but that's not enough because he looks at least equal to rels if not townier, maybe they could take some towniness from sl and be split 55/55
btw don't read page 105 or most of 104 unless you want in on my ramblings which are spread out among 40 posts
Ah, he is 80% town again suddenly. Why? No idea!
Show nested quote +On April 23 2016 04:03 Tumblewood wrote:On April 23 2016 03:49 JustAnotherScummer wrote:On April 23 2016 03:44 Tumblewood wrote:
Hola compadres, I apologize for my absence.
It seems like the plan is to lynch Shape and then me. Fortunately we have a mislynch, but that means bringing Onegu to LyLo (bar a doc save) and if Rels is scum-- still not ruled out-- we lose.
So I advise that you don't lynch me and instead go for Onegu or Rels. I'd recommend ignoring everything Shape says today because his words are laced with wine.
I mean, I did get drunk last night. But this post pleading not to get yourself voted off before I even flip makes no sense.
Lets play a great game Tumble. If I am not scum, and tomorrow is lylo. Who would you vote and why?
Also why can't SL be scum here as well?
Onegu and then Rels the next day. I'm 80% sure no one else is scum.
SL is not scum because he's totally in line with his town meta by being cocky all game and he's not triggering my spidey senses in any way. He's at most the third scummiest in the game and would just be a stupid person to lynch at this point.
I guess for the age old reason that he is being cocky again. But then why was he only probably town in between? And where is the scumread from earlier gone?
Basically tumble avoids talking about SL before LYLO (and what he says there is really really shallow) as much as he can and his read progression on him makes 0 fucking sense.