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TL Mafia LXXIV: Storm Mafia 3 - Page 309

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Shapelog
Profile Joined November 2015
United States5184 Posts
April 15 2016 23:22 GMT
#6161
On April 16 2016 08:06 sicklucker wrote:
shape you certainly killed me one cycle too early. It was very obvious I was mafia siding and you didnt know I even had kp after supers flip. For all you knew I was a solo survivor and thats the story I was going with so you wasted your kp there and ended up in lylo with two confirmed towns.

Gj tho

All According to plan.
"Subsequently clicking post is like launching a doomsday's worth of nukes' equivalent in dopamine." -RB
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
April 15 2016 23:27 GMT
#6162
Well played shape, was worried for ya going into this lylo but you played it off pretty well.

Sorry to my team for playing like shit.

Thought it was hilarious that everyone thought Koshi was scum kus I town read him too easily (I honestly just thought he was obv town). And then Jat and a few other people were convinced Kuri and I made some plan to play off a save on Koshi. Totally wrong premise, but you all reached the correct conclusion that Kuri was scum.

Tbh I kinda think SL and Super played better than Mafia did. If shape hadn't started killing them off 3p prob would have won, maybe.
I can take that responsibility.
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
April 16 2016 00:02 GMT
#6163
On April 16 2016 07:21 unholyflare wrote:
wp shape

table for two on a tv tray
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 00:43 GMT
#6164
Super made some really good points about how unbalanced it is for third part to win. There was like 16 players? 100/8 =12.5 and I feel thats around how often you expect third party to be able to win this.

As someone who has no idea how setups are made what do you expect third partys expected winrate to be? Now 33% seems a little much but 12% seems really low.

Not only do I have to be the last player alive basicly but I had to dodge two inct roles mafia kp town kp. and If im ever shot im pretty much outed or on lifesupport for a day. 12% might be generous
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-16 01:13:25
April 16 2016 01:10 GMT
#6165
Every game that has 3p is "unbalanced" for 3p. Like idk what else do you want? You were an SK who had a jailkeeper. That's more than just being an SK.
table for two on a tv tray
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 01:34 GMT
#6166
I was asking a simple qeustion about what the expected win percentage is... because I dont know thats not what im arguing here
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 01:38 GMT
#6167
Like should a solo sk have 1 in 10 shot to win a 10 player game? Because thats what it seems like to me except 1/16 in mine and supers case. us being two people was acualy a hindrance. I would have much rather had one vest and been solo it just gives inv roles more info. And only one of us has to die so its like being one person without any benefits. But thats not what i was arguing but if you wanna bring that up
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
April 16 2016 02:19 GMT
#6168
mb town for not claiming
you're welcome town for that awesome list post I had
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
April 16 2016 02:26 GMT
#6169
On March 29 2016 12:18 Tumblewood wrote:
100% confirmed town forever
Damdred
Vivax
Rels
Alakaslam/scott31337

Also probably town
justanothertownie
sandroba
sicklucker
Shapelog

Not lynching
ObiWanShinobi
ritoky
LightningStrike

Scum pool 1
Kurumi
Koshi

Scum pool 2
VayneAuthority
rsoultin
Superbia

On the brink of death, I had one moment of clarity. + Show Spoiler +
that was so cheesy
Several people cleared their names entirely, leaving one scum in scum pool 1 and two scum in scum pool 2.

100% confirmed town forever: 4/4 correct
Also probably town: 2/4 correct (missed Shape because Shape, missed SL because I didn't put 2 and 2 together)
Not lynching: 3/3 correct, if you count that as a town pool
Scum pool 1: prediction correct, if you count 3P as scum
Scum pool 2: same
good times for all
Tumblewood
Profile Joined January 2016
United States3709 Posts
April 16 2016 02:28 GMT
#6170
Shape played really well
I don't know why town lynched a dayvig though, obs QT consensus was Shape as last scum
good times for all
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
April 16 2016 03:37 GMT
#6171
On April 16 2016 10:38 sicklucker wrote:
Like should a solo sk have 1 in 10 shot to win a 10 player game? Because thats what it seems like to me except 1/16 in mine and supers case. us being two people was acualy a hindrance. I would have much rather had one vest and been solo it just gives inv roles more info. And only one of us has to die so its like being one person without any benefits. But thats not what i was arguing but if you wanna bring that up

You should have been lynched on D2 for your shit claim, or D3, 100%.
table for two on a tv tray
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 03:41 GMT
#6172
holy fuck why are you being a cunt fuck you. were not even talking about anything like that
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 03:42 GMT
#6173
On April 16 2016 11:26 Tumblewood wrote:
Show nested quote +
On March 29 2016 12:18 Tumblewood wrote:
100% confirmed town forever
Damdred
Vivax
Rels
Alakaslam/scott31337

Also probably town
justanothertownie
sandroba
sicklucker
Shapelog

Not lynching
ObiWanShinobi
ritoky
LightningStrike

Scum pool 1
Kurumi
Koshi

Scum pool 2
VayneAuthority
rsoultin
Superbia

On the brink of death, I had one moment of clarity. + Show Spoiler +
that was so cheesy
Several people cleared their names entirely, leaving one scum in scum pool 1 and two scum in scum pool 2.

100% confirmed town forever: 4/4 correct
Also probably town: 2/4 correct (missed Shape because Shape, missed SL because I didn't put 2 and 2 together)
Not lynching: 3/3 correct, if you count that as a town pool
Scum pool 1: prediction correct, if you count 3P as scum
Scum pool 2: same


you had me as probable town? dont see a problem thats basicly what a third party looks like. id call that correct
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 03:43 GMT
#6174
acualy tumbleweed you had every read right. you had me and super in a grey area. amazing
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 03:44 GMT
#6175
oh wait im reading it by your color coding ;p. still pretty good tho
sicklucker
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Canada16987 Posts
April 16 2016 03:46 GMT
#6176
I acualy stand by my claim with the information I had. We dont all have perfect information haters. I saw 3 kp missing and expected mafia to shoot me
raynpelikoneet
Profile Joined April 2007
Finland43268 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-04-16 03:54:00
April 16 2016 03:51 GMT
#6177
On April 16 2016 12:41 sicklucker wrote:
holy fuck why are you being a cunt fuck you. were not even talking about anything like that

I am not being a cunt. I am saying two things:
1) Being and SK (which is normal) even with a vest is worse than being an SK with a jailkeeper WITH you. Complaining about 3p balance in this case is just ridiculous.
On April 16 2016 12:46 sicklucker wrote:
I acualy stand by my claim with the information I had. We dont all have perfect information haters. I saw 3 kp missing and expected mafia to shoot me

2) You got away with your claim, sure. Well played sir! (or idk if it was though since mafia wanted to rolecop you on N1 anyways). You shouldn't have though.
table for two on a tv tray
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
April 16 2016 03:54 GMT
#6178
AAARGH RAGES

lol sl chillax Sson

Anyway who won this? My grandma got better yest so so did I
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Alakaslam
Profile Blog Joined September 2011
United States17336 Posts
April 16 2016 03:58 GMT
#6179
Ach sss! This is my fault hijole
If you think Elon Musk is a Nazi, it is because YOU radicalized him!
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
April 16 2016 04:12 GMT
#6180
On April 16 2016 12:58 Alakaslam wrote:
Ach sss! This is my fault hijole


Not sure why you would say this because your slot got lynched in LyLo.

Scott made a small mistake in kinda ignoring Damdred (though I can kinda understand with the "modconfirmed" status Damdred had) in LyLo, and that lead to Damdred WIFOM'ing himself.

Shape also played fence-sitter fairly well.

Though I suppose your shot was pretty scum sided. Seemed like you let OMGUS convince you to yolo shoot right away when you would have been better off holding off, or even bringing your shot into a public discussion (something simple like "If you could shoot someone right now, who would it be?").

Other than that I thought both you and Scott played the slot just fine.
I can take that responsibility.
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