Battle of the Drams Mafia - Page 17

On October 02 2015 22:06 sicklucker wrote:




FUck i forget all that I wrote it was so good. Basically rsou/rels/shining are way more likely to be mafia because of how they voted scott. While the people who voted coolt are more likely to be town. not just because coolt is mafia but because he is never a town powerole the way he gave up. Like marv gave mafia the perfect reason to lynch a powerole (we have to assume mafia knows scott is really a powerole when he claims since hes not on there team)

Marv gave them the perfect excuse to vote scott too. unless the mafia was afk they always snap vote scott here. Also I think its less likely a mafia would be afk at a deadline.

I think the mafia team is probably coolt/rsou + one of shining/rels.

It can still be trefel but I feel hes not trying at all.

On October 02 2015 22:32 MoosyDoosy wrote:
I mean, I might be shooting myself in the foot right now, but I can see a world where coolTL is not scum and just bad townie. Like really bad townie admittedly but I can see it.

On October 02 2015 22:44 MoosyDoosy wrote:
We still have to shoot coolTL or we're shooting ourselves in the foot lol. Like he is either bad town or Mafia which places in a policy lynch either way.

On October 02 2015 22:47 Rels wrote:

no you shouldn't lynch him if you think he's a bad town

On October 02 2015 23:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Here is what i mean, here is what sicklucker means:

- your top scumread is coolname, let's call this 90 (bigger number is more scummy, numbers are arbitary)
- yout top #2 scumread is scott, let's call this 70
- you are, logically, voting for coolname
- scott claims, this would logically make his number go down to let's say 20
- marvellosity says coolname should not be 90, in fact he should be like 30.
- Damdred cc's scott - this would make scott go back to 70.

Now what makes marv's claim on cooldude so important you throw your 90 into the trash (this number is btw FOR his actions, not what other people think of him)? Why is what marv says so important you don't believe your scumread anymore? And what makes you think, in this situation, that scott is the best lynch?

I understand sheeping, i do that a lot, but you claim yourself you are not sheeping. So explain it.

On October 03 2015 00:56 Rels wrote:
really Moosy
I don't know your alignement
But I want you to get rid of this "Rels is attacking me for not being here at EOD"
So either accept it, or reread the part of the thread where it happened
If you attack me again with that I will get you lynched

On October 03 2015 01:01 Rels wrote:

What were you talking about then ?

On October 03 2015 01:03 Rels wrote:

you're annoying me because I have the proof you lied about something, but you're probably town if coolTLname is scum
I'm annoyed by town attacking me with bullshit
Don't attack me with false arguments and everything will be OK

On October 03 2015 01:06 Rels wrote:

you tried to gain the credit of voting first and pushing first coolTLname
you sheep Shining's analysis and associated yourself with him
these things are scum indicative, of course you are going to explain them after. Do not change the fact you did them

On October 03 2015 03:19 Rels wrote:
Vote recap with colored flip

Day 1

scott31337 (7): Damdred, marvellosity, rsoultin, raynpelikoneet, sicklucker, raynpelikoneet, marvellosity, rsoultin, marvellosity, Rels, The Shining, sicklucker
coolTLname (4): Rels, GlowingBear, MoosyDoosy, scott31337, TheShining, LightningStrike, marvellosity
rsoultin (1): Trfel, raynpelikoneet, Rels,
GlowingBear (1): Damdred, coolTLname, rsoultin
Trfel (0): GlowingBear, Rels, LightningStrike, sicklucker
raynpelikoneet (0): coolTLname, MoosyDoosy, marvellosity
LightningStrike (0): raynpelikoneet, scott31337

So. There is Moosy's theory that mafia would let scott be lynched. And there is sicklucker's theory that mafia would jump on scott to kill a blue.
I think there is no way to know right now because:
- sicklucker is right; mafia would like scott, that they are pretty sure are blue, to be lynched
- but Moosy is also right; once scott is the lynch, there is no need to switch to him anymore. Better shut up, stay on another person, and don't be on the blue train
So this vote recap is pretty useless right now; however it will be a great help later in the game, with one or two mafias flips.