Newbie Student Mafia XIV: Firefly - Page 10

On September 08 2015 09:59 scott31337 wrote:


I think GB's case on me was better.

On September 08 2015 10:15 scott31337 wrote:
The case is okay - not great - Seems to be quite a bit of confirmation bias in it though.

What if I said that #4 feels more like that you know rayn is town?

On September 08 2015 10:21 Breshke wrote:
I'm fine with people looking for other mafia but you should be voting GB

On September 08 2015 10:34 Breshke wrote:


I honestly have hardly read it not because I don't care but because I'm at uni. I could like skim it and give quick but I chose not too because you probably put effort into it and i feel like that unfair on you if i do that.

Sorry if it seems like im trying to "stop your momentum" or w/e but im just trying to keep the thread on what I think is the right track and thought people were unvoting GB but it was just you.

On September 08 2015 11:02 Breshke wrote:
Yo moosy I read it.

Do you really think copcake "provoked" noobking. I really doubt that.

I also don't understand why you have a problem with copcake making a bad town atmosphere yet when noobking was telling everyone how shit they were you were cool with that.

Also look at it from her point of view. You have been on her back most of the game as town would that not frustrate you? Could this not explain some of the way she is acting?

On September 08 2015 11:46 CopCake wrote:
- I am not bragging

- I don't know how i am creating a bad atmosphere

I am tired of you going for me since the beginning, even yamato said it "you have an obsession with me"

Besides yesterday you , YOU were lynching Noobking instead of me.

and you DO NOT WANT to lynch GB

On September 08 2015 16:54 boxerfred wrote:
MD's case on Copcake feels like a random bunch of quotes that somehow fit the theory. I wish there was more explanation in context, more details and not just "Hypothesis - Quotes that prove it" material. I don't like the case because it doesn't show any thought process or has a conclusion (besides the obvious "COPCAKE IS SCUM") stuff. So no, I'm not willing to look into that case especially since I feel like MoosyDoosy has shown a tendency of jumping in the thread, talking about the currently up to date topic and then leaving again. This kind of drive-by posting doesn't reveal many efforts.

I'm scum-leaning MoosyDoosy for now, also for his full-mouthy "I LEAD TOWN NOW". There's literally nothing that MD has done that would make me accept him as the town leader. No way.

On September 08 2015 21:11 Fidei86 wrote:


Moosy, I'm trying to get a handle on whether you actually believe what you're saying here. Let me get this straight - you think that it is possible TOWN Rayn is fake counter-claiming DOCTOR GlowingBear, because Rayn is so angry at GB?

Let's consider that for a moment. When you get a claim/counter-claim situation as town then you absolutely have to, 100% of the time, lynch whichever of the claimers you don't believe. If they flip blue, you lynch the other claimer. You do this because there is no reason to think that the town claimer is lying. The reason for THAT is because if Rayn is VT and he's CCing GB, he will know we willl have to lynch them both. Town don't lie on these sorts of CCs because if they are wrong, it means two guarantees mislynches, and it ALSO means that town waste two days.

Let's say GB flips blue. We then lynch Rayn. We have to as he is a confirmed liar. If Rayn then flips green, we're in triple lylo with no doctor.

Put another way, town Rayn would be staking the entire game on his read of GB. More or less. Rayn might be emotional, but he's not a moron. I just refuse to believe that he's that idiotic and egotistical. I have been in voice-Mafia games where he has done this (I think), but those are just quick throwaway games for fun - this is a huge forum game where everyone is putting in hours and hours of time. It's very different.

The only reason not to scum read Moosy is that his read of the situation is so far off the beaten path, and makes so little sense, I don't see scum pushing it.

Rayn - if you are VT then you will need to personally apologies to every town member for throwing.

Everyone else- the vote today is GB 100%. Please read what I said earlier above about the context of Rayn and GB's claim, if you're unsure.

On September 08 2015 22:36 NocturneMage wrote:


I don't understand where that second question comes from.

It's an either/or situation:

Cake is town and her push on gb was towny.
Cake is mafia and had a strategy where she pushed gb for the cred.

Where day 1 busses are rare, you look at someone's behavior and weigh that against
(1) the timing and content of her push and
(2) the behaviour of other players in the game (ie if enough of them are towny, you could poe her out)

Which ultimately gauges how likely she is to be mafia.

Based on my thoughts about her behaviour that is why the bus thing is still a possibility.

On September 09 2015 05:37 NocturneMage wrote:
hey md, I have a question for you......I took a crazy dive into cake's filter because her gameplay is so scummy - you are okay with a gb lynch, and given claim analysis gb flips mafia, that is the world for now.

what is mafia motivation for cake to make a sick bus on gb for cred? that was theory 2 and I evaluated the areas where she could be bussing, but the points (mafia motivation) don't add up.

I typed out a long post. hold on.

On September 09 2015 05:44 NocturneMage wrote:
so md, if she has a history of bussing my question to you is how early did she call out her partner?

where is the game in question?

looked at the database - there is no listing under copcake

unless I'm being an idiot again

On September 09 2015 05:48 NocturneMage wrote:


you misunderstood.

I don't mean copcake bussing rayn.
I mean copcake bussing gb. I know where you are getting the sentiment of copcake buddying to rayn but that's not what I'm discussing.

I agree her list post is overall terrible. I agree her overall gameplay has been terrible. however I'm not debating this.

that wasnt' up for debate.

that's why I looked at her even closer because we're in the world where gb flips red because it's generally NOT likely scum bus d1.

but I am asking you to consider the mitigating factors that don't make sense from a mafia perspective.

namely what I bolded in my wall of text.

On September 09 2015 05:50 raynpelikoneet wrote:

Moosydoosy answer asap-.